• Title/Summary/Keyword: 결합확률분포

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Three-Dimensional Offshore Wind Turbine Blade Design by using Efficient Two Step Optimization (효율적인 2단계 최적화를 통한 3차원 해상풍력터빈 블레이드 설계)

  • Lee, Ki-Hak;Hong, Sang-Won;Jeong, Ji-Hoon;Kim, Kyu-Hong;Lee, Dong-Ho;Lee, Kyung-Tae
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구의 목적은 3차원 풍력터빈 블레이드 최적형상설계를 위한 실용적이고 효율적인 설계과정을 구현하는 것이다. 국내 연안의 해상풍력에 적용하기 위해서 통계적 모델을 이용하여 풍황자료를 분석하였다. 설계에 관련된 많은 수의 설계변수를 효과적으로 관리하기 위해서 설계과정은 운용조건 최적화와 블레이드 형상설계의 2단계로 구성하였다. 실험계획법에 의해 추출된 각 운용조건 설계점은 형상설계를 위한 입력 값으로 제공된다. 형상설계 단계에서는 최소에너지손실 조건과 결합된 BEMT를 이용하여 각 블레이드 단면에서의 시위길이와 피치각 분포를 최적화하였다. 블레이드 단면 익형은 NREL S830을 이용하였고, 익형의 공력성능은 XFOIL을 이용하여 예측하였다. 설계된 블레이드 형상의 성능해석을 수행하고 그 결과를 바탕으로 반응면을 구성하였다. 좀 더 나은 성능을 가진 블레이드 형상을 찾기 위해서 초기설계공간에서 확률적 방법을 이용하여 타당성 있는 설계공간까지 운용조건 설계변수를 이동시키고 구배최적화 기법을 통해 각각의 제약함수를 만족하면서 연간에너지생산량을 최대로 하는 최적블레이드 형상을 구현하였다. 제시된 최적설계과정은 풍력터빈블레이드 개발에 실용적이고 신뢰성 있는 설계툴로서 사용이 가능하다.

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Study on the Statistical Turbulent Characteristics of $45^{\circ}$ Circular Cross Jet Flow ($45^{\circ}$ 圓形 衝突噴流의 統計學的 亂流特性 硏究)

  • 노병준;김장권
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.110-120
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    • 1986
  • 45.deg. corss jet flow, at the mixing of two jet flows, was experimentally studied. For this study, only the statistical turbulent characteristics and high order moments will be analysed by on-line computer system (hot-wire anemometer system, dynamic analyser and computer system, plotting and printing system). Since mean velocity distributions, intensities of turbulence, Reynolds stresses, correlation coefficients, and other general results were already studied and presented. One dimensional probability density distributions of u', v', and w' were analysed comparing with Gaussian curve, which showed skew and flat tendency according to the Y and Z directions. For the analysis of the joint flow of turublent components, the joint probability density distributions were examined. The fagures were drawn so as to be read joint probabilities, joint probability densities, fluctuating velocities u', v', and w'. For further detailed examination of the variations of skewness and flatness phenomena, iso-joint probability density contours obtained from the profiles of the joint probability density distributions were studied. According to the displacement of positions from the center of the mixing flow and the directions, the flatness and skewness factors were increased.

Adult Image Classification using Adaptive Skin Detection and Edge Information (적응적 피부색 검출과 에지 정보를 이용한 유해 영상분류방법)

  • Park, Chan-Woo;Park, Ki-Tae;Moon, Young-Shik
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea CI
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.127-132
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we propose a novel method of adult image classification by combining skin color regions and edges in an input image. The proposed method consists of four steps. In the first step, initial skin color regions are detected by logical AND operation of all skin color regions detected by the existing methods of skin color detection. In the second step, a skin color probability map is created by modeling the distribution of skin color in the initial regions. Then, a binary image is generated by using threshold value from the skin color probability map. In the third step, after using the binary image and edge information, we detect final skin color regions using a region growing method. In the final step, adult image classification is performed by support vector machine(SVM). To this end, a feature vector is extracted by combining the final skin color regions and neighboring edges of them. As experimental results, the proposed method improves performance of the adult image classification by 9.6%, compared to the existing method.

Building an Ensemble Machine by Constructive Selective Learning Neural Networks (건설적 선택학습 신경망을 이용한 앙상블 머신의 구축)

  • Kim, Seok-Jun;Jang, Byeong-Tak
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.27 no.12
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    • pp.1202-1210
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    • 2000
  • 본 논문에서는 효과적인 앙상블 머신의 구축을 위한 새로운 방안을 제시한다. 효과적인 앙상블의 구축을 위해서는 앙상블 멤버들간의 상관관계가 아주 낮아야 하며 또한 각 앙상블 멤버들은 전체 문제를 어느 정도는 정확하게 학습하면서도 서로들간의 불일치 하는 부분이 존재해야 한다는 것이 여러 논문들에 발표되었다. 본 논문에서는 주어진 문제의 다양한 면을 학습한 다수의 앙상블 후보 네트웍을 생성하기 위하여 건설적 학습 알고리즘과 능동 학습 알고리즘을 결합한 형태의 신경망 학습 알고리즘을 이용한다. 이 신경망의 학습은 최소 은닉 노드에서 최대 은닉노드까지 점진적으로 은닉노드를 늘려나감과 동시에 후보 데이타 집합에서 학습에 사용할 훈련 데이타를 점진적으로 선택해 나가면서 이루어진다. 은닉 노드의 증가시점에서 앙상블의 후부 네트웍이 생성된다. 이러한 한 차례의 학습 진행을 한 chain이라 정의한다. 다수의 chain을 통하여 다양한 형태의 네트웍 크기와 다양한 형태의 데이타 분포를 학습한 후보 내트웍들이 생성된다. 이렇게 생성된 후보 네트웍들은 확률적 비례 선택법에 의해 선택된 후 generalized ensemble method (GEM)에 의해 결합되어 최종적인 앙상블 성능을 보여준다. 제안된 알고리즘은 한개의 인공 데이타와 한 개의 실세계 데이타에 적용되었다. 실험을 통하여 제안된 알고리즘에 의해 구성된 앙상블의 최대 일반화 성능은 다른 알고리즘에 의한 그것보다 우수함을 알 수 있다.

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Evaluation of Flood Events Considering Correlation between Flood Event Attributes (홍수사상 요소의 상관성을 고려한 홍수사상의 평가)

  • Lee, Jeong Ho;Yoo, Ji Young;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.3B
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    • pp.257-267
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    • 2010
  • A flood event can be characterized by three attributes such as peak discharge, total flood volume, and flood duration, which are correlated each other. However, the amount of peak discharge is only used to evaluate the flood events for the hydrological plan and design. The univariate analysis has a limitation in describing the complex probability behavior of flood events. Thus, the univariate analysis cannot derive satisfying results in flood frequency analysis. This study proposed bivariate flood frequency analysis methods for evaluating flood events considering correlations among attributes of flood events. Parametric distributions such as Gumbel mixed model and bivariate gamma distribution, and a non-parametric model using a bivariate kernel function were introduced in this study. A time series of annual flood events were extracted from observations of inflow to the Soyang River Dam and the Daechung Dam, respectively. The joint probability distributions and return periods were derived from the relationship between the amount of peak discharge and the total volume of flood runoff. Applicabilities of bivariate flood frequency analysis were examined by comparing the return period acquired from the proposed bivariate analyses and the conventional univariate analysis.

Motion Recognition using Fuzzy Sets and Neural-nets (퍼지 집합과 신경망을 이용한 동작 인식)

  • Nam, Seong-Hyeon;Kim, Gwang-Yong;Kim, Hyeon-Suk;Hwang, Jong-Seon;Yang, Yeong-Gyu
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.27 no.10
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    • pp.1028-1037
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    • 2000
  • 비디오 영상에서 자연스럽게 움직이는 객체에 대한 인식방법을 제안한다. 이 객체는 자유자재로 움직이며, 움직임의 방향을 예측하기 어렵고 빠르게 움직인다. 객체의 동작은 그 객체가 고유하게 가지고 있는 움직임의 특성과 객체의 주변상황에 밀접한 관계가 있다. 본 논문은 자연스럽고 동적인 상황에서 객체의 동작을 분석하고 인식하는 방법을 제안한다. 객체의 동작을 인식하기 위해 동작을 구분하고 분석하여 동작의 대표특징을 추출한다. 그리고, 하나의 객체 주위에 다가오는 다른 객체와의 상관관계를 표현한다. 또한, 동작인식을 위한 알고리즘을 제안한다. 즉, 구간별 포아송(Poisson) 넌-제로(Non-zero)확률 분포를 통한 방법과 퍼지와 신경망의 결합에 의한 인식방법을 제안한다. 그리고 제안된 방법들로 구현된 인식결과를 비교 분석하고 평가한다. 우리의 알고리즘은 축구영역에서 시험된다. 우리는 동작인식의 성공뿐 아니라 실패의 경우도 설명하며 미래의 연구할 과제를 제안한다.

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Analysis of a Phased Arrivals Queueing Model with Applications to Telecommunication Network Traffic Control (통신망에서 트래픽 제어를 고려한 단계 도착 대기행렬모형 분석)

  • Park, Ji-Young;Kim, Ji-Seung;Kim, Che-Soong
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.57-66
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    • 2007
  • 본 논문에서는 통신망의 트래픽 제어를 위한 무한버퍼, 단일 서버와 배치도착과정을 갖는 대기행렬 모형을 고려하였다. 또한 고객 도착 형태와 서비스의 분포는 지수분포를 배치 흐름은 포아송 정상과정 및 배치크기는 기하분포를 따른다고 가정하였다. 서비스를 받기 위해 시스템으로 들어오는 배치의 크기는 시스템의 상태에 따라서 트래픽 제어가 가능하다. 이와 같은 조건에서 시스템에 있는 고객의 수와 배치크기에 대한 결합 확률분포를 분석하였고, 행렬기법을 적용하여 시스템 체재시간에 대한 분석이 수행되었다. 마지막으로 시스템의 주요 성능평가 척도에 대한 효율적인 제어기법에 대한 언급과 수치예제를 통해서 증명하였다.

Day-to-day dynamic combined model on the evaluation of traveller's traffic information for multi-mode and multi-class (다수단 다계층 통행정보제공에 따른 일별동적결합모형 개발 및 평가)

  • 이승재;손의영;김인경
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.85-97
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    • 1999
  • The Purpose of this Paper is the development of the day-to-day dynamic combined model on the evaluation of traveller's traffic information for multi-mode and multi-class environments. Information is assumed to be provided for multi-mode such as bus and automobile. and multi-class such as a driver with and without route guidance equipment when they depart for their trips. The information provision strategies have been developed in the base of user equilibrium, system optimum and in between them. The Sioux Falls network is used for the evaluation of the model and information provision strategies. In the numerical analysis, a Braess' paradox for the information provision, which is the increase of travel time even though the number of information usage level and user are increased, has been occurred so that these kinds of information strategies should be implemented with special care.

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Evaluation of Chloride Behavior and Service Life in Long-Term Aged FA Concrete through Probabilistic Analysis (장기재령 FA 콘크리트에 대한 염화물 거동 및 확률론적 염해 내구수명 평가)

  • Yoon, Yong-Sik;Kwon, Seung-Jun
    • Journal of the Korean Recycled Construction Resources Institute
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.276-285
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    • 2020
  • In this study, accelerated chloride diffusion tests were performed on OPC(Ordinary Portland Cement) and FA(Fly Ash) concrete considering three levels o f W/B(Water to Binder) ratio o n 1,095 curing days. The accelerated chloride diffusion coefficient and the passed charge were evaluated in accordance with Tang's method and ASTM C 1202, and the resistance performance to chloride attack improved over time. FA concrete showed excellent resistance performance against chloride penetration with help of pozzolanic reaction. As the result of the passed charge, FA concrete showed durability improvement, "low" grade to "very low" grade, but OPC concrete changed "moderate" grade to "low" grade at 1,095 curing days. After assuming the design variables used for durability design as normal distribution functions, the service life of each case was evaluated by the probabilistic analysis method based on MCS(Monte Carlo Simulation). In FA concrete, the increase of probability of durability failure was lower than that of OPC concrete with increasing time, because the time-dependent coefficient of FA concrete was up to 3.2 times higher than OPC concrete. In addition, the service life by probabilistic analysis was evaluated lower than the service life by deterministic analysis, since the target probability of durability failure was set to 10%. It is considered that more economical durability design will be possible if the mo re suitable target probability of durability failure is set for various structures through researches on actual conditions and indoor tests under various circumstances.

New composite distributions for insurance claim sizes (보험 청구액에 대한 새로운 복합분포)

  • Jung, Daehyeon;Lee, Jiyeon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.363-376
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    • 2017
  • The insurance market is saturated and its growth engine is exhausted; consequently, the insurance industry is now in a low growth period with insurance companies that face a fierce competitive environment. In such a situation, it will be an important issue to find the probability distributions that can explain the flow of insurance claims, which are the basis of the actuarial calculation of the insurance product. Insurance claims are generally known to be well fitted by lognormal distributions or Pareto distributions biased to the left with a thick tail. In recent years, skew normal distributions or skew t distributions have been considered reasonable distributions for describing insurance claims. Cooray and Ananda (2005) proposed a composite lognormal-Pareto distribution that has the advantages of both lognormal and Pareto distributions and they also showed the composite distribution has a higher fitness than single distributions. In this paper, we introduce new composite distributions based on skew normal distributions or skew t distributions and apply them to Danish fire insurance claim data and US indemnity loss data to compare their performance with the other composite distributions and single distributions.