• Title/Summary/Keyword: 결정성 분석

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Predicting the Number of Confirmed COVID-19 Cases Using Deep Learning Models with Search Term Frequency Data (검색어 빈도 데이터를 반영한 코로나 19 확진자수 예측 딥러닝 모델)

  • Sungwook Jung
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.12 no.9
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    • pp.387-398
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    • 2023
  • The COVID-19 outbreak has significantly impacted human lifestyles and patterns. It was recommended to avoid face-to-face contact and over-crowded indoor places as much as possible as COVID-19 spreads through air, as well as through droplets or aerosols. Therefore, if a person who has contacted a COVID-19 patient or was at the place where the COVID-19 patient occurred is concerned that he/she may have been infected with COVID-19, it can be fully expected that he/she will search for COVID-19 symptoms on Google. In this study, an exploratory data analysis using deep learning models(DNN & LSTM) was conducted to see if we could predict the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases by summoning Google Trends, which played a major role in surveillance and management of influenza, again and combining it with data on the number of confirmed COVID-19 cases. In particular, search term frequency data used in this study are available publicly and do not invade privacy. When the deep neural network model was applied, Seoul (9.6 million) with the largest population in South Korea and Busan (3.4 million) with the second largest population recorded lower error rates when forecasting including search term frequency data. These analysis results demonstrate that search term frequency data plays an important role in cities with a population above a certain size. We also hope that these predictions can be used as evidentiary materials to decide policies, such as the deregulation or implementation of stronger preventive measures.

A Study on Establishing a Market Entry Strategy for the Satellite Industry Using Future Signal Detection Techniques (미래신호 탐지 기법을 활용한 위성산업 시장의 진입 전략 수립 연구)

  • Sehyoung Kim;Jaehyeong Park;Hansol Lee;Juyoung Kang
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.249-265
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    • 2023
  • Recently, the satellite industry has been paying attention to the private-led 'New Space' paradigm, which is a departure from the traditional government-led industry. The space industry, which is considered to be the next food industry, is still receiving relatively little attention in Korea compared to the global market. Therefore, the purpose of this study is to explore future signals that can help determine the market entry strategies of private companies in the domestic satellite industry. To this end, this study utilizes the theoretical background of future signal theory and the Keyword Portfolio Map method to analyze keyword potential in patent document data based on keyword growth rate and keyword occurrence frequency. In addition, news data was collected to categorize future signals into first symptom and early information, respectively. This is utilized as an interpretive indicator of how the keywords reveal their actual potential outside of patent documents. This study describes the process of data collection and analysis to explore future signals and traces the evolution of each keyword in the collected documents from a weak signal to a strong signal by specifically visualizing how it can be used through the visualization of keyword maps. The process of this research can contribute to the methodological contribution and expansion of the scope of existing research on future signals, and the results can contribute to the establishment of new industry planning and research directions in the satellite industry.

A Servicism Model of the New Technology Industry Enterprise System (서비스주의 기술 산업 기업 연구)

  • Hyunsoo Kim
    • Journal of Service Research and Studies
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.1-25
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    • 2022
  • This study was conducted for technology development and industrial and enterprise system design for the sustainable life of mankind. Human society is facing a crisis. As the power of mankind has increased due to the development of nuclear weapons and information and communication technologies, the risk of human society has greatly increased. The value of growth and freedom is increasing due to capitalism and democratic systems, so technological innovation is accelerating, and industries and companies are growing significantly. New technologies and industries can greatly develop human society and put it at risk. This study was conducted with the aim of redesigning technology, industry, and enterprise systems so that humans who live on Earth can be more sustainable for a longer time. It presented a practical alternative for a long-term sustainable human society. It suggested alternatives for what philosophy and methodology should be developed for the whole of humanity and in each individual national society, for developing technologies, fostering industries, and operating corporate systems. First of all, the problems of the technology development system, industrial system, and enterprise system of human society were analyzed. The characteristics and problems were analyzed in terms of sustainability of human society. The necessary and sufficient conditions for an alternative system to solve the raised problems were derived. A system that satisfies these conditions was designed and presented. The alternative system was named as a servicism system as a system based on the service philosophy. The structure, operation model, and implementation plan of the new technology industry enterprise system were presented. In the future, follow-up studies are needed to be concreted at the level of individual countries and human society as a whole.

Vegetation Classification and Ecological Characteristics of Black Locust (Robinia pseudoacacia L.) Plantations in Gyeongbuk Province, Korea (경북지방 아까시나무 조림지의 식생유형과 생태적 특성)

  • Jae-Soon Song;Hak-Yun Kim;Jun-Soo Kim;Seung-Hwan Oh;Hyun-Je Cho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.112 no.1
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 2023
  • This study was established to provide basic information necessary for ecological management to restore the naturalness of black locust (Robinia pseudoacacia L.) plantations located in the mountains of Gyeongbuk, Korea. Using vegetation data collected from 200 black locust stands, vegetation types were classified using the TWINSPAN method, the spatial arrangement status according to the environmental gradient was identified through DCA analysis, and a synoptic table of communities was prepared based on the diagnostic species determined by determining community fidelity (Φ) for each vegetation type. The vegetation types were classified into seven types, namely, Quercus mongolica-Polygonatum odoratum var. pluriflorum type, Castanea crenata-Smilax china type, Clematis apiifolia-Lonicera japonica type, Rosa multiflora-Artemisia indica type, Quercus variabilis-Lindera glauca type, Ulmus parvifolia-Celtis sinensis type, and Prunus padus-Celastrus flagellaris type. These types usually reflected differences in complex factors such as altitude, moisture regime, successional stage, and disturbance regime. The mean relative importance value of the constituent species was highest for black locust(39.7), but oaks such as Quercus variabilis, Q. serrata, Q. mongolica, Q. acutissima, and Q. aliena were also identified as important constituent species with high relative importance values, indicating their potential for successional trends. In addition, the total percent cover of constituent species by vegetation type, life form composition, species diversity index, and indicator species were compared.

Relations of Safety Factor and Reliability for Pile Load Capacity (말뚝 기초지지력에 대한 안전율과 신뢰도지수 평가)

  • Kim, Dae-Ho;Kim, Min-Ki;Hwang, Sung-Uk;Park, Young-Hwan;Lee, Jun-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.22 no.11
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2006
  • Reliability between safety factor and reliability index for driven and bored pile load capacity was analyzed in this study. 0.1B, Chin, De Beer, and Davisson's methods were used for determining pile load capacity by using load-settlement curve from pile load test. Each method defines ultimate yield and allowable pile load capacities. LCPC method using CPT results was performed for comparing results of pile load test. Based on FOSM analysis using load factors, it is obtained that reliability indices for ultimate pile load capacity were higher than those of yield and allowable condition. Present safety factor 2 for yield and allowable load capacities is not enough to satisfy target reliability index $2.0{\sim}2.5$. However, it is sufficient for ultimate pile load capacity using safety factor 3.

A Feasibility Study on the Hour Setting in Almanac (역법에서의 시진(時辰) 설정에 대한 타당성 논의)

  • Cheong-Ha Lee;Sun-Ok Shin
    • Industry Promotion Research
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.119-132
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this paper is to re-establish the concept of Eastern time, which is used in Myeongliology and Kimun-dungap, and to discuss the use of real-time of the sun according to the birth area, the selection of real-jasi between night-jasi and real-jasi, and the exact meaning of birth time. The conventional use of time in Korean society uses Tokyo as standard time and uses a time system in which a new day begins at midnight. Howev er, what is important is not social univ ersality but the time and space of the univ erse where I was born, which is the center of the universe, should be the standard of my fate, so I have to use the longitude of the place where I was born to determine my exact time. Also it is argued that real-jasi should be selected for the selection problem of night-jasi and real-jasi, which has long been a controversial topic in Myeongliology, because the flow of cosmic energy is signaled an hour ahead. To secure the validity of setting such time, a case analysis was conducted using the time adjustment method through the spread of Kimun-dungap. Through in-depth interviews with the analysis subjects, the lives of the past were collected by date and time, and then Kimun-dungap checked whether the timing of each life event was accurate.

SNU 1.5MV Van de Graaff Accelerator (IV) -Fabrication and Aberration Analysis of Magnetic Quadrupole Lens- (SNU 1.5MV 반데그라프 가속기 (IV) -자기 4극 렌즈의 제작과 수차의 분석-)

  • Bak, H.I.;Choi, B.H.;Choi, H.D.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 1986
  • A magnetic quadrupole doublet was fabricated for use at the pre-target position of SNU 1.5MV Van de Graaff accelerator and then its optical characteristics were measured and analysed. The physical dimensions are: pole length 180mm, aperture radius 25mm, pole tip radius 28.75mm. Material for poles and return yokes is carbon steel KS-SM40C. Coils have 480 turns per one pole and air-cooling is adopted. Applying the d.c. current 2.99$\pm$0.03A to the lens, and using the Hall probe, magnetic field elements $B_{\theta}$ , $B_{\gamma}$, were measured at the selected Points along each coordinate direction r,$\theta$, z. From the area integration and orthogonal polynomial fitting for the measured data, the magnetic Field gradient G=566.3$\pm$2.1 gauss/cm at lens center, the effective length L=208.3$\pm$1.44mm along the lens axis have been obtained. The harmonic contents were determined up to 20-pole from the generalized least squares fitting. The results indicate that sextupole/quadrupole is below 1.4$\pm$0.9% and all the other multipoles are below 0.5% in the region within 18mm radius at the center of lens.

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A Study of Optimal Lotion Manufacturing Process Containing Angelica gigas Nakai Extracts by Utilizing Experimental Design and Design Space Convergence Analysis (실험 설계와 디자인 스페이스 융합 분석을 통한 Angelica gigas Nakai 추출물을 함유한 로션 제조의 최적 공정 연구)

  • Pyo, Jae-Sung;Kim, Hyun-Jin;Yoon, Seon-hye;Park, Jae-Kyu;Kim, Kang-Min
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.132-140
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    • 2022
  • This study was conducted to identify the optimal lotion manufacturing conditions with decursin and decursinol angelate of Angelica gigas Nakai extraction. Lotion was confirmed that it had viscosity (5,208±112 cPs), assay (99.71±1.01%), and pH (5.62) for 3 months. The optimization of manufacturing conditions of mixing 4 for lotion formulation were made by 22+3 full factorial design. Mixing temperature (40-80℃) and mixing time (10-30 min) were used as independent variables with three responses(assay, pH, and weight variation) as critical quality attributes (CQAs). The model for assay and weight variation identified a proper fit having a determination coefficient of the regression equation (about 0.9) and a p-value less than 0.05. Estimated conditions for the optimal manufacturing process of lotion were 61.93℃ in mixing temperature and 15.85 min in mixing time. Predicted values at the mixing temperature (60℃) and mixing time (20 min) were 100.69% of assay, 5.57 of pH, and 98.07% of weight variation. In the verification of the actual measurement the obtained values showed 100.29±0.98% of assay, 5.57±0.02 of pH, and 98.27±0.89% of weight variation, respectively, in good agreement with predicted values.

The Relationship among Dynamic Capability, Technology Commercialization Competence, Innovation Performance, and Competitive Advantage (수출벤처기업의 동태적 역량이 기술사업화역량, 혁신성과 및 경쟁우위에 미치는 영향)

  • Hwang, Kyung-Yun;Sung, Eul-Hyun
    • Korea Trade Review
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.159-183
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    • 2016
  • This study focuses on export venture firms in Daedeok Innopolis and examines the structural relationships among dynamic capability, technology commercialization competence, innovation performance, and competitive advantage. In particular, this study attempts to analyze dynamic capabilities that may affect technology commercialization competence, innovation performance, and competitive advantage. The development of the research model takes on a dynamic-capability view and is based on empirical studies regarding competitive advantage. A survey of 103 export venture firms was conducted from January 5, 2015, to February 4, 2015. A partial least squares structural equation model is used to test the relationships between constructs set in the study. The results of the study show that the dynamic capability of an export venture firm has a significant positive influence on the firm's technology commercialization competence, innovation performance, and competitive advantage. The study also finds evidence that the export venture firm's technology commercialization competence directly affects its innovation performance and competitive advantage. In addition, the findings indicate that the innovation performance of an export venture firm has a significant positive impact on the firm's competitive advantage. Overall, these findings contribute to a better understanding of the contexts in which dynamic capability represents a specific capability for export venture firms.

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Water resources planning for the Sesan and Srepok river basin in Vietnam using DSS-2S based on MIKE Hydro Basin (MIKE Hydro Basin 기반 DSS-2S를 활용한 베트남 Sesan 및 Srepok 강 유역 수자원 계획 수립)

  • Choi, Byung Man;Ko, Ick Hwan;Kim, Jeongkon;Pi, Wan Seop;Oh, Yoon Keun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2021.06a
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    • pp.43-43
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    • 2021
  • Sesan강과 Srepok강은 베트남, 캄보디아, 라오스가 공유하는 3S강 유역 (Sesan강, Srepok강, Sekong강)의 일부로 국제 공유하천으로 관리되고 있다. 3S강 유역은 Mekong강의 중요한 지류이며 Mekong강 유역의 상당 부분을 구성한다(Mekong강 유역 면적의 10%, 연간 총 유출량의 20%). 베트남에 속해 있는 Sesan강 유역면적은 11,255km2, Srepok강 유역면적은 18,162km2이다. Sesan강과 Srepok강의 상류는 베트남 중부 고원의 긴 산맥에 위치하고 있으며, 하류는 캄보디아에 위치해 있어 상·하류간 긴밀한 협력이 필요하다. Sesan강과 Srepok강 유역은 기후변화에 따른 홍수, 가뭄, 수력발전소 건설로 인한 유출량 변동에 따른 상·하류 분쟁, 사면침식 및 퇴적 등 많은 문제와 도전에 직면할 것으로 예측되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 World Bank의 "Viet Nam Mekong Integrated Water Resources Management (M-IWRM) Project의 일환으로 베트남 정부 차원에서 처음으로 구축한 수자원관리 의사결정지원시스템인 "DSS-2S"를 활용하여, Sesan-Srepok강 유역의 수자원 계획을 수립하였다. DSS-2S는 MIKE Hydro Basin을 기반으로 SWAT모델 등과 연계 하여 구축되었다. DSS-2S는 2S 유역의 모든 주요 하천과 지류를 반영하였으며. 여기에는 17개의 수력발전 댐과 주요 지류에서 용량이 3백만 m3 이상인 기타 저수지가 포함되었다. 이 보다 작은 용량의 저수지는 대표적인 저수지로 그룹화 되어 반영되었다. 기후변화 및 사회-경제적 발전계획 등을 반영하여, 2030년과 2050년을 목표연도로 생활, 공업, 농업, 관광, 유지용수 등 용수 수요를 추정하였다. 50% 및 85% 빈도의 공급 가능성을 고려하여 물 배분은 물 수요를 충족하고 지하수 개발 최소화를 기준으로 고려되었다. 분석 결과에 의하면 2S강 유역의 총 수자원은 32.2억 m3으로 그중 지표수자원은 29.2억 m3, 안정적으로 이용 가능한 지하수자원은 2.97억 m3으로 분석 되었으며, 지표수와 지하수 연계를 고려하면 전체 2S 강 유역에 물 부족하지는 않으나, 개별 공급 지점을 고려할 때 4월과 5월에 일부 지역에서 물 부족이 나타날 것으로 예측 된다. 장래 물 부족 해결을 위한 대안들을 제시하였으며, 본 성과는 베트남 중앙 정부의 장기수자원 종합계획 수립의 기본 자료로 활용 될 예정이다.

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