• Title/Summary/Keyword: 결정성 분석

Search Result 11,207, Processing Time 0.041 seconds

Spatial prioritization of climate change vulnerability using uncertainty analysis of multi-criteria decision making method (다기준 의사결정기법의 불확실성 분석기법을 이용한 기후변화 취약성에 대한 지역별 우선순위 결정)

  • Song, Jae Yeol;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
    • /
    • v.50 no.2
    • /
    • pp.121-128
    • /
    • 2017
  • In this study, robustness index and uncertainty analysis were proposed to quantify the risk inherent in the process of climate change vulnerability assessment. The water supply vulnerability for six metropolitan cities (Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, and Ulsan), except for Seoul, were prioritized using TOPSIS, a kind of multi-criteria decision making method. The robustness index was used to analyze the possibility of rank reversal and the uncertainty analysis was introduced to derive the minimum changed weights of the criteria that determine the rank reversal between any paired cities. As a result, Incheon and Daegu were found to be very vulnerable and Daegu and Busan were derived to be very sensitive. Although Daegu was relatively vulnerable against the other cities, it can be largely improved by developing and performing various climate change adaptation measures because it is more sensitive. This study can be used as a preliminary assessment for establishing and planning climate change adaptation measure.

An analysis of Expected Effects for Automatic Delivery Sorting (순로구분 자동화 효과 분석 연구)

  • Lee, Seong-Jun;Wang, Seung-Jin;Nam, Yun-Seok;Kim, Ho-Yeon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
    • /
    • 2005.05a
    • /
    • pp.119-124
    • /
    • 2005
  • 순로구분 자동화 시스템이 상용화를 앞두게 됨에 따라 실제 순로구분기의 운영계획을 비롯한 자동화 방안 등에 대한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 또한 순로구분기의 유형의 결정과 운영 방식을 고려한 자동화 효과를 분석하여 실제로 어느 정도의 경제적 효익이 발생할 수 있는가에 대한 청사진이 제시되어야 할 필요성이 있다. 그러나, 이제까지 순로구분의 자동화와 순로구분 시스템의 효율적인 운영을 위한 사업의 타당한 당위성이나 최적의 사업 및 운영에 대한 목표 등의 구체적인 모델링이 없었으며, 이러한 모델링을 위한 분석체계가 미흡했던 것이 사실이다. 이에 본 연구는 순로구분의 자동화 효과에 대한 경제성을 인건비 절감을 통하여 분석하고, 우편물량과 순로구분기 유형, 운영 일정에 대한 시나리오를 설정하여 각각 소요되는 자동화 비용을 분석하고, 현재의 수작업 순로구분에 비하여 경제적인 이득이 얼마나 발생하는가에 대하여 분석한다. 본 연구는 학술적으로는 순로구분 자동화라는 새로운 시스템이 도입됨에 따라 설정되는 정성적인 변수들을 계량화하여 이를 경제성 분석에 반영함으로써 상호 배타적인 투자안에 대한 결론을 도출하려고 노력하였다. 또한 우편업무 개선을 위한 실무적 측면에서는 순로구분기의 도입과 시스템이 실제로 상용화되는 과정에 따라 구체화되는 여러 요인에 따라서 요구되는 의사결정을 위한 기초 자료로써 활용될 수 있다.

  • PDF

Improvement Direction for Feasibility Analysis of Water Resources Projects by Analyzing Preliminary Feasibility Analysis Projects (예비타당성조사 사례분석을 통한 수자원사업 타당성분석의 개선방향 설정)

  • You, Jae-Young;Kim, Gil-Ho;Yeo, Kyu-Dong;Shim, Myung-Pil
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2008.05a
    • /
    • pp.1545-1549
    • /
    • 2008
  • 최근 이상홍수나 가뭄과 같은 물 관련 재해의 발생빈도가 높아지고, 산업 고도화, 인구증가와 같은 원인에 의해 장 단기적 물 부족 현상이 우려되면서 수자원 사업에 대한 관심이 고조되고 있다. 대부분의 수자원 사업은 공공성이 매우 크기 때문에 대규모 정부예산의 투입을 필요로 하고 있으나, 수자원사업의 특성상 사업의 공공성에 반하여 사업 시행에 따른 여러 경제적, 정책적 이해관계가 난립하여 사업 시행에 어려움이 따르고 있는 것이 실정이다. 이에 따라 '수자원(댐)부문사업의 예비타당성조사 표준지침 연구-제3판'에서는 수자원 사업의 타당성 평가를 위해 크게 경제성분석과 정책적분석의 두 부문으로 접근하고 있으며, 최종적으로 다기준의사결정기법 중 하나인 AHP기법을 이용하여 결정함으로써 수자원 사업의 가치 평가에 대한 이해를 돕고 있다. 본 연구에서는 지난 1999년부터 2006년까지 수행된 수자원분야 및 타분야의 사례를 바탕으로 수자원사업 예비타당성조사의 실태를 파악함으로써 현재 지적되고 있는 문제점을 고찰하고 그에 따른 해결방향을 제시하고자 하였다.

  • PDF

차별정보가설(差別精報假說) 하(下)에서 기업(企業)의 다각화(多角化)와 보통주(普通株) 수익률(收益率)

  • Choi, Yong-Sik
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
    • /
    • v.11 no.2
    • /
    • pp.65-81
    • /
    • 1994
  • 주식의 기대수익률과 체계적 위험과의 관계를 설명한 자본자산가격결정모형(CAPM)은 지난 30년간 많은 재무학자들에 의해 지속적으로 검증 받아 왔다. 물론, 자본시장의 효율성도 포함된 결합가설(結合假說)(joint hypothesis)의 검증이라는 어려운 점도 있으나, 일련의 연구는 기존에 발견된 주가이례(株價異例)현상을 설명하기 위해 새로운 위험 변수가 필요하다고 지적하였다. 이러한 방향으로의 연구 중 차별정보가설은 투자분석에 이용 가능한 정보의 양(量)이 위험측정의 불확실성을 결정하므로 주식의 수익률도 따라서 변하게 된다고 설명하고 있다. 본 연구는 기업의 다각화가 진행됨에 따라 각 사업단위의 회계정보 및 소속산업의 자료수집을 통한 정보의 양이 증가된다는 가정아래 차별정보가설을 실증 분석한다. 기업규모를 통제하여 구성한 포트폴리오 분석 방법은 다각화지 수가 낮은 기업이 체계적으로 높은 초과수익률을 갖는 것으로 나타났다. 이 분석결과는 차별정보가설이 예 상하는 바와 일치하는 결과로 해석될 수 있다. 그러나, 기업규모의 통제없이 구성한 다각화 포트폴리오의 분석결과와 개별기업 차원의 회귀분석 결과는 초과수익률과 기업의 다각화 정도가 선형 관계가 아닌 U자형의 관계에 있다는 것을 보여주고 있다.

  • PDF

Relationship between Consumer Self-Determined Psychological Needs and Brand Equity for Fair Trade Products (공정무역제품에 대한 소비자의 자기결정성 심리욕구와 브랜드 자산의 관계)

  • Ock, Jung-Won
    • Management & Information Systems Review
    • /
    • v.36 no.2
    • /
    • pp.59-79
    • /
    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study is to verify the relationship between consumer 's self - determination psychological needs (autonomy, competence, and relevance) related to fair trade and brand equity related to fair trade products through empirical analysis. It is meaningful that it is linked to strategic brand management based on consumer need satisfaction. As a result of empirical analysis of this study, Fair Trade attitude plays an important role in the relationship between self - determination psychological desire and brand equity. Especially, Consumer need Satisfaction with competence was found to be a strategically important construct. Based on the results of this study, it is expected to provide important implications for future strategic management of brand equity related to Fair Trade products.

  • PDF

Stability Assessment of FKP System by NGII using Long-term Analysis of NTRIP Correction Signal (NTRIP 보정신호 분석을 통한 국토지리정보원 FKP NRTK 시스템 안정성 평가)

  • Kim, Min-Ho;Bae, Tae-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
    • /
    • v.31 no.4
    • /
    • pp.321-329
    • /
    • 2013
  • Despite the advantage of unlimited access, there are insufficient studies for the accuracy and stability of FKP that blocks the spread of the system for various applications. Therefore, we performed a long-term analysis from continuous real-time positioning, and investigated the error characteristics dependent on the size and the surrounding environment. The FKP shows significant changes in the positioning accuracy at different times of day, where the accuracy during daytime is worse than that of nighttime. In addition, the size and deviation of FKP correction may change with the ionospheric conditions, and high correlation between ambiguity resolution rate and the deviation of correction was observed. The receivers continuously request the correction information in order to cope with sudden variability of ionosphere. On the other hand, the correction information was not received up to an hour in case of stable ionospheric condition. It is noteworthy that the outliers of FKP are clustered in their position with some biases. Since several meters of errors can be occurred for kinematic positioning with FKP, therefore, it is necessary to make appropriate preparation for real-time applications.

The Determinants of Ginseng Products Purchase during the Trip in Korea (인삼 제품 구매 선택과 결정 요인 분석)

  • Ho-Jung Yoon;Hyun Sung Cho;Sung Ah Lim
    • Journal of Ginseng Culture
    • /
    • v.5
    • /
    • pp.97-114
    • /
    • 2023
  • Despite numerous studies, research on ginseng in aspect of an economic and business perspective are insufficient. Recently, research to reveal the economic cause of ginseng products purchase is drawing attention. The purpose of this study is to analyze empirically the factors of ginseng products purchase by international consumers from a microeconomic perspective. Using the survey data, we empirically investigate the determinants of ginseng products purchase by international consumers visiting Korea. We use a multinomial logistic model to find the determinants that influence the purchase of ginseng products. This study finds the followings. First, the economic factor is an important determinant of ginseng products purchase. The average daily expenditure has a greater impact on ginseng products purchase than household income does. Even though the average daily expenditure is high, they tend to buy less ginseng products when they prefer other products. Second, demographically, gender and age are also important determinants of ginseng products purchase. It has been found that elderly male consumers are more likely to buy ginseng products. Third, international consumers for leisure purposes have a higher probability of buying ginseng products than tourism consumers for other purposes do. Finally, destination attributes such as security (safety), ease of use of mobile/Internet, and ease of finding directions are also important factors affecting ginseng products purchase. In addition, it is found that the convenience of using the mobile/Internet, the ease of finding directions, and the convenience of shopping increase the probability of buying ginseng products by international consumers. This study is meaningful in that it explored the determinants of ginseng products purchase by analyzing individual consumers' ginseng products choices.

A study on the improvement of optical, structural properties and environmental stability of ZnS optical thin films prepared by ion-assisted deposition (이온 보조 증착에 의한 ZnS 광학 박막의 광학적, 구조적 특성과 환경적 안정성 개선에 관한 연구)

  • 김형근;반승일;김석원;한성홍
    • Korean Journal of Optics and Photonics
    • /
    • v.8 no.1
    • /
    • pp.37-41
    • /
    • 1997
  • The optical property, the environmental stability and the crystallization of ZnS thin films prepared by ion-assisted deposition (IAD) were investigated and compared with those of conventional electron-beam deposited thin films. The humidity(R.H. 85%) test and the thermal(15$0^{\circ}C$) show that the IAD films have relatively higher refractive index, smaller extinction coefficient and environmentally more stable than the conventional films. It is believed to originate from the reduced adsorption of moisture which reflect the increased packing density and the improved microstructure by ion bombardment. XRD experiments also confirm that conventionally grown films have an amorphous in comparison with the crystalline structured IAD films.

  • PDF

Equity Analysis of Feeder Bus Routes in Seoul using DEA(Data Envelopment Analysis) Model (DEA(Data Envelopment Analysis) 모형을 이용한 서울시 지선버스노선의 형평성 분석)

  • Han, Jin-Seok;Kim, Hye-Ran;Go, Seung-Yeong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.29 no.2
    • /
    • pp.15-24
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study discusses an equity analysis performed to supplement the existing bus service evaluation system. The equity of 179 feeder bus routes in the city of Seoul(Year 2009) is analyzed by employing the modified BCC model along with the desirable inputs such as a number of bus stops and a frequency of operations. In the analysis, each DMU (Decision Making Unit) is assumed to use the desirable inputs, and produces both the index of equity and the index of accessibility. We apply an input-oriented modified BCC model to analyze the equity of the DMUs. The computational result indicates that only 9% of the feeder bus routes are equitable among the total DMUs and the average equity estimate is 0.702. It is also suggested that on average approximately 60% increases of desirable inputs (i.e., a number of bus stops and a frequency of operations) are needed in order to improve equity of DMU in the city of Seoul. The result of the tobit regression analysis on the determinant factors affecting the equity of DMUs shows that all the independent variables (i.e., a number of bus stops and a frequency of operations) are statistically significant at 5% significance level, and the number of bus stops is found to be the most influential factor.

Development of Pre-Environmental Investigation GIS Decision Making System Using Spatial Analysis Technique (공간분석기술을 활용한 사전환경성 검토 GIS 의사결정시스템 개발)

  • Kim, Sang Seok;Jang, Yong Gu;Kang, In Joon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.26 no.1D
    • /
    • pp.185-193
    • /
    • 2006
  • The on-going pre-environmental investigation at present is performed by separate numerical analysis of each provision which makes integrated pre-environmental investigation is difficult. The application of numerical data is insufficient, which results to the deterioration of environmental investigation result's objectivity. A lot of time and money is required for the investigation. In this study, the spacial analysis function of GIS was applied on the 8 pre-environmental investigation factors. Pre-environmental investigation GIS DMS(Decision Making System) was constructed to make integrated investigation possible through the use of investigation results for each factor. Through the use of the developed pre-environmental investigation GIS DMS and the pre-constructed GIS data, the objectivity of environmental investigation is sufficient and time and cost are reduced. Therefore, this system can be used for pre-environmental investigation during route selection in the initial stages of road construction. Through the numerical and visual data obtained from the system developed in this paper, it is easier to gain the approval of the public. Furthermore, environmental problems due to road construction can be investigated with less time and money during the initial stages of road construction.