• Title/Summary/Keyword: 강우자료

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SWAT model calibration/validation using SWAT-CUP III: multi-site and multi-variable model analysis (SWAT-CUP을 이용한 SWAT 모형 검·보정 III: 다중 관측 지점 및 변수를 고려한 분석)

  • Cho, Younghyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.12
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    • pp.1143-1157
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    • 2020
  • In this study, a criteria for the SWAT model calibration method in SWAT-CUP which considers multi-site and multi-variable observations was presented. For its application, the SWAT model was simulated using long-term observed flow, soil moisture, and evapotranspiration data in Yongdam study watershed, investigating the hydrological runoff characteristics and water balance in the water cycle analysis. The model was calibrated with different parameter values for each sub-watershed in order to reflect the characteristics of multiple observations through one-by-one calibration, appropriate settings of model simulation run/iteration number (1,000 simulation runs in the first iteration and then 500 simulation runs for the following iterations), and executions of partial and all run in SWAT-CUP. The flow simulation results of watershed outlet point, ENS 0.85, R2 0.87, and PBIAS -7.6%, were compared with the analysis results (ENS 0.52, R2 0.54, and PBIAS -22.4%) applied in the other batch (i.e., non one-by-one) calibration approach and showed better performances of proposed method. From the simulation results of a total of 15 years, it was found that the total runoff (streamflow) and evapotranspiration rates from precipitation are 53 and 39%, and the ratio of surface runoff and baseflow (i.e., sum of lateral and return flow, and recharge deep aquifer) are 35 and 65%, respectively, in Yongdam watershed. In addition, the analytical amount of available water (i.e., water yield), including the total annual streamflow (daily average 21.8 m3/sec) is 6.96 billion m3 per year (about 540 to 900 mm for sub-watersheds).

A decision-centric impact assessment of operational performance of the Yongdam Dam, South Korea (용담댐 기존운영에 대한 의사결정중심 기후변화 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Daeha;Kim, Eunhee;Lee, Seung Cheol;Kim, Eunji;Shin, June
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.3
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    • pp.205-215
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    • 2022
  • Amidst the global climate crisis, dam operation policies formulated under the stationary climate assumption could lead to unsatisfactory water management. In this work, we assessed status-quo performance of the Yongdam Dam in Korea under various climatic stresses in flood risk reduction and water supply reliability for 2021-2040. To this end, we employed a decision-centric framework equipped with a stochastic weather generator, a conceptual streamflow model, and a machine-learning reservoir operation rule. By imposing 294 climate perturbations to dam release simulations, we found that the current operation rule of the Yongdam dam could redundantly secure water storage, while inefficiently enhancing the supply reliability. On the other hand, flood risks were likely to increase substantially due to rising mean and variability of daily precipitation. Here, we argue that the current operation rules of the Yongdam Dam seem to be overly focused on securing water storage, and thus need to be adjusted to efficiently improve supply reliability and reduce flood risks in downstream areas.

Development and run time assessment of the GPU accelerated technique of a 2-Dimensional model for high resolution flood simulation in wide area (광역 고해상도 홍수모의를 위한 2차원 모형의 GPU 가속기법 개발 및 실행시간 평가)

  • Choi, Yun Seok;Noh, Hui Seong;Choi, Cheon Kyu
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.12
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    • pp.991-998
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to develop GPU (Graphics Processing Unit) acceleration technique for 2-dimensional model and to assess the effectiveness for high resolution flood simulation in wide area In this study, GPU acceleration technique was implemented in the G2D (Grid based 2-Dimensional land surface flood model) model, using implicit scheme and uniform square grid, by using CUDA. The technique was applied to flood simulation in Jinju-si. The spatial resolution of the simulation domain is 10 m × 10 m, and the number of cells to calculate is 5,090,611. Flood period by typhoon Mitag, December 2019, was simulated. Rainfall radar data was applied to source term and measured discharge of Namgang-Dam (Ilryu-moon) and measured stream flow of Jinju-si (Oksan-gyo) were applied to boundary conditions. From this study, 2-dimensional flood model could be implemented to reproduce the measured water level in Nam-gang (Riv.). The results of GPU acceleration technique showed more faster flood simulation than the serial and parallel simulation using CPU (Central Processing Unit). This study can contribute to the study of developing GPU acceleration technique for 2-dimensional flood model using implicit scheme and simulating land surface flood in wide area.

Review for Assessment Methodology of Disaster Prevention Performance using Scientometric Analysis (계량정보 분석을 활용한 방재성능평가 방법에 대한 고찰)

  • Dong Hyun Kim;Hyung Ju Yoo;Seung Oh Lee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2022
  • The rainfall characteristics such as heavy rains are changing differently from the past, and uncertainties are also greatly increasing due to climate change. In addition, urban development and population concentration are aggravating flood damage. Since the causes of urban inundation are generally complex, it is very important to establish an appropriate flood prevention plan. Thus, the government in Korea is establishing standards for disaster prevention performance for each local government. Since the concept of the disaster prevention performance target was first presented in 2010, the setting standards have changed several times, but the overall technology, methodology, and procedures have been maintained. Therefore, in this study, studies and technologies related to urban disaster prevention performance were reviewed using the scientometric analysis method to review them. This analysis is a method of identifying trends in the field and deriving new knowledge and information based on data such as papers and literature. In this study, papers related to the disaster prevention performance of the Web of Science for the last 30 years from 1990 to 2021 were collected. Citespace, scientometric software, was used to identify authors, research institutes, countries, and research trends, including citation analysis. As a result of the analysis, consideration factors such as the the concept of asset evaluation were identified when making decisions related to urban disaster prevention performance. In the future, it is expected that prevention performance standards and procedures can be upgraded if the keywords are specified and the review of each technology is conducted.

Modeling of Dam collapse using PMF and MCE conditions (PMF 및 MCE조건을 적용한 댐 붕괴 모델링)

  • Lee, Dong Hyeok;Jun, Kye Won;Lee, Byung Dae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.368-368
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    • 2020
  • 최근 초대형화 되어 나타나고 있는 이상홍수와 지진 등에 의한 저수지 붕괴와 같은 대규모 비상상황 발생으로 하류지역 주민의 생명과 재산의 피해가 발생하고 있다. 국내의 경우 1996년 이후로 지속적으로 발생하고 있는 이상홍수로 인해 1998년에는 40개,1999년에는 5개의 소규모 저수지가 붕괴되었으며 최근 2013년과 2014년에도 저수지가 붕괴되는 상황이 발생했다. 댐붕괴의 원인은 구조물의 자연적 노화, 극심한 강우나 홍수, 지진, 제체전도, 파이핑, 침윤발생, 월류 및 파랑 등에 의한 자연적 상황 등이 요인이 될 수 있으며, 시공결함, 사고 또는 전쟁과 같은 인위적인 요인으로 발생할 수도 있다. 과거에 설계 및 시공기술이 부족하였거나 경제적인 이유로 부실하게 건설되어 있는 댐이 세계적으로 산재되어 있어 잠재적인 위험을 상당수 내재하고 있는 실정이다. 본연구는 댐의 점진적인 파괴에 의해 발생하는 유출수문곡선을 구하고 파괴의 성질을 예측 및 홍수파를 수리학적으로 추적하기위해 BREACH 모형과 DAMBRK 모형을 사용했으며 극한홍수(PMF)조건과와 최대지진발생(MCE)조건을 적용하여 원주시 관내 저수지 붕괴 모의 시나리오를 구축했다. 저수지 붕괴에 따른 유출수문곡선을 유도하기 위해서 본 연구에서는 기존의 EAP보고서 자료를 참고하여 붕괴지속시간, 붕괴부 평균폭, 붕괴부 측벽면 경사의 변화에 따라 다양한 모의를 수행함으로써 발생되는 붕괴부 유량 수문곡선을 도출하여 각각의 조건들이 붕괴파 형성에 미치는 영향에 대한 분석을 실시하였다. 그 결과 저수지의 붕괴시 첨두유출량에 민감한 영향을 주는 인자는 붕괴지속시간과, 붕괴부 평균폭으로서 이들 값이 붕괴유출량 변화에 많은 영향을 주는 것으로 나타났다. 최대지진발생(MCE)조건 해석결과 홍수류의 범람으로 인해 홍수파가 하류측으로 진행할수록 완만히 감소하며, 하천 중·상류부 인근 제내지로 홍수류의 범람이 발생하는 것으로 검토되었으며, 극한홍수(PMF)조건 해석결과 최대지진발생(MCE)조건과 같이 홍수파가 하류측으로 진행할수록 완만히 감소하는 특성을 보이며, 하천 전체 구간에서 인근제내지로 홍수류의 범람이 발생하는 것으로 검토되었다. 본 연구는 침수구역 피해규모 산정 및 비상대처계획도를 작성시 기초데이터가 되어 상황별 피해예상지역에 대해 응급행동요령, 주민대피계획비상대처계획을 수립하여 지역 주민생활에 안정을 기여하고자 한다.

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An Analysis of the usage unit area by estimating usage of agricultural groundwater wells (농업용관정의 사용량추정을 통한 단위면적당 사용량 분석)

  • Jeon, Ju Young;Oh, Jun Oh;Jun, Sang Mi;Lee, Jong Jin
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.67-67
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    • 2020
  • 일반적으로 농업용수 이용량은 기후, 토양, 지역별 재배 특성 등에 따라 다양하게 나타날 수 있으며, 용수공급 계획을 위해 수요량 추정방법을 이용하고 있다. 농업용수 수요량은 논과 밭 등에서 작물 재배에 필요한 용수량이라 정의할 수 있으며, 구체적으로는 작물 재배에 소요되는 전체 용수량에서 강우에 의해 공급되는 양을 제외한 수량으로 볼 수 있다. 현재 농업용수 수요량의 추정 방법은 현장에서 직접 실측하는 방법, 대표 작물을 대상으로 계측한 후 일반화 하는 방법, 증발산 이론에 의하여 추정하는 방법 등으로 구분 되며, 최근 광역적인 분석으로 증발산 이론에 의한 추정 방법을 주로 사용하고 있다. 농업용 지하수 이용은 국내 지하수 이용량의 51%를 차지하고 있어 보다 적확한 농업용 지하수 사용량조사는 지하수의 효율적 정책 추진을 위하여 중요하다. 본 연구의 목적은 현장조사로 수집한 자료를 이용해 각 조사지역의 사용량을 추정하고 월별사용량 및 단위면적당 사용량을 분석하는 것이다. 조사지역은 창녕함안보(오천리, 성산리), 합천창녕보(율지리), 달성보(좌학리, 위천리), 구미보(궁기리)이고, 지하수사용량을 분석하기 위해 유량계(계량기) 검침, 전력사용량 검침, 수중모터펌프 가동시간을 이용하였으며, 조사기간은 2018년 12월 부터 2020년 02월 까지 이다. 농업용관정 조사시 실제 지하수를 사용하는 면적(ha)도 같이 조사해, 월별 지하수사용량에 실제사용면적(ha)을 나누어 면적당 지하수사용량으로 분석하였다. 조사결과 창녕함안보 오천리는 20,956㎥/mon/ha, 창녕함안보 성산리는 19,911㎥/mon/ha, 합천창녕보 율지리는 3,648㎥/mon/ha, 달성보 좌학리는 2,417㎥/mon/ha, 달성보 위천리는 3,546㎥/mon/ha, 구미보 궁기리는 619㎥/mon/ha로 분석되었다. 수막재배가 많은 창녕함안보가 지하수사용량이 가장 많았으며, 구미보의 경우 지하수사용량이 가장 적은 것으로 분석되었다. 월별 지하수 사용량을 살펴보면 2019년 01월 ~ 02월 보다 2020년 01월 ~ 02월의 평균 지하수 사용량이 793㎥/mon/ha 적게 분석되었고, 평균기온은 2019년 01월에 0.3℃, 2020년 1월은 2.6℃로 2.3℃ 높다. 이는 겨울철 지하수 사용량에 영향을 주었다고 판단된다. 겨울철 지하수 사용량차이는 재배작물과 겨울철 기온차이가 원인으로 판단되며, 다년간 지하수사용량과 기온을 조사할 필요가 있다.

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The Long-Run Relation of Public Debt and Fiscal Balance to Government Bond Rates: An Empirical Study on the Validity of Modern Monetary Theory (국가부채 및 재정수지와 국채이자율의 장기적 관계: 현대화폐이론 검증을 중심으로)

  • Kangwoo Park
    • Analyses & Alternatives
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.181-230
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    • 2023
  • Evaluating the empirical validity of Modern Monetary Theory, this study implements panel cointegration analysis on annual panel data (2000-2022) of OECD countries. Specifically, the sample countries are divided into groups based on the presence of their own sovereign currencies, and for each group, the long-run equilibrium relation (cointegration) between the ratio of public debt or fiscal deficit and government bond rates is tested and estimated. Main findings are as follows: applying the pooled mean-group estimation for panel cointegration, it is found that both the ratios of public debt and fiscal deficit have significantly positive long-run correlation with government bond rates in countries without sovereign currency such as the Euro-zone or fixed exchange rate regime countries. However, in countries with sovereign currency such as non-Euro-zone or floating exchange rate regime countries, the long-run correlation is either negative or not statistically significant. Particularly, in countries without sovereign currency, the ratio of public debt has significantly positive correlation with the real government bond rates in the short run as well as the long run. These results are consistent with the prediction of Modern Monetary Theory, thus providing a supporting evidence for the empirical validity of the theory.

Removal Efficiency of Non-point Source Pollutants through Constructed Wetland: Case Study of Annaecheon Wetland in Daecheong Reservoir (인공습지를 이용한 호소 유입 비점오염물질 제거 효율 평가: 대청호 안내천 습지 사례 분석)

  • Pyeol-Nim Park;Young-Cheol Cho
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.291-304
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    • 2023
  • Harmful algal blooms (HABs) have become an increasing concern in terms of human health risks as well as aesthetic impairment due to their toxicity. The reduction of water pollutants, especially nutrients from non-point sources in a reservoir watershed, is fundamental for HABs prevention. We investigated the pollutant removal efficiencies of a constructed wetland to evaluate its feasibility as a method for controlling non-point sources located in the Annaecheon stream within the Daecheong Reservoir watershed. The overall removal efficiencies of pollutants were as follows: BOD 14.3%, COD 17.9%, SS 50.0%, T-N 19.0%, and T-P 35.4%. These results indicate that constructed wetlands are effective in controlling pollutants from non-point sources. The seasonal variation in removal efficiency depended on the specific pollutants. The removal efficiencies of BOD, COD, and T-N were stable throughout the year, except during winter, which might have been influenced by lower microorganism activity. In contrast, T-P showed a consistent removal efficiency even during the winter season, suggesting that the wetland can reduce external phosphorus loading to the reservoir. Regarding the effects of pollutant loadings on removal efficiency, the effluent concentrations of all pollutants were significantly decreased compared to those in the influent in case of middle and high loadings. This demonstrates that constructed wetlands can handle high pollutant loads, including the initial runoff during rainfall, to prevent reservoir eutrophication. Despite the various strengths of wetland water purification, there are limitations as passive treatment. Therefore, more case studies should be conducted to suggest optimum operational conditions for constructed wetlands, taking into consideration reservoir-specific characteristics.

Numerical simulation of flood water level in a small mountain stream considering cross-section blocking and riverbed changes - A case study of Shingwangcheon stream in Pohang before and after Typhoon Hinnamnor flood (단면 폐색과 하상 변화를 고려한 산지 중소하천의 홍수위 수치모의 - 태풍 힌남노 전후의 포항 신광천을 사례로 -)

  • Lee, Chanjoo;Jang, Eun-kyung;Ahn, Sunggi;Kang, Woochul
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.56 no.12
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    • pp.837-844
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    • 2023
  • Small and medium-sized mountain rivers that flow through steep, confined valleys carry large amounts of coarse-grained sediment and woody debris during floods. It causes an increase in flood water level by aggrading the riverbed and the cross-section blockage due to driftwood accumulation during flooding. However, the existing flood level calculation in the river basic plan does not consider these changes. In this study, using the Typhoon Hinnamnor flood in September 2022 as an example, we performed numerical simulations using the HEC-RAS model, taking into account the blockage of a cross-section at the bridge and changes in riverbed elevation that occurred during floods, and analyzed the flood level to predict flood risk. This study's results show that flooding occurs if more than 30% of the cross-section is blocked. The rise of flood water levels corresponds to that of the riverbed due to sediment deposition. These results can be used as basic data to prevent and effectively manage flood damage and contribute to establishing flood defense measures that consider actual phenomena.

Influence of Chinese International Students' Family Strengths on Social Networking Services Addiction Tendency: Focusing on the Mediating Effect of Ego Resilience (중국 유학생의 가족건강성이 SNS 중독경향성에 미치는 영향: 자아탄력성의 매개효과를 중심으로)

  • JIANG, YUJING;Park, Jeoungyun
    • Journal of Family Resource Management and Policy Review
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.19-33
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the mediating effect of ego resilience on the relationship between family strengths of Chinese international students and Social Networking Services(SNS) addiction tendency. The data were collected through a survey of 349 Chinese international students studying in Korea and analyzed using the SPSS Statistics version 28 program and SPSS Process Macro 4.3. The main results are as follows. First, Chinese international students exhibited higher-than-average levels of SNS addiction tendency, family strengths, and ego resilience. Second, the SNS addiction tendency of Chinese international students had a significant positive correlation with the average time spend on SNS per day. while demonstrating a negative correlation with family strengths and ego resilience. Third, the hierarchical regression analysis revelated that gender, frequency of contact with family, average time spend on SNS per day, qualitative bond as a sub variable of family strengths, and control as a sub variables of ego resilience were significant factors influencing SNS addiction tendency of Chinese international students. Fourth, the study confirmed the complete mediation of ego resilience in the effect of family strengths on SNS addiction tendency. Based on the research results, this study suggested specific directions for counseling interventions aimed at mitigating SNS addiction tendencies among Chinese international students.