• Title/Summary/Keyword: 강수변동률

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Groundwater Recharge Evaluation on Yangok-ri Area of Hongseong Using a Distributed Hydrologic Model (VELAS) (분포형 수문모형(VELAS)을 이용한 홍성 양곡리 일대 지하수 함양량 평가)

  • Ha, Kyoochul;Park, Changhui;Kim, Sunghyun;Shin, Esther;Lee, Eunhee
    • Economic and Environmental Geology
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.161-176
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    • 2021
  • In this study, one of the distributed hydrologic models, VELAS, was used to analyze the variation of hydrologic elements based on water balance analysis to evaluate the groundwater recharge in more detail than the annual time scale for the past and future. The study area is located in Yanggok-ri, Seobu-myeon, Hongseong-gun, Chungnam-do, which is very vulnerable to drought. To implement the VELAS model, spatial characteristic data such as digital elevation model (DEM), vegetation, and slope were established, and GIS data were constructed through spatial interpolation on the daily air temperature, precipitation, average wind speed, and relative humidity of the Korea Meteorological Stations. The results of the analysis showed that annual precipitation was 799.1-1750.8 mm, average 1210.7 mm, groundwater recharge of 28.8-492.9 mm, and average 196.9 mm over the past 18 years from 2001 to 2018 in the study area. Annual groundwater recharge rate compared to annual precipitation was from 3.6 to 28.2% with a very large variation and average 14.9%. By the climate change RCP 8.5 scenario, the annual precipitation from 2019 to 2100 was 572.8-1996.5 mm (average 1078.4 mm) and groundwater recharge of 26.7-432.5 mm (average precipitation 16.2%). The annual groundwater recharge rates in the future were projected from 2.8% to 45.1%, 18.2% on average. The components that make up the water balance were well correlated with precipitation, especially in the annual data rather than the daily data. However, the amount of evapotranspiration seems to be more affected by other climatic factors such as temperature. Groundwater recharge in more detailed time scale rather than annual scale is expected to provide basic data that can be used for groundwater development and management if precipitation are severely varied by time, such as droughts or floods.

Climate Change during the recent 10 years in Korea (한반도 최근 10년 기후특성)

  • Kwon, Won-Tae;Boo, Kyung-On;Heo, In-Hye
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.278-280
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    • 2007
  • 우리나라는 지난 94년간 1.5도 상승하여 전지구 온난화추세를 상회하였다. 기온뿐만 아니라 강수량 역시 변화하였는데 변동폭이 크기는 하나 장기적으로 증가하는 경향으로 20세기초에 비해 상대적으로 기온이 높고 강수량도 많은 특성을 보인다. 평균적인 기후변화추이와 더불어 특히 최근 10년($1996{\sim}2005$년)은 1850년 이후 지구평균기온이 가장 높았던 기간으로, 세계적으로 열파, 홍수, 가뭄, 태풍 등 기상이변에 의한 인명과 재산 피해, 생물종의 멸종 등 사회경제적 피해가 막대하였다. 우리나라 역시 폭염, 호우등의 빈번한 출현으로 급격해지는 온난화추세 영향을 반영하였는데 이러한 기후 변화양상을 파악하기 위하여 우리나라의 최근 10년간 기후 특성과 계절별 현상일수의 변화를 분석하였다. 최근 10년(1996-2005년) 우리나라 기후변화의 특성을 보면 우리나라(15개 관측지점자료)는 평균기온이 과거 30년$(1971{\sim}2000)$ 평균대비 $0.6^{\circ}C$ 상승하였다. 계절별로 봄은 평년대비 $0.7^{\circ}C$, 여름은 $0.4^{\circ}C$, 가을은 $0.6^{\circ}C$, 겨울은 $0.7^{\circ}C$ 상승하여 봄과 겨울의 상승폭이 가장 크다. 연강수량은 30년 평균대비 최근 10년 강수량은 11% 증가하였고 특히 여름은 증가폭이 가장 커서 18% 증가하였다. 계절에 따라 다양한 기상현상의 변화도 나타났다. 3월 이후에 나타나는 늦서리의 종료일은 평균적으로 3월 말경에 나타났는데 최근 10년에는 3월 중순으로 2주 앞당겨졌고 이 추세는 특히 1993년 이후 뚜렷하다. 늦서리의 발생일수도 평균 4일 정도 줄었다. 일평균기온 $20^{\circ}C$이상인 날은 평년에 비해 최근 10년 동안 약 2일 증가하여 여름 시작시기가 빨라지고 있음을 알 수 있다. 일최저기온이 25도 이상인 열대야는 평년대비 최근 10년간 연간발생일수가 1.3일 증가하였으나 일최고기온 $35^{\circ}C$ 이상인 날의 수는 오히려 감소하는 경향을 보인다. 이것은 여름철 강수량이 증가하고, 호우발생빈도, 특히 8월의 강수일수가 증가하고 있다는 것과 밀접한 관련이 있다. 여름과 가을에 우리나라에 영향을 미치는 태풍의 수는 뚜렷한 추세를 보이지 않으나, 2002년 루사, 2003년 매미로 인하여 각각 6조원, 4조원 이상의 막대한 피해가 발생하였다. 태풍에 의한 피해액은 GDP 대비 약 0.9%(태풍 루사)로 최근 경제상장률과 비교해 보면, 상당한 비율을 차지한다. 우리나라에 영향을 미치는 태풍은 연근해의 해수면 온도가 높아지면 세기가 강해질 가능성이 높다. 폭설과 한파일수도 평년대비 최근 10년 감소하였고 일최저기온이 영하 $10^{\circ}C$ 이하인 날도 연간 발생일수가 감소하였다. 최근 10년간 우리나라 기후의 변화특성은 기온상승과 더불어 서리종료일이 앞당겨지고 열대야가 증가하고 폭설, 한파, 겨울철 일최저기온 영하 10도 이하인 날의 감소 등이 나타나고, 여름철 재해의 원인인 호우일수는 증가하는 추세이다. 앞으로 지구온난화는 가속화될 것으로 전망되고 이로 인한 피해규모도 커질 것으로 예상된다. 최근 우리나라에서 나타나는 기후변화의 추이를 감안할 때, 기후변화에 대한 장기적인 대비책을 마련하여 이로 인한 부정적인 영향을 감소시키기 위하여 국가차원의 체계적인 대응이 필요하다.

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A Comparative Study on the Drought Indices for Drought Evaluation (가뭄평가를 위한 가뭄지수의 비교 연구)

  • Ryu, Jae-Hea;Lee, Dong-Ryul;Ahn, Jae-Hyun;Yoon, Yong-Nam
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.35 no.4 s.129
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    • pp.397-410
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    • 2002
  • In order to quantitatively identify historical drought conditions and to evaluate their variability, drought indices commonly used. The calculation method for the drought index based on the principal hydrological factors, such as precipitation and reservoir storage, can estimate the duration and intensity of a drought. In this study the Palmer-type formula for drought index is derived for the Nakdong River basin by analyzing the monthly rainfall and meteorological data at 21 stations. The Palmer Drought Severity Index(PDSI) is used for dry land sectors to evaluate the meteorological anomaly in terms of an index which permits time and space comparisons of drought severity. The Surface Water Supply Index(SWSI) is devised for the use in conjunction with the Palmer index to provide an objective indicator of water supply conditions in Nakdong River basin. The SWSI was designed to quantify surface water supply capability of a watershed which depends on river and reservoir water The Standardized Precipitation Index(SPI) is evaluated for various time periods of 1 to 12 months in Nakdong River basin. For the purpose of comparison between drought indices correlation coefficient was calculated between indices and appropriate SPI time period was selected as 10 months for Nakdong River basin. A comparative study is made to evaluate the relative severity of the significant droughts occurred in Nakdong River basin since 1976. It turned out that $'94{\sim}'97$ drought was the worst drought in it's severity. It is found that drought indices are very useful tools in quantitatively evaluating the severity of a drought over a river basin.

Usefulness of Median Modified Wiener Filter Algorithm for Noise Reduction in Liver Cirrhosis Ultrasound Image (간경변 초음파 영상에서의 노이즈 제거를 위한 Median Modified Wiener Filter 알고리즘의 유용성)

  • Seung-Yeon Kim;Soo-Min Kang;Youngjin Lee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.911-917
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    • 2023
  • The method of observing nodular changes on the liver surface using clinical ultrasonography is useful for diagnosing cirrhosis. However, the speckle noise that inevitably occurs in ultrasound images makes it difficult to identify changes in the liver surface and echo patterns, which has a negative impact on the diagnosis of cirrhosis. The purpose of this study is to model the median modified Wiener filter (MMWF), which can efficiently reduce noise in cirrhotic ultrasound images, and confirm its applicability. Ultrasound images were acquired using an ACR phantom and an actual cirrhotic patient, and the proposed MMWF algorithm and conventional noise reduction algorithm were applied to each image. Coefficient of variation (COV) and edge rise distance (ERD) were used as quantitative image quality evaluation factors for the acquired ultrasound images. We confirmed that the MMWF algorithm improved both COV and ERD values compared to the conventional noise reduction algorithm in both ACR phantom and real ultrasound images of cirrhotic patients. In conclusion, the proposed MMWF algorithm is expected to contribute to improving the diagnosis rate of cirrhosis patients by reducing the noise level and improving spatial resolution at the same time.

Climatic Characteristics of August and Summer of 2007 and Long Term Trend of August and Summer Climate (한반도의 2007년 8월과 2007년 여름의 기후특성 및 8월과 여름의 장기 기후변화)

  • Shin, Im Chul;Kim, Tae Ryong;Lee, Eun-Jung;Kim, Eun-Hee;Kim, Eun Suk;Park, Yeon Ok;Bae, Sun-Hee;Yi, Hi-Il
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.471-481
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    • 2007
  • Temperature and precipitation, particularly August and summer, in the Korean peninsular are analyzed. The analyzed period is 1973-2007 for the Korean peninsular (that is, 60 meteorological station average). In addition, 100 year record (1908-2007) of temperature and precipitation in Seoul are also analyzed. Results indicate that the temperatures (mean, maximun, and minimum) of August and summer of 2007, both in Korean peninsular and Seoul, are higher than normal. The increasing rate of minimum temperature for the August and summer during the period from 1973 to 2007 shows greater than the mean and maximum temperature both in Korean peninsular and Seoul due to the global warming and urbanization. Number of tropical night days, defined by the days with above $25^{\circ}C$ in minimum temperature, shows increasing trend both in August and summer from 1973 to 2007 due to the combination effect of the global warming and urbanization. The amount of precipitation, both in August and summer, for Korean peninsular and Seoul shows increasing trend from 1973 to 2007, and 1908 to 2007, respectively. Amount of precipitation and rainy days, both August and summer, during 2000s show greater than those of the 1970s both in Korean peninsular and Seoul. Extreme rainy days (greater than 120mm/day, greater than 80mm/day, greater than 30mm in any 1-hour period and greater than 10mm in any 10-minute period) show increasing trend from 1973 to 2007 for both in August and in summer.