• Title/Summary/Keyword: 강설 분포

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Estimation of Frequency Based Snowfall Depth and Maximum Snowfall Depth in 2010, Korea (한반도 확률적설량 산정과 2010년 최심신적설량 빈도해석)

  • Kim, Yon-Soo;Park, Moo-Jong;Kim, Soo-Jun;Moon, Ki-Ho;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2010.05a
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    • pp.1476-1480
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    • 2010
  • 최근에 한반도에 발생한 강설은 국민생활의 교통장애와 같은 생활의 불편함뿐만 아니라 농축산업의 광범위한 피해를 발생시키고 있다. 이번 2010년 1월 서울에는 40년만에 최대 적설량을 기록하였고 교통 및 도시 기능이 마비되는 등의 피해가 발생하였다. 본 연구에서는 기상청 산하 61개 지점 최심신적설량을 이용하였으며, 최근 적설량의 확률빈도규모를 고려하여 빈도별 확률적설량을 산정하고 확률적설량도를 작성하였다. 확률분포형은 확률가중모멘트법(PWM)을 이용하였고 적정분포형으로는 Gamma 2변수를 선정하였으며, 과거 적설량 자료를 검토한바 2004년, 2005년의 최심신적설량 극값은 평균 300년 빈도, 이번 2010년 1월 서울은 약 200년, 인천, 수원, 이천은 약 50년, 춘천은 약 30년 빈도인 것으로 분석되었다. 이러한 연구 결과는 적설량에 따른 방재 기준의 개선방안 및 재설정 방향 제시에 기초자료로 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

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Statistical frequency analysis of snow depth using mixed distributions (혼합분포함수를 적용한 최심신적설량에 대한 수문통계학적 빈도분석)

  • Park, Kyung Woon;Kim, Dongwook;Shin, Ji Yae;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.12
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    • pp.1001-1009
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    • 2019
  • Due to recent increasing heavy snow in Korea, the damage caused by heavy snow is also increasing. In Korea, there are many efforts including establishing disaster prevention measures to reduce the damage throughout the country, but it is difficult to establish the design criteria due to the characteristics of heavy snow. In this study, snowfall frequency analysis was performed to estimate design snow depths using observed snow depth data at Jinju, Changwon and Hapcheon stations. The conventional frequency analysis is sometime limted to apply to the snow depth data containing zero values which produce unrealistc estimates of distributon parameters. To overcome this problem, this study employed mixed distributions based on Lognormal, Generalized Pareto (GP), Generalized Extreme Value (GEV), Gamma, Gumbel and Weibull distribution. The results show that the mixed distributions produced smaller design snow depths than single distributions, which indicated that the mixed distributions are applicable and practical to estimate design snow depths.

Rainfall-intensity distribution for an analysis of the effects of rain attenuation (강우감쇠의 영향 분석을 위한 국내 각 지역의 강우강도 분포)

  • 이형수;신철호
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.1006-1015
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    • 1998
  • In general, attenuation at frequencies over 20GHz is mainly due to absorption by satmospheric gases, rain, and snow. Among this factors rain become an important limiting factor. Rain attenuation is highly influenced by rainfall-intensity and it varies over time and space. Thus it is requeired to obtain spatial and temporal data of rainfall-intensity for precise prediction of rainfall attenuation. In this paper, rainfall intensity of thiry-two measurement sites in South Korea excluding JeiJdo Islands over recent ten years is obtained and the regional relation between rainfall-intensity and percent of time is analyzed. Also we present the new method about rainfall-intensity cumulative distribution.

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The Correlation between Groundwater Level and GOI considering Snowmelt Effect and Critical Infiltration in Ssangchun Watershed (융설효과와 한계침투량을 고려한 쌍천유역의 지하수위와 GOI의 상관관계)

  • Yang, Jeong-Seok;Park, Jae-Hyeon;Choi, Yong-Sun;Park, Chang-Kun;Jeong, Gyo-Cheol
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.194-199
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    • 2006
  • 쌍천유역의 강수량과 지하수위의 관계를 분석한 결과 융설효과를 확인하였고 갈수기에 지하수위가 현저히 저하됨을 확인하였다. 쌍천유역의 지하수위와 GOI의 상관관계를 분석한 결과 70일 이동평균값을 이용한 GOI가 가장 높은 상관관계를 보여주었다. 융설효과를 고려하기 위해서 먼저 유역의 DEM 자료를 이용하여 100m 간격으로 고도별 면적분포를 구하고 기온이 100m당 $0.5^{\circ}C$씩 감소하는 것을 고려하여 강수사상이 발생하면 $0^{\circ}C$ 이하가 되는 고도에서는 강설사상이 발생하는 것으로 가정하였다. 이 때 고도별 면적분포에서 구해지는 면적비를 고려하여 강수사상을 강우와 강설로 나누었다. 이후에 고도를 고려한 기온이 $0^{\circ}C$ 이상인 날에 그 고도의 설적이 모두 녹는 것으로 가정하였고 강우가 발생한 것으로 처리하였다. 유역평균 일최대침투량을 알아내기 위하여 강수량자료를 일정값 이상은 고정하여 수정된 강수량자료로 70일 이동평균값을 구하고 이 값들과 지하수위와의 상관관계를 분석해 본 결과 40mm가 일최대침투량으로 가정하였을 때 가장 높은 상관관계를 보여주었다. 쌍천유역의 경우 40mm가 한계침투량이다. 이렇게 수정된 강수자료를 이용하여 이동평균을 구하여 지하수위와의 상관관계를 구해본 결과 쌍천유역의 2003년부터 2005년까지 2개년 자료에 대해서 융설을 고려했을 때 상관관계가 더 높아짐을 알 수 있고 한계침투량을 고려했을 때도 상관관계가 더 높아짐을 알 수 있으며 융설효과와 한계침투량을 동시에 고려했을 경우에 가장 높은 상관관계를 얻을 수 있었다.$2.8g/cm^3$로 가정했을 때, 경상분지의 화강암류의 압력평균값이 약 $0.73{\sim}3.16kbar$의 범위를 가졌고, 경상분지내 백악기 화강암류의 정치 깊이는 $2.6{\sim}11.4km$범위를 가졌다. 이는 경상분지 화강암류에 대해 유추된 기존의 정성적인 생각과 일치한다는 것을 알 수 있었고, 각섬석의 $Al^T$함량을 이용한 여러 경험적, 실험적인 압력계가 많은 제한점이 있지만 경상분지의 백악기 불국사화강암류에는 정성적으로 유효함을 알 수 있었다. 우리는 최종적으로 경상분지내 백악기 화강암류는 천부관입 암체이고 노출된 화강암류가 천부지각이라는 것을 알 수 있었다. 것이 아니라 낙관적 예측을 수행하는 경향이 있음을 발견할 수 있었다.원밭, 화산회밭으로 6개 유형으로 분류할 경우 각각의 분포면적은 41.9%, 23.3%, 17.5%, 13.9%, 1.1. 2.2% 이었다. 도시화 및 도로확대 등 다양한 토지이용 및 지형개변으로 과거의 토양정보가 많이 변경되었다. 그래서, 앞으로는 인공위성자료 및 항공사진을 이용하여 빠르고 쉽게 활용할 수 있는 토양조사 방법개발과 기 구축된 토양도의 수정, 보완 작업이 필요한 절실히 요구되고 있는 현실이다.브로 출시에 따른 마케팅 및 고객관리와 관련된 시사점을 논의한다.는 교합면에서 2, 3, 4군이 1군에 비해 변연적합도가 높았으며 (p < 0.05), 인접면과 치은면에서는 군간 유의차를 보이지 않았다 이번 연구를 통하여 복합레진을 간헐적 광중합시킴으로써 변연적합도가 향상될 수 있음을 알 수 있었다.시장에 비해 주가가 비교적 안정적인

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Synoptic Analysis on Snowstorm Occurred along the East Coast of the Korean Peninsula during 5-7 January, 1997 (1997년 1월 5-7일에 발생한 동해안 대설에 관한 지역별 종관 특성)

  • Kwak, Byung-Chull;Yoon, Ill-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean earth science society
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.258-275
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate diurnal variations of snowstorm occurred along the East Coast of the Korean Peninsula. The snowstorm which occurred on 5${\sim}$7 January 1997 have been analyzed. The pressure patterns were analyzed through surface and upper-air chart(850hPa). Diurnal variations of four areas, i. e. Youngdong, Mt. Taebaek, Youngseo and Kyungbuk regions were analyzed through wind direction and speed, cloud amounts, surface temperature, dewpoint temperature, relative humidity and sea level pressure. And snowfall amounts over four areas were analyzed through regional distribution, daily and temporal variations. The snowfall which occurred on January 5 was caused by the weak low pressure which is located in Kyusu region of Japan. The snowfall of January 6 occurred due to the Siberian high's expansion and instability. And northeasterly wind is one factor of the snowstorm which occurred in Mt. Taebaek region on 7 January. Heavy snowfall was caused by westerly wind but easterly wind occurred weak snowfall in Youngdong area. The precipitation of Kyungbuk region(eapecially, Pohang) was less than that of Youngdong region because the air mass which was not modified had influence on Kyungbuk region on 6${\sim}$7 January, 1997.

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Analysis of Propagation Characteristics by Statistical Analysis in Domestic Atmospheric Environments (국내 대기 환경의 통계적 특성 분석을 통한 전파 특성 분석)

  • Choi, Moon-Young;Lee, Gil-Jae;Kim, Hyun-Soo;Pack, Jeong-Ki
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.698-705
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    • 2008
  • When electromagnetic waves propagate through atmosphere, waves are affected by various factors. Atmosphere normally consists of different molecular species, water vapours, rain, fog, snow and small suspended particles called aerosols. The distributions of atmosphere molecules, water vapours, rain rate, snowfall and aerosol are dependent on geometrical regions or environment. In order to predict propagation characteristics in atmospheric environment, statistical analysis of the relevant parameters such as temperature, humidity, atmospheric pressure, wind speed, areosol and rainfall is crucial. In this paper, we performed a long-term statistical analysis for the atmospheric parameters in domestic environments and analyzed the propagation characteristics through atmosphere based on that.

A Fundamental Study on the Snowmelt Effects for Long-Term Runoff Analysis (장기 유출해석에서의 융설영향에 관한 기초 연구)

  • Bae, Deok-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.833-844
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    • 1998
  • The objectives of this study are to adopt a snowmelt model for coupling a rainfall-runoff model and to study snowmelt effects for long-term runoff analysis on the northeast mountaneous area in Korea. The NWS temperature-index snowmelt model was selected and tested on the 1,059+,6 km$^2$ Naerinchen basin. It can be observed that the time variations of the computed areal extents of snow cover from the model are well agreement with those of the observe station snowfall records on the Inje meteorological station. It is also evident that the computed soil water contents and river flows indicate quite different behaviors with or without snowmelt model. It is concluded that the snowmelt model works well and the snowmelt effects for multi-decadal river flow computations are important on the study area.

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The Distribution of Natural Disaster in Mountainous Region of Gangwon-do (강원도 산지지역의 자연재해 분포 특성)

  • Lee, Seung-Ho;Lee, Kyoung-Mi
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.843-857
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    • 2008
  • This study analyzed distribution of natural disaster and trend of related climatic elements in mountainous region of Gangwon-do. In mountainous region of Gangwon-do, there have been 27 natural disasters of which heavy rainfall have the leading cause for the last 5 years(16 times in 2003-2007). It has been 9 natural disasters in Jinbu-myeon Pyeongchang-gun, the most frequent area. The mountainous region has been larger natural damage than its surrounding regions and there has been more damage at higher altitudes. While the heavy rainfall have caused damage over the northwest of mountains, most typhoons have damaged southern part of mountains. Most mountainous region suffers from strong wind but damage by snow is small. In mountainous region of Gangwon-do, annual precipitation, intensity of precipitation and heavy rainfall days have been increasing since 2000 and this tendency is significant in its intensity. However, annual snowfall, snowfall days and heavy snowfall days have been clearly decreasing since 2000. In case heavy rainfall accompanies strong wind, the damages are larger in mountainous region of Gangwon-do. Therefore it is important to be prepared for heavy rainfall and strong wind.

The Correlation between Groundwater Level and GOI with Snowmelt Effect in Ssangchun Watershed (쌍천유역의 지하수위와 융설 효과를 고려한 GOI의 상괸관계)

  • Yang, Jeong-Seok;Lim, Chang-Hwa;Park, Jae-Hyeon;Park, Chang-Kun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.2 s.163
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    • pp.121-126
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    • 2006
  • Snowmelt effect is identified from the analysis of the relationship between precipitation and groundwater level(GWL) data and Severe drawdown of GWL is observed in drought. Groundwater dam Operation Index (GOI), which is developed for the optimal operation of groundwater dam, is calculated by taking common logarithm of the moving average(MA) of precipitation data for a certain period. The period can vary from watershed to watershed because the period is decided by picking the maximum correlation coefficient between GWL and GOI of several MAs of precipitation. For Ssangchun watershed, the correlation was the strongest when we apply 70 day MA for GOI calculation. Snowmelt effect is considered by applying the temperature change by elevation($0.5^{\circ}C$ decrease per 100m) and examining the areal distribution of the watershed by elevation. Snow event is assumed when the daily average temperature is below $0^{\circ}C$ and snowmelt is assumed when the temperature is above zero degree Celsius. Total snowmelt is assumed for the day. When the snow event is occurred the precipitation data is separated into two components, snow and rainfall. The areal distribution by elevation is used for the calculation in the separation. The correlation between GWL and GOI is higher when we consider snowmelt effect than we neglected it.

Development of Snow Depth Frequency Analysis Model Based on A Generalized Mixture Distribution with Threshold (최심신적설량 빈도분석을 위한 임계값을 가지는 일반화된 혼합분포모형 개발)

  • Kim, Ho Jun;Kim, Jang-Gyeong;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2020
  • An increasing frequency and intensity of natural disasters have been observed due to climate change. To better prepare for these, the MOIS (ministry of the interior and safety) announced a comprehensive plan for minimizing damages associated with natural disasters, including drought and heavy snowfall. The spatial-temporal pattern of snowfall is greatly influenced by temperature and geographical features. Heavy snowfalls are often observed in Gangwon-do, surrounded by mountains, whereas less snowfall is dominant in the southern part of the country due to relatively high temperatures. Thus, snow depth data often contains zeros that can lead to difficulties in the selection of probability distribution and estimation of the parameters. A generalized mixture distribution approach to a maximum snow depth series over the southern part of Korea (i.e., Changwon, Tongyeoung, Jinju weather stations) are located is proposed to better estimate a threshold (𝛿) classifying discrete and continuous distribution parts. The model parameters, including the threshold in the mixture model, are effectively estimated within a Bayesian modeling framework, and the uncertainty associated with the parameters is also provided. Comparing to the Daegwallyeong weather station, It was found that the proposed model is more effective for the regions in which less snow depth is observed.