• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제22권6호
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• pp.675-683
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• 2015

In the 21st century, we now face the serious problems of the enormous consumption of the energy resources. Depending on the power consumption increases, both China and South Korea face a reduction in available resources. This paper considers the regression models and time-series models to compare the performance of the forecasting accuracy based on Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) in order to forecast the electricity demand accurately on the short-term period (68 months) data in Northeast China and find the relationship with Korea. Among the models the support vector regression (SVR) model shows superior performance than time-series models for the short-term period data and the time-series models show similar results with the SVR model when we use long-term period data.

• 한국정밀공학회지
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• 제8권4호
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• pp.23-32
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• 1991

The paper discusses the problem of the flow over the backward facing step and the offset jet, which are calculated numerically. Standard k- .epsilon. model and its LPS modification are used as turbulence models. Hybrid central/upwind scheme and skew- upwind scheme are used as numerical schemes. The numerical scheme has a strong influence on the offset jet rather than the flow over backward facing step. The skew-upwind scheme gives good results in both cases. However, the k- .epsilon. model with LPS modification yields no remarkable improvements in the predictions of both flows. The skew-upwind scheme improves the prediction of reattachment length in the offset jet.

• 한국정밀공학회지
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• 제8권4호
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• pp.95-106
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• 1991

A numerical computation of turbulent wirling flow in a stationary pipe is presented in this work. Major concerns of this study are: 1) To approve similarity laws which were verified experimentally. 2) To investigate the effects of curvature modification for the K- .epsilon. model. To account for effects of swirl, Rodi's curvature correction and Kim & Chung's are applied. The governing differential equations for eliptic flow are discretized by control volume formulation method, and the discretized equations are calculated ay line by line TDMA and SIMPLE algorithm. The computational results also satisfy similarity laws which are based on swirl angle as in experiments. And the curvature modification of Rodi improves compuational accuacy than the standard K- .epsilon. model. But such lower order closure models are not adequate for the prediction of this complex flow.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.47-55
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• 2000

주요 식량작물인 쌀, 보리, 콩, 그리고 감자의 생산량을 조기에 예측하기 위하여 농림수산 통계연보와 기상자료를 이용하여 경상북도지방의 작물 재배면적과 10a당 수량(收量)의 예측을 시도하였다. 재배면적의 예측모형식은 $y=\exp({\beta}_{0}+{\beta}_{1}t+{\epsilon})$수량의 예측 모형식은 $y=\exp({\beta}_{0}+{\beta}_{1}t^{1/2}+{\beta}_{2}t+{\sum}^{p}_{i=1}{\beta}_{i}+_2x_i+{\epsilon})$이 가장 적합한 것으로 나타났다. 이들 식에 의하여 재배면적의 $R^{2}$값은 $0.9180{\sim}0.9505$이었고, 수량의 $R^{2}$값은 쌀의 경우 0.7234로 가장 낮았으나 보리, 콩 및 감자는 $0.8855{\sim}0.9098$로 비교적 높은 값을 보였다. 추정된 예측모형식에 의하여 2005년까지의 재배면적과 2000년도의 수량을 예측하였다.

• 농약과학회지
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.72-81
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• 2007

일련의 새로운 O,O-dialkyl-1-phenoxyacetoxy-1-methylphosphonate (S) 유도체들의 반응성과 치환기가 변화함에 따른 오이(Cucumus Sativa)씨에 대한 발아전 제초활성과의 관계를 2D-QSAR 및 HQSAR 방법으로 검토하였다. 통계적으로 HQSAR 모델이 2D-QSAR 모델보다 양호하였으며 기질분자(S)와 PDH 효소중 $BH^+$ 이온(I) 사이의 경계분자궤도(FMO) 상호작용은 친전자성 반응이 우세하였다. 치환기의 효과로부터 기질분자 (S)내 $R_2$-치환기는 carbonyl 산소원자에 대한 친전자성 반응을, 그리고 phenyl 고리상 X,Y-치환기는 carbonyl 탄소원자에 대한 친핵성 반응에 기여하였으며 $R_2$-치환기보다 X,Y-치환기의 영향이 더 컸다. 2D-QSAR모델 (I 및 II)과 HQSAR 모델의 기여도로부터 X,Y-치환기의 길이가 길수록 제초활성이 증가하는 경향이었으며 적정한 ${\epsilon}LUMO$ 에너지($({\epsilon}LUMO)_{opt.}$=-0.479 e.v.)가 제초활성에 중요한 요소이었다. 그러므로 PDH 효소의 저해활성으로 인한 제초활성은 친핵성반응으로 진행될 것으로 예상되었다. 2D-QSAR 및 HQSAR 두 모델로부터 제초활성에 기여하는 기질분자(S)의 구조 특이성과 요소들을 새로운 제초제 설계에 적용할 수 있음을 시사하였다.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제11권5호
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• pp.779-807
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• 2016

Ground Motion Prediction Equations (GMPEs) are essential tools in seismic hazard analysis. With the introduction of probabilistic approaches for the estimation of seismic response of structures, also known as, performance based earthquake engineering framework; new tasks are defined for response spectrum such as the reference criterion for effective structure-specific selection of ground motions for nonlinear time history analysis. One of the recent efforts to introduce a high quality databank of ground motions besides the corresponding selection scheme based on the broadband spectral consistency is the development of SIMBAD (Selected Input Motions for displacement-Based Assessment and Design), which is designed to improve the reliability of spectral values at all natural periods by removing noise with modern proposed approaches. In this paper, a new global GMPE is proposed by using selected ground motions from SIMBAD to improve the reliability of computed spectral shape indicators. To determine regression coefficients, 204 pairs of horizontal components from 35 earthquakes with magnitude ranging from Mw 5 to Mw 7.1 and epicentral distances lower than 40 km selected from SIMBAD are used. The proposed equation is compared with similar models both qualitatively and quantitatively. After the verification of model by several goodness-of-fit measures, the epsilon values as the spectral shape indicator are computed and the validity of available prediction equations for correlation of the pairs of epsilon values is examined. General consistency between predictions by new model and others, especially, in short periods is confirmed, while, at longer periods, there are meaningful differences between normalized residuals and correlation coefficients between pairs of them estimated by new model and those are computed by other empirical equations. A simple collapse assessment example indicate possible improvement in the correlation between collapse capacity and spectral shape indicators (${\varepsilon}$) up to 20% by selection of a more applicable GMPE for calculation of ${\varepsilon}$.

• 대한기계학회논문집
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.202-212
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• 1985

본 논문에서는 이러한 연구의 첫단계로 Gosman과 Ideriah가 다룬 TEACH-2E전 산프로그램을 모체로 하여 본 논문의 문제에 적합하도록 수정하여 사용하였다. 그러 나 기본적인 k-.epsilon.난류모델은 수정하지 않았다. 한편, 본 논문에서는 열선풍속계를 이용하여 평균 속도분포 및 난류특성을 계측하고 계산결과와 비교하였다. 이를 통하 여 표준형 k-.epsilon.모델을 이용한 TEACH-2E코드의 특성을 파악하고 이를 위한 실험 데이터 를 확보하는데 중점을 두었다.

• 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전산유체공학회 2002년도 춘계 학술대회논문집
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• pp.79-87
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• 2002

The present work analyzed the effect of mixing vane shape on the flow structure and heat transfer downstream of mixing vane in a subchannel of fuel assembly, by obtaining velocity and pressure fields, turbulent intensity, flow-mixing factors, heat transfer coefficient and friction factor using three-dimensional RANS analysis. NJl5, NJ25, NJ35, NJ45, which were designed by the authors, were tested to evaluate the performances in enhancing the heat transfer. Standard $\kappa-\epsilon$ model is used as a turbulence closure model, and, periodic and symmetry conditions are set as boundary conditions. The flow blockage ratio is kept constant, but the twist angle of mixing vane is changed. The results with three turbulence models( $\kappa-\epsilon$, $\kappa-\omega$, RSM) were compared with experimental data.

• 대한기계학회논문집B
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• 제33권7호
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• pp.541-551
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• 2009

Configuration of the inlet transition square duct (hereinafter referred to as "transition duct") for heat recovery steam generator (hereinafter referred to as "HRSG") in combined cycle power plant is limited by the construction type of HRSG and plant site condition. The main purpose of the present study is to analyze the effect of a variation in turbulent flow pattern by roof slop angle change of transition duct for horizontal HRSG, which is influencing heat flux in heat transfer structure to the finned tube bank. In this study, a computational fluid dynamics(CFD) is applied to predict turbulent flow pattern and comparisons are made to 1/12th scale cold model test data for verification. Re-normalization group theory (RNG) based k-$\epsilon$ turbulent model, which improves the accuracy for rapidly strained flow and swirling flow in comparison with standard k-$\epsilon$ model, is used for the results cited in this study. To reduce the amount of computer resources required for modeling the finned tube bank, a porous media model is used.

• 한국유체기계학회 논문집
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.29-35
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• 2002

The present study is concerned with the flow patterns induced by various impellers in a rectangular tank. Impellers are FBT (Flat blade turbine), PBT (Pitched blade turbine), Shroud turbine, Rushton turbine, and Helical ribbon turbine types. The solutions of flows in moving reference frames require the use of 'moving' cell zone. The moving zone approaches are based on MRF (Multiple reference frame), which is a steady-state approximation and sliding method, which is an unsteady-state approximation. Numerical results using two moving zone approaches we compared with experiments by Ranade & Joshi, which have done extensive LDA measurements of the flow generated by a standard six-bladed Rushton turbine in a cylindrical baffled vessel. In this paper, we simulated the flow patterns with above-mentioned moving zone approaches and impellers. Turbulence model used is RNG $k-{\epsilon}$ model. Sliding-mesh method is more effective than MRF for simulating the rectangular tank with inlet and outlet. RNG $k-{\epsilon}$ model strongly underestimates the velocity of experimental data and velocity by Chen & Kim's model, but it seems to be correctly predicted in overall distribution.