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Probabilistic Assessment of Seepage Stability of Soil Foundation under Water Retaining Structures by Fragility Curves

취약도 곡선에 의한 수리구조물 하부 지반의 확률론적 침투 안정성 평가

  • Cho, Sung-Eun (School of Civil and Environmental Engrg. & Construction Engrg. Research Institute, Hankyong National Univ.)
  • 조성은 (한경대학교 건설환경공학부)
  • Received : 2021.09.01
  • Accepted : 2021.10.06
  • Published : 2021.10.31

Abstract

In this study, probabilistic steady seepage behavior of soil foundation beneath water retaining structures according to the location of cutoffs was studied. A Monte Carlo Simulation based on the random finite element method that considers the uncertainty and spatial variability of soil permeability was performed to evaluate the probabilistic seepage behavior. Fragility curves were developed by calculating the failure probability conditional on the occurrence of a given water level from the probability distribution obtained from Monte Carlo simulations. The fragility curve was prepared for the flow quantities such as flow rate through foundation soil, uplift force on the base of structure, and exit gradient in downstream to examine the reliability of the water retaining structure and the foundation soil. From the fragility curves, the effect of the location of cutoff wall on the reliability of water retaining structure and foundation soil according to the rise in water level was studied.

본 연구에서는 침투조절을 위하여 댐이나 보와 같은 수리구조물의 기초지반에 설치되는 차수벽체 형태에 따른 포화 침투거동의 확률론적 거동을 연구하였다. 이를 위해 투수계수의 불확실성과 공간적 변동성을 고려한 정상상태 흐름의 유한요소해석에 기반을 둔 Monte Carlo 시뮬레이션을 수행하였다. Monte Carlo 시뮬레이션의 결과로부터 평가된 지반의 침투거동에 대한 확률분포로부터 수위 변동에 따른 파괴확률을 구함으로써 취약도 곡선을 작성하였다. 취약도 곡선은 침투로 인한 수리구조물과 기초지반의 안정성을 검토하기 위하여 기초지반을 통한 침투유량, 구조물에 작용하는 양압력, 하류 유출면에서의 유출동수경사에 대하여 작성하였다. 생성된 취약도 곡선들로부터 차수벽체 설치 형태가 수위 상승 시 수리구조물과 기초지반의 안정에 대한 신뢰성에 미치는 영향을 연구하였다.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

이 논문은 2018년도 정부(교육부)의 재원으로 한국연구재단의 지원을 받아 수행된 기초연구사업임(NRF-2018R1D1A1B07040949).

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