Journal of Korea Water Resources Association (한국수자원학회논문집)

Korea Water Resources Association (한국수자원학회)
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Verification of precipitation enhancement by weather modification experiments using radar data

레이더 자료를 이용한 기상조절 실험에 의한 강수 증가 검증 연구

  • Ro, Yonghun (Convergence Meteorological Research Department, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences) ;
  • Cha, Joo-Wan (Convergence Meteorological Research Department, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences) ;
  • Chae, Sanghee (Convergence Meteorological Research Department, National Institute of Meteorological Sciences)
  • 노용훈 (국립기상과학원 융합기술연구부) ;
  • 차주완 (국립기상과학원 융합기술연구부) ;
  • 채상희 (국립기상과학원 융합기술연구부)
  • Received : 2020.08.19
  • Accepted : 2020.09.24
  • Published : 2020.11.30
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Abstract

Weather modification research has been actively performed worldwide, but a technology that can more quantitatively prove the research effects are needed. In this study, the seeding effect, the efficiency of precipitation enhancement in weather modification experiment, was verified using the radar data. Also, the effects of seeding material on hydrometeor change was analyzed. For this, radar data, weather conditions, and numerical simulation data for diffusion were applied. First, a method to analyze the seeding effect in three steps was proposed: before seeding, during seeding, and after seeding. The proposed method was applied to three cases of weather modification experiments conducted in Gangwon-do and the West Sea regions. As a result, when there is no natural precipitation, the radar reflectivity detected in the area where precipitation change is expected was determined as the seeding effect. When natural precipitation occurs, the seeding effect was determined by excluding the effect of natural precipitation from the maximum reflectivity detected. For the application results, it was found that the precipitation intensity increased by 0.1 mm/h through the seeding effect. In addition, it was confirmed that ice crystals, supercooled water droplets, and mixed-phase precipitation were distributed in the seeding cloud. The results of these weather modification research can be used to secure water resources as well as for future study of cloud physics.

전세계적으로 기상조절 연구가 활발히 수행되어져 왔으나 연구 효과를 보다 정량적으로 검증할 수 있는 기술이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 기상조절 실험에 대한 강수 증가 효율인 시딩효과(seeding effect)를 레이더 자료를 이용하여 검증하였다. 또한, 시딩물질이 대기수상체 변화에 미치는 영향을 분석하였다. 이를 위해 레이더 자료, 기상조건, 확산 수치모의 자료가 사용되었다. 먼저, 시딩전, 시딩중, 시딩후의 세 단계로 시딩효과를 분석할 수 있는 방법을 제안하였다. 제안한 방법을 강원도와 서해 지역을 대상으로 수행된 세 개의 기상조절 실험 사례에 적용하였다. 그 결과, 자연강수가 없을 때는 강수 변화가 예측된 구역에서 감지된 레이더 반사도가 시딩효과로 판단되었다. 자연강수가 발생하면 관측된 최대 반사도에서 자연강수의 영향을 제외하여 시딩효과를 결정하였다. 적용사례에 대해 시딩효과로 강수강도가 0.1 mm/h 증가한 것으로 나타났다. 아울러 시딩 구름에 빙정이나 과냉각 수적, 혼합상의 수상체가 분포한 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 기상조절 연구 결과는 수자원 확보와 구름 물리 연구에 활용할 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

Keywords

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