Figure 4.1. Daily electricity demand of L apartment from 2015 to 2016(KWh).
Figure 4.2. Electricity demand comparison between 2015 and 2016.
Figure 4.3. Temperature response function.
Figure 4.4. ACF and PACF of the transformed data. ACF = autocorrelation function; PACF = partial ACF.
Figure 4.5. Comparison of 30-day forecasting via error correction model.
Figure 4.6. Fit and 30-day forecasting via model 4.
Figure 4.7. Residual plot of model 4.
Figure 4.8. Q-Q plot of model 4.
Table 4.1. Augmented dickey-fuller (ADF) test
Table 4.2. Parameter estimation of ARIMA model
Table 4.3. Evaluation of ARIMA model
Table 4.4. Parameter estimation of ARIMAX model
Table 4.5. Evaluation of ARIMAX model
Table 4.6. Parameter estimation of ARIMA + GARCH model
Table 4.7. Evaluation of ARIMA + GARCH model
Table 4.8. Augmented Dickey-Fuller test of electricity demand and temperature
Table 4.9. Cointegration test of electricity demand and temperature
Table 4.10. Granger causality test between electricity demand and temperature
Table 4.11. Evaluation of error correction models
Table 4.12. Comparison of fit of 30-day forecasting via error correction models
Table 4.13. Durbin Watson (DW) test of Model 4 for autocorrelation analysis of residuals
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