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Global Navigation Satellite System(GNSS)-Based Near-Realtime Analysis of Typhoon Track for Maritime Safety

해상안전을 위한 GNSS 기반 태풍경로 실시간 분석

  • Received : 2019.03.20
  • Accepted : 2019.03.25
  • Published : 2019.03.31

Abstract

In this study, in order to analyze the possibility of observing a typhoon track based on the Global Navigation Satellite System(GNSS), Typhoon NARI, the 11th typhoon of 2007, was analyzed in terms of the typhoon track as well as the local variation of perceptible water over time. The perceptible water was estimated using data obtained from observatories located on the typhoon track from Jeju to the southern coast of Korea for a total of 18 days from September 7(DOY 250) to September 24(DOY 267), 2007, including the period when the observatories were affected by the typhoon at full-scale, as well as one previous week and one following week. The results show that the trend of the variation of perceptible water was similar between the observatories near the typhoon track. Variation of perceptible water over time depending on the development and landing of the typhoon was distinctively observed. Several hours after the daily maximum of perceptible water was found at the JEJU Observatory, the first struck by the typhoon on the typhoon track, the maximum value was found at other observatories located on the southern coast. In the observation period, the time point at which the maximum perceptible water was recorded in each location was almost the same as the time point at which the typhoon landed at the location. To analyze the accuracy of the GNSS-based perceptible water measurement, the data were compared with radiosonde-based perceptible water data. The mean error was 0.0cm, and the root mean square error and the standard deviation were both 0.3cm, indicating that the GNSS-based perceptible water data were highly accurate and precise. The results of the this study show that the GNSS-based perceptible water data may be used as highly accurate information for the analysis of typhoon tracks over time.

본 연구는 GNSS 기반 태풍경로 관측 가능성을 분석하기 위해 2007년 11호 태풍인 NARI의 태풍경로와 시간변화에 따른 지역별 가강수량을 분석하였다. 가강수량은 제주에서 남해안까지 태풍경로상에 위치한 관측소가 태풍의 영향을 직접적으로 받은 기간과 전 후 일주일을 포함하여(2007년 9월 7일(DOY250)부터 9월 24일(DOY267)까지) 총 18일간의 자료를 이용하여 추정 하였다. 그 결과 가강수량의 변화 추세는 태풍의 경로 근처 관측소의 결과와 유사하였으며 태풍의 발달과 지상에 도달하는 시간변화에 따라 달라지는 것을 확인하였다. 처음 태풍이 강타한 JEJU 관측소에서 일일 최대 가강수량이 관측된지 몇 시간 후, 남해안에 다른 관측소에서 가강수량이 최대값으로 나타났으며 각 관측소에서 최대 가강수량을 기록한 시점이 태풍이 해당 관측소에 도달한 시점과 거의 일치 하였다. GNSS기반 가강수량 측정의 정확도를 분석하기 위해, 데이터는 라디오존데 기반 가강수량 데이터와 비교하였다. 그 결과, 평균 오차 0.0cm, RMSE 0.3cm로 GNSS 기반 가강수량 데이터가 정확하고 정밀하다는 것을 보여주었다. 따라서, 본 연구 결과는 GNSS를 기반으로한 가강수량 데이터를 시간변화에 따른 태풍경로 분석에 사용할 수 있다는 것을 보여주고 있다.

Keywords

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FIGURE 1. Track of Typhoon NARI from September 13 to 17, 2007 (Korea Meteorological Administration) and locations of GNSS observatories.

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FIGURE 2. Ground air temperature, ground air pressure, and relative humidity at JEJU Observatory from September 7(DOY 250) to 24(DOY 267), 2007.

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FIGURE 3. Precipitation and GNSS PWV between September 7(DOY 250) and 24(DOY 267), 2007.

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FIGURE 4 (a) Radiosonde and GNSS PWV data for Jeju Island between September 7(DOY 250) and 24(DOY 267), 2007; (b) Radiosonde and GNSS PWV data after removing bias.

TABLE 1. Positions of GNSS observatores in track of Typhoon NARI.

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