Entomological Research

The Entomological Society of Korea (한국곤충학회)
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Predicting the Potential Distribution of an Invasive Species, Solenopsis invicta Buren (Hymenoptera: Formicidae), under Climate Change using Species Distribution Models

  • SUNG, Sunyong (Interdisciplinary Program in Landscape Architecture, Seoul National University) ;
  • KWON, Yong-Su (Bureau of Ecological Survey Assessment, National Institute of Ecology) ;
  • LEE, Dong Kun (Department of Landscape Architecture and Rural System Engineering, Seoul National University) ;
  • CHO, Youngho (Environmental Impact Assessment Team, Bureau of Ecological Survey Assessment, National Institute of Ecology)
  • Received : 2018.08.28
  • Accepted : 2018.10.03
  • Published : 2018.11.29
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Abstract

The red imported fire ant is considered one of the most notorious invasive species because of its adverse impact on both humans and ecosystems. Public concern regarding red imported fire ants has been increasing, as they have been found seven times in South Korea. Even if red imported fire ants are not yet colonized in South Korea, a proper quarantine plan is necessary to prevent their widespread distribution. As a basis for quarantine planning, we modeled the potential distribution of the red imported fire ant under current climate conditions using six different species distribution models (SDMs) and then selected the random forest (RF) model for modeling the potential distribution under climate change. We acquired occurrence data from the Global Biodiversity Information Facility (GBIF) and bioclimatic data from WorldClim. We modeled at the global scale to project the potential distribution under the current climate and then applied models at the local scale to project the potential distribution of the red imported fire ant under climate change. Modeled results successfully represent the current distribution of red imported fire ants. The potential distribution area for red imported fire ants increased to include major harbors and airports in South Korea under the climate change scenario (RCP 8.5). Thus, we are able to provide a potential distribution of red imported fire ant that is necessary to establish a proper quarantine plan for their management to minimize adverse impacts of climate change.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

Supported by : National Institute of Ecology (NIE)

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