Journal of Digital Convergence (디지털융복합연구)

The Society of Digital Policy and Management (한국디지털정책학회)
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A Study on the Effects of Online Word-of-Mouth on Game Consumers Based on Sentimental Analysis

감성분석 기반의 게임 소비자 온라인 구전효과 연구

  • 정근웅 (성균관대학교 일반대학원 경영학과) ;
  • 김종욱 (성균관대학교 경영전문대학원)
  • Received : 2017.12.22
  • Accepted : 2018.03.20
  • Published : 2018.03.28
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Abstract

Unlike the past, when distributors distributed games through retail stores, they are now selling digital content, which is based on online distribution channels. This study analyzes the effects of eWOM (electronic Word of Mouth) on sales volume of game sold on Steam, an online digital content distribution channel. Recently, data mining techniques based on Big Data have been studied. In this study, emotion index of eWOM is derived by emotional analysis which is a text mining technique that can analyze the emotion of each review among factors of eWOM. Emotional analysis utilizes Naive Bayes and SVM classifier and calculates the emotion index through the SVM classifier with high accuracy. Regression analysis is performed on the dependent variable, sales variation, using the emotion index, the number of reviews of each game, the size of eWOM, and the user score of each game, which is a rating of eWOM. Regression analysis revealed that the size of the independent variable eWOM and the emotion index of the eWOM were influential on the dependent variable, sales variation. This study suggests the factors of eWOM that affect the sales volume when Korean game companies enter overseas markets based on steam.

배급사가 소매점을 통해 게임을 유통했던 과거와 다르게 현재는 디지털 콘텐츠인 게임을 온라인 기반의 유통채널을 활용하여 판매를 실시하고 있다. 본 연구는 온라인 디지털 콘텐츠 유통 채널인 스팀(Steam)에서 판매되는 게임의 판매량에 대해서 eWOM(전자구전효과)의 요인들이 어떤 영향을 미치는지 분석한다. 최근 빅데이터 기반의 데이터 마이닝 기법을 이용한 연구가 많이 진행되고 있는데, 본 연구에서 eWOM의 요인 중 각 리뷰의 감성을 분석할 수 있는 텍스트 마이닝 기법인 감성분석을 실시하여 eWOM의 감성지수를 도출한다. 감성분석은 나이브 베이즈(Naive Bayes)와 지지벡터기(SVM) 분류기를 활용하고, 정확도가 높은 지지벡터기(SVM) 분류기를 통해 감성지수를 산출한다. 도출한 감성지수와 eWOM의 크기인 각 게임의 리뷰의 수, eWOM의 평점인 각 게임의 유저점수를 독립변수로 하여 종속변수인 판매변화량에 대해서 회귀분석을 실시한다. 회귀분석 결과, 독립변수인 eWOM의 크기와 eWOM의 감성지수가 종속변수인 판매변화량에 영향을 미치는 것을 확인하였다. 본 연구는 연구결과를 통해 국내 게임 기업들이 스팀을 기반으로 해외진출 시 판매량에 영향을 미치는 eWOM의 요인들을 제시할 수 있는 시사점을 가진다.

Keywords

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