Fig. 2. Wholesale price of dried red pepper (1996.1 - 2107. 12).
Fig. 3. Marketing channel of domestic fried red pepper (aT KAMIS, 2018). The numbers in the graph are the shares (%) of each section and sales root.
Fig. 4. Log diferenced (1st) prices.
Fig. 1. Structure of Korea Rural Economic Institute (KREI)’s monthly structural model for dried red pepper (Kim et al., 2013).
Table 1. Annual supply situation of dried red pepper in Korea.
Table 2. Representative statistics of wholesale prices in the analysis: 2010. 08 - 2016. 12 (unit: won/600 g).
Table 3. Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root test results of wholesale price.
Table 4. Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root test results of Nonghyup price.
Table 5. Causality test results.
Table 6. ARMA model selection criteria table (1st diferenced).
Table 7. Estimates of time series forecasting models for wholesale price.
Table 8. Out-of-sample tests results
Table 9. Ex-Post forecasting error test results of the KREI’s monthly structural model.
참고문헌
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- Han SH, Lee JM, Park MS, Park YK, Jang SJ. 2010. KREI Monthly Outlook Model. M102. Korea Rural Economic Institute, Naju, Korea. [in Korean]
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- aT KAMIS. KAMIS. Accessed in http://www.kamis.or.kr on 10 March 2018.