Journal of Digital Convergence (디지털융복합연구)

The Society of Digital Policy and Management (한국디지털정책학회)
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The Moderating Effects of Birth Rate Policies between Korean Women's Values of Children and Their Intentions for Subsequent Childbirth

기혼여성의 자녀가치관과 추가출산의향 간의 관계에서 출산장려정책의 조절효과 분석

  • Lee, Wan (Department of Public Administration, Gachon University) ;
  • Chae, Jae-Eun (Department of Public Administration, Gachon University)
  • 이완 (가천대학교 행정학과) ;
  • 채재은 (가천대학교 행정학과)
  • Received : 2017.07.31
  • Accepted : 2017.09.20
  • Published : 2017.09.28
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Abstract

This study aims to analyze whether both childcare subsidy and childcare leave policies have moderating effects on the relationship between Korean women's value of children and their intentions for subsequent childbirth. The data are used from the 2015 National Survey on Fertility and Family Health and Welfare. Both hierarchical multiple regression analysis and moderated regression analysis are used for statistical analysis. The findings from the study are as follow. First, the ideal number of children, instrumental values, and emotional values have positive effects on the intentions for subsequent childbirth after controlling for background variables(level of education, income, age, and number of children). Second, childcare leave policy has no significant effect on the intentions for subsequent childbirth while childcare subsidy policy has the negative effect. Third, only childcare subsidy policy has moderating effects on the relationship between instrumental, emotional values, and the intentions for subsequent childbirth. These results suggest that policies enhancing the value of children should be implemented in addition to traditional birth rate policies. Furthermore, new birth rate polices are needed for those married women who have a high possibility of subsequent childbirth.

본 연구는 기혼여성의 자녀가치관과 추가출산의향의 관계에서 출산장려정책(보육료지원, 육아휴직제도)의 조절효과를 분석하는 것을 목적으로 하였다. 이를 위하여 "2015년 전국 출산력 및 가족 보건복지 실태조사"자료 중 총 2,143명의 자료를 선택하여 위계적 다중회귀분석과 조절회귀 분석방법을 적용하였다. 배경변수(교육수준, 소득, 연령, 기존 자녀 수)를 통제한 후, 위계적 다중회귀분석을 실시한 결과, 이상적 자녀수, 도구적 가치관과 정서적 가치관의 순으로 추가출산의향에 양(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 그리고 '육아휴직'은 추가출산의향에 유의한 영향이 없는 반면에, '보육료 지원'은 음(-)의 영향이 있는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 '보육료 지원'만이 '도구적, 정서적 가치관'과 추가출산의향의향의 관계에서 조절효과가 있는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 효율적인 출산율 제고를 위해서는 무엇보다 자녀가치관을 높이기 위한 출산장려 문화정책이 필요하며, 아울러 추가출산 가능성이 높은 여성들을 대상으로 자녀수 등을 고려한 맞춤형 지원이 필요함을 시사한다.

Keywords

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