한국건설관리학회논문집 (Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management)

  • 제18권1호
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  • Pages.90-99
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  • 2017
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  • 2005-6095(pISSN)
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  • 2465-9703(eISSN)
한국건설관리학회 (Korea Institute of Construction Engineering and Management)
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서울의 상업용 부동산 시장에서 자본환원율을 이용한 시장 효율성과 CAPM의 검증

Verification of Market's Efficiency and CAPM using Capitalization Rate at Commercial Real Estate Market in Seoul

  • Park, Jongkwon (Department of Real Estate, Kangwon National University) ;
  • Lee, Jaesu (Department of Real Estate, Kangwon National University) ;
  • Jun, Jaebum (Department of Real Estate, Kangwon National University)
  • 투고 : 2016.09.03
  • 심사 : 2017.01.12
  • 발행 : 2017.01.31
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초록

본 연구는 서울의 상업용 부동산인 오피스 빌딩 및 소매용 부동산 자산을 대상으로 체계적 위험과 자본환원율 간의 관계를 실증분석함으로써 시장의 효율성과 CAPM의 적용여부를 검증하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 이를 위하여 본 연구에서는 투자의 위험을 수반하는 자본자산의 기대수익률 결정이론인 자본자산가격결정모형(CAPM)을 토대로 서울의 3대 오피스 빌딩 시장인 강남권, 여의도 마포권, 도심권 그리고 기타권역과 소매용 부동산의 3대 시장인 강남권, 신촌 마포권, 도심권 그리고 기타 권역에 대하여, 시장포트폴리오인 증권시장선과 권역별 초과자본환원율로 산정된 증권특성선을 비교 및 분석하였으며 그 결과, 오피스 빌딩 시장에서 GBD 권역을 제외한 나머지 권역들(YBD 권역, CBD 권역 그리고 기타 권역), 소매용 부동산 시장에서는 SBD 권역 및 CBD 권역에서 체계적 위험이 증가할수록 분기초과자본환원율이 감소하여 시장이 효율적이지 않음을 알 수 있었다. 이와 함께, 오피스 빌딩 시장의 4개 권역(강남권의 GBD 권역, 마포 여의도권의 YBD 권역, 도심권의 CBD 권역, 그리고 기타 권역)과 소매용 부동산 시장의 4개 권역(강남권의 GBD 권역, 마포 신촌권의 SBD권역, 도심권의 CBD 권역, 그리고 기타 권역) 모두에서 CAPM이 성립하지 않음도 확인할 수 있었다.

This paper is to understand the impact of systematic risk on capitalization rate at office building market and retail real estate market in Seoul and to see if CAPM(Capital Asset Pricing Model) is applicable. For this, this paper considers eight different office building and retail real estate markets in Seoul city area, called GBD, YBD, CBD, and Other Business District, and GBD, SBD, CBD, and Other Business District, to find out if there is any positive-linearity between systematic risk and capitalization rate for each business district not. Then, this paper tries to verify applicability of CAPM to four office building markets and four retail real estate markets with Black, Jensen, and Scholes(1972)'s statistical methodology. At last, the result shows that there is positive linearity between systematic risk and capitalization rate only GBD except Others(YBD, CBD, and other business district) in office building market. In addtion, SBD and CBD, they could be figured out that it is not efficient market because increasing systematic risk declines capitalization rate in retail real estate market. However, CAPM is not applicable in all office building(GBD, YBD, CBD, and other business district) and retail real estate markets(GBD, SBD, CBD, and other business district) in Seoul.

키워드

참고문헌

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