• Title/Summary/Keyword: Systematic Risk

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The effect of health care reform: Testing the stability of systematic risk

  • Sewell, Daniel K.;Song, Joon-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.945-950
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    • 2010
  • As the U.S. Congress has continued to debate over the health care reform pushed by President Obama, there is an ample reason to believe that the systematic risk of the health care industry, especially health care plan providers, is increasing. This study measures and compares the systematic risk of two health care industry indexes and one portfolio of health care plan providers from before and after the introduction of the health care legislation into Congress in September, 2009. The Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is used to measure the systematic risk, and a dummy variable approach and the Chow test are used to formally compare the systematic risk from before and after the introduction of the legislation.

Systematic Risk Analysis on Bitcoin Using GARCH Model (GARCH 모형을 활용한 비트코인에 대한 체계적 위험분석)

  • Lee, Jung Mann
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.157-169
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the volatility of bitcoin, diagnose if bitcoin are a systematic risk asset, and evaluate their effectiveness by estimating market beta representing systematic risk using GARCH (Generalized Auto Regressive Conditional Heteroskedastieity) model. First, the empirical results showed that the market beta of Bitcoin using the OLS model was estimated at 0.7745. Second, using GARCH (1, 2) model, the market beta of Bitcoin was estimated to be significant, and the effects of ARCH and GARCH were found to be significant over time, resulting in conditional volatility. Third, the estimated market beta of the GARCH (1, 2), AR (1)-GARCH (1), and MA (1)-GARCH (1, 2) models were also less than 1 at 0.8819, 0.8835, and 0.8775 respectively, showing that there is no systematic risk. Finally, in terms of efficiency, GARCH model was more efficient because the standard error of a market beta was less than that of the OLS model. Among the GARCH models, the MA (1)-GARCH (1, 2) model considering non-simultaneous transactions was estimated to be the most appropriate model.

A Theoretical Study on Risk - focused on systematic risk- (위험에 관한 이론적 연구 -체계적 위험을 중심으로-)

  • 김원기
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.115-124
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    • 1979
  • The purpose of this study is theoretical research on risk. The research is focused on systematic risk. Chapter I is objective of this study, Chapter II includes definition and measurement of risk. Chapter III introduces attitudes toward risk and classification of risk. Chapter IV discusses Portfolio theory, Capital market line and Shape and Lintner model The objective of firm is assumed to maximize its value. In a world of uncertainty, value is not determined by earnings alone, the degree of risk involved with the streams of earnings. Financial manager has to consider the risk in order to maximize the value of firm. Total risk can be classifier into two parts : Systematicrisk and unststematic risk by Sharpe. Systematic risk is important because investors can't diversify it. Blume and Jensen measured f and they testified that the f is stationary over the time For further study, Korean stock mark has to take emperical study about $\beta$ and its stationarity.

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The Volatility and Estimation of Systematic Risks on Major Crypto Currencies (주요 암호화폐의 변동성 및 체계적 위험추정에 대한 비교분석)

  • Lee, Jungmann
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.26 no.6
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    • pp.47-63
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    • 2019
  • The volatility of major crypto currencies was examined and they are diagnosed whether they have a systematic risk or not, by estimating market beta representing systematic risk using GARCH( Generalized Auto Regressive Conditional Heteroskedastieity) model. First, the empirical results showed that their prices are very volatile over time because of the existence of ARCH and GARCH effects. Second, in terms of efficiency, asymmetric GJR model was estimated to be the most appropriate model because the standard error of a market beta was less than that of the OLS model and GARCH model. Third, the estimated market beta of Bitcoin using GJR model was less than 1 at 0.8791, showing that there is no systematic risk. However, unlike OLS model, the market beta of Ethereum and Ripple was estimated at 1.0581 and 1.1222, showing that there is systematic risk. This result shows that bitcoin is less dangerous than Ripple and Ethereum, and ripple is the most dangerous of all three crypto currencies. Finally, the major cryptocurrency found that the negative impact caused greater variability than the positive impact, causing bad news to fluctuate more than good news, and therefore good news and bad news had a different effect on the variability.

The effect of corporate risk on Korean bond market (기업의 위험이 회사채 수익률에 미치는 영향)

  • Choe, Yong-Shik;Choi, Jong-Yoon
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.16 no.12
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    • pp.175-183
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzes determinants of bond returns in terms of systematic risk versus idiosyncratic risk by examining relationship among those factors. First we examined the cross-sectional determinants of corporate bond returns with Korean bond market data from 2001 to 2014. This paper uses term factor and default factor for systematic risk, and duration factor and credit rating factor for idiosyncratic risk. The empirical result shows that systematic risk can explain cross-sectional differences of bond returns rather than idiosyncratic risk which is the same result in advanced markets(US or Europe). This result is different from the previous Korean studies which showed that idiosyncratic risk is more important than systematic risk in Korean bond market. The reason for the different result may be the longer sample period which includes the most recent period. It is insisted that Korean bond market is getting more synchronized with the advanced bond market. In conclusion, this empirical result implies that Korean bond portfolio managers should focus on systematic risk, which is contrary to current system in Korean asset management industry.

[Retracted]Relationship between Corporate Governance and Risk Disclosure: A Systematic Literature Review Using R-Tools

  • Ag Kaifah Riyard, KIFLEE;Nornajihah Nadia, HASBULLAH;Suddin, LADA;Faerozh, MADLI
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.355-365
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    • 2023
  • This study examined the relationship between corporate governance and risk disclosure via a systematic literature review and bibliometric visualization analysis. The study aimed to present evidence of risk disclosure intellectual structure, volume, and development knowledge trends. Data was extracted from Scopus and analyzed with Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines and RTools. In turn, 64 articles were extracted from the Scopus database. The results demonstrated that the number of corporate governance and risk disclosure publications increased significantly from 2015 to 2019 compared to before 2015. RTools revealed the most prominent journals, authors, and interests in the field. The co-occurrences map was constructed based on 208 keywords from 64 articles, where the keywords were required to appear once in the research. Interestingly, the keyword search yielded new concepts relatively unexplored in the risk disclosure field. The 13 clusters were generated, which contained 1987 total links and 1567 direct citations. Based on the scientific analysis discussion, corporate governance and risk disclosure is an interesting topic that has produced many publications. Applying research keywords arguably aided in producing and publishing papers in top journals. Despite the number of publications decreasing due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the pandemic also presented new opportunities for future research.

Time-Varying Systematic Risk of the Stocks of Korean Logistics Firms

  • Kim, Chi-Yeol
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
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    • v.41 no.2
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2017
  • This paper aims to investigate the time-varying systematic risk of the stocks of Korean logistics firms. For this purpose, the period from January 1991 to October 2016 was examined with respect to 21 logistics companies that are listed on the Korea Exchange. The systematic risk of the logistics stocks is measured in terms of the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) beta for which the sensitivity of a stock is compared to the return changes of the whole market. Overall, the betas of the stocks of the Korean logistics companies are significantly lower than those of the market unity; however, it was revealed that the logistics betas are not constant, but are actually time-varying according to different economic regimes, which is consistent with the previous empirical findings. This finding is robust across different measurements of the logistics betas. In addition, the impact of macroeconomic factors on the logistics betas was examined. The present study shows that the logistics betas are positively associated with foreign exchange-rate changes.

Firm's Risk and Capital Structure: An Empirical Analysis of Seasonal and Non-Seasonal Businesses

  • TAHIR, Safdar Husain;MOAZZAM, Mirza Muhammad;SULTANA, Nayyer;AHMAD, Gulzar;SHABIR, Ghulam;NOSHEEN, Filza
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.7 no.12
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    • pp.627-633
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    • 2020
  • The study attempts to analyze the impact of firm's risk on capital structure in the context of seasonal and non-seasonal businesses. We use two independent variables namely credit risk and systematic risk and one dependent variable to explore this connection. Sugar sector is taken as seasonal while the textile sector as non-seasonal businesses. The panel data of twenty-five firms from each sector are taken ranging for the period of 2012 to 2019 which has been retrieved from their annual reports for empirical analysis of the study. The results reveal the negative impact of credit risk on capital structure in both types of businesses. Increasing (decreasing) one point of credit risk causes a decrease (increase) leverage ratio by 0.27 points for seasonal while increasing (decreasing) one point of credit risk causes to decrease (increase) leverage by 0.15 points for non-seasonal businesses. Furthermore, the study shows positive impact of systematic risk on leverage ratio in non-seasonal business and no impact in seasonal business. Any increase (decrease) in the systematic risk causes an incline (decline) leverage ratio by 2.68 units for non-seasonal businesses. The study provides a guideline to managers for risk management in businesses. The research focusses on theoretical as well as managerial and policy implications on risk management in businesses.

Empirical Analysis on the Stress Test Using Credit Migration Matrix (신용등급 전이행렬을 활용한 위기상황분석에 관한 실증분석)

  • Kim, Woo-Hwan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.253-268
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we estimate systematic risk from credit migration (or transition) matrices under "Asymptotic Single Risk Factor" model. We analyzed transition matrices issued by KR(Korea Ratings) and concluded that systematic risk implied on credit migration somewhat coincide with the real economic cycle. Especially, we found that systematic risk implied on credit migration is better than that implied on the default rate. We also emphasize how to conduct a stress test using systematic risk extracted from transition migration. We argue that the proposed method in this paper is better than the usual method that is only considered for the conditional probability of default(PD). We found that the expected loss critically increased when we explicitly consider the change of credit quality in a given portfolio, compared to the method considering only PD.

Library Risk Management and Insurance (도서관 리스크관리와 보험)

  • Chung, Hye-Kyoung
    • Journal of Information Management
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2000
  • The potential risks, involved with the management of a library, may cause a tremendous economic loss, so require a systematic management. The rist management process, consisting of risk identification, risk measurement selection of risk treatment methods, implementation, and monitoring and evaluation, suggests the use of insurance to deal with property risks, liability risks and personnel risks. For the systematic risk management of a library, risk manager should be appointed to be responsible for program development and insurance purchase. The limited coverage of library risks, provided by the school cooperative society, should be supplemented through development of insurance products. Further study is required to improve the library risk management and the application of insurance in a systematic and realistic way.

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