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A Study on the Development of Optimization Model for Enterprise Value Analysis

기업가치 분석을 위한 최적 모형 개발에 관한 연구

  • Gu, Seung-Hwan (Defense Agency for Technology and Quality) ;
  • Shin, Tack-Hyun (Department of Industrial & Information Systems Engineering, Seoul National University of Science and Technology) ;
  • Ibrokhimov, Bakhrom (Department of Industrial & Information Systems Engineering, Seoul National University of Science and Technology)
  • Received : 2015.06.10
  • Accepted : 2015.10.08
  • Published : 2015.10.31

Abstract

Investors analyze corporate value using the methodology trying to simultaneously satisfy the profitability and stability. In this study, comparing/combining the methodology of corporate value analysis to present a method of analyzing the optimal corporate value. The results of this study can be classified into two. First, it is a model derivation for corporate value analysis. EVA, AEM, and DDM models, to analyze the results, it was look in terms of profitability and stability. EVA and AEM model was stable than the market, profitability appear high, it was suitable to assess the value of the company. However, DDM, which is more stable than the market, profitability is low, it was not suitable. Secondly, by metering the existing methodology presented a new analysis method. A result of a combination of methodology was analyzed by deformation model, "AEM + DEA" and "DDM + DEA", "AEM + EVA", it was found that it is better than the market and the traditional model. AEM and DDM modified model was also found to be better than the market and the existing methodologies. This was reflected in a situation where a change in market environment based on, for being able to present an appropriate analytical method, it can find the suggestions of the study.

투자자들은 수익률과 안정성을 동시에 만족시키고자 방법론을 사용하여 기업 가치를 분석한다. 본 연구에서는 기업 가치 분석 방법론을 비교하고 조합하여 최적의 기업가치 분석방법을 제시하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 2가지로 구분할 수 있다. 첫째, 기업 가치 분석을 위한 모형 도출이다. 모형을 도출하기 위해 EVA, 초과이익, 배당할인의 3개 모형을 사용하였으며, 성과를 분석하기 위해 수익성과 안정성 측면에서 살펴보고 최적의 방법론을 제시하였다. 분석 결과, EVA와 초과이익모형은 시장보다 안정적이며, 수익성은 높게 나타나 기업의 가치를 평가하는데 적합했다. 하지만 배당할인 모형은 시장보다 안정적이지만 수익성이 낮게 나타나 기업가치 분석방법에 적용은 적합하지 않았다. 둘째, 기존의 방법론을 계량하여 새로운 분석방법을 제시하였다. 기존 방법론의 조합 및 변형 모형으로 분석한 결과 '초과이익 + DEA 모형'과 '배당할인 + DEA 모형', '초과이익 + EVA 모형'은 시장과 기존의 모형 보다 우수한 것을 알 수 있었다. 초과이익과 배당할인 모형의 변형모형도 시장 및 기존 방법론보다 우수한 것을 알 수 있었다. 이러한 방법으로 시장 환경이 변화하는 상황을 반영하여 적절한 분석방법을 제시할 수 있다는데 본 연구의 시사점을 찾을 수 있다.

Keywords

References

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