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A Study on the Effect Analysis for the Regeneration Project for the Zones Vulnerable to Natural Disaster using Structural Equation Model

구조방정식 모형을 이용한 자연재해위험지구 정비사업 효과 분석

  • Lee, Kyung Su (International Center for Urban Water Hydroinformatics Research & Innovation (ICUH)) ;
  • Jung, Jae Kwang (International Center for Urban Water Hydroinformatics Research & Innovation (ICUH)) ;
  • Heo, Bo Young (National Disaster Management Institute) ;
  • Byeon, Seong Joon (International Center for Urban Water Hydroinformatics Research & Innovation (ICUH))
  • 이경수 ((재)국제도시물정보과학연구원) ;
  • 정재광 ((재)국제도시물정보과학연구원 기획실) ;
  • 허보영 (국립방재연구원) ;
  • 변성준 ((재)국제도시물정보과학연구원)
  • Received : 2013.03.14
  • Accepted : 2013.05.22
  • Published : 2013.08.31

Abstract

In the modern society with high science and technological level, many people have been tried to mitigate natural disaster. The disaster was so huge that we made special service organization which deal with 'The Natural Disaster Endangered Districts'. But the analysis of the organization's works was inadequate. In order to analyze their regeneration project, this study selected analysis area and did a spot survey. We did validity, reliability tests and statistical data analysis of this survey. We also did reliability analysis of this policy using Structural Equation Model. According to the result, there is a reasonable suitability in 'The Natural Disaster Repair work Policy'. And it also improved spiritual, substantial environment of the surrounding people. The people formed positive awareness about Government Repairing Policy. This 'Natural Disaster Repair work Policy' is essential to improve and develop local community. Therefore it will affect democratic development of society.

최근 과학기술이 고도로 발달되어 있는 현대사회에서 자연재해에 대한 지속적인 대비와 예측이 진행되고 있는 가운데 인간은 자연재해를 극복하기 위하여 오랜기간 꾸준하게 노력을 시도하고 있다. 그러나 자연재해의 피해 또한 인간의 노력 이상으로 커지고 있으며 자연재해를 예방하기 위해서 자연재해위험지구 정비사업을 수행하고 있다. 그러나 정비사업 결과에 대한 구체적인 효과분석이 미비한 상태이다. 본 연구에서는 자연재해위험지구 정비사업의 효과를 분석하기 위하여 분석대상지구를 선정하고 지역주민 현장설문조사를 실시하여 설문도구의 타당성과 신뢰도 분석을 실시하고 빈도 분석 및 기술통계 분석을 실시하였다. 또한 구조방정식모형(AMOS)을 통하여 정책의 타당성을 분석하였다. 분석결과 자연재해정비사업의 정책은 합리성과 적합성이 담보되어 있고, 지역주민의 정신적 물리적 환경을 개선시키는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 정비사업에 대하여 긍정적인 인식을 형성하였으며, 정부의 정치적 지지도까지 향상시키는 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 자연재해정비사업의 진행은 합리성과 적합성이 담보된 사업이고 이는 지역사회를 발전시키고 건전한 민주주의 발전까지 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다.

Keywords

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