DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Estimation of the Gastric Cancer Incidence in Tehran by Two-Source Capture-recapture

  • Aghaei, Abbas (Clinical Research Development Center, Imam Khomeini Hospital) ;
  • Ahmadi-Jouibari, Toraj (Clinical Research Development Center, Imam Khomeini Hospital) ;
  • Baiki, Omid (Department of Epidemiology, Unit of Clinical Epidemiology, Department of Medicine Solna, Karolinska Institutet) ;
  • Mosavi-Jarrahi, Alireza (Department of Epidemiology, The Cancer Research Center of the Cancer Institute, School of Public Health, Shaheed Beheshti University of Medical Sciences)
  • Published : 2013.02.28

Abstract

Introduction: Capture-recapture methods have been suggested for reducing costs of disease registration as well as reducing bias in incidence estimations. This study aimed to estimate the gastric cancer incidence in the Tehran metropolis population during 2002-2006. Materials and Methods: We investigated new cases of gastric cancer reported by three sources; death certificates, pathology reports, and medical records to Tehran population-based cancer registry during 2002-2006. $G^2$ statistics and the two-source capture-recapture method were used to select the best-fitted log-linear model and to estimate incidence, respectively. EXCEL software version 2007 and SPSS software version 16 were used for this research. Results: The number of reported cases was 4,463, with an average age of 68.5 (${\pm}12.9$) years. We found the model that combined two sources of data including pathology reports and medical records and furthermore complemented by death certificates as the best model. The reported and the estimated incidences were 11.0 and 27.1 per 100,000 respectively. Conclusions: The incidence estimated by two-source capture-recapture method is about three times higher than the incidence reported by the sources under investigation. It is recommended to move towards the implementation of population-based cancer registration using various sources of data collection to achieve more accurate data.

Keywords

References

  1. Aghaei A, Najafi F, Mosavi-Jarrahi A, Ahmadi-Jouibari T (2012). Coverage, density and completeness of sources used in Tehran metropolitan area cancer registry: according to the data of esophageal cancer, 2003-2007. Asian Pac J Cancer Prev, 13, 3617-9. https://doi.org/10.7314/APJCP.2012.13.8.3617
  2. Babaei M, Jaafarzadeh H, Sadjadi AR (2009). Cancer incidence and mortality in ardabil: report of an ongoing population-based cancer registry in Iran, 2004-2006. Ir J Public Hlth, 38, 35-45.
  3. Biglarian A, Hajizadeh E, Kazemnejad A, Zali M (2009). Survival analysis of gastric cancer patients using cox model: a five year study. Tehran University Med J (TUMJ), 67, 24-32.
  4. Biglaryan A, Hajizade E, Gohari M, Khodabakhshi R (2008). Survival analysis of patients with gastric cancer and related factors. Kowsar Med J, 12, 337-47.
  5. Boyle P, Levin B (2008). World cancer report 2008, IARC Press, Int Agency for Research on Cancer, 308-10.
  6. Buckland ST, Goudie IBJ, Borchers DL (200). Wildlife population assessment: past developments and future directions. Biometrics, 56, 1-12. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.0006-341X.2000.00001.x
  7. Cochi SL, Edmonds LE, Dyer K (1989). Congenital rubella syndrome in the United States, 1970-1985. Am J Epidemiol, 129, 349-55.
  8. GLOBOCAN (2008). Available from: http://globocan.iarc.fr/factsheets/cancers/stomach.asp.
  9. Haidari M, Nikbakht MR, Pasdar Y, Najafi F (2o12). Trend analysis of gastric cancer incidence in Iran and its six geographical areas during 2000-2005. Asian Pac J Cancer Prev, 13, 3335-41 https://doi.org/10.7314/APJCP.2012.13.7.3335
  10. Hajyan K, Firuzjahi A, Taghikya M (2003). Epidemiological study of cancers in the city of Babylon in the age pattern 2001. J Med, 27, 239-45.
  11. Hilsenbeck SG, Kurucz C, Duncan RC (1992) Estimation of completeness and adjustment of age-specific and age-standardized incidence rates. Biometrics, 48, 1249-62. https://doi.org/10.2307/2532716
  12. Hook EB, Regal RR (1995). Capture-recapture methods in epidemiology: methods and limitations. Epidemiol Rev, 17, 243-9.
  13. International Working Group for Disease Monitoring and Forecasting (1995). Capture-recapture and multiple-record systems estimation II: applications in human diseases. Am J Epidemiol, 142, 1059-68.
  14. Kolahdoozan S, Sadjadi A, Amir Reza R, Khademi H (2010). Five common cancers in Iran. Arch Iran Med, 13, 143-6.
  15. Laporte RE, Tull ES, McCarty D (1992). Monitoring the incidence of myocardial infarctions: applications of capture-mark-recapture technology. Int J Epidemiol, 21, 257-63.
  16. Laporte RE, McCarty DJ, Tull ES, Tajima N (1992). Counting birds, bees, and NCDs. Lancet, 339, 494-9
  17. Matsuda T, Marugame T, Kamo K (2008). Cancer incidence and incidence rates in Japan in 2002: based on data from 11 population-based cancer registries. Jpn J Clin Oncol, 38, 641-8. https://doi.org/10.1093/jjco/hyn074
  18. Maydeu-Olivares A, Cai L (2006). A cautionary note on using G2 (dif) to assess relative model fit in categorical data analysis. Multivariate Behavioral Res, 41, 55-64. https://doi.org/10.1207/s15327906mbr4101_4
  19. McCarty DJ, Tull ES, Moy CS, Kwoh CK, LaPorte RE (1993). Ascertainment corrected rates: applications of capture-recapture methods. Int J Epidemiol, 22, 559-64 https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/22.3.559
  20. McClish D, Penberthy L (2004). Using multivariate capture-recapture techniques and statewide hospital discharge data to assess the validity of a cancer registry for epidemiologic use. Hlth Services and Outcomes Res Methodol, 5, 141-52. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10742-005-4305-6
  21. Mehrabian AA, Esna-Ashari F, Zham H (2010). Gastric cancer prevalence, according to survival data in Iran (National Study-2007). Ir J Public Hlth, 39, 27-31.
  22. Mohagheghi MA, Mosavi-Jarrahi A, Malekzadeh R, Parkin M (2009). Cancer incidence in tehran metropolis: the first report from the tehran population-based cancer registry, 1998-2001. Arch Ir Med, 12, 15-23.
  23. Parkin DM, Chen VW, Ferlay J, et al (1994). Comparability and Quality Control in Cancer Registration. Lyon: International Agency for Research on Cancer. IARC Technical Report.
  24. Rajaeifard A, Moghimi-Dehkordi B, Tabatabaei SMR, Safaei A, Tabeeiet SZ (2011). Epidemiological and clinical features of gastric cancer: a descriptive study of registered cases of cancer in fars province (1380-85). Teb-E-Jonoob, 14, 114-21.
  25. Robles SC, Marrett LD, Aileen CE, Risch HA (1988). An application of capture-recapture methods to the estimation of completeness of cancer registration. J Clinical Epidemiol, 41, 495-501. https://doi.org/10.1016/0895-4356(88)90052-2
  26. Schouten LJ, Straatman H, Kiemeney LALM, Gimbrere CHF, Verbeek ALM (1994). The capture-recapture method for estimation of cancer registry completeness: a useful tool? Int J Epidemiol, 23, 1110-4.
  27. Sekar CC, Deming WE (1949). On a method of estimating birth and death rates and the extent of registration. J Am Statistical Assoc, 44, 101-15. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1949.10483294
  28. Tilling K (2001). Capture-recapture methods-useful or misleading? Int J Epidemiol, 30, 12-4. https://doi.org/10.1093/ije/30.1.12
  29. Wittes J, Sidel VW (1968). A generalization of the simple capture-recapture model with applications to epidemiological research*1. J Chronic Diseases, 21, 287-301. https://doi.org/10.1016/0021-9681(68)90038-6
  30. Wittes JT, Colton T, Sidel VW (1974). Capture-recapture methods for assessing the completeness of case ascertainment when using multiple information sources. J Chronic Diseases, 27, 25-31. https://doi.org/10.1016/0021-9681(74)90005-8

Cited by

  1. Patho-epidemiological Features of Esophageal and Gastric Cancers in an Endemic Region: a 20-year Retrospective Study vol.14, pp.6, 2013, https://doi.org/10.7314/APJCP.2013.14.6.3491
  2. Estimation of Esophageal Cancer Incidence in Tehran by Log-linear Method using Population-based Cancer Registry Data vol.14, pp.9, 2013, https://doi.org/10.7314/APJCP.2013.14.9.5367
  3. Modeling of Influential Predictors of Gastric Cancer Incidence Rates in Golestan Province, North Iran vol.15, pp.3, 2014, https://doi.org/10.7314/APJCP.2014.15.3.1111
  4. Estimation of Completeness of Cancer Registration for Patients Referred to Shiraz Selected Centers through a Two Source Capture Re-capture Method, 2009 Data vol.16, pp.13, 2015, https://doi.org/10.7314/APJCP.2015.16.13.5549
  5. Estimating the Completeness of Gastric Cancer Registration in Ardabil/Iran by a Capture-Recapture Method using Population-Based Cancer Registry Data vol.16, pp.5, 2015, https://doi.org/10.7314/APJCP.2015.16.5.1981
  6. Epidemiology Characteristics and Trends of Incidence and Morphology of Stomach Cancer in Iran vol.16, pp.7, 2015, https://doi.org/10.7314/APJCP.2015.16.7.2757
  7. Accuracy of Endoscopic Ultrasonography for Determination of Tumor Invasion Depth in Gastric Cancer vol.16, pp.8, 2015, https://doi.org/10.7314/APJCP.2015.16.8.3141