An Empirical Study on the Time Lag Effect of the Academic Performance of a National R&D Program

국가연구개발사업의 학술적 성과의 시차효과에 관한 실증적 연구

  • Jeong, Byung-Ho (Dept. of Industrial and Information Systems Engineering, Chonbuk National University) ;
  • Cheon, Kang-Min (Dept. of Industrial and Information Systems Engineering, Chonbuk National University) ;
  • Yang, Jae-Kyung (Dept. of Industrial and Information Systems Engineering, Chonbuk National University)
  • 정병호 (전북대학교 산업정보시스템공학과) ;
  • 천강민 (전북대학교 산업정보시스템공학과) ;
  • 양재경 (전북대학교 산업정보시스템공학과)
  • Received : 2011.11.17
  • Accepted : 2012.01.19
  • Published : 2012.03.31

Abstract

This study examines the relationship between R&D investment and subsequent outputs of the research activity. Usually, there is some time difference between the production of research outputs, such as academic papers and application or registration of patents, and the investment of R&D expenditure. The time lag for producing this kind of research outputs should be considered to evaluate the performance of research activity exactly. The purpose of this study is to identify time lag effect between the times of input and output of a R&D activity and to derive the degree of time lag using the data set of a long term R&D program supported by Korean government. A modified Almon model is suggested to identify the time lag effect between input and output of research activities performed by this program. Time-series cross-section data from 16 research centers between 2001 and 2009 are used to find time lag effect.

Keywords

References

  1. 이재하; "R&D 투입과 성과간의 시간 지연 분석", 기술경영경제학회 제11회 하계학술발표회논문집, 160-171, 1997.
  2. Almon, S.; "The distributed Lag Between Capital Approximation and Expenditures," Econometrica, 33(1) : 178-196, 1965. https://doi.org/10.2307/1911894
  3. Bhargava, A. and Sargan, J. D.; "Estimating Dynamic Random Effects Models From Panel Data Covering Short Time Periods," Econiometrica, 51(6) : 1635-1659, 1983. https://doi.org/10.2307/1912110
  4. Branch, B.; "R&D activity and profitability : A distributed lag analysis," J. of Political Economy, 82(51) : 999-1011, 1974. https://doi.org/10.1086/260252
  5. Bronwyn, H. H., Griliches, Z., and Hausman, J. A.; "Patents and R&D : Is There A Lag," International Economic Review, 27(2) : 265-283, 1986. https://doi.org/10.2307/2526504
  6. Ernest, H.; "Patent Applications and Subsequent Changes of Performance : Evidence from Time-series Cross-section analysis on The Firm Level," Research Policy, 30(1) : 143-157, 2001. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0048-7333(99)00098-0
  7. Mansfield, E.; "Academic Research and Industrial Innovation," Research Policy, 20(1) : 1-12, 1991. https://doi.org/10.1016/0048-7333(91)90080-A
  8. Pakes, A. and Griliches, Z.; "Estimating distributed lags in short panels with an application to the specification of depreciation patterns and capital stock constructs," Review of Economic Studies, 51 : 243-262, 1984. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297690
  9. Sims, C. A.; "Distributed Lags," in M. D. Intriligator and D. A Kendrick, eds, Frontier of Quantitative Economics, Vol II, North-Holland, 1974.