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The Sensitivity Comparison of Each Risk Factors Analysis on Renewable Energy and Other Generating Technologies

신재생 에너지와 기존 발전기술과의 투자리스크 요인별 민감도 비교

  • Received : 2011.11.12
  • Accepted : 2011.12.22
  • Published : 2011.12.25

Abstract

Recently, electricity industry is facing high market uncertainty which has ever had and which increase risks in power market. In this study, we analyze risk factors such as discount rates, initial investment (overnight cost), plant factor, fuel cost, carbon price, etc, for the perspective of investor. For the analysis of risk factors, we used LCOE method. The results of this study show that renewable energy is more affected by plant factor and overnight cost than other risk factors. First, Renewable energy has higher proportion of overnight cost in the total investment than that of other technologies. Second, renewable energy is free of fuel cost and carbon price so plant factor is the most important factor, in other words, competitiveness of renewable energy depends on plant factor. Furthermore, we conducted economic feasibility of wind power and PV in domestic case study. The minimum requirement condition to get profitability is that plant factor 15% and overnight cost \6,000,000/kW and 26%, \2,200,000/kW for PV and Wind Power, respectively.

Keywords

References

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Cited by

  1. 사회적 할인율을 고려한 국내육상풍력발전 단지의 LCOE 분석 vol.40, pp.1, 2011, https://doi.org/10.7836/kses.2020.40.1.001