지능정보연구 (Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems)

  • 제6권2호
  • /
  • Pages.91-98
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  • 2000
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  • 2288-4866(pISSN)
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  • 2288-4882(eISSN)
한국지능정보시스템학회 (Korea Intelligent Information System Society)
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프로젝트기간예측모델을 위한 의사결정지원시스템

Decision Support System for Project Duration Estimation Model

  • 발행 : 2000.12.01
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초록

Despite their wide application of some traditional project management techniques like the Program Evaluation and Review Technique, they lack of learning, one of important factors in many disciplines today, due to a static view for project progression. This study proposes a framework for estimation by loaming based on a Linear Bayesian approach. As a project Progresses, we sequentially observe the durations of completed activities. By reflecting this newly available information to update the distribution of remaining activity durations and thus project duration, we can implement a decision support system that updates e.g., the expected project completion time as well as the probabilities of completing the project within the due bate and by a certain date. By implementing such customized system, project manager can be aware of changing project status more effectively and better revise resource allocation plans.

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참고문헌

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