Error Analysis of Measure-Correlate-Predict Methods for Long-Term Correction of Wind Data

  • Vaas, Franz (Korea Institute of Energy Research, leave from Stuttgart University) ;
  • Kim, Hyun-Goo (Korea Institute of Energy Research) ;
  • Seo, Hyun-Soo (Korea Wind Energy Development Organization) ;
  • Kim, Seok-Woo (Korea Institute of Energy Research)
  • ;
  • 김현구 (한국에너지기술연구원) ;
  • 서현수 (한국풍력기술개발사업단) ;
  • Published : 2008.10.16

Abstract

In these days the installation of wind turbines or wind parks includes a high financial risk. So for the planning and the constructing of wind farms, long-term data of wind speed and wind direction is required. However, in most cases only few data are available at the designated places. Traditional Measure-Correlate-Predict (MCP) can extend this data by using data of nearby meteorological stations. But also Neural Networks can create such long-term predictions. The key issue of this paper is to demonstrate the possibility and the quality of predictions using Neural Networks. Thereto this paper compares the results of different MCP Models and Neural Networks for creating long-term data with various indexes.

Keywords