Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference (한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집)

The Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society (한국경영과학회)
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A Simplified Model of the CIA based on Scaling Theory

척도이론에 근거한 CIA의 간편화 모형

  • 전정철 (성균관대학교 산업공학과) ;
  • 임동준 (성균관대학교 산업공학과) ;
  • 안기현 (성균관대학교 산업공학과) ;
  • 권철신 (성균관대학교 시스템경영공학과 R&D공학)
  • Published : 2008.10.31
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Abstract

This study is intended to develop a improved version of Cross Impact Analysis Model based on Scaling Theory. In developing the model, we applied the scale transformation technique and regression technique to existing CIA model. Improved CIA model is composed of two sub-models: 'model for impact value measurement,' and 'model for impact value conversion'. We applied a technique which measures data by ordinal scale and then transforms them into interval scale and ratio scale data to CIA model. The accuracy of forecasting and the usability of CIA application have been improved.

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