• Title/Summary/Keyword: worst case scenario

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A Conservative Safety Study on Low-Level Radioactive Waste Repository Using Radionuclide Release Source Term Model (선원항 모델을 사용한 저준위 방사성폐기물 처분장의 보수적인 안전성고찰)

  • Kim, Chang-Lak;Lee, Myung-Chan;Cho, Chan-Hee
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 1993
  • A simplified safety assessment is carried out on rock-cavern type disposal of LLW using the analytical repository source term (REPS) model. For reliable prediction of the leach rates for various radionuclides, degradation of concrete structures, corrosion rate of waste container, degree of corrosion on the container surface, and the characteristics of radionuclides are considered in the REPS model. The results of preliminary assessment show that Cs-137, Ni-63, and Sr-90 are dominant. For the parametric uncertainty and sensitivity analysis, Latin hypercube sampling technique and rank correlation technique are applied. The results of the potential public health impacts show that radiological dose to intruder in the worst case scenario will be negligible and that more attention should be given to near-field performance.

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Seismic behavior of soft storey mid-rise steel frames with randomly distributed masonry infill

  • Quayyum, Shahriar;Alam, M. Shahria;Rteil, Ahmad
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.523-545
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    • 2013
  • In this study, the effect of presence and distribution of masonry infill walls on the mid-rise steel frame structures having soft ground storey was evaluated by implementing finite element (FE) methods. Masonry infill walls were distributed randomly in the upper storey keeping the ground storey open without any infill walls, thus generating the worst case scenario for seismic events. It was observed from the analysis that there was an increase in the seismic design forces, moments and base shear in presence of randomly distributed masonry infill walls which underlines that these design values need to be amplified when designing a mid-rise soft ground storey steel frame with randomly distributed masonry infill. In addition, it was found that the overstrength related force modification factor increased and the ductility related force modification factor decreased with the increase in the amount of masonry infilled bays and panels. These must be accounted for in the design of mid-rise steel frames. Based on the FE analysis results on two mid-rise steel frames, design equations were proposed for determining the over strength and the ductility related force modification factors. However, it was recommended that these equations to be generalized for other steel frame structure systems based on an extensive analysis.

A Study on Simplified Robust Optimal Operation of Microgrids Considering the Uncertainty of Renewable Generation and Loads (신재생에너지와 부하의 불확실성을 고려한 마이크로그리드의 단순화된 강인최적운영 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Byung Ha
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.3
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    • pp.513-521
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    • 2017
  • Robust optimal operation of a microgrid is required since the increase of the penetration level of renewable generators in the microgrid raises uncertainty due to their intermittent power output. In this paper, an application of probabilistic optimization method to economical operation of a microgrid is studied. To simplify the treatment of the uncertainties of renewable generations and load, the new 'band of virtual equivalent load variation' is introduced considering their uncertainties. A simplified robust optimization methodology to generate the scenarios within the band of virtual equivalent load variation and to obtain the optimal solution for the worst scenario is presented based on Monte Carlo method. The microgrid to be studied here is composed of distributed generation system(DGs), battery systems and loads. The distributed generation systems include combined heat and power(CHP) and small generators such as diesel generators and the renewable energy generators such as photovoltaic(PV) systems and wind power systems. The modeling of the objective function for considering interruption cost by the penalty function is presented. Through the case study for a microgrid with uncertainties, the validity of proposed robust optimization methodology is evaluated.

A Study on Interference Effect between DTV Service and IMT Service (DTV 서비스와 IMT 서비스간 간섭 영향 연구)

  • Shim, Yong-Sup;Lee, Il-Kyoo;Chang, Sang-Hyun;Cho, In-Kyoung
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.61-68
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    • 2010
  • Korea has made a plan to allocate CH 14~CH 51 (470 MHz~698 MHz) for DTV transition. Therefore, It is a necessary to take account compatibility between DTV service and other potential services. This paper assumes that DTV service operates on CH 51(692 MHz~698 MHz) and IMT service operates on CH 52(698 MHz~704 MHz), and then analyzes compatibility between DTV service and IMT service with Spectrum Engineering Advanced Monte Carlo Analysis Tool(SEAMCAT). The interference probability from IMT service to DTV service and capacity loss of IMT service due to interference from DTV service is studied, respectively. For the simulation, four interference cases in four different scenarios are considered. With considering the depolarization factor, a guard band of 8 MHz is required in the case of between IMT service downlink(DL) and DTV service, in the case of between IMT service uplink(UL) and DTV service, a guard band of 6 MHz is needed for the worst case of urban scenario on consideration of more then 15 dB increase of IMT system base station(BS) receiver blocking level.

A Sensitivity Study of a Steam Generator Tube Rupture for the SMART-P (SMART 연구로의 증기발생기 전열관 파열사고 민감도 분석)

  • Kim Hee-Kyung;Chung Young-Jong;Yang Soo-Hyung;Kim Hee-Cheol;Zee Sung Quun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.20 no.2 s.70
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    • pp.32-37
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is for the sensitivity study f9r a Steam Generator Tube Rupture (SGTR) of the System-integrated Modular Advanced ReacTor for a Pilot (SMART-P) plant. The thermal hydraulic analysis of a SGIR for the Limiting Conditions for Operation (LCO) is performed using TASS/SMR code. The TASS/SMR code can calculate the core power, pressure, flow, temperature and other values of the primary and secondary system for the various initiating conditions. The major concern of this sensitivity study is not the minimum Critical Heat Flux Ratio(CHFR) but the maximum leakage amount from the primary to secondary sides at the steam generator. Therefore the break area causing the maximum accumulated break flow is researched for this reason. In the case of a SGIR for the SMART-p, the total integrated break flow is 11,740kg in the worst case scenario, the minimum CHFR is maintained at Over 1.3 and the hottest fuel rod temperature is below 606"I during the transient. It means that the integrity of the fuel rod is guaranteed. The reactor coolant system and the secondary system pressures are maintained below 18.7MPa, which is system design pressure.

Energy Balance and Power Performance Analysis for Satellite in Low Earth Orbit

  • Jang, Sung-Soo;Kim, Sung-Hoon;Lee, Sang-Ryool;Choi, Jae-Ho
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.253-262
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    • 2010
  • The electrical power system (EPS) of Korean satellites in low-earth-orbit is designed to achieve energy balance based on a one-orbit mission scenario. This means that the battery has to be fully charged at the end of a one-orbit mission. To provide the maximum solar array (SA) power generation, the peak power tracking (PPT) method has been developed for a spacecraft power system. The PPT is operated by a software algorithm, which tracks the peak power of the SA and ensures the battery is fully charged in one orbit. The EPS should be designed to avoid the stress of electronics in order to handle the main bus power from the SA power. This paper summarizes the results of energy balance to achieve optimal power sizing and the actual trend analysis of EPS performance in orbit. It describes the results of required power for the satellite operation in the worst power conditions at the end-of-life, the methods and input data used in the energy balance, and the case study of energy balance analyses for the normal operation in orbit. Both 10:35 AM and 10:50 AM crossing times are considered, so the power performance in each case is analyzed with the satellite roll maneuver according to the payload operation concept. In addition, the data transmission to the Korea Ground Station during eclipse is investigated at the local-time-ascending-node of 11:00 AM to assess the greatest battery depth-of-discharge in normal operation.

A Study on the Safety Distance of Benzene and Acrylonitrile Releases in Sccordance with Dike and Hole Size (벤젠 및 아크릴로나이트릴 누출시 방류벽 유무 및 누출공에 따른 피해 영향범위 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Kawg, Youngmin;Oak, Jaemin;Yoon, Sukyoung;Jung, Seungho
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.18-25
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    • 2018
  • As the industries become more developed, the amounts of hazardous materials have been increased. Because of that, the possibility of accidents in plants is expected to increase. Especially, the dispersions of toxic materials cause serious effect to human life and environment, So it is very important to confirm safety distance of discharge accident. For this paper, we proposed new algorithms for toxic liquid, such as benzene and acrylonitrile. and using this argorithm, we are going to predict safety distance. The scenario of accidental release was assumed to be the release of entire quantity in 10 minutes is defined as worst-case scenario and Instantaneous release. Also the release from a partial rupture of line is used as an alternative case scenarios as NICS(National Institute of Chemical Safety) guidelines. Using ALOHA program and the algorithm for liquid toxic materials and suggested the graph, as well as correlated equations which can utilize emergency responders.

Scenario-Driven Verification Method for Completeness and Consistency Checking of UML Object-Oriented Analysis Model (UML 객체지향 분석모델의 완전성 및 일관성 진단을 위한 시나리오기반 검증기법)

  • Jo, Jin-Hyeong;Bae, Du-Hwan
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.28 no.3
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    • pp.211-223
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    • 2001
  • 본 논문에서 제안하는 시나리오기반 검증기법의 목적은 UML로 작성된 객체지향 분석모델의 완전성 및 일관성을 진단하는 것이다. 검증기법의 전체 절차는 요구분석을 위한 Use Case 모델링 과정에서 생성되는 Use Case 시나리오와 UML 분석모델로부터 역공학적 방법으로 도출된 객체행위 시나리오와의 상호참조과정 및 시나리오 정보트리 추적과정을 이용하여 단계적으로 수행된다. 본 검증절차를 위하여 우선, UML로 작성된 객체지향 분석모델들은 우선 정형명세언어를 사용하여 Use Case 정형명세로 변환하다. 그 다음에, Use Case 정형명세로부터 해당 Use Case 내의 객체의 정적구조를 표현하는 시나리오 정보트리를 구축하고, Use Case 정형명세 내에 포함되어 있는 객체 동적행위 정보인 메시지 순차에 따라 개별 시나리오흐름을 시나리오 정보트리에 표현한다. 마지막으로 시나리오 정보트리 추적과 시나리오 정보 테이블 참조과정을 중심으로 완전성 및 일관성 검증작업을 수행한다. 즉, 검증하고자 하는 해당 Use Case의 시나리오 정보트리를 이용한 시나리오 추적과정을 통해 생성되는 객체행위 시나리오와 요구분석 과정에서 도출되는 Use Case 시나리오와의 일치여부를 조사하여 분석모델과 사용자 요구사양과의 완전성을 검사한다. 그리고, 시나리오 추적과정을 통해 수집되는 시나리오 관련종보들을 가지고 시나리오 정보 테이블을 작성한 후, 분석과정에서 작성된 클래스 관련정보들의 시나리오 포함 여부를 확인하여 분석모델의 일관성을 검사한다. 한편, 본 논문에서 제안하는 검증기법의 효용성을 증명하기 위해 대학의 수강등록시스템 개발을 위해 UML을 이용해 작성된 분석모델을 특정한 사례로써 적용하여 보았다. 프로세싱 오버헤드 및 메모리와 대역폭 요구량 측면에서 MARS 모델보다 유리함을 알 수 있었다.과는 본 논문에서 제안된 프리페칭 기법이 효율적으로 peak bandwidth를 줄일 수 있다는 것을 나타낸다.ore complicate such a prediction. Although these overestimation sources have been attacked in many existing analysis techniques, we cannot find in the literature any description about questions like which one is most important. Thus, in this paper, we quantitatively analyze the impacts of overestimation sources on the accuracy of the worst case timing analysis. Using the results, we can identify dominant overestimation sources that should be analyzed more accurately to get tighter WCET estimations. To make our method independent of any existing analysis techniques, we use simulation based methodology. We have implemented a MIPS R3000 simulator equipped with several switches, each of which determines the accuracy level of the

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New Development of Methods for Environmental Impact Assessment Facing Uncertainty and Cumulative Environmental Impacts (불확실성과 누적환경영향하에서의 환경영향평가를 위한 방법론의 새로운 개발)

  • Pietsch, Jurgen
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 1995
  • At both international and national levels, such as in the Rio Declaration and the EU's Fifth Environmental Action Plan, governments have committed themselves to the adoption of the precautionary principle (UNCED 1992, CEC 1992). These commitments mean that the existence of uncertainty in appraising policies and proposals for development should be acknowledged. Uncertainty arise in both the prediction of impacts and in the evaluation of their significance, particularly of those cumulative impacts which are individually insignificant but cumulatively damaging. The EC network of EIA experts, stated at their last meeting in Athens that indirect effects and the treatment of uncertainty are one of the main deficiencies of current EIA practice. Uncertainties in decision-making arise where choices have been made in the development of the policy or proposal, such as the selection of options, the justification for that choice, and the selection of different indicators to comply with different regulatory regimes. It is also likely that a weighting system for evaluating significance will have been used which may be implicit rather than explicit. Those involved in decision-making may employ different tolerances of uncertainty than members of the public, for instance over the consideration of the worst-case scenario. Possible methods for dealing with these uncertainties include scenarios, sensitivity analysis, showing points of view, decision analysis, postponing decisions and graphical methods. An understanding of the development of cumulative environmental impacts affords not only ecologic but also socio-economic investigations. Since cumulative impacts originate mainly in centres of urban or industrial development, in particular an analysis of future growth effects that might possibly be induced by certain development impacts. Not least it is seen as an matter of sustainability to connect this issue with ecological research. The serious attempt to reduce the area of uncertainty in environmental planning is a challenge and an important step towards reliable planning and sustainable development.

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Health Risk Assessment by Potential Exposure of NO2 and VOCs in Apartments (공동주택내 이산화질소(NO2) 및 휘발성유기화합물(VOCs) 노출에 따른 건강 위해성 평가)

  • Jung, Soon-Won;Yang, Won-Ho;Son, Bu-Soon
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.242-249
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    • 2007
  • Indoor air quality has become a topic of interest and concern. Especially changes in construction design and the increased use of synthetic products may result in an increasing of complaints and health effects about the quality of indoor air at home. In this study, nitrogen dioxide($NO_2$) and volatile organic compounds(VOCs) within new and established apartments on the basis of 4 years of building year were measured every 3 days consecutively during 60 days. We selected each 10 house in Seoul, Asan and Daegu, respectively, and produced risk numbers for hazard quotients, and predicted increases in incidence of cancer. The calculations were made for the adult with default exposure values and also made for a worst case scenario using Monte-Carlo simulation as describing the reasonable exposure(RME). Mean of Monte carlo analysis by benzene, in the construction under 4 years (male: $9.2{\times}10^{-5}$, female: $1.0{\times}10^{-4}$) and over 4 years (male: $6.8{\times}10^{-5}$, female: $8.3{\times}10^{-5}$) exceeded $10^{-6}$ of permitted standards in US EPA, RME of Monte carlo analysis. In construction under 4 yews (male: $9.9{\times}10^{-3}$, female: $9.6{\times}10^{-3}$) and over 4 years (male: $9.8{\times}10^{-3}$, female: $7.8{\times}10^{-3}$) exceeded $10^{-4}$ of maximum permitted standards in US EPA. The hazard index of non-carcinogenic pollutants by nitrogen dioxide, toluene, m,p-xylene and o-xylene, both male and female in apartment constructed under 4 yews and over 4 years was found less than the permitted standards of hazardous health effects in CTE. Significant cancer risks and non-cancer hazard quotients were predicted in under 4 yews of building year.