• 제목/요약/키워드: world risk society

검색결과 511건 처리시간 0.022초

다계층 분배형 공급사슬의 운영 개선을 위한 주문리스크 기반의 재주문정책과 실용적 근사방법 (An Improved Reorder Policy for the General Multi-Echelon Distribution Supply Chain based on the Order Risk)

  • 서용원
    • 한국경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국경영과학회 2003년도 추계학술대회 및 정기총회
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    • pp.159-165
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    • 2003
  • The objective of this paper is to provide an improved reorder decision policy for general multi-echelon distribution systems utilizing the shared stock information. Since it has been known that traditional reorder policies sometimes show poor performance in distribution systems, in our previous research we introduced the order risk policy which utilizes the shared stock information more accurately f3r the 2-echelon distribution system and proved the optimality. However, since the real world supply chain is generally composed with more than 2 echelons, we extend the order risk policy for the general multi-echelon systems. Since the calculation of the exact order risk value fur general multi-echelon systems is very complex, we provide two approximation methods. Through the computational experiment comparing the order risk policy with the existing policies under various conditions, we show the performance of the order risk policy and analyze the value of the shared stock information varying with the characteristics of the supply chain.

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An Examination of Variation in Risk Assessment Practices in Relation to Assessors' Goals: American and International Practices

  • Park, Lorenz R. mberg
    • Toxicological Research
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    • 제17권
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    • pp.219-225
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    • 2001
  • The basic structure for assessment of potential health risks from environmental chemicals is widely agreed upon, but many of the details of risk assessment procedures differ among practitioners. Government regulatory agencies typically have guidelines or standard procedures for their risk assessments, established to ensure consistency and comparability, to set standards for adequacy, and to embody underlying tenets. In setting and updating such guidelines, each agency takes into account not only the prevailing thinking about appropriate procedures, but also its own goals and responsibilities and the precedents it has set for itself in past analyses. This results in variations in methods, and consequently in characterization of risks, among regulatory assessments, even when they are based on the same data. As a result, adopting existing assessments from a variety of regulatory bodies needs to be done with caution. This paper examines some of the variants in risk assessment approaches among American federal regulatory agencies and relates them to the variations in regulatory responsibilities of those groups. Comparisons to international practices are also drawn. The impact on development of world-wide risk standards is discussed.

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Pesticide Risk and Benefit Assessment

  • Birtley, Robin D.N.
    • 한국잡초학회지
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.195-202
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    • 1993
  • The benefits of pesticides in improving the food quantity and quality requirements for an increasing world population are significant, and they can be described in agronomic, economic and social terms. The risks are assessed from the hazards which are likely to occur in practice ; the hazards are defined by the toxicity of the pesticide to non-target organisms at various exposure levels. There are ways of reducing the risks (mainly by reducing exposure in practice) and improving the benefits of pesticides ; these are known as risk management and benefit management respectively. The overall risk-benefit assessment is facilitated if each component can be expressed in financial terms, but it must be made nationally or locally on a sound technical basis against the prevailing agronomic, socio-economic and political circumstances. Paraquat is used to illustrate the risk-benefit assessment process in general terms, and the conclusion is that the benefits greatly outweigh the risks. It is important to keep the risks of pesticides in perspective with those associated with other naturally occurring chemicals in our diet and with other everyday aspects of life. In an overall context, the pesticide risk is small.

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Feasibility assessment of longevity swap for the Korean life annuity market

  • Lee, Changsoo;Hong, Jimin;Kim, Seongmin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.655-671
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    • 2021
  • This study analyzes the premium risk of insurers in Korea, which is expected to experience the fastest population aging in the world. Based on the Lee-Carter model, we generate 10,000 scenarios for the number of future survivors in the group of the 10,000 policyholders of life annuity. According to the result of simulation study, the probability of insurer's loss for both groups of male and female policyholders is very low. This result indicates that the premium risk of insurers is not as great as the insurer's concern. This study also suggests introduction of the longevity swap as an alternative to manage the premium risk for the insurer which sells life annuity products. The longevity swap allows insurers to hedge premium risk and reduce capital burden due to the premium risk inherent in life annuity. This study also shows through examples that the counterparty of swap deal may have excess profit in exchange for taking premium risk.

정량적 수해위험도 평가를 위한 세계 주요도시 강우특성의 비교연구 (Comparative Study on Rainfall Characteristic at World Cities for Evaluation of Flood Risk)

  • 박민규;박무종;신상영;유철상
    • 한국방재학회 논문집
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.175-182
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    • 2011
  • 재해의 위험으로부터 안전을 추구하는 시민들의 욕구는 계속 증가하고 있으며 이와 관련하여 최근 안전도시 만들기 등이 이슈가 되고 있다. 기후 및 기상특성이 상이한 세계 도시들을 대상으로 안전도시로서 평가를 받으려면 각 도시가 처한 재해위험성을 평가하는 과정이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 이와 관련하여 세계 주요도시의 실제 관측 강우량을 수집하였다. 서로 다른 특성을 가지는 강우를 비교하기 위해 특정 지역에서 최대로 발생가능할 것으로 예상되는 가능최대강수량을 이용하여 빈도계수 등 여러 가지 지표를 계산해보았다. 이러한 지표를 이용한 결과 우리나라 주요 도시가 보여주는 강우특성을 고찰할 수 있었다. 우리나라 호우의 강수량은 변동성이 다른 세계 주요 도시와 비교할 때 상대적으로 큰 특성을 가지고 있었다. 이러한 비교 결과들은 세계도시를 대상으로 하는 수해위험도 평가방법의 개발뿐만 아니라 향후 수해방지대책의 방향설정에 유용하게 사용될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

Multi-unit risk assessment of nuclear power plants: Current status and issues

  • Yang, Joon-Eon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제50권8호
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    • pp.1199-1209
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    • 2018
  • After the Fukushima-Daiichi accident in 2011, the multi-unit risk, i.e., the risk due to several nuclear power plants (NPPs) in a site has become an important issue in several countries such as Korea, Canada, and China. However, the multi-unit risk has been discussed for a long time in the nuclear community before the Fukushima-Daiichi nuclear accident occurred. The regulatory authorities around the world and the international organizations had proposed requirements or guidelines to reduce the multi-unit risk. The concerns regarding the multi-unit risk can be summarized in the following three questions: How much the accident of an NPP in a site affects the safety of other NPPs in the same site? What is the total risk of a site with many NPPs? Will the risk of the simultaneous accidents at several NPPs in a site such as the Fukushima Daiichi accident be low enough? The multi-unit risk assessment (MURA) in an integrated framework is a practical approach to obtain the answers for the above questions. Even though there were few studies to assess the multi-unit risk before the Fukushima-Daiichi nuclear accident, there are still several issues to be resolved to perform the complete MURA. This article aims to provide an overview of the multi-unit risk issues and its assessment. We discuss the several critical issues in the current MURA to get useful insights regarding the multi-unit risk with the current state art of probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) technologies. Also, the qualitative answers for the above questions are addressed.

API RP 581 Code를 기반으로한 LNG 플랜트의 Risk-Based Inspection(RBI) 기술 개발 (Development of Risk-Based Inspection(RBI) Technology for LNG Plant Based on API RP581 Code)

  • 최송천;최재붕;황인주
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • 제11권5호
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    • pp.179-183
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    • 2012
  • As one of promising solutions to overcome high oil price and energy crisis, the construction market of high value-added LNG plants is spotlighted world widely. The purpose of this study is to introduce LNG-RBI system to develop risk assessment technology with RAM(Reliability, Availability, Maintainability) modules against overseas monopolization. After analyzing relevant specific features and their technical levels, risk assessment program, non-destructive reliability evaluation strategy and safety criteria unification class are derived as core technologies. These IT-based convergence technologies can be used for enhancement of LNG plant efficiency, in which the modular parts are related to a system with artificial optimized algorithms as well as diverse databases of facility inspection and diagnosis fields.

유해화학물질 안전관리를 위한 중소사업장의 위험도 분류에 관한 연구 (A Study on Risk Classification of Small Plant for Safe Management of Hazardous Chemicals)

  • 이효은;김민규;이봉우
    • 한국산업융합학회 논문집
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.609-615
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    • 2021
  • Chemical accidents can happen anywhere in the world. To prevent chemical accidents, Korea introduced the Chemicals Control Act. However, Small and medium-sized businesses do not meet these regulations. Accordingly, the Ministry of Environment is providing a chemical safety management support project for Small and medium-sized businesses. However, there are many small and medium-sized businesses, and businesses that need support need priority. In this study, the risk of the plants was classified into hig h, medium, and low risk based on four methods. As a result, out of 90 plants subject to the study, high risk was 30% and medium risk was 70%. The industries with the high risk were chemical products manufacturing and paint manufacturing. The plating and printing industries showed relatively medium risk. This risk classification has the advantage that it can obtain intuitive and quick results. These studies can be used as basic data for chemical safety management of local governments and Ministry of Environment.

An Approach to Detect Health Risk of Dioxins

  • Pavittranon, Sumol;Sinhaseni, Palarp
    • Toxicological Research
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    • 제17권
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    • pp.323-327
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    • 2001
  • March 19, 1999, the renovation qf the runway of the Bo-Fai ai1field in Hua Hin, Prachubk-erikhan, Thailand, unearthed chemicals which were left over from the project "anch Hand Operation" held during the Vietnam war era. The chemical mixtures were analyzed by the US EPA, the Department oj Medical Sciences (DMSc), Ministry oj Public Health (MoPH) and the Pollution Control Department (PCD), the Ministry oj Science Technology and Environment (MOSTE) of Thailand, The samples were found to contain several defoliants used in the operation. They were 2,4-D, 2,4,5-T, Dicamba, Cocydelic acid, and Dioxins. Due to the complexity of the issue, the multiplicity of possible health effects, and the socio-economic implications for imports and exports, the Thai Society of Toxicology submitted a proposal to request World Health Organization (WHO), Geneva. The assistance is for the area of chemical safety and called for immediate action to explore the magnitude qf risk involved with Dioxins. In this paper we present our approach to health risk assessment which takes into an account the epidemiological studies of high-risk group exposed to the Ranch Hand operation. Dioxins are endocrine disruption chemicals which public concerns are developed due to presumption that a hazard exists (www.eva.gov/dioxins/html) for which current methodologies are deemed insufficient. The recent concepts of how oxidative stress toxicants may affect health end points and biomarkers of exposure of exposed individuals are discussed. While research activities are undergoing, The Thai Society of Toxicology do not anticipate significant risk to local residents and the environment due to our concurrence with opinion from the international experts invited by the World Health Organization proposed to the local experts at a workshop in Bangkok.n Bangkok.

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전과정평가에 있어 확률론적 건강영향분석기법 적용 -Part I : 전과정평가에 있어 확률론적 위해도 분석기법 적용방안에 관한 연구 (Application of Probabilistic Health Risk Analysis in Life Cycle Assessment -Part I : A General Framework for Uncertainty and Variability Analysis of Health Risk in Life Cycle Assessment)

  • 최광수;박재성
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.185-202
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    • 2000
  • Uncertainty and variability in Life Cycle Assessment(LCA) have been significant key issues in LCA methodology with techniques in other research area such as social and political science. Variability is understood as stemming from inherent variations in the real world, while uncertainty comes from inaccurate measurements, lack of data, model assumptions, etc. Related articles in this issues were reviewed for classification, distinguish and elaboration of probabilistic/stochastic health risk analysis application in LCA. Concept of focal zone, streamlining technique, scenario modelling and Monte Carlo/Latin Hypercube risk analysis were applied to the uncertainty/variability analysis of health risk in LCA. These results show that this general framework of multi-disciplinary methodology between probabilistic health risk assessment and LCA was of benefit to decision making process by suppling information about input/output data sensitivity, health effect priority and health risk distribution. There should be further research needs for case study using this methodology.

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