• Title/Summary/Keyword: weighted average method

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Determination of Flood Risk Considering Flood Control Ability and Urban Environment Risk (수방능력 및 재해위험을 고려한 침수위험도 결정)

  • Lee, Eui Hoon;Choi, Hyeon Seok;Kim, Joong Hoon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.9
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    • pp.757-768
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    • 2015
  • Recently, climate change has affected short time concentrated local rainfall and unexpected heavy rain which is increasingly causing life and property damage. In this research, arithmetic average analysis, weighted average analysis, and principal component analysis are used for predicting flood risk. This research is foundation for application of predicting flood risk based on annals of disaster and status of urban planning. Results obtained by arithmetic average analysis, weighted average analysis, and principal component analysis using many factors affect on flood are compared. In case of arithmetic average analysis, each factor has same weights though it is simple method. In case of weighted average analysis, correlation factors are complex by many variables and multicollinearty problem happen though it has different weights. For solving these problems, principal component analysis (PCA) is used because each factor has different weights and the number of variables is smaller than other methods by combining variables. Finally, flood risk assessment considering flood control ability and urban environment risk in former research is predicted.

Exponentially Weighted Moving Average Chart for High-Yield Processes

  • Kotani, Takayuki;Kusukawa, Etsuko;Ohta, Hiroshi
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.75-81
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    • 2005
  • Borror et al. discussed the EWMA(Exponentially Weighted Moving Average) chart to monitor the count of defects which follows the Poisson distribution, referred to the $EWMA_c$ chart, as an alternative Shewhart c chart. In the $EWMA_c$ chart, the Markov chain approach is used to calculate the ARL (Average Run Length). On the other hand, in order to monitor the process fraction defectives P in high-yield processes, Xie et al. presented the CCC(Cumulative Count of Conforming)-r chart of which quality characteristic is the cumulative count of conforming item inspected until observing $r({\geq}2)$ nonconforming items. Furthermore, Ohta and Kusukawa presented the $CS(Confirmation Sample)_{CCC-r}$ chart as an alternative of the CCC-r chart. As a more superior chart in high-yield processes, in this paper we present an $EWMA_{CCC-r}$ chart to detect more sensitively small or moderate shifts in P than the $CS_{CCC-r}$ chart. The proposed $EWMA_{CCC-r}$ chart can be constructed by applying the designing method of the $EWMA_C$ chart to the CCC-r chart. ANOS(Average Number of Observations to Signal) of the proposed chart is compared with that of the $CS_{CCC-r}$ chart through computer simulation. It is demonstrated from numerical examples that the performance of proposed chart is more superior to the $CS_{CCC-r}$ chart.

Speed Estimation by Applying Volume Weighted Average Methods in COSMOS (교통량 가중평균 방법을 적용한 COSMOS 속도 추정)

  • Lee Sang-soo;Lee Seung-hwan;Oh Young-Tae;Song Sung-ju
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.2 no.1 s.2
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 2003
  • COSMOS(Cycle, Offset, Split Model for Seoul), a real-time traffic adaptive signal system. estimates queue lengths on each approach on the basis of arithmetic average spot speeds calculated on loop detectors installed at each of two adjacent lanes. In this paper, A new method, a traffic volume-weighted average method, was studied and compared with the existing arithmetic average method. It was found that the relationship between the ratio of volumes of two lanes and the difference of average speed of each lane has a linear form. With field data, The two methods were applied and the proposed method shows more stable and reasonable queue estimation results.

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Optimization of Stacking Line and Blade Profile for Design of Axial Flow Fan Blade (중첩선과 단면형상을 고려한 축류 송풍기 날개의 최적설계)

  • Samad, Abdus;Lee, Ki-Sang;Jung, Sang-Ho;Kim, Kwang-Yong
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2008.03b
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    • pp.420-423
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    • 2008
  • This present work is to find optimum design of a NACA65 axial fan blade with weighted average surrogate model. The numerical analysis by Reynolds-average Navier-Stokes equations with shear stress turbulence(SST) is discretized by finite volume approximations and solved on hexahedral grids for flow analysis. The blade aerodynamic shape is modified by six design variables for the optimization. The blade profile as well as stacking line is modified to enhance blade total efficiency. Six design variables, airfoil maximum camber, maximum camber location, leading edge radius, trailing edge radius, lean angle at 50% span and lean angle at 100% span, are selected for blade profile to enhance the total efficiency. The PBA model which is basically weighted average of the basis surrogates is used to find the optimal design in the design space from the constructed response surface model for the objective function. By the optimization, the total efficiency is increased by 1.4%.

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Data Pattern Estimation with Movement of the Center of Gravity

  • Ahn Tae-Chon;Jang Kyung-Won;Shin Dong-Du;Kang Hak-Soo;Yoon Yang-Woong
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.210-216
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    • 2006
  • In the rule based modeling, data partitioning plays crucial role be cause partitioned sub data set implies particular information of the given data set or system. In this paper, we present an empirical study result of the data pattern estimation to find underlying data patterns of the given data. Presented method performs crisp type clustering with given n number of data samples by means of the sequential agglomerative hierarchical nested model (SAHN). In each sequence, the average value of the sum of all inter-distance between centroid and data point. In the sequel, compute the derivation of the weighted average distance to observe a pattern distribution. For the final step, after overall clustering process is completed, weighted average distance value is applied to estimate range of the number of clusters in given dataset. The proposed estimation method and its result are considered with the use of FCM demo data set in MATLAB fuzzy logic toolbox and Box and Jenkins's gas furnace data.

The Study of Prediction Model of Gas Accidents Using Time Series Analysis (시계열 분석을 이용한 가스사고 발생 예측 연구)

  • Lee, Su-Kyung;Hur, Young-Taeg;Shin, Dong-Il;Song, Dong-Woo;Kim, Ki-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.8-16
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    • 2014
  • In this study, the number of gas accidents prediction model was suggested by analyzing the gas accidents occurred in Korea. In order to predict the number of gas accidents, simple moving average method (3, 4, 5 period), weighted average method and exponential smoothing method were applied. Study results of the sum of mean-square error acquired by the models of moving average method for 4 periods and weighted moving average method showed the highest value of 44.4 and 43 respectively. By developing the number of gas accidents prediction model, it could be actively utilized for gas accident prevention activities.

Video Segmentation using the Automated Threshold Decision Algorithm (비디오 분할을 위한 자동 임계치 결정 알고리즘)

  • Ko Kyong-Cheol;Lee Yang-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.10 no.6 s.38
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    • pp.65-74
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    • 2005
  • This Paper Propose a robust scene change detection technique that use the weighted chi-square test and the automated threshold-decision algorithm. The weighted chi-test can subdivide the difference values of individual color channels by calculating the color intensities according to mSC standard, and it can detect the scene change by joining the weighted color intensities to the predefined chi-test which emphasize the comparative color difference values. The automated decision algorithm uses the difference values of frame-to-frame that was obtained by the weighted chi-test. In the first step, The average of total difference value and standard deviation value is calculated and then, subtract the mean value from the each difference values. In the next step, the same process is performed on the remained difference value. The propose method is tested on various sources and in the experimental results, it is shown that the Proposed method is efficiently estimates the thresholds and reliably detects scene changes.

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Scheduling Algorithm for Military Satellite Networks using Dynamic WDRR(Weighted Deficit Round Robin) (군사용 위성통신망을 위한 동적 WDRR기반의 스케줄링 알고리즘)

  • Lee, Gi-Yeop;Song, Kyoung-Sub;Kim, Dong-Seong
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics and Information Engineers
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.196-204
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    • 2013
  • In this paper, a scheduling algorithm is proposed for military satellite networks to improve QoS(Quality of Service) based on WDRR(Weighted Deficit Round Robin) method. When the packet size that has been queued to be larger, the proposed scheme DWDRR(Dynamic WDRR) method give appropriate additional quantum using EWMA(Exponentially Weighted Moving Average). To demonstrate an usefulness of proposed algorithm using OPNET modeler that built the simulation environment, reliability and real-time availability of the proposed algorithm is analyzed. The simulation results show an availability of proposed scheme in terms of reduce queuing delay and packet drop rate compared and analyzed the existing algorithms WRR(Weighted Round Robin), DRR(Deficit Round Robin) and WDRR with DWDRR.

A Semiparametric Estimation of the Contingent Valuation Model (조건부가치평가모형의 준모수 추정)

  • Park, Joo Heon
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.545-557
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    • 2003
  • A new semiparametric estimator of a dichotomous choice contingent valuation model is proposed by adapting the well-known density weighted average derivative of the regression function. A small sample behavior of the estimator is demonstrated very briefly by a simulation and the estimator is applied to estimate the WTP for preserving the Dong River area in Korea.

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Development of a Door System by Speaker Verification Using Weighted Cepstrum and Single Average Pattern

  • Kyung, Youn-Jeong
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.15 no.2E
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    • pp.60-68
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, we implement the door lock system based on pattern matching technique for speaker recognition using DTW. In this study, major features of our system are summarized as follows:(1) Make the average reference pattern using DTW. This method keeps the high recognition rate compared with the other systems whose performances degrade rapidly as time goes on. (2) Use F-ratio values of the cepstral coefficients. We find that the weighted cepstral reveals an effect on intensifying the difference between th customer and the imposter. The system hardware is composed of two parts : the door lock part and the speaker recognition processing part. We use an 8051 microprocessor in the door lock park for serial communication with host processor to open or close the lock. Using our system, we obtain speaker recognition rate of about 99.5%.

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