• Title/Summary/Keyword: weather parameters

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Stochastic Daily Weather Generations for Ungaged Stations (기상자료 미계측 지역의 추계학적 기상발생모형)

  • 강문성;박승우;진영민
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 1998
  • A stochastic weather generator which simulate daily precipitation, maximum and minimum daily temperature, relative humidity was developed. The model parameters were estimated using stochastic characteristics analysis of historical data of 71 weather stations. Spatial variations of the parameters for the country were also analyzed. Model parameters of ungauged Sites were determined from parameters of adjacent weather stations using inverse distance method. The model was verified on Suwon and Ulsan weather stations and showed good agreement between simulated and observed data.

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Statistical Modeling on Weather Parameters to Develop Forest Fire Forecasting System

  • Trivedi, Manish;Kumar, Manoj;Shukla, Ripunjai
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.221-235
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    • 2009
  • This manuscript illustrates the comparative study between ARIMA and Exponential Smoothing modeling to develop forest fire forecasting system using different weather parameters. In this paper, authors have developed the most suitable and closest forecasting models like ARIMA and Exponential Smoothing techniques using different weather parameters. Authors have considered the extremes of the Wind speed, Radiation, Maximum Temperature and Deviation Temperature of the Summer Season form March to June month for the Ranchi Region in Jharkhand. The data is taken by own resource with the help of Automatic Weather Station. This paper consists a deep study of the effect of extreme values of the different parameters on the weather fluctuations which creates forest fires in the region. In this paper, the numerical illustration has been incorporated to support the present study. Comparative study of different suitable models also incorporated and best fitted model has been tested for these parameters.

An Analysis of Temporal Characteristic Change for Various Hydrologic Weather Parameters (II ) - On the Variability, Periodicity - (각종 수문기상인자의 경년별 특성변화 분석 (II) - 변동성, 주기성을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Jae-Joon;Jang, Joo-Young;Kwak, Chang-Jae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.483-493
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    • 2010
  • In this study, for the purpose of analyzing variability and periodicity of Korean hydrologic weather parameters, 5 hydrologic weather parameters data such as annual precipitation, annual rainy days, annual average temperature, annual average relative humidity, annual duration of sunshine are collected from 63 domestic meteorological stations that has the hydrologic weather parameters records more than 30 years. And in this study the variability and periodicity using the statistical methods like Wald-Wolfowitz test, Mann-Whitney test, and Wavelet Transform about hydrologic weather parameters is analyzed. The results of statistical analysis of variability and periodicity can be summarized as follows: 1) Variability commonly appeared in annual average temperature and annual average relative humidity. 2) Annual precipitation, annual rainy days and annual duration of sunshine showed different results according to area. 3) Periodicity appeared in annual precipitation and annual rainy days but did not appeard in annual average temperature, annual average relative humidity and annual duration of sunshine.

A Study on Estimation of Cooling Load Using Forecasted Weather Data (기상 예보치를 이용한 냉방부하 예측 기법에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Kyu-Hyun;Yoo, Seong-Yeon;Lee, Je-Myo
    • Proceedings of the SAREK Conference
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    • 2008.06a
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    • pp.937-942
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, new methodology is proposed to estimate the cooling load using design parameters of building and predicted weather data. Only two parameters such as maximum and minimum temperature are necessary to obtain hourly distribution of cooling load for the next day. The maximum and minimum temperature that are used for input parameters can be obtained from forecasted weather data. Benchmarking building(research building) is selected to validate the performance of the proposed method, and the estimated cooling loads in hourly bases are calculated and compared with the measured data for benchmarking building. The estimated results show fairly good agreement with the measured data for benchmarking building.

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An Analysis of Temporal Characteristic Change for Various Hydrologic Weather Parameters (I) - On the Basic Statistic, Trend - (각종 수문기상인자의 경년별 특성변화 분석(I) - 기본통계량, 경향성을 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Jae-Joon;Jang, Joo-Young;Kwak, Chang-Jae
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.43 no.4
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    • pp.409-419
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    • 2010
  • In this study, for the purpose of analyzing the characteristics of Korean hydrologic weather parameters, 9 hydrologic weather parameters data such as annual precipitation, annual rainy days, annual average relative humidity, annual average temperature, annual duration of sunshine, annual evaporation, annual duration of precipitation, annual snowy days and annual new snowy days are collected from 63 domestic meteorological stations that has the hydrologic weather parameters records more than 30 years. And the basic characteristics of hydrologic weather parameters through basic statistics, moving average and linear regression analysis are perceived. Also trend using the statistical methods like Hotelling-Pabst test and Mann-Kendall test about hydrologic weather parameters is analyzed. Through results of basic analysis, moving average and linear regression analysis it is shown that precipitation is concentrated in summer and deviation of precipitation for each season showed significant difference in accordance with Korean climate characteristics, besides the increase in annual precipitation and annual average temperature, annual average relative humidity and annual duration of sunshine reduction and annual rainy days is said to increase or decrease. The results of statistical analysis of trend are summarized as trend commonly appeared in annual average relative humidity and annual average temperature. and annual precipitation, annual rainy days and annual duration of sunshine showed different results according to area.

Comparison of the Weather Station Networks Used for the Estimation of the Cultivar Parameters of the CERES-Rice Model in Korea (CERES-Rice 모형의 품종 모수 추정을 위한 국내 기상관측망 비교)

  • Hyun, Shinwoo;Kim, Tae Kyung;Kim, Kwang Soo
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.122-133
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    • 2021
  • Cultivar parameter calibration can be affected by the reliability of the input data to a crop growth model. In South Korea, two sets of weather stations, which are included in the automated synoptic observing system (ASOS) or the automatic weather system (AWS), are available for preparation of the weather input data. The objectives of this study were to estimate the cultivar parameter using those sets of weather data and to compare the uncertainty of these parameters. The cultivar parameters of CERES-Rice model for Shindongjin cultivar was calibrated using the weather data measured at the weather stations included in either ASO S or AWS. The observation data of crop growth and management at the experiment farms were retrieved from the report of new cultivar development and research published by Rural Development Administration. The weather stations were chosen to be the nearest neighbor to the experiment farms where crop data were collected. The Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) method was used to calibrate the cultivar parameters for 100 times, which resulted in the distribution of parameter values. O n average, the errors of the heading date decreased by one day when the weather input data were obtained from the weather stations included in AWS compared with ASO S. In particular, reduction of the estimation error was observed even when the distance between the experiment farm and the ASOS stations was about 15 km. These results suggest that the use of the AWS stations would improve the reliability and applicability of the crop growth models for decision support as well as parameter calibration.

Weather Conditions Drive the Damage Area Caused by Armillaria Root Disease in Coniferous Forests across Poland

  • Pawel Lech;Oksana Mychayliv;Robert Hildebrand;Olga Orman
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.548-565
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    • 2023
  • Armillaria root disease affects forests around the world. It occurs in many habitats and causes losses in the infested stands. Weather conditions are important factors for growth and development of Armillaria species. Yet, the relation between occurrence of damage caused by Armillaria disease and weather variables are still poorly understood. Thus, we used generalized linear mixed models to determine the relationship between weather conditions of current and previous year (temperature, precipitation and their deviation from long-term averages, air humidity and soil temperature) and the incidence of Armillaria-induced damage in young (up to 20 years old) and older (over 20 years old) coniferous stands in selected forest districts across Poland. We used unique data, gathered over the course of 23 years (1987-2009) on tree damage incidence from Armillaria root disease and meteorological parameters from the 24-year period (1986-2009) to reflect the dynamics of damage occurrence and weather conditions. Weather parameters were better predictors of damage caused by Armillaria disease in younger stands than in older ones. The strongest predictor was soil temperature, especially that of the previous year growing season and the current year spring. We found that temperature and precipitation of different seasons in previous year had more pronounced effect on the young stand area affected by Armillaria. Each stand's age class was characterized by a different set of meteorological parameters that explained the area of disease occurrence. Moreover, forest district was included in all models and thus, was an important variable in explaining the stand area affected by Armillaria.

Analysis of Clutter Effects in a Weather Radar (기상 레이다에서의 클러터 영향 분석)

  • Lee, Jonggil
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.20 no.9
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    • pp.1641-1648
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    • 2016
  • A weather radar estimates Doppler frequency and width of Doppler spectrum from the received weather signal which represents the return echoes from rain or dust particles in a corresponding area. These estimates are very important parameters since they are directly related to precipitation, wind velocity and degree of turbulence. Therefore, these estimated values should be highly reliable to obtain accurate weather information. However, the echoes of a weather radar include both the weather signal and the clutter which occurred from ground reflection or moving objects, etc. The existence of the clutter in the echoes may cause serious errors in the estimation of weather-related parameters. Therefore, in this paper, models are developed to represent the weather signal and the clutter for the purpose of analyzing estimation errors caused by the strong clutter echoes. Using these models, various return echoes according to the weather signal and clutter power are simulated to analyze the effects of the clutter.

Evaluation of Commercial Pheromones on the Population Dynamics of Spodoptera frugiperda (J. E. smith) and Mythimna loreyi (Duponchel) (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae)

  • Seo Yeon Hong;Hwi Jong Yi;Young Nam Yoon;Yun Woo Jang;Ki Do Park;Rameswor Maharjan
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.67 no.4
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    • pp.285-295
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    • 2022
  • The trapping efficacy of five commercially available sex pheromones manufactured in Korea, the Netherlands, North America, China, and Costa Rica was evaluated to determine the population dynamics of Spodoptera frugiperda and Mythimna loreyi and their relationships with the weather parameters of maize fields in Miryang, Gyeongnam Province, Korea in 2019. The results show that the sex pheromone manufactured in Costa Rica were more efficient at capturing S. frugiperda and M. loreyi than those manufactured in other countries. The lowest number of S. frugiperda moths were captured using sex pheromones manufactured in the Netherlands. We noted that more than four population peaks of both the moth species and weather parameters influenced the moth population dynamics in Miryang. A positive relationship was observed between the population of S. frugiperda and weather parameters, such as mean temperature, rainfall, and relative humidity, for sex pheromones manufactured in Korea. Furthermore, a positive relationship was recorded between the population of M. loreyi and wind speed for the sex pheromone manufactured in Korea. The results of this study suggest that the sex pheromones manufactured in Costa Rica are the best solution for the efficient capture of S. frugiperda and M. loreyi under typical weather conditions in the southern parts of Korea. In addition, the outcomes of this study are discussed in terms of population dynamics and integrated pest management for S. frugiperda and M. loreyi as alternatives to chemical management by maize producers. Further studies related to the continuous improvement in the capture efficiency of both moth species using sex pheromones are now needed.

A Study on Estimation of Cooling Load Using Forecasted Weather Data (집단 건물 면적을 이용한 시간별 냉방부하 파라미터 설정 및 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Kyu-Hyun;Yoo, Seong-Yeon;Lee, Je-Myo;Song, Yang-Sup
    • Proceedings of the SAREK Conference
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    • 2008.11a
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    • pp.440-445
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, new methodology is proposed to estimate the cooling load using areas of building group and predicted weather data. Only three parameters such as maximum, minimum temperature and building area are necessary to obtain hourly distribution of cooling load for the next day. The maximum and minimum temperature that are used for input parameters can be obtained from forecasted weather data. The areas of building group are used for setting several parameters that are used for estimate cooling loads. Benchmarking building(research building) is selected to validate the performance of the proposed method, and the estimated cooling loads in hourly bases are calculated and compared with the measured data for benchmarking building. The estimated results show fairly good agreement with the measured data for benchmarking building.

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