• Title/Summary/Keyword: watershed model

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Long-term prediction of streamflow for water resource management in Geumho River watershed (중장기 하천유량 관리를 위한 금호강 유역의 유출량 예측)

  • Kim, Han Na;Park, Jung Eun;Kang, Shin Uk;Lee, Eul Rae
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.416-416
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    • 2015
  • 기후변화는 미래 강수량 변동을 야기하여 하천유량 관리에 큰 영향을 미칠 것으로 예상하고 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 기후변화에 따른 중장기 하천유량 관리를 위하여 금호강 유역을 대상으로 SWAT 모형을 이용하여 중장기 하천유량을 예측하였다. 임하댐 상류지역의 2008~2012년 유량자료에 대하여 보정 완료된 SWAT 모형을 기반으로, 지역기후모형(RCM)인 HadGEM3-RA모형을 활용한 IPCC 제5차 보고서 RCP 4.5, RCP 8.5 시나리오를 적용하였다. 금호강 표준유역별 기후변화에 의한 영향을 모의하기 위하여 편이보정(Bias Correction)방법을 적용하였으며, 금호강 유역 내 과거 30년(1975~2005년, Baseline) 기상자료와 비교하여 통계적인 유사성을 가지도록 보정을 실시하였다. 기후변화 시나리오 적용결과는 S1(2011~2040년), S2(2041~2070년), S3(2071~2099년)으로 분할하여 월별, 계절별, 연도별 미래 강수량과 기온을 분석하였다. 분석 결과, RCP 4.5 시나리오의 경우 봄철(3~5월)의 강수량은 기준년도에 비해 약 57%가 증가하였으나, 가을철(6~8월)에는 7.9% 감소하였으며, 첨두 강수시기는 8~9월에서 6~7월로 이동하였다. 평균기온은 각 구분 시기별 $0.2^{\circ}C$, $1.1^{\circ}C$, $1.8^{\circ}C$ 정도 상승할 것으로 예측되었다. RCP 8.5 시나리오에서는 기준년도 대비 강우량은 봄철에 61% 증가, 가을철에는 14.9% 감소하는 것으로 모의되었다. 평균기온은 약 $0.4^{\circ}C$, $2.1^{\circ}C$, $4.2^{\circ}C$ 정도 상승하는 것으로 나타났다. 기후변화에 따른 유출량 결과 비교는 2001~2010년을 기준으로 하였으며, RCP 4.5 시나리오에서는 S1, S2, S3 시기별 각각 -10.9%, -7%, -3.6% 감소하였으며, RCP 8.5 시나리오에서는 약 -12.3%, 4.9%, -1.2% 변동하는 것으로 나타냈다. 금호강 유역 전반에 걸쳐 유출량이 감소하는 추세를 보였으며, 특히 본류에 비해 지류유역의 건천화가 심해지는 양상을 보였다. 또한 현재에 비해 여름철 유출패턴 시기가 앞당겨져 봄철 유량이 증가하고 겨울철에 감소하는 경향을 보이고 있다. 기후변화로 인한 수문패턴의 변화로 현재 하천유량관리의 변화가 필요할 것으로 판단되며, 향후 본 연구결과를 바탕으로 물수지 분석을 추가하여 유지유량 만족을 위한 해당유역의 이수기 유량관리 방안 연구를 수행할 예정이다.

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Development of Long-term Rainfall-Runoff Analysis System in SeongDeok Dam Watershed (성덕댐 유역의 장기유출 분석체계 구축)

  • Choi, Hyun Gu;Kim, Bong Jae;Kim, Seon Uk;Park, Byeong Woo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.429-429
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    • 2018
  • 성덕댐은 기존 농업용 저수지였던 수락저수지를 다목적댐으로 재개발한 우리나라 최초의 사례로 2006년 11월에 착공하였다. 댐재개발 사업은 장랠 물 부족이 예상되나, 현재 마땅한 댐 개발적지가 부족하여 수자원 확보를 위해 기존의 댐을 재개발하는 것으로, 기 개발된 수자원의 활용도 제고 및 환경적으로 건전하고 지속 가능한 수자원을 개발하는 사업을 말한다. 기존의 수락저수지의 재원은 높이 19.0m, 길이 150.0m, 총 저수량 $806,000m^3$이었으며, 성덕다목적댐으로 재개발 되면서 증가된 주요재원은 높이 58.5m, 길이 274.0m, 총 저수량 $27,900,000m^3$이다. 성덕다목적댐 건설이 완료됨에 따라 기존의 농업용수($8,400m^3$/일) 공급뿐만 아니라 하천유지용수 $5,800m^3$/일 및 경북 청송, 영천, 경산지역에 생활용수와 공업용수를 $42,300m^3$/일를 공급할 수 있게 되었으며, 홍수조절용량 $4,200,000m^3$을 확보하여 유역의 홍수예방에도 기여할 수 있다. 댐의 운영기준을 수립하기 위해서는 적어도 20년 이상의 댐 유입량 자료가 필요하지만 성덕댐의 경우 댐 유입량 자료의 확보가 쉽지 않은 상황이다. 이에 K-water에서 개발하고 다양한 다목적 댐 유역에 적용한 경험이 있는 격자기반 강우-유출 모형인 K-DRUM(K-water Distributed Rainfall rUnoff Model)을 이용하여 성덕댐 유역의 장기유출모형을 구축하였다. 격자기반 수문모형의 장점은 공간적인 비균질성을 고려하여 물리적인 유출과정을 모형화할 수 있고, 이로 인해 신뢰성 있는 수문해석이 가능하기 때문이다. 성덕댐 유역의 K-DRUM 모형을 구축하기 위해서 토지이용도, 토양도(종류, 유효토심), 하천차수도, 유역도, 표고분포도 등을 수집하였으며, 격자는 60m의 정사각형 격자로 약 11,500개를 구성하여 적용하였다. 기상자료로는 안동, 의성, 영천 기상대의 강우자료와 안동 기상대의 기상자료를 활용하였다. 모형의 보정을 위해서는 2016년을 시단위로 모의하였으며 성덕댐 유입량와 비교하여 매개변수를 보정하였고, $R^2$는 0.72, NSE는 0.70, RMSE는 1.82로 신뢰도 높은 보정결과를 획득할 수 있었다. 보정된 매개변수를 성덕댐 유역의 장기유출에 적용하였으며, 1997년부터 2017년까지 총 21년 장기유출 모의를 수행하였으며, 모의결과는 댐 운영기준의 기초자료로 활용하였다.

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The Effect of Low Impact Development Techniques on Urban Runoff (저영향개발기법이 도시 유출에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Heesoo;Chung, Gunhui
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.307-316
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    • 2021
  • Due to rapidly increased urbanization, impervious area has been extended and concerns about urban flooding has been increased as well. A lot of effort has been made to restore the urban water circulation. Low Impact Development (LID) technology that consist of retention, infiltration, and evapotranspiration has begun to attract attention to simulate the hydrologic phenomenon before and after development. Many researches on the technique is being actively conducted. In this study, the effect on reducing runoff in urban catchment was analyzed and evaluated by applying LID techniques using SWMM and six scenarios. A SWMM-LID model was built for the Gasan 1 rainwater pumping station basin, and Green Roof and Permeable Pavement were selected as LID techniques to be applied. As a result, the reduction effect of the permeable pavement was larger than green roof. In the future, the results could be used to design a LID facility using the characteristics of the watershed, and other urban water resource factors such as river and groundwater levels that affect each other should be considered, so that the entire system can be considered.

Probabilistic assessment of causal relationship between drought and water quality management in the Nakdong River basin using the Bayesian network model (베이지안 네트워크 모형을 이용한 낙동강 유역의 가뭄과 수질관리의 인과관계에 대한 확률론적 평가)

  • Yoo, Jiyoung;Ryu, Jae-Hee;Lee, Joo-Heon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.10
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    • pp.769-777
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    • 2021
  • This study investigated the change of the achievement rate of the target water quality conditioned on the occurrence of severe drought, to assess the effects of meteorological drought on the water quality management in the Nakdong River basin. Using three drought indices with difference time scales such as 30-, 60-, 90-day, i.e., SPI30, SPI60, SPI90, and three water quality indicators such as biochemical oxygen demand (BOD), total organic carbon (TOC), and total phosphorus (T-P), we first analyzed the relationship between severe drought occurrence water quality change in mid-sized watersheds, and identified the watersheds in which water quality was highly affected by severe drought. The Bayesian network models were constructed for the watersheds to probabilistically assess the relationship between severe drought and water quality management. Among 22 mid-sized watersheds in the Nakdong River basin, four watersheds, such as #2005, #2018, #2021, and #2022, had high environmental vulnerability to severe drought. In addition, severe drought affected spring and fall water quality in the watershed #2021, summer water quality in the #2005, and winter water quality in the #2022. The causal relationship between drought and water quality management is usufaul in proactive drought management.

Seasonal Succession of Zooplankton Community in a Large Reservoir of Summer Monsoon Region (Lake Soyang) (몬순지역 대형댐(소양호)에서 동물플랑크톤 군집의 계절천이)

  • Kim, Moon Sook;Kim, Bomchul;Jun, Man-Sig
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.40-49
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    • 2019
  • Seasonal succession of zooplankton community and species composition was studied from 2003 to 2014 in a deep reservoir, Lake Soyang, in monsoon climate region, Korea. Annual precipitation was concentrated more than 70% between June and September and it showed remarkably that seasonal variation in water quality. Seasonal variation of water quality in Lake Soyang appeared to be more significant than annual variations, and the inflow of turbid water during the summer rainfall was the most important environmental factor. Zooplankton sepecies composition in Lake Soyang showed obvious tendency through two periods (May to June and August to October) every year. Small zooplankton (rotifer; Keratella cochlearis, Polyarthra vulgaris) dominated in spring and mesozooplankton such as copepods and crustaceans were dominant in summer and fall. Zooplankton biomass showed the maximum in September after monsoon rainfall, and chlorophyll showed a similar seasonal variation and it showed a high correlation (r=0.45). The increase of zooplankton biomass is considered to be a bottom-up effect due to the increase of primary producers and inflow of nutrients and organic matter from rainfall. In this study, we found that the variation of zooplankton community was affected by rainfall in monsoon climate region and inflow of turbid water was an important environmental factor, which influenced the water quality, zooplankton seasonal succession in Lake Soyang. It was also considered to be influenced by hydrological characteristics of lake and environment of watershed. In conclusion, seasonal succession of zooplankton species composition was the same as the PEG model. But seasonal succession of zooplankton biomass differed not only in the temperate lake but also in the monsoon region.

Review on Applicability of Local Scour Depth Calculation Formula in River (하천 세굴심 산정을 위한 교각 세굴심 산정식의 적용성 검토)

  • Min, ByungYun;Chang, HyungJoon;Lee, HoJin;Kim, SungDuk
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2019
  • The basic analysis of Soil and structural mechanics for the bridge substructure affected by the flow of water is sufficient in the construction of such bridges, but the stability of scour resulting from hydraulic phenomena is insufficient. In addition, it is not enough to estimate the scour depth of the bridge which reflects the watershed characteristics of the domestic river because it uses the formula for calculating the scour depth of the overseas piers in calculating the scour depth of the bridge. In this study, the application of the CSU (1993) formula, which is currently applied to the national river design criteria, was reviewed between the two formulas after calculating the scour after calculating the scour by applying another bridge deck scour calculation formula to take into account the uncertainty in the calculation of scour. In this study, in addition to the CSU (1993) formula, which is currently applied to Korean river design criteria, another scour depth calculation formula is applied to calculate uncertainty in scour depth calculation, was reviewed between the two formulas. The review confirmed that the SSE (%) showed a difference of at least 2.08%, up to 91.23%, and SSEn(%) at least 0.19%, up to 415.91%, when compared to the measured depth of the pier based on the hydraulic model experiment and the depth of the pier calculated with the nine scour depth formulas in use. In other words, it is confirmed that there are many differences between the scouring formulas of piers. The results of this study are expected to be used to estimate scour depth in future river design.

The Conceptual Formation of 'Gyeokchi' in the Early Joseon Period (조선 전기 '격치' 개념의 의미화)

  • Lee, Haeng-hoon
    • The Journal of Korean Philosophical History
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    • no.58
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    • pp.139-160
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    • 2018
  • 'Gyeokmulchiji' (格物致知), coming to knowledge based on the investigation of things) is a starting point for any study and politics of Confucianism. Much emphasis was placed on the conception of 'Gyeokchi' as a root of every learning and adminstration in the early Joseon period. As Confucianism established itself as a salient value system of the government, a mighty change and paradigm shift happened in its governmental system which had depended upon Buddhism up to that time. Thus, Confucian statecraft also stood out. Daehakyeonui (大學衍義) was preached as a model of regal learning and politics in the governmental agon, and its conceptual starting point was 'Gyeokchi.' The various interpretations and arguments about this concept shows the process in which Zhu Xi NeoConfucianism was deepened into Neo-Confucianism of Joseon's own. This conception reached the essence of 'Li' beyond the problem of cognitive subject and object, and provided a watershed which divided Giho (畿湖) and Yeongnam (嶺南) schools. Confucian method of study, which incorporates knowledge and practice, has great implications for our times when there are many voices of concern over humanities. The enhancement of universities and humanities is much needed to adjust the direction and pace of scientific technology, which is now entirely left with the logic of market. Accordingly, it is quite urgent for us to examine our object of learning again, which should integrate 'Sugi' (修己, cultivating oneself) with 'Chi-in' (治人, governing others), and knowledge with practice.

Re-evaluation of Soyang Dam inflow based on modifying a simple water balance method considering evaporation (증발량을 고려한 단순 물수지 방정식 개선을 통한 소양강댐 유입량의 재평가)

  • Yoo, Jiyoung;Lee, Dong Jin;Yoo, Do-Guen;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.6
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    • pp.461-469
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    • 2022
  • It is very important to ensure the reliability of dam inflow data, which is critical in planning and managing the supply and demand of water resources in a basin. However, the simple water balance model sometimes results in negative inflows and does not consider the actual inflow characteristics. In this study, to address these issues, the existing water balance formula was modified by considering evaporation which is available for calculation among other outflows. The modified water balance formula was applied to the Soyang Dam. The results showed that the rate of negative inflows decreased in the re-evaluated dam inflow data and it was possible to secure consistency for the total inflow volume. In addition, investigating the water availability in the Soyang Dam watershed based on the water balance concept considering evaporation, it was found that direct water use in the human aspect was about 60%, and the indirect water use in the natural aspect was about 40%. In drought years, it was also confirmed that the proportion of indirect use of water resources increased.

A Study on the Flooding Risk Assessment of Energy Storage Facilities According to Climate Change (기후변화에 따른 에너지 저장시설 침수 위험성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Seong-Reul
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.10-18
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: For smooth performance of flood analysis due to heavy rain disasters at energy storage facilities in the Incheon area, field surveys, observational surveys, and pre-established reports and drawings were analyzed. Through the field survey, the characteristics of pipelines and rivers that have not been identified so far were investigated, and based on this, the input data of the SWMM model selected for inundation analysis was constructed. Method: In order to determine the critical duration through the probability flood analysis according to the calculation of the probability rainfall intensity by recurrence period and duration, it is necessary to calculate the probability rainfall intensity for an arbitrary duration by frequency, so the research results of the Ministry of Land, Transport and Maritime Affairs were utilized. Result: Based on this, the probability of rainfall by frequency and duration was extracted, the critical duration was determined through flood analysis, and the rainfall amount suggested in the disaster prevention performance target was applied to enable site safety review. Conclusion: The critical duration of the base was found to be a relatively short duration of 30 minutes due to the very gentle slope of the watershed. In general, if the critical duration is less than 30 minutes, even if flooding occurs, the scale of inundation is not large.

A study on changes in water cycle characteristics of university campus catchment: focusing on potential evapotranspiration improvement in Mt. Gwanak catchment (대학 캠퍼스 유역의 물순환 특성 변화에 관한 연구: 관악산 유역 잠재증발산량 개선을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Hyeonju;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.12
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    • pp.1077-1089
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    • 2022
  • With the construction of Seoul National University (SNU), the Mt. Gwanak watershed has undergone some urbanization. As with other campus catchments, data related to the water cycle is extremely limited. Therefore, this study began by collecting hydrological and meteorological data using Atmos-41, a complex meteorological observation instrument. The observation results of Atmos-41 were validated by analyzing the statistical characteristics and confidence intervals based on the monthly variability of data from the Korea Meteorological Administration. Results of the previous research were used to validate the simulated surface runoff and infiltration using the Storm Water Management Model (SWMM). The potential evapotranspiration (PET) simulated by the SWMM was rectified by comparing it to the Atmos-41 observation data. Multiple regression analysis was employed to adjust for the fluctuations in precipitation, relative humidity, and wind speed because the calculated SWMM PET tends to be underestimated during periods of low temperatures. R2 increased from 0.54 to 0.80 when compared to the Atmos-41 PET. The rate of change in the water cycle as a consequence of the SNU's construction resulted in a 15.7% increase in surface runoff, a 14.2% decrease in infiltration rate, and a 1.6% decrease in evaporation.