• Title/Summary/Keyword: water quality prediction

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A Practical Approach to the Real Time Prediction of PM10 for the Management of Indoor Air Quality in Subway Stations (지하철 역사 실내 공기질 관리를 위한 실용적 PM10 실시간 예측)

  • Jeong, Karpjoo;Lee, Keun-Young
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.65 no.12
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    • pp.2075-2083
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    • 2016
  • The real time IAQ (Indoor Air Quality) management is very important for large buildings and underground facilities such as subways because poor IAQ is immediately harmful to human health. Such IAQ management requires monitoring, prediction and control in an integrated and real time manner. In this paper, we present three PM10 hourly prediction models for such realtime IAQ management as both Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models. Both MLR and ANN models show good performances between 0.76 and 0.88 with respect to R (correlation coefficient) between the measured and predicted values, but the MLR models outperform the corresponding ANN models with respect to RMSE (root mean square error).

Application of BASINS for the water quality prediction in rural watersheds - on HSPF model - (농촌유역의 수질예측을 위한 BASINS의 적용 - HSPF모형을 중심으로 -)

  • Ham, Jong-Hwa;Yoon, Chun-Gyeong
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.403-407
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    • 2001
  • For the water quality management of stream and lake, it is important to estimate and control nonpoint source loading to meet the water quality standard. So, integrated watershed management is required. BASINS is a multipurpose environmental analysis system for use by regional, state, and local agencies in performing watershed and water quality based studies. BASINS was developed by the USEPA to facilitate examination of environmental information, to support analysis of environmental systems and to provide a framework for examining management alternatives. BASINS contains HSPF which is one of the watershed runoff model. By using HSPF, nonpoint source loading from upper stream watershed was estimated. As a result, the simulated runoff was in a good agreement with the observed data and indicated reasonable applicability for whole watershed.

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Study on water quality prediction in water treatment plants using AI techniques (AI 기법을 활용한 정수장 수질예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seungmin;Kang, Yujin;Song, Jinwoo;Kim, Juhwan;Kim, Hung Soo;Kim, Soojun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.57 no.3
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    • pp.151-164
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    • 2024
  • In water treatment plants supplying potable water, the management of chlorine concentration in water treatment processes involving pre-chlorination or intermediate chlorination requires process control. To address this, research has been conducted on water quality prediction techniques utilizing AI technology. This study developed an AI-based predictive model for automating the process control of chlorine disinfection, targeting the prediction of residual chlorine concentration downstream of sedimentation basins in water treatment processes. The AI-based model, which learns from past water quality observation data to predict future water quality, offers a simpler and more efficient approach compared to complex physicochemical and biological water quality models. The model was tested by predicting the residual chlorine concentration downstream of the sedimentation basins at Plant, using multiple regression models and AI-based models like Random Forest and LSTM, and the results were compared. For optimal prediction of residual chlorine concentration, the input-output structure of the AI model included the residual chlorine concentration upstream of the sedimentation basin, turbidity, pH, water temperature, electrical conductivity, inflow of raw water, alkalinity, NH3, etc. as independent variables, and the desired residual chlorine concentration of the effluent from the sedimentation basin as the dependent variable. The independent variables were selected from observable data at the water treatment plant, which are influential on the residual chlorine concentration downstream of the sedimentation basin. The analysis showed that, for Plant, the model based on Random Forest had the lowest error compared to multiple regression models, neural network models, model trees, and other Random Forest models. The optimal predicted residual chlorine concentration downstream of the sedimentation basin presented in this study is expected to enable real-time control of chlorine dosing in previous treatment stages, thereby enhancing water treatment efficiency and reducing chemical costs.

A Study on the prediction of BMI(Benthic Macroinvertebrate Index) using Machine Learning Based CFS(Correlation-based Feature Selection) and Random Forest Model (머신러닝 기반 CFS(Correlation-based Feature Selection)기법과 Random Forest모델을 활용한 BMI(Benthic Macroinvertebrate Index) 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Go, Woo-Seok;Yoon, Chun Gyeong;Rhee, Han-Pil;Hwang, Soon-Jin;Lee, Sang-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.425-431
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    • 2019
  • Recently, people have been attracting attention to the good quality of water resources as well as water welfare. to improve the quality of life. This study is a papers on the prediction of benthic macroinvertebrate index (BMI), which is a aquatic ecological health, using the machine learning based CFS (Correlation-based Feature Selection) method and the random forest model to compare the measured and predicted values of the BMI. The data collected from the Han River's branch for 10 years are extracted and utilized in 1312 data. Through the utilized data, Pearson correlation analysis showed a lack of correlation between single factor and BMI. The CFS method for multiple regression analysis was introduced. This study calculated 10 factors(water temperature, DO, electrical conductivity, turbidity, BOD, $NH_3-N$, T-N, $PO_4-P$, T-P, Average flow rate) that are considered to be related to the BMI. The random forest model was used based on the ten factors. In order to prove the validity of the model, $R^2$, %Difference, NSE (Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency) and RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) were used. Each factor was 0.9438, -0.997, and 0,992, and accuracy rate was 71.6% level. As a result, These results can suggest the future direction of water resource management and Pre-review function for water ecological prediction.

Comparison of machine learning algorithms for Chl-a prediction in the middle of Nakdong River (focusing on water quality and quantity factors) (머신러닝 기법을 활용한 낙동강 중류 지역의 Chl-a 예측 알고리즘 비교 연구(수질인자 및 수량 중심으로))

  • Lee, Sang-Min;Park, Kyeong-Deok;Kim, Il-Kyu
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.277-288
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    • 2020
  • In this study, we performed algorithms to predict algae of Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a). Water quality and quantity data of the middle Nakdong River area were used. At first, the correlation analysis between Chl-a and water quality and quantity data was studied. We extracted ten factors of high importance for water quality and quantity data about the two weirs. Algorithms predicted how ten factors affected Chl-a occurrence. We performed algorithms about decision tree, random forest, elastic net, gradient boosting with Python. The root mean square error (RMSE) value was used to evaluate excellent algorithms. The gradient boosting showed 10.55 of RMSE value for the Gangjeonggoryeong (GG) site and 11.43 of RMSE value for the Dalsung (DS) site. The gradient boosting algorithm showed excellent results for GG and DS sites. Prediction value for the four algorithms was also evaluated through the Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and Area under curve (AUC). As a result of the evaluation, the AUC value was 0.877 at GG site and the AUC value was 0.951 at DS site. So the algorithm's ability to interpret seemed to be excellent.

Development of Water Quality Management System in Reservoirs Using Expert System and GIS (전문가시스템과 GIS를 이용한 저수지 수질 정보시스템 개발)

  • Lee, Ju-Seung;Goh, Hong-Seok;Goh, Nam-Young;Cho, Min-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.13 no.1 s.31
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2005
  • Recently, water quality problems are emerging as important social issues since water quality in rivers and lakes are significantly deteriorated. Thus, an accurate prediction system on reservoir water quality is required, as well as an integrated system which can provide a solution for taking away contaminated materials. This research aims to develop an intelligent decision support system, which uses a GIS enabling management and spatial analysis. The developed system is a prototype that can be applied into real spot. This research area includes the following main subjects; system analysis and design, geometry data collection and database implementation, data acquisition and analysis on reservoir water quality, interface design and development GIS, and development of an expert system for water quality forecasting by WASPS.

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Machine learning model for residual chlorine prediction in sediment basin to control pre-chlorination in water treatment plant (정수장 전염소 공정제어를 위한 침전지 잔류염소농도 예측 머신러닝 모형)

  • Kim, Juhwan;Lee, Kyunghyuk;Kim, Soojun;Kim, Kyunghun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.55 no.spc1
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    • pp.1283-1293
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to predict residual chlorine in order to maintain stable residual chlorine concentration in sedimentation basin by using artificial intelligence algorithms in water treatment process employing pre-chlorination. Available water quantity and quality data are collected and analyzed statistically to apply into mathematical multiple regression and artificial intelligence models including multi-layer perceptron neural network, random forest, long short term memory (LSTM) algorithms. Water temperature, turbidity, pH, conductivity, flow rate, alkalinity and pre-chlorination dosage data are used as the input parameters to develop prediction models. As results, it is presented that the random forest algorithm shows the most moderate prediction result among four cases, which are long short term memory, multi-layer perceptron, multiple regression including random forest. Especially, it is result that the multiple regression model can not represent the residual chlorine with the input parameters which varies independently with seasonal change, numerical scale and dimension difference between quantity and quality. For this reason, random forest model is more appropriate for predict water qualities than other algorithms, which is classified into decision tree type algorithm. Also, it is expected that real time prediction by artificial intelligence models can play role of the stable operation of residual chlorine in water treatment plant including pre-chlorination process.

Spatiotemporal chlorine residual prediction in water distribution networks using a hierarchical water quality simulation technique (계층적 수질모의기법을 이용한 상수관망시스템의 시공간 잔류염소농도 예측)

  • Jeong, Gimoon;Kang, Doosun;Hwang, Taemun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.9
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    • pp.643-656
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    • 2021
  • Recently, water supply management technology is highly developed, and a computer simulation model plays a critical role for estimating hydraulics and water quality in water distribution networks (WDNs). However, a simulation of complex large water networks is computationally intensive, especially for the water quality simulations, which require a short simulation time step and a long simulation time period. Thus, it is often prohibitive to analyze the water quality in real-scale water networks. In this study, in order to improve the computational efficiency of water quality simulations in complex water networks, a hierarchical water-quality-simulation technique was proposed. The water network is hierarchically divided into two sub-networks for improvement of computing efficiency while preserving water quality simulation accuracy. The proposed approach was applied to a large-scale real-life water network that is currently operating in South Korea, and demonstrated a spatiotemporal distribution of chlorine concentration under diverse chlorine injection scenarios.

Prediction of a Flushing Rate in an Embayment System for Construction of an Environmentally Sound Harbor (환경친화적 항만건설을 위한 항내 희석률 예측)

  • Jeong, Mi-Hoon;Park, Seok-Soon
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.215-228
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    • 2000
  • This paper presents a novel method to predict a flushing rate in an embayment system, which can be utilized to assess an environmental impact caused by harbor construction. The method was successfully applied to the Ulsan-Onsan coastal area. The flushing rate was computed on the basis of water quality changes predicted by US Army Corps of Engineers' RMA-2/RMA-4 models. After calibration and verification to the measured tidal elevation and current velocity, the model was used to estimate the flushing rate in the proposed harbor. The water quality was simulated for 96 hours and the flushing rate was computed. The results indicated that the proposed harbor would significantly reduce the flushing rate in the Onsan harbor, especially at the small embayment area near the south breakwater. The flushing rate was evaluated for several alternatives, of which the tidal flow channel of 1,000 $m^2$ in the south pier appeared to be the best mitigation measure. This study proposes that the prediction of flushing rate would be a novel method to assess a water quality impact caused by harbor construction.

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Prediction on Safety Time of Water Intake at Paldang Reservior According to Scenarios of Water Pollution (팔당 유역 수질사고 시나리오에 따른 취수 안전시간 예측)

  • Baek, Kyong-Oh
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.27 no.5
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    • pp.135-140
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    • 2012
  • In this study, the behavior of pollutant was calculated at Paldang reservior according to several scenarios of the accidental water pollution by means of the numerical models for forecasting water quality. Also managemental plans for situation of the accidental water pollution happening at Paldang watershed were simulated. According to the simulating results, a plan of increase of discharge at Cheongpyeong dam reduced the peak concentration of pollutants, whereas extended the time for stopping water intake. Another plan, drop of water elevation at Paldang dam, decreased seriously the time for stopping water intake although there were a little effect to decrease the peak concentration. Thus it was concluded that appropriate combinations of the plans for the increase discharge and the dropping water elevation should be used to deal with the accidental water pollution at Paldang watershed.