• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
• /
• pp.437-437
• /
• 2022

The prediction of dam inflow rate is crucial for the management of the largest multi-purpose dam in South Korea, the Soyang Dam. The main issue associated with the management of water resources is the stochastic nature of the reservoir inflow leading to an increase in uncertainty associated with the inflow prediction. The Autoregressive (AR) model is commonly used to provide the simulation and forecast of hydrometeorological data. However, because its estimation is based solely on the time-series data, it has the disadvantage of being unable to account for external variables such as climate information. This study proposes the use of the Autoregressive Exogenous Stochastic Volatility (ARXSV) model within a Bayesian modeling framework for increased predictability of the monthly dam inflow by addressing the exogenous and stochastic factors. This study analyzes 45 years of hydrological input data of the Soyang Dam from the year 1974 to 2019. The result of this study will be beneficial to strengthen the potential use of data-driven models for accurate inflow predictions and better reservoir management.

• Geomechanics and Engineering
• /
• 제20권3호
• /
• pp.267-273
• /
• 2020

Solutions of the water pressure and groundwater inflow distribution along the tunnel perimeter in a half-infinite aquifer were investigated considering the conditions of the constant head and constant water pressure. It is assumed that the circular tunnel is buried in a fully saturated, homogeneous, isotropic and half-infinite space. Coordinate transformation technique was adopted, the problem of solving the control equations of water pressure in the Cartesian coordinate was transformed to that in the bipolar coordinate system, which can significantly simplify the derivation procedure of the water pressure and inflow distribution. The validation results show the accuracy and advantage of the proposed approach.

• 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국농공학회 2003년도 학술발표논문집
• /
• pp.543-546
• /
• 2003

This study was carried out to survey the amount of inflow water from Geumgang reservoir, Yongdam dam and Sumjin dam into Saemangeum area, and to provide the basic data to use and manage the water resources of Saemangeum district effectively. The total volume of inflow water from the above hydraulic facilities was measured as $775.8{\times}10^6m^3$ in 2002.

• 수산해양교육연구
• /
• 제29권3호
• /
• pp.785-798
• /
• 2017

This study was conducted to evaluated the surface(10 variables) and bottom(10 variables) water quality, and sediment(3 variables) in the cage fish farm off Baegyado in Gamak Bay using a multivariate analysis from January 2013 to November 2014. Generally, the environmental data did not show a certain tendency by months during two years investigated. The pairwise simple correlation matrices among variables were also shown. The first four principal components of the surface water in 2013 explain 93% of the total sample variance; the first principal component($z_1$) showed the freshwater inflow and/or precipitation, $z_2$, $z_3$ and $z_4$ related to freshwater inflow and/or precipitation, organic matters and eutrophy, respectively; the first four principal components of the bottom water in 2013 explain 93% of the total sample variance; the $z_1$, $z_2$ and $z_4$ related to freshwater inflow and/or precipitation, and $z_3$ water temperature. In 2014, at the surface water the first three principal components explain 87%; the $z_1$, $z_2$ and $z_3$ related to water temperature, eutrophy and freshwater inflow and/or precipitation, respectively; at the bottom water the first three principal components explain 93%; $z_1$, $z_2$ and $z_3$ related to water temperature, freshwater inflow and/or precipitation and eutrophy. Half of the principal components related to freshwater inflow and/or precipitation.

• 한국농공학회지
• /
• 제45권7호
• /
• pp.1-10
• /
• 2003

In order to analyze the water supply capacity in an estuary reservoir, a system composed of daily water balance model and daily inflow model was developed. The agricultural water demands to paddy fields, domestic water demands to residential areas, and industrial water demands to industrial complexes were considered in this daily water balance model. Likewise, the outflow volume through sluice gates and inside the water level at the start of the outflow was initially conditioned to simulate estuary reservoir storage. The DAWAST model (Noh, 1991) was selected to simulate daily estuary reservoir inflow, wherein return flows from agricultural, domestic, and industrial water were included to simulate runoff. Using this system, the water supply capacity in the Geum River estuary reservoir was analyzed.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
• /
• 제49권5호
• /
• pp.361-372
• /
• 2016

신뢰성 있는 댐유입량의 장기예측은 효율적인 댐운영에 필수적이다. 2000년대 이후 엘리뇨-남방진동(ENSO) 등의 전구기후지수와 지역수문기후와의 원격상관성이 규명되면서, 이를 활용한 미래의 수문조건을 예측하기 위한 연구가 활발히 시도되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 안동댐유역을 대상으로 미국 NOAA에서 제공하는 40개 전구기후지수의 원격상관을 분석하고, 이를 기반으로 1개월 선행 댐유입량의 예측성능 및 활용성을 평가하였다. 본 연구에서는 1) 원격상관을 통해 강수와 기온을 예측하고 SWAT 모델을 이용하여 예측 댐유입량을 산정하는 방법(SWAT-Forecasted), 직접 댐유입량을 예측하는 기법(CIR-Forecasted), 예측시점의 관측값이 과거자료에서 해당하는 순위(rank)에 근거한 방법(Rank-Observed)을 비교하였다. 결과적으로 통계적 방법으로 댐유입량을 직접 예측하는 접근 방식(CIR-Forecasted)이 12월을 제외하고는 다른 방법에 비해 우수한 예측성을 보였다. 이것은 강수량 및 기온 예측정보를 일단위로 상세화하는 가정과 유출모델링과정에서 발생하는 불확실성이 예측결과에 포함되지 않기 때문인 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구결과는 원격상관기반의 1개월 선행 댐유입량 예측이 안동댐 운영에 유용한 정보를 제공할 수 있는 것을 시사하였다.

• 물과 미래
• /
• 제18권4호
• /
• pp.347-359
• /
• 1985

본 연구는 단일다목적 저수지의 운영정책을 수립함에 있어서, DP를 적용하여 댐의 여러 물리적 제약조건하에서 댐 하류의 용수수요를 최대로 충족시킬 수 있는 월별 저수지 최대 운영정책을 수립하는 알고리즘을 개발하는데 주안점을 두었다. 분석대상인 안동댐의 과거 월평균 유입량으로부터 장래 월유입량을 모의발생시키고, 그 모의 발생된 자료 중에서 ddlqfid 계열 A, B, C를 선정하여, 각 계열별로 낙동강 본류의 용수수요 중에서 안동댐이 30%∼100%까지 충족시킬 수 있도록 8개의 대안을 설정하였다. 그리고 DP 모델을 적용시켜 물 수요량과 운영곡선에 근거한 시스템 운영목적함수를 가장 잘 수행하는 대안을 최적 운영 정책으로 결정하였다.

• 한국농공학회지
• /
• 제32권3호
• /
• pp.56-66
• /
• 1990

To investigate the status of irrigation water use and the degree of repeated use of irrigation water, observations for water balance analysis were made during the irrigation periods in 1986 and 1987 crop year. The total area of studied site is 1,441 ha. The site is a major portion of Jedaecheon basin which is located in Bubuk-myeon, Miryang-gun, Gyeongnam Province. The studied area was subdivided into six small blocks. The water balance analysis for these subdivided blocks were carried out considering characteristics of each block. Obtained results are as follow: 1.In mountainous sloppy paddy area(less than 7% slope), the surface inflow was 5A mm/day in average that is one third of the surface inflow into plain paddy area ; 16.7 mm/day. 2.The surface inflows at the vegetative stage and the ripening stage were 15.5 mm/day and 10.4 mm/day, respectively. Those figures were larger than the actual consumptive use at respective same stages ; 13.3 mm/day and 9.2 mm/day, respectively. Whereas, the surface inflow at generative stage was 12.5 mm/day which was less than 14.0 mm/day ; the actual consumptive use. 3.The range of the variation of water storage term was 1 mm/day. This means that there were no change in depth of ponded water on paddy fields. The relationship between the variation of water storage(AS) and the variation of ground water table(H) could be expressed as follow: : AS=0.14H+0.26 4.The ground water inflow: into the transition region ; paddy fields which are located continuously from the mountainous area to the plain area, was larger than the out flow from this region, in general. Rowever, in the plain region where the ground water utilization was predominant, the ground water outflow from this region was larger than inflow: to this region. The relationship between the ground water flow(G2- G1) and the consumptive use in large paddy area(D1-D2) could be expressed as follow: (G2-G1) =0.95(D1-D2) -3.79

• 한국농공학회논문집
• /
• 제60권3호
• /
• pp.95-105
• /
• 2018

Understanding the composition of the dam inflow can improve the efficiency of dam operation considering the seasonal characteristics. Hydrograph analysis is one of the methods to identify the characteristics of dam inflow. In addition, baseflow separation on the dam inflow can be affected by anthropogenic influences depending on dam locations. In this regard, the objectives of this study are 1) to analyze yearly and monthly baseflow contribution to the dam inflow and 2) to compare the baseflow contribution to the inflow in dams located upstream and downstream of the watershed. The result shows that the estimated baseflow index was smaller in the upstream dams compared to the downstream dams. Discharge from the upstream water infrastructure including dams and reservoirs can be a part of inflow into the downstream water infrastructure. Based on this scenario, the discharge regulated from the upstream dam could lead to overestimation of baseflow contribution to inflow into the downstream dam. We expect that the results from this study elucidate the role and function of dams and hence, contribute to the efficient operation of dams located in the upstream and the downstream of the watershed.

• 한국물환경학회지
• /
• 제22권2호
• /
• pp.342-348
• /
• 2006

Changes in water quality and algal growth according to the differences in the inflow volume were investigated in the Daecheong Lake from 1998 to 2001. Until year 2000, inflow volume considerably depended on the rainfall throughout the basin. However, the correlation was low since 2001 when water storage in the upstream Yongdam Lake was started. According to inflow volume-TP relationship analyses, significant correlation was found at up- and middle-stream sites, excluding down-stream site of the Daechong Lake. For chlorophyll-a, correlation was found with flow volume at all sites except for Choo-So. In a dry year, although nutrients loads were relatively lower than those in rainy years, there were higher concentrations of chlorophyll-a and massive bloom of Microcystis. Limiting factors for algal growth seems to be not the volume of nutrients load but retention time and physical disturbance of the water body influenced by inflow volume. Thus, in the Daecheong lake, it would be more important to focus on the management of eutrophication in dry years than in rainy ones.