• Title/Summary/Keyword: vulnerability index

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Development of vulnerable period assessment method for efficient groundwater resources management in upstream of Nakdong river basin using entropy method (엔트로피 방법을 이용한 낙동강 상류 지역의 지하수자원 관리 취약시기 평가 방법 개발)

  • Kim, Il Hwan;Lee, Jae-Beom;Yang, Jeong-Seok
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.9
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    • pp.761-768
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    • 2018
  • Groundwater resources are becoming depleted due to climate change factors and non climate change factors. In order to effectively groundwater resources management, we developed a method for evaluating vulnerable periods of groundwater resource management in watershed areas. The watershed based vulnerability assessment was conducted independently of the evaluation of vulnerable areas and vulnerable periods for sub watersheds. The vulnerable area evaluation index was standardized and applied to the independent vulnerable period index each region. It was applied to Bonghwa-gun, Andong-si, Yecheon-gun, Mungyeong-si and Sangju-si in the upstream of the Nakdong river basin. As a result, the Sangju-si's August was the most vulnerable at 0.278, and Andong-si was assessed to be vulnerable to groundwater resource management during 8 months of the year in study area. Using the developed method, we can find efficient management method considering the time and regional of groundwater resources.

Assessing the Potential Impact of Climate Change on Irrigation by Reservoir (농업용 저수지의 농업가뭄에 대한 기후변화 잠재영향 평가)

  • Kim, Soo-Jin;Hwang, Syewoon;Bae, Seung-Jong;Yoo, Seunghwan;Choi, Jin-Yong;Jang, Min-Won
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.63 no.6
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    • pp.141-150
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    • 2021
  • In order to assess the impact of climate change on irrigation reservoirs, climate exposure (EI), sensitivity (SI), and potential impact (PI) were evaluated for 1,651 reservoirs nationwide. Climate exposure and sensitivity by each reservoir were calculated using data collected from 2011 to 2020 for seven proxy variables (e.g. annual rainfall) and six proxy variables (e.g. irrigation days), respectively. The potential impact was calculated as the weighted sum of climate exposure and sensitivity, and was classified into four levels: 'Low (PI<0.4)', 'Medium (PI<0.6)', 'High (PI<0.8)', and 'Critical (PI≥0.8)'. The result showed that both the climate exposure index and the sensitivity index were on average high in Daegu and Gyeongbuk with high temperature and low rainfall. About 79.8% of irrigation reservoirs in Daegu, Gyeongbuk, and Ulsan with high climate exposure and sensitivity resulted in a 'High' level of potential impact. On the contrary, 64.5% of the study reservoirs in Gyeongnam and Gangwon showed 'Low' in potential impact. In further studies, it is required to reorganize the proxy variables and the weights in accordance with practical alternatives for improving adaptive capacity to drought, and it is expected to contribute to establishing a framework for vulnerability assessment of an irrigation reservoir.

Detection of Levee Displacement and Estimation of Vulnerability of Levee Using Remote Sening (원격탐사를 이용한 하천 제방 변위량 측정과 취약지점 선별)

  • Bang, Young Jun;Jung, Hyo Jun;Lee, Seung Oh
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2021
  • As a method of predicting the displacement of river levee in advance, Differential Interferometry (D-InSAR) kind of InSAR techniques was used to identify weak points in the area of the levee collapes near Gumgok Bridge (Somjin River) in Namwon City, which occurred in the summer of 2020. As a result of analyzing the displacement using five images each in the spring and summer of 2020, the Variation Index (V) of area where the collapse occurred was larger than that of the other areas, so the prognostic sysmptoms was detected. If the levee monitoring system is realized by analyzing the correlations with displacement results and hydrometeorological factors, it will overcome the existing limitations of system and advance ultra-precise, automated river levee maintenance technology and improve national disaster management.

Projecting forest fire potential in the Baekdudaegan of the Chungcheong region under the SSP scenario climate change using KBDI Drought Index (KBDI 가뭄지수를 이용한 SSP 기후변화 시나리오하의 충청지역 백두대간 산불 잠재력 전망)

  • Choi, Jaeyong;Kim, Su-Jin;Jung, Huicheul;Kim, Sung-Yeol;Moon, Geon-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Environmental Restoration Technology
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2022
  • Recently, climate change has been regarded as a major cause of large-scale forest fires worldwide, and there is concern that more frequent and severe forest fires will occur due to the level of greenhouse gas emissions. In this study, the daily Keetch and Byram Drought Index (KBDI) of the Baekdudaegan in Chungcheong region including Sobaeksan, Songnisan, and Woraksan National Parks were calculated to assess effect of climate change on the forest fire potential- severity of annual maximum KBDI and frequency of high KBDI days. The present (2000~2019) and future KBDI(2021~2040, 2041~2060, 2081~2090) were calculated based on the meteorological observation and the ensemble regional climate model of the SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios with a spatial resolution of 1-km provided by Korea Meteorological Administration(KMA). Under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, 6.5℃ increase and 14% precipitation increase are expected at the end of the 21st century. The severity of maximum daily KBDI increases by 48% (+50mm), and the frequency of high KBDI days (> 100 KBDI) increases more than 100 days, which means the high potential for serious forest fires. The analysis results showed that Songnisan National Park has the highest potential for forest fire risk and will continue to be high in intensity and frequency in the future. It is expected that the forest vulnerability of the Baekdudaegan in the Chungcheong region will greatly increase and the difficulty in preventing and suppressing forest fires will increase as the abundance of combustible materials increases along with climate changes.

Estimation of Road Sections Vulnerable to Black Ice Using Road Surface Temperatures Obtained by a Mobile Road Weather Observation Vehicle (도로기상차량으로 관측한 노면온도자료를 이용한 도로살얼음 취약 구간 산정)

  • Park, Moon-Soo;Kang, Minsoo;Kim, Sang-Heon;Jung, Hyun-Chae;Jang, Seong-Been;You, Dong-Gill;Ryu, Seong-Hyen
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.525-537
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    • 2021
  • Black ices on road surfaces in winter tend to cause severe and terrible accidents. It is very difficult to detect black ice events in advance due to their localities as well as sensitivities to surface and upper meteorological variables. This study develops a methodology to detect the road sections vulnerable to black ice with the use of road surface temperature data obtained from a mobile road weather observation vehicle. The 7 experiments were conducted on the route from Nam-Wonju IC to Nam-Andong IC (132.5 km) on the Jungang Expressway during the period from December 2020 to February 2021. Firstly, temporal road surface temperature data were converted to the spatial data with a 50 m resolution. Then, the spatial road surface temperature was normalized with zero mean and one standard deviation using a simple normalization, a linear de-trend and normalization, and a low-pass filter and normalization. The resulting road thermal map was calculated in terms of road surface temperature differences. A road ice index was suggested using the normalized road temperatures and their horizontal differences. Road sections vulnerable to black ice were derived from road ice indices and verified with respect to road geometry and sky view, etc. It was found that black ice could occur not only over bridges, but also roads with a low sky view factor. These results are expected to be applicable to the alarm service for black ice to drivers.

Heatwave Vulnerability Analysis of Construction Sites Using Satellite Imagery Data and Deep Learning (인공위성영상과 딥러닝을 이용한 건설공사현장 폭염취약지역 분석)

  • Kim, Seulgi;Park, Seunghee
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.42 no.2
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    • pp.263-272
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    • 2022
  • As a result of climate change, the heatwave and urban heat island phenomena have become more common, and the frequency of heatwaves is expected to increase by two to six times by the year 2050. In particular, the heat sensation index felt by workers at construction sites during a heatwave is very high, and the sensation index becomes even higher if the urban heat island phenomenon is considered. The construction site environment and the situations of construction workers vulnerable to heat are not improving, and it is now imperative to respond effectively to reduce such damage. In this study, satellite imagery, land surface temperatures (LST), and long short-term memory (LSTM) were applied to analyze areas above 33 ℃, with the most vulnerable areas with increased synergistic damage from heat waves and the urban heat island phenomena then predicted. It is expected that the prediction results will ensure the safety of construction workers and will serve as the basis for a construction site early-warning system.

Assessing Community Resilience in Rural Regions Using the Analytic Hierarchy Process Method (AHP 기법을 이용한 농촌 커뮤니티 리질리언스 지표 도출 연구)

  • Kim, Eun-Sol;Lee, Jae-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 2022
  • The purpose of this study is to introduce the concept of community resilience to rural society and build an index suitable for the reality of rural areas. Furthermore, by calculating the importance of evaluation factors, it was attempted to present priorities and alternatives for each evaluation factor. By stratifying the derived indicators, a survey was conducted targeting 20 researchers, practitioners, and public officials, three groups of experts working in rural areas who were well aware of the realities and problems of rural areas. In the survey, a pairwise comparison was performed to compare factors 1:1 to calculate the importance, and for rational and consistent decision-making, decisions were made in the 9-grade section. Using the collected data, consistency analysis that can evaluate reliability in the decision-making process and the relative weight of evaluation factors were calculated through AHP analysis. As a result of the analysis, as a result of examining the priority of final importance by summarizing the importance of all evaluation factors, 'Income creation using resources' > 'Population Characteristics' > 'Tolerance' > 'External Support' > 'Social Accessibility' > 'Physical Accessibility' > 'Community Competence' > 'Infrastructure' > 'Leader Competence' > 'Natural Environment' was derived in the order. In the study dealing with urban community resilience indicators, social aspects such as citizen participation, public-private cooperation, and governance were presented as the most important requirements, but this study differs in that the 'income creation' factor is derived as the most important factor. This can be seen through the change in the income difference between rural and urban areas. The income structure of rural areas has changed rapidly, and it is now reaching a very poor level, so it is necessary to prepare alternatives to 'income creation' in the case of rural areas. Unlike urban indicators, 'population characteristics' and 'tolerance' were also derived as important indicators of rural society. However, there are currently no alternatives to supplement the vulnerability by strengthening the resilience of rural communities. Based on the priority indicators derived from the study, we tried to suggest alternatives necessary for rural continuity in the future so that they can be supplemented step by step.

Application of SAD Curves in Assessing Climate-change Impacts on Spatio-temporal Characteristics of Extreme Drought Events (극한가뭄의 시공간적 특성에 대한 기후변화의 영향을 평가하기 위한 SAD 곡선의 적용)

  • Kim, Hosung;Park, Jinhyeog;Yoon, Jaeyoung;Kim, Sangdan
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.6B
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    • pp.561-569
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    • 2010
  • In this study, the impact of climate change on extreme drought events is investigated by comparing drought severity-area-duration curves under present and future climate. The depth-area-duration analysis for characterizing an extreme precipitation event provides a basis for analysing drought events when storm depth is replaced by an appropriate measure of drought severity. In our climate-change impact experiments, the future monthly precipitation time series is based on a KMA regional climate model which has a $27km{\times}27km$ spatial resolution, and the drought severity is computed using the standardized precipitation index. As a result, agricultural drought risk is likely to increase especially in short duration, while hydrologic drought risk will greatly increase in all durations. Such results indicate that a climate change vulnerability assessment for present water resources supply system is urgent.

Physical Activity and Non-specific Neck Pain Recurrence: A Nationwide Cohort Risk Factor Study Based on National Health Insurance Data (신체활동과 비특이적 목 통증의 재발 -국민건강보험 자료에 기반한 전국 코호트 위험인자 연구-)

  • Mi-ran Goo
    • PNF and Movement
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.101-111
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to investigate physical activity as a risk factor for neck pain recurrence using the National Health Insurance Data Sharing Service that utilizes a nationwide cohort in South Korea. Methods: Medical records spanning a two-year period were extracted from the National Health Insurance database for 541,937 patients who sought healthcare services for neck pain (ICD 10 codes: M54.2) in 2020 and completed the national health examination survey. Selected variables for analysis included age, gender, health insurance premium decile, regional health vulnerability index, body mass index (BMI), acuity, blood pressure, and types of physical activity. A mixed-effect multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to examine the recurrence rate of neck pain and identify risk factors for neck pain recurrence. Results: Among the participants, 124,433 patients (23.0%) experienced a recurrence of neck pain within two years, with higher recurrence rates observed among older individuals and females. Regression analysis revealed that the risk of neck pain recurrence increased with age (OR=1.51), being female (OR= 1.10), being a medical aid recipient (OR=1.51), and having anaerobic (OR=1.04) or vigorous physical activities (OR=1.06). By contrast, an increased health insurance premium decile (OR=0.96) and having moderate physical activity (OR=0.97) were associated with a decreased risk of neck pain recurrence. Conclusion: This study highlights the importance of moderate physical activity as an effective strategy for reducing the recurrence of nonspecific neck pain, underscoring the necessity for personalized physical activity programs for patients.

Emergy Cost-Benefit Evaluation of the Down Stream of Nakdong River Using Environmental-Ecological Concept (환경 생태학적 개념을 이용한 낙동강 하류의 에머지 비용-편익 평가)

  • Jung, Hwa-Sook;Lee, Seog-Mo;Son, Hyeng-Sik;Son, Hee-Jong
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.507-514
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    • 2013
  • The Nakdong River being used as drinking water sources for the Busan metropolitan city has the vulnerability of water management due to the fact that industrial areas are located in the upper Nakdong River. This study used emergy analysis method to evaluate ecological-economics of water treatment systems of D water treatment plant (WTP) where located in the downstream of the Nakdong River. The emergy methodology is a system evaluation tool that uses energy as the common currency to compare different resources on a common basis. Emergy yield ratio (EYR) and emergy sustainability index (EmSI) of D WTP were 1.16 and 0.18, respectively. It means not resources and sustainable system but consumer goods and not sustainable system. Ratio of emergy benefit to the purchaser (EBP) shows 2.7 times higher than economic costs. To change the weak water source and situations we need to diversity water intake.