• 제목/요약/키워드: uncertainty levels

검색결과 231건 처리시간 0.029초

농촌가구의 식품 및 영양소 섭취수준과 가구내 어린이의 건강상태에 대하여 (A Study on the Nutritional Status of the Children and the Household Food and Nutrients Consumption Level in Rural Farm Household)

  • 김영현;김영옥
    • 농촌의학ㆍ지역보건
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.5-15
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    • 1985
  • It has been a long tradition in the field of nutrition that the degree of malnutrition in a community used to be estimated by the degree of the adequacy of nutrients consumption in the households. The adequacy of nutrient consumption in the households then used to be applied to estimate the degree of malnutrition of the children. Such a practice is theoretically acceptable in the community where the food sharing within the household is individual serving style such as in European countries. However, the community where the dietary habit in the household is communal such as in Korea, the estimation of single serving portion from household consumption is quite uncertain. Because of such an uncertainty this study is intended to test the validity of the household food consumption level as an indication of nutritional status of the children in the rural farm households in Korea. The date from the household consumption survey in 1982 by the Korean Rural Nutrition Institute has been used for the analysis of food consumption levels of the households. The survey on the nutritional status of children of 127 preschool children from 78 farm households, has been conducted during May 1983. The nutritional status of the children has been directly measured by weight, height, skinfold thickness, haemoglobin, haematocrit and morbidity of influenza and diarrhoea. The analysis has been conducted to distinguish the differences in prevalence of malnutrition of children from the estimated of household consumption and that of from the direct measurement of nutritional status of children. The results show that the degree of malnutrition of the estimated by the household consumption level has not related with the prevalence of malnutrition by the direct measures of nutritional status of the children. Therefore, the validity of household consumption level as an indication of nutrional status in a same household is quite uncertain for the population studied.

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Development of a Probabilistic Safety Assessment Framework for an Interim Dry Storage Facility Subjected to an Aircraft Crash Using Best-Estimate Structural Analysis

  • Almomani, Belal;Jang, Dongchan;Lee, Sanghoon;Kang, Hyun Gook
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제49권2호
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    • pp.411-425
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    • 2017
  • Using a probabilistic safety assessment, a risk evaluation framework for an aircraft crash into an interim spent fuel storage facility is presented. Damage evaluation of a detailed generic cask model in a simplified building structure under an aircraft impact is discussed through a numerical structural analysis and an analytical fragility assessment. Sequences of the impact scenario are shown in a developed event tree, with uncertainties considered in the impact analysis and failure probabilities calculated. To evaluate the influence of parameters relevant to design safety, risks are estimated for three specification levels of cask and storage facility structures. The proposed assessment procedure includes the determination of the loading parameters, reference impact scenario, structural response analyses of facility walls, cask containment, and fuel assemblies, and a radiological consequence analysis with dose-risk estimation. The risk results for the proposed scenario in this study are expected to be small relative to those of design basis accidents for best-estimated conservative values. The importance of this framework is seen in its flexibility to evaluate the capability of the facility to withstand an aircraft impact and in its ability to anticipate potential realistic risks; the framework also provides insight into epistemic uncertainty in the available data and into the sensitivity of the design parameters for future research.

PERFORMANCE OF THE TRAO 13.7-M TELESCOPE WITH NEW SYSTEMS

  • Jeong, Il-Gyo;Kang, Hyunwoo;Jung, Jaehoon;Lee, Changhoon;Byun, Do-Young;Je, Do-Heung;Kang, Sung-Ju;Lee, Youngung;Lee, Chang Won
    • 천문학회지
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    • 제52권6호
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    • pp.227-233
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    • 2019
  • We report the performance of the 13.7-meter Taeduk Radio Astronomy Observatory (TRAO) radio telescope. The telescope has been equipped with a new receiver, SEQUOIA-TRAO, a new backend system, FFT2G, and a new VxWorks operating system. The receiver system features a 16-pixel focal plane array using high-performance MMIC preamplifiers; it shows very low system noise levels, with system noise temperatures from 150 K to 450 K at frequencies from 86 to 115 GHz. With the new backend system, we can simultaneously obtain 32 spectra, each with a velocity coverage of 163 km s-1 and a resolution of 0.04 km s-1 at 115 GHz. The new operating system, VxWorks, has successfully handled the LMTMC-TRAO observing software. The main observing method is the on-the-fly (OTF) mapping mode; a position-switching mode is available for small-area observations. Remote observing is provided. The antenna surface has been newly adjusted using digital photogrammetry, achieving a rms surface accuracy better than 130 ㎛. The pointing uncertainty is found to be less than 5" over the entire sky. We tested the new receiver system with multi-frequency observations in OTF mode. The aperture efficiencies are 43±1%, 42±1%, 37±1%, and 33±1%, the beam efficiencies are 45±2%, 48±2%, 46±2%, and 41±2% at 86, 98, 110, and 115 GHz, respectively.

서울지역 라돈농도의 분포예측을 위한 공간분석법 연구 (Studies on the Spatial Analysis for Distribution Estimation of Radon Concentration at the Seoul Area)

  • 백승아;이태정;김신도;김동술
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.538-550
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    • 2008
  • Radon is an invisible, odorless, and radioactive gas. It is formed by the disintegration of radium, which is a decay product of uranium. Some amounts of radon gas and its products are present ubiquitously in the soil, water, and air. Particularly high radon levels occur in regions of high uranium content. Although radon is permeable into indoor environment not only through geological features (bed rock and permeability) but also through the construction materials and underground water, the radiation from the geological features is generally main exposure factor. So there can be a problem in a certain space such as the underground and/or relatively poor ventilation condition. In this study, a GIS technique was used in order to investigate spatial distribution of radon measured from sub- way stations of 1 thru 8 in Seoul, Korea in 1991, 1998, 2001, and 2006. Spatial analysis was applied to reproduce the radon distribution. We utilized spatial analysis techniques such as inverse distance weighted averaging (IDW) and kriging techniques which are widely used to relate between different spatial points. To validate the results from the analyses, the jackknife technique for an uncertainty test was performed. When the number of measuring sites was less than 100 and also when the number of omitted sites increased, the kriging technique was better than IDW. On the other hand, when the number of sites was over 100, IDW technique was better than kriging technique. Thus the selection of analytical tool was affected sensitives by the analysis based on the number of measuring sites.

원전 열화 전자카드의 입력신호 선택회로 개발 (Input Signal Selection Circuits Development of Electronic Cards for Thermal Degradation in Nuclear Power Plant)

  • 김종호;최규식
    • 한국항행학회논문지
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.554-560
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    • 2019
  • 원전에서 각종 전자카드는 시간에 경과함에 따라 열화가 되므로 이에 대한 대책이 필요하다. 이 열화 카드들 중에서 노외중성자감시시스템의 카드들은 방사선원의 레벨에서 발생되는 중성자속을 총 원자로출력의 200%까지 연속적으로 감시하게 되는데, 원자로출력이 낮을 때의 경우와 높을 때의 경우의 출력감시신호처리 방법이 달라야 한다. 원자로 출력이 낮을 때는 대수적으로 발생되는 펄스신호를 선형적으로 계수하여 신호처처리를 해야 되지만, 원자로 출력이 커지게 되면 통계이론에 의한 방법으로 처리해야 정확한 값을 얻을 수 있기 때문이다. 이때 전자카드가 열화되는 것이 문제가 된다. 따라서, 본 연구에서는 저출력일 때와 고출력일 때의 신호처리 방법을 달리하여 일정한 기준에 의한 원자로의 출력레벨에서 이를 저출력에서 고출력으로 전환하기 위한 열화 입력선택회로를 개발하였다. 개발된 선택회로의 신뢰성을 확인하기 위하여 원전에서 사용되는 실제의 데이터값을 적용하여 테스트하였으며, 그 결과를 분석하여 선택회로의 정당성을 입증하였다.

Financial Disclosure and the Cost of Equity Capital: The Empirical Test of the Largest Listed Companies of Kazakhstan

  • Baimukhamedova, Aizhan;Baimukhamedova, Gulzada;Luchaninova, Albina
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제4권3호
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    • pp.5-17
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    • 2017
  • This study extends research into whether disclosure of corporate and financial information is associated with firms' costs of equity capital. This study sets out to examine empirically the determinants of corporate disclosure in the annual reports of 37 largest and most liquid firms listed on Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) in Kazakhstan. It also reports the results of the association between company-specific characteristics and disclosure of the sample companies. Based on the analysis of existing empirical research, the disclosure index has been constructed and regression analysis of the influence of the disclosure index on the cost of equity capital has been conducted. The obtained results show that the received findings correlate with foreign empirical studies, and the disclosure index in this sample has a negative impact on the cost of equity capital. Using cost of equity capital estimates derived from capital asset pricing model, we find that firms with higher levels of financial transparency are associated with significantly lower costs of equity capital. Economic theory assumes that by increasing the level of corporate reporting, firms not only increase their stock market liquidity, but also decrease the investors' estimation risk, arising from uncertainty about future returns and payout distributions. The results show that firms on the Kazakhstan market can reduce their cost of equity capital by increasing the level of their voluntary corporate disclosures.

구매자와 공급자 관계에서 기업의 성과에 대한 신뢰 결정요인의 영향: 부산시 창고업을 대상으로 (Effects of Trust Determinants on Firm Performance in the Buyer-Supplier Relationships: Empirical Evidence from the Warehousing firms in Busan, South Korea)

  • 성신제;강상목
    • 대한지리학회지
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    • 제48권5호
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    • pp.667-685
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    • 2013
  • 본 연구는 부산시 물류창고업을 대상으로 구매자-공급자간 관계에서 신뢰의 결정요인이 기업의 성과에 미치는 영향을 밝히는데 목적이 있다. 이를 위해 설문자료를 이용하여 선형 회귀의 제한 점을 처리하는 AVAS 변환 분석을 하였으며 그 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 기업의 성과는 "장기적 반복적 상호작용", "지리적 근접성", "기업의 문화 및 규범과 공식적 제도" 등의 요인과 대체적으로 정(+)의 비례관계를 형성한다. 둘째, 기업의 성과는 "정보공유와 호혜성"과 체증적 정(+)의 관계를 보인다. 마지막으로, 기업의 성과는 "상호의존과 자산전용성" 및 "불확실성 제거"와는 체감적 정(+)의 관계를 형성한다. 이러한 결과는 신뢰와 기업의 성과 간 관계는 구매자-공급자 관계에서 신뢰의 중요한 요인인 신뢰 결정요인에 의해 결정되며, 기업의 성과에 대한 신뢰 결정요인의 영향은 신뢰 결정요인의 수준에 따라 다르게 나타남을 보여준다.

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중소기업 초기경력자들의 이직의도에 미치는 영향 요인 (The Turnover Intention Factors of the Experienced Beginners of Small and Medium Enterprises)

  • 우상호;신완선
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제40권3호
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    • pp.123-137
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    • 2017
  • Competitiveness of small and medium companies often rely on the competency of their employees. Many employees however try to move to better environments if possible, which results in high uncertainty in maintaining solid human resources. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the influencing factors of turnover intention and organizational loyalty of the early experienced, especially three to five years experienced, employees in the small and medium enterprises. A survey had been conducted using both LMX (Leader Member eXchange) and TMX (Team Member eXchange) as an effort to test the impact of strategic human resource management factors on turnover intension and organizational loyalty. It has been observed that the level of LMX is critical on the turnover intension, while the levels of LMX and TMX are positively related to the organizational loyalty. Especially significant mediation effect affects on the organizational loyalty for TMX via LMX in the serial structure. The human resource management factors become effective under the circumstances where leader and team members exchange activities are activated. These findings can be used in reducing turnover intention and increasing organizational loyalty of early experienced employees by enhancing the leadership training of middle level managers of the small and medium enterprises organizations. Besides, a set of active communication channels should be provided for the young employees so that they can share their work experiences and difficulties within the organization. The key results of this study may help the practitioners set up a management plan to maintain a low turnover rate for their organizations.

지반조건을 고려한 교량의 내진성능기반 취약도 해석 (Seismic Performance based Fragility Analysis of Bridge Structure in terms of Soil Conditions)

  • 이대형;홍현기;정영수
    • 한국콘크리트학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국콘크리트학회 2008년도 춘계 학술발표회 제20권1호
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    • pp.73-76
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    • 2008
  • 지진에 의한 피해는 지진이 가지는 불확실성으로 인하여 확률적으로 예측하여야 한다. 취약도 분석은 교량구조물의 피해를 지반가속도에 따른 확률로 나타내고 주어진 지진파에 대한 손상확률의 단계를 추정할 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 프리스트레스트 콘크리트 교량에 대한 수치적 시뮬레이션에 의한 취약도 곡선을 산출하기위해 해석적 연구를 수행하였다. 이를 위해 지반조건에 따라 각각 100개의 인공지 진파를 생성하고 비선형 시간이력해석을 수행하였다. 손상단계는 기존의 실험결과에 기초한 성능기반에 따라 정의하였으며 RC 교각의 지진거동을 변위연성도로 나타내었다. 손상단계 및 지반가속도를 이용하여 PSC교량의 지반조건에 따른 손상곡선을 도출하여 비교분석하였다. 연구결과에 따르면 지반조건 및 구속철근량에 따른 손상확률의 차이를 확인할 수 있다.

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Comparison of field- and satellite-based vegetation cover estimation methods

  • Ko, Dongwook W.;Kim, Dasom;Narantsetseg, Amartuvshin;Kang, Sinkyu
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제41권2호
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    • pp.34-44
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    • 2017
  • Background: Monitoring terrestrial vegetation cover condition is important to evaluate its current condition and to identify potential vulnerabilities. Due to simplicity and low cost, point intercept method has been widely used in evaluating grassland surface and quantifying cover conditions. Field-based digital photography method is gaining popularity for the purpose of cover estimate, as it can reduce field time and enable additional analysis in the future. However, the caveats and uncertainty among field-based vegetation cover estimation methods is not well known, especially across a wide range of cover conditions. We compared cover estimates from point intercept and digital photography methods with varying sampling intensities (25, 49, and 100 points within an image), across 61 transects in typical steppe, forest steppe, and desert steppe in central Mongolia. We classified three photosynthetic groups of cover important to grassland ecosystem functioning: photosynthetic vegetation, non-photosynthetic vegetation, and bare soil. We also acquired normalized difference vegetation index from satellite image comparison with the field-based cover. Results: Photosynthetic vegetation estimates by point intercept method were correlated with normalized difference vegetation index, with improvement when non-photosynthetic vegetation was combined. For digital photography method, photosynthetic and non-photosynthetic vegetation estimates showed no correlation with normalized difference vegetation index, but combining of both showed moderate and significant correlation, which slightly increased with greater sampling intensity. Conclusions: Results imply that varying greenness is playing an important role in classification accuracy confusion. We suggest adopting measures to reduce observer bias and better distinguishing greenness levels in combination with multispectral indices to improve estimates on dry matter.