• Title/Summary/Keyword: uncertain environment

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Study on the Direction of Korea's National Defense Strategy Focused on the Hegemony Strategy of U.S.A. (미국의 패권전략과 한국 군사전략 발전방향)

  • Kim, Sung-Woo
    • Journal of National Security and Military Science
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    • s.8
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    • pp.239-270
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    • 2010
  • This thesis is to make an appropriate national defense policy of Republic of Korea through studying the Hegemony Strategy of United States. I searched the theory of hegemony. The hegemony was differently defined by the point of time and region. The strong power nations with the hegemony have been making efforts to maintain their hegemony everytime. I have conclusion that the presence of hegemony once emerged, it brought regional stability in place whether it is coercive or beneficial. The stability and instability of international order IS not exclusively dependent on hegemony. Even if the safety of hegemony cannot guarantee absolute stability of international order, there IS on doubt that the hegemony has enormous impact on that. According to the hegemonic theory, the history of mankind equals to the history of rising and falling hegemony. The international order was changed as the hegemony changes. The United States has been making efforts to maintain her global hegemony during the post cold-war era as well. Taking all these into consideration, relevant military strategy direction able to pursue national interest is that to make up for the relative weakness in the strategic environment. South Korea have to prepare security policy response as following. First, South Korea should build the military force equipped with advanced weapons in military technology sector and solidify military diplomatic relation able to form cooperative relation in wartime. Second, South Korea should make solid Alliance of Korea and U.S. Third, develop and maintain multilateral security cooperation of East Asia. Forth, we could realize that there are means that can neutralize opponent's strong point by seeking one or two and more asymmetry in the aspect of strategy, tactics, and means through asymmetric strategy. Than the military force of South Korea should develop into a force that is able to overcome to the traditional North Korea's threat and new type of conflicts. And the force should have sufficient strength and be deployed to effectively defend the Korean Peninsula. So, we need to establish a denial and defense system against any hostile neighboring country. Therefore, ROK military forces preparing for the future should try to construct a future military power to gradually establish enough strength for self-defense to prepare for a uncertain security environment and when the Korean Peninsula is unified in a future.

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Constraints and opportunities to sustain future wheat yield and water productivity in semi-arid environment

  • Ahmad, Mirza Junaid;Choi, Kyung-Sook
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.185-185
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    • 2019
  • Sustaining future wheat production is challenged by anthropogenically forced climate warming and drying led by increased concentration of greenhouse gases all around the globe. Warming stresses, originating from the elevated $CO_2$ concentration, are continuously reported to have negative impacts on wheat growth and yield. Yet, elevated $CO_2$ concentration, despite being disparagingly blamed for promoting warming, is also associated with a phenomenon called $CO_2$ enrichment; in which wheat yield can improve due to the enhanced photosynthesis rates and less water loss through transpiration. The conflicting nature of climate warming and $CO_2$ enrichment and their interplay can have specific implications under different environments. It is established form the field and simulation studies that the two contrasting phenomena would act severely in their own respect under arid and semi-arid environments. Wheat is a dietary staple for masses in Pakistan. The country's wheat production system is under constant stress to produce more from irrigated agricultural lands, primarily lying under arid to semi-arid environments, to meet the rapidly growing domestic needs. This work comprehensively examines the warming impacts over wheat yield and water productivity (WP), with and without the inclusion of $CO_2$ enrichment, under semi-arid environment of Punjab which is the largest agricultural province of Pakistan. Future wheat yields and WPs were simulated by FAO developed AquaCrop model v 5.0. The model was run using the bias-correction climate change projections up to 2080 under two representative concentration pathways (RCP) scenarios: 4.5 and 8.5. Wheat yield and WPs decreased without considering the $CO_2$ enrichment effects owing to the elevated irrigation demands and accelerated evapotranspiration rates. The results suggested that $CO_2$ enrichment could help maintain the current yield and WPs levels during the 2030s (2021-2050); however, it might not withhold the negative climate warming impacts during the 2060s (2051-2080). Furthermore, 10 - 20 day backward shift in sowing dates could also help ease the constraints imposed by climate warming over wheat yields and WPs. Although, $CO_2$ enrichment showed promises to counteract the adverse climate warming impacts but the interactions between climate warming and $CO_2$ concentrations were quite uncertain and required further examination.

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Forecasting Future Broadcasting Service Market based on the Consumer Preferences for the Attributes of New Convergence Broadcasting Services (신규 융합형 방송서비스 속성에 대한 소비자 선호 분석을 통한 미래 방송서비스 시장 예측)

  • Koh Dae-Young;Kim Tai-Yoo;Lee Jong-Su
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.227-254
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    • 2006
  • Under the recent trend of telecommunications and broadcasting convergence, much more various forms of new convergence broadcasting services are being introduced than ever before. Owing to the unique advantages, new convergence broadcasting services are expected to bring drastic changes to the current broadcasting service market. In this research, we attempt to examine what kind of attributes critically affect the competition among new convergence broadcasting services, and how much competitive they will be, based on the quantitative information about consumer preferences for the important attributes of new convergence broadcasting services. Conjoint survey was used in order to obtain stated preference data of consumers. From the results, some implications are obtained as follows. First, even though new convergence broadcasting services have many unique advantages, still price is the most important for the consumers. Second, it is expected that considerable consumer valuation exists for the unique advantages of new convergence broadcasting services like mobility and dual-way interactivity, which will add the competitiveness of those services in the future. Third, since midterm advertising puts negative utility on consumers, broadcasting services with midterm advertising will not be preferred to those with neither advertising nor midterm advertising. Fourth, service coverage and the number of consumers using the same broadcasting service have a significant feedback effect on the competition between broadcasting services from the dynamic aspect. Lastly, the consumer preference can be affected by demographic variables like age and gender, and broadcasting service usage patterns such as channel switchover for escaping advertisement and frequency of using other recorded media. Main findings of our research might become useful information for both telecommunication and broadcasting companies, contents providers, advertisers, and policy and regulation makers to cope with the uncertain environment of telecommunication and broadcasting convergence.

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Analysis of Dioxins and Furans from Bottom Ash Produced in an Municipal Solid Waste Incinerator (도시 소각로 시설의 고형 쓰레기 연소 후 생성된 바닥재 시료에 대한 다이옥신과 퓨란류의 분석)

  • Chang, Yoon-Seok;Hong, JongKi;Kim, Jin-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Chemical Society
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    • v.39 no.7
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    • pp.513-523
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    • 1995
  • Polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins (PCDDs) and dibenzofurans (PCDFs) are the most concerned toxic organic pollutants to human. Because of their extremely high toxicity and uncertain genotoxic potential, their determination in environmental and biological samples is of great interest. Municipal solid waste incinerator facilities have been reported as the major contributors of dioxins and furans to the environment, and their formation from combustion is a universal phenomenon, everywhere. In this study dioxins and furans were analyzed from the bottom ash produced during combustion in an municipal waste incinerator located in Seoul. The EPA method was modified for sample pretreatment: the soxhlet method was used for extraction and clean-up procedures were performed by using silica and basic alumina, excluding active-carbon. The extract was then analyzed by HRGC/HRMS. A general trend of increase in the amounts of 6∼7 chlorine-substituted dioxins and furans was observed. Total dioxins, furans and 2,3,7,8-TCDD were determined as 8.05 ng/g, 4.75 ng/g, and 6.93 pg/g, respectively.

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Object Detection and Tracking using Bayesian Classifier in Surveillance (서베일런스에서 베이지안 분류기를 이용한 객체 검출 및 추적)

  • Kang, Sung-Kwan;Choi, Kyong-Ho;Chung, Kyung-Yong;Lee, Jung-Hyun
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.297-302
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, we present a object detection and tracking method based on image context analysis. It is robust from the image variations such as complicated background, dynamic movement of the object. Image context analysis is carried out using the hybrid network of k-means and RBF. The proposed object detection employs context-driven adaptive Bayesian framework to relive the effect due to uneven object images. The proposed method used feature vector generator using 2D Haar wavelet transform and the Bayesian discriminant method in order to enhance the speed of learning. The system took less time to learn, and learning in a wide variety of data showed consistent results. After we developed the proposed method was applied to real-world environment. As a result, in the case of the object to detect pass outside expected area or other changes in the uncertain reaction showed that stable. The experimental results show that the proposed approach can achieve superior performance using various data sets to previously methods.

The Impact of Redundancy and Teamwork on Resilience Engineering Factors by Fuzzy Mathematical Programming and Analysis of Variance in a Large Petrochemical Plant

  • Azadeh, Ali;Salehi, Vahid;Mirzayi, Mahsa
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.307-316
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    • 2016
  • Background: Resilience engineering (RE) is a new paradigm that can control incidents and reduce their consequences. Integrated RE includes four new factors-self-organization, teamwork, redundancy, and fault-tolerance-in addition to conventional RE factors. This study aimed to evaluate the impacts of these four factors on RE and determine the most efficient factor in an uncertain environment. Methods: The required data were collected through a questionnaire in a petrochemical plant in June 2013. The questionnaire was completed by 115 respondents including 37 managers and 78 operators. Fuzzy data envelopment analysis was used in different ${\alpha}$-cuts in order to calculate the impact of each factor. Analysis of variance was employed to compare the efficiency score means of the four abovementioned factors. Results: The results showed that as ${\alpha}$ approached 0 and the system became fuzzier (${\alpha}=0.3$ and ${\alpha}=0.1$), teamwork played a significant role and had the highest impact on the resilient system. In contrast, as ${\alpha}$ approached 1 and the fuzzy system went toward a certain mode (${\alpha}=0.9$ and ${\alpha}=1$), redundancy had a vital role in the selected resilient system. Therefore, redundancy and teamwork were the most efficient factors. Conclusion: The approach developed in this study could be used for identifying the most important factors in such environments. The results of this study may help managers to have better understanding of weak and strong points in such industries.

Adaptive Multi-level Streaming Service using Fuzzy Similarity in Wireless Mobile Networks (무선 모바일 네트워크상에서 퍼지 유사도를 이용한 적응형 멀티-레벨 스트리밍 서비스)

  • Lee, Chong-Deuk
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.9
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    • pp.3502-3509
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    • 2010
  • Streaming service in the wireless mobile network environment has been a very challenging issue due to the dynamic uncertain nature of the channels. Overhead such as congestion, latency, and jitter lead to the problem of performance degradation of an adaptive multi-streaming service. This paper proposes a AMSS (Adaptive Multi-level Streaming Service) mechanism to reduce the performance degradation due to overhead such as variable network bandwidth, mobility and limited resources of the wireless mobile network. The proposed AMSS optimizes streaming services by: 1) use of fuzzy similarity metric, 2) minimization of packet loss due to buffer overflow and resource waste, and 3) minimization of packet loss due to congestion and delay. The simulation result shows that the proposed method has better performance in congestion control and packet loss ratio than the other existing methods of TCP-based method, UDP-based method and VBM-based method. The proposed method showed improvement of 10% in congestion control ratio and 8% in packet loss ratio compared with VBM-based method which is one of the best method.

The Simulation and Research of Information for Space Craft(Autonomous Spacecraft Health Monitoring/Data Validation Control Systems)

  • Kim, H;Jhonson, R.;Zalewski, D.;Qu, Z.;Durrance, S.T.;Ham, C.
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.81-89
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    • 2001
  • Space systems are operating in a changing and uncertain space environment and are desired to have autonomous capability for long periods of time without frequent telecommunications from the ground station At the same time. requirements for new set of projects/systems calling for ""autonomous"" operations for long unattended periods of time are emerging. Since, by the nature of space systems, it is desired that they perform their mission flawlessly and also it is of extreme importance to have fault-tolerant sensor/actuator sub-systems for the purpose of validating science measurement data for the mission success. Technology innovations attendant on autonomous data validation and health monitoring are articulated for a growing class of autonomous operations of space systems. The greatest need is on focus research effort to the development of a new class of fault-tolerant space systems such as attitude actuators and sensors as well as validation of measurement data from scientific instruments. The characterization for the next step in evolving the existing control processes to an autonomous posture is to embed intelligence into actively control. modify parameters and select sensor/actuator subsystems based on statistical parameters of the measurement errors in real-time. This research focuses on the identification/demonstration of critical technology innovations that will be applied to Autonomous Spacecraft Health Monitoring/Data Validation Control Systems (ASHMDVCS). Systems (ASHMDVCS).

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Study of Trade Network among Agricultural Product and Export Attribute Effect using Social Network Analysis (사회망분석 모형을 이용한 국내 신선농산물 수출과 조직화 효과 분석)

  • Eun, Sang-Kyu;Kim, Soo-Jin;Bae, Seung-Jong
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.107-118
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    • 2016
  • In order to ensure revenue of agricultural products which have encountered the dramatic decline of prices in distribution, the export of the domestic farm produce was started and it has been considered to play the significant role to make fundamentals for securing the stable revenue of farms and future of agricultural industries. The Korean government has endeavored to increase scale and volume of export and make the stable structure for export transaction by supporting government policies. Since the export of the agricultural products was influenced by multiple and uncertain factors such as the gap of GDP, distance, the difference of climatess between countries, in this study of agricultural exports, the attributes of export according to changed factors are derived by using RCA and gravity model. As the complexity of export environment has been increased compared to the past, it is necessary to analyze the attributes of agricultural exports. In this study, by using network theory, trade network of agricultural product, the periodic changes of relations, the changes of centrality and maxium flow are derived. Even though the trade quantity of existing agricultural fresh products are still small, the study derived the need to vertical integration for expanding agricultural product export by applying network theory.

Performance and Development of Life Sympathy Policy (생활공감정책의 운영성과와 발전방안)

  • Cho, Seok-Joo;Park, Jong-Gwan
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.11 no.12
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    • pp.753-763
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    • 2011
  • The goal of this study is to analyze the problem and performance of life sympathy policy and to present development plan. For this, literature, and empirical research were performed. The analysis showed the problem of life sympathy policy in the following manner. That is the confusion of the mix of department, the lack of publicity, the uncertain of persistence and the lack identity of the monitor, the absence a unified operating instructions on the monitor, the insufficient to activities and operations housewife monitors etc. To vitalize life sympathy policy and operational needs of aspects of the institutional and the activation. First, The task of activation of the institutional challenge is to modify the related law, strengthen the organization, strengthen the personnel, expand the scope of participation monitors. The improvement of the operational aspects of the policy include strengthening integration and connectivity, the construction of policy promotion environment that reinforce feedback and outcome of life sympathy policy, And the energization of on-line activities needs the reinforcement of the operating system, etc. Through the activation of the sector policy, the application of the idea of housewives, and the participation of government policies will be a lot of contribution to the development of South Korea in the 21st century.