• Title/Summary/Keyword: typhoon simulation

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Analysis of Reliability of Weather Fields for Typhoon Sanba (1216) (태풍 기상장의 신뢰도 분석: 태풍 산바(1216))

  • Kwon, Kab Keun;Jho, Myeong Hwan;Ryu, Kyong Ho;Yoon, Sung Bum
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.465-480
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    • 2020
  • Numerical simulations of the storm surge and the wave induced by the Typhoon Sanba incident on the south coast of Korea in 2012 are conducted using the JMA-MSM forecast weather field, NCEP-CFSR reanalysis weather field, ECMWF-ERA5 reanalysis weather field, and the pressure and wind fields obtained using the best track information provided by JTWC. The calculated surge heights are compared with the time history observed at harbors along the coasts of Korea. For the waves the calculated significant wave heights are compared with the data measured using the wave buoys and the underwater pressure type wave gauge. As a result the JMA-MSM and the NCEP-CFSR weather fields give the highest reliability. The ECMWF-ERA5 gives in general surge and wave heights weaker than the measured. The ECMWF-ERA5, however, reproduces the best convergence belt formed in front of the typhoon. The weather field obtained using JTWC best track information gives the worst agreement.

A Study on Scenario to establish Coastal Inundation Prediction Map due to Storm Surge (폭풍해일에 의한 해안침수예상도 작성 시나리오 연구)

  • Moon, Seung-Rok;Kang, Tae-Soon;Nam, Soo-Yong;Hwang, Joon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.492-501
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    • 2007
  • Coastal disasters have become one of the most important issues in every coastal country. In Korea, coastal disasters such as storm surge, sea level rise and extreme weather have placed many coastal regions in danger of being exposed or damaged during subsequent storms and gradual shoreline retreat. A storm surge is an onshore gush of water associated with a tow pressure weather system, typically in typhoon season. However, it is very difficult to predict storm surge height and inundation due to the irregularity of the course and intensity of a typhoon. To provide a new scheme of typhoon damage prediction model, the scenario which changes the central pressure, the maximum wind radius, the track and the proceeding speed by corresponding previous typhoon database, was composed. The virtual typhoon scenario database was constructed with individual scenario simulation and evaluation, in which it extracted the result from the scenario database of information of the hereafter typhoon and information due to climate change. This virtual typhoon scenario database will apply damage prediction information about a typhoon. This study performed construction and analysis of the simulation system with the storm surge/coastal inundation model at Masan coastal areas, and applied method for predicting using the scenario of the storm surge.

A Height Simulation on Storm Surges in Jeju Island (제주도 연안해역의 폭풍해일고 산정)

  • Yang, Sung-Kee;Kim, Sang-Bong
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.459-472
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    • 2014
  • Storm surge height in the coastal area of Jeju Island was examined using the Princeton Ocean Model(POM) with a sigma coordinate system. Amongst the typhoons that had affected to Jeju Island for six years(1987 to 2003), the eight typhoons(Maemi, Rusa, Prapiroon, Olga, Yanni, Janis, Gladys and Thelma) were found to bring relatively huge damage. The storm surge height of these typhoons simulated in Jeju harbour and Seogwipo harbour corresponded relatively well with the observed value. The occurrence time of the storm surge height was different, but mostly, it was a little later than the observed time. Jeju harbour showed a higher storm surge height than Seogwipo harbour, and the storm surge height didn't exceed 1m in both of Jeju harbour and Seogwipo harbour. Maemi out of the eight typhoons showed the maximum storm surge height(77.97 cm) in Jeju harbour, and Janis showed the lowest storm surge height(5.3 cm) in Seogwipo harbour.

Application of POM to the River Flow (POM의 하천 흐름 해석에의 적용)

  • Chun, Je-Ho;Ahn, Kyung-Mo;Yoon, Jong-Tae
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2010
  • During typhoon periods, coastal regions are often directly flooded by typhoon-surges. There are also many cases where coastal regions are inundated by river inundations or dam breaks. However, most studies on coastal flooding by typhoons have been restricted to cases involving the sea. Flooding by river inundation has been excluded in those studies. Usually ocean numerical models are not applied to river flow because the governing equations for ocean flow and river flow are not the same. For a coastal flooding simulation with river inundation, POM, the three-dimensional numerical ocean model, was applied to the popular river flow problems, dam-break problem, and flows over a spillway. The simulated results showed good agreement with other numerical simulations and measured data, suggesting the possibility of using POM in coastal flooding simulations involving direct coastal surges and river inundations.

Research and Application of Satellite Orbit Simulation for Analysis of Optimal Satellite Images by Disaster Type : Case of Typhoon MITAG (2019) (재난유형별 최적 위성영상 분석을 위한 위성 궤도 시뮬레이션 연구 및 적용 : 태풍 미탁(2019) 사례)

  • So-Mang, LIM;Ki-Mook, KANG;Eui-Ho, HWANG;Wan-Sik, YU
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.210-221
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    • 2022
  • In order to promptly respond to disasters, the era of new spaces has opened where satellite images with various characteristics can be used. As the number of satellites in operation at home and abroad increases and the characteristics of satellite sensors vary, it is necessary to find satellite images optimized for disaster types. Disaster types were divided into typhoons, heavy rains, droughts, forest fires, etc., and the optimal satellite images were selected for each type of disaster considering satellite orbits, active/passive sensors, spatial resolution, wavelength bands, and revisit cycles. Each satellite orbit TLE (Two Line Element) information was applied to the SGP4 (Simplified General Perturbations version 4) model to develop a satellite orbit simulation algorithm. The developed algorithm simulated the satellite orbit at 10-second intervals and selected an accurate observation area by considering the angle of incidence of each sensor. The satellite orbit simulation algorithm was applied to the case of Typhoon Mitag in 2019 and compared with the actual satellite list. Through the analyzed results, the time and area of the captured image and the image to be recorded were analyzed within a few seconds to select the optimal satellite image according to the type of disaster. In the future, it is intended to serve as a basis for building a system that can promptly request and secure satellite images in the event of a disaster.

Analysis of Reliability of Weather Fields for Typhoon Maemi (0314) (태풍 기상장의 신뢰도 분석: 태풍 매미(0314))

  • Yoon, Sung Bum;Jeong, Weon Mu;Jho, Myeong Hwan;Ryu, Kyong Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.351-362
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    • 2020
  • Numerical simulations of the storm surge and waves induced by the Typhoon Maemi incident on the south sea of Korea in 2003 are performed using the JMA-MSM forecast weather field, NCEP-CFSR reanalysis weather field, ECMWF-ERA5 reanalysis weather field, and the pressure and wind fields obtained using the best track information provided by JTWC. The calculated surge heights are compared with the time history observed at harbours along the coasts of Korea. For the waves occurring coincidentally with the storm surges the calculated significant wave heights are compared with the measured data. Based on the comparison of surge and wave heights the assessment of the reliability of various weather fields is performed. As a result the JMA-MSM weather fields gives the highest reliability, and the weather field obtained using JTWC best track information gives also relatively good agreement. The ECMWF-ERA5 gives in general surge and wave heights weaker than the measured. The reliability of NCEP-CFSR turns out to be the worst for this special case of Typhoon Maemi. Based on the results of this study it is found that the reliable weather fields are essential for the accurate simulation of storm surges and waves.

Assessment of Wave Change considering the Impact of Climate Change (기후변화 영향을 고려한 파랑 변화 평가)

  • Chang Kyum Kim;Ho Jin Lee;Sung Duk Kim;Byung Cheol Oh;Ji Eun Choi
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.19-31
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    • 2023
  • According to the climate change scenarios, the intensity of typhoons, a major factor in Korea's natural disaster, is expected to increase. The increase in typhoon intensity leads to a rise in wave heights, which is likely to cause large-scale disasters in coastal regions with high populations and building density for dwelling, industry, and tourism. This study, therefore, analyzed observation data of the Donghae ocean data buoy and conducted a numerical model simulation for wave estimations for the typhoon MAYSAK (202009) period, which showed the maximum significant wave height. The boundary conditions for wave simulations were a JMA-MSM wind field and a wind field applying the typhoon central pressure reduction rate in the SSP5-8.5 climate change scenario. As a result of the wave simulations, the wave height in front of the breakwater at Sokcho port was increased by 15.27% from 4.06 m to 4.68 m in the SSP5-8.5 scenario. Furthermore, the return period at the location of 147-2 grid point of deep-sea design wave was calculated to increase at least twice, it is necessary to improve the deep-sea design wave of return period of 50-year, which is prescriptively applied when designing coastal structures.

A Study on the Calculation of Probability Precipitation of Typhoon (태풍의 확률 강우량 산정에 관한 연구)

  • Oh, Tae-Suk;Moon, Young-Il;Jeon, Si-Yeong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1484-1487
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구에서는 우리나라를 주지적으로 내습하여 많은 강수를 유발시키는 태풍의 특성에 대해 고찰하고, Nonparametric Bootstrap Simulation 기법에 적용하여 확률 강우량을 산정하였다. 우리나라에 영향을 준 것으로 나타난 139개 태풍에 대하여, 중심 위치와 중심 기압 자료와 우리나라 강우관측소의 시간강수량 자료를 이용하여 Nonparametric Bootstrap Simulation 기법에 적용하였다. 우리나라에 영향을 준 태풍운 연평균 3.09회 발생하고, 약 107시간 영향을 주는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구에서는 서울과 부산 지점을 대상으로 Nonparametric Bootstrap Simulation 기법을 적용하여 태풍에 의해 발생할 수 있는 확률강우량을 산정하여, 빈도해석에 의한 확률강우량과 비교를 수행하였다. 그 결과, 서울 지점은 태풍에 의한 강우량이 그리 크지 않았으나, 부산 지점은 태풍에 의해서 발생할 수 있는 강우량이 매우 큰 것으로 분석 되었다.

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A Case Study of WRF Simulation for Surface Maximum Wind Speed Estimation When the Typhoon Attack : Typhoons RUSA and MAEMI (태풍 내습 시 지상 최대풍 추정을 위한 WRF 수치모의 사례 연구 : 태풍 RUSA와 MAEMI를 대상으로)

  • Jung, Woo-Sik;Park, Jong-Kil;Kim, Eun-Byul;Lee, Bo-Ram
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.517-533
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    • 2012
  • This study calculated wind speed at the height of 10 m using a disaster prediction model(Florida Public Hurricane Loss Model, FPHLM) that was developed and used in the United States. Using its distributions, a usable information of surface wind was produced for the purpose of disaster prevention when the typhoon attack. The advanced research version of the WRF (Weather Research and Forecasting) was used in this study, and two domains focusing on South Korea were determined through two-way nesting. A horizontal time series and vertical profile analysis were carried out to examine whether the model provided a resonable simulation, and the meteorological factors, including potential temperature, generally showed the similar distribution with observational data. We determined through comparison of observations that data taken at 700 hPa and used as input data to calculate wind speed at the height of 10 m for the actual terrain was suitable for the simulation. Using these results, the wind speed at the height of 10 m for the actual terrain was calculated and its distributions were shown. Thus, a stronger wind occurred in coastal areas compared to inland areas showing that coastal areas are more vulnerable to strong winds.

Regional Realtime Ocean Tide and Storm-surge Simulation for the South China Sea (남중국해 지역 실시간 해양 조석 및 폭풍해일 시뮬레이션)

  • Kim, Kyeong Ok;Choi, Byung Ho;Lee, Han Soo;Yuk, Jin-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.69-83
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    • 2018
  • The South China Sea (SCS) is a typical marginal sea characterized with the deep basin, shelf break, shallow shelf, many straits, and complex bathymetry. This study investigated the tidal characteristics and propagation, and reproduced typhoon-induced storm surge in this region using the regional real-time tide-surge model, which was based on the unstructured grid, resolving in detail the region of interest and forced by tide at the open boundary and by wind and air pressure at the surface. Typhoon Haiyan, which occurred in 2013 and caused great damage in the Philippines, was chosen as a case study to simulate typhoon's impact. Amplitudes and phases of four major constituents were reproduced reasonably in general, and the tidal distributions of four constituents were similar to the previous studies. The modelled tide seemed to be within the acceptable levels, considering it was difficult to reproduce the tide in this region based on the previous studies. The free oscillation experiment results described well the feature of tide that the diurnal tide is prevailing in the SCS. The tidal residual current and total energy dissipation were discussed to understand the tidal and sedimentary environments. The storm-surge caused by typhoon Haiyan was reasonably simulated using this modeling system. This study established the regional real-time barotropic tide/water level prediction system for the South China Sea including the seas around the Philippines through the validation of the model and the understanding of tidal characteristics.