• Wind and Structures
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• v.35 no.4
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• pp.287-296
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• 2022

Analyzing the typhoon wind hazards is crucial to determine the extreme wind load on engineering structures in the typhoon prone region. In essence, the typhoon hazard analysis is a high-dimensional problem with randomness arising from the typhoon genesis, environmental variables and the boundary layer wind field. This study suggests a dimension reduction approach by decoupling the original typhoon hazard analysis into two stages. At the first stage, the randomness of the typhoon genesis and environmental variables are propagated through the typhoon track model and intensity model into the randomness of the key typhoon parameters. At the second stage, the probability distribution information of the key typhoon parameters, combined with the randomness of the boundary layer wind field, could be used to estimate the extreme wind hazard. The Chinese southeast coastline is taken as an example to demonstrate the adequacy and efficiency of the suggested decoupling approach.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.51 no.2
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• pp.607-617
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• 2019

Global warming and climate change are increasing the intensity of typhoons and hurricanes and thus increasing the risk effects of typhoon and hurricane hazards on nuclear power plants (NPPs). To reflect these changes, a new NPP should be designed to endure design-basis hurricane wind speeds corresponding to an exceedance frequency of $10^{-7}/yr$. However, the short typhoon and hurricane observation records and uncertainties included in the inputs for an estimation cause significant uncertainty in the estimated wind speeds for return periods of longer than 100,000 years. A logic-tree framework is introduced to handle the epistemic uncertainty when estimating wind speeds. Three key parameters of a typhoon wind field model, i.e., the central pressure difference, pressure profile parameter, and radius to maximum wind, are used for constructing logic tree branches. The wind speeds of the simulated typhoons and the probable maximum wind speeds are estimated using Monte Carlo simulations, and wind hazard curves are derived as a function of the annual exceedance probability or return period. A logic tree decreases the epistemic uncertainty included in the wind intensity models and provides reasonably acceptable wind speeds.

• 한국해양학회지
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• v.6 no.2
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• pp.92-98
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• 1971

Storm surges caused by typhoon Billie, 28 Aug. ∼ 2 Sep. 1970, on the west and south coasts of Korea are studied with the tidal data. Tracks and frequencies of the typhoons which affected the Korean peninsula and the yearly maximum tidal deviation at tide stations for the past twelve years are also reviewed. It is assumed that most of the typhoons affecting the Korea peninsula cause variations of sea level along almost all of the coast of Korea. Maximum storm surges at each tide station on the south coast appeared to be caused by typhoons during the summer, and by the north westerly monsoon and extraordinary cyclones on the west coast during spring and winter. In the coastal waters of the west coast where depths are shallower and the bottom configuration is flat, sea level variation is mostly caused by atmospheric pressure and wind effect. When a typhoon travels as in case of typhoon Billie, sea level ascends generally on the south coast and it descends on the west coast before the typhoon approaches near to the coasts. Considering the large tidal range on the western and southern coasts, it is assumed that the extraordinary destructive surges can be occurred when the tide is high water. Reviewing the monthly mean sea level variations on the each coast, hazards to be caused by storm surges can more fluently occur during the summer.

• Atmosphere
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• v.20 no.3
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• pp.247-260
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• 2010

A recent dramatic increase of natural hazards in the Korean peninsular (KP) due to typhoons have raised necessities for the accurate typhoon prediction. Ieodo ocean research station (IORS) has been constructed in June 2003 at the open ocean where typhoons pass frequently, aiming to observe typhoons before the landfall to the KP and hence to improve the prediction skill. This paper investigates the importance of measurements at the IORS in the typhoon research and forecast. Analysis of the best track data in the N. W. Pacific shows that about one typhoon passes over the IORS per year on the average and 54% of the KP-landfall typhoons during 59 years (1950-2008) passed by the IORS within the range of the 150-km radius. The data observed during the event of typhoons reveals that the IORS can provide useful information for the typhoon prediction prior to the landfall (mainland: before 8-10 hrs, Jeju Island: before 4-6 hrs), which may contribute to improving the typhoon prediction skill and conducting the disaster prevention during the landfall. Since 2003, nine typhoons have influenced the IORS by strong winds above 17m/s. Among them, the typhoon Maemi (0314) was the strongest and brought the largest damages in Korea. The various oceanic and atmospheric observation data at the IORS suggest that the Maemi (0314) has kept the strong intensity until the landfall as passing over warm ocean currents, while the Ewiniar (0603) has weakened rapidly as passing over the Yellow Sea Bottom Cold Water (YSBCW), mainly due to the storm's self-induced surface cooling. It is revealed that the IORS is located in the best place for monitering the patterns of the warm currents and the YSBCW which varies in time and space.

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 2007.02a
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• pp.487-491
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• 2007

Recently, rainfall induced hazard has been increased gradually, for example, typhoon Rusa in 2002 and Maemi in 2003. In addition, localized heavy rainfall has been also caused tremendous damage to railroad systems. Measured data from the Meteorological Adminstration sometimes, However, are not in accordance with those of rain gauges in local area, because of its good distance. This study develop automatic alarming software to estimate and prevent these kind of rainfall induced hazards in railroad system with online transportation.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2016.05a
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• pp.189-189
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• 2016

To generate information that contributes to climate change risk management, it is important to perform a precise assessment on the impact in diverse aspects. Considering this academic necessity, Japanese government launched continuous research project for the climate change impact assessment, and one of the representative project is Program for Risk Information on Climate Change (Sousei Program), Theme D; Precise Impact Assessment on Climate Change (FY2012 ~ FY2016). In this research program, quantitative impact assessments have been doing from a variety of perspectives including natural hazards, water resources, and ecosystems and biodiversity. Especially for the natural hazards aspect, a comprehensive impact assessment has been carried out with the worst-case scenario of typhoons, which cause the most serious weather-related damage in Japan, concerning the frequency and scale of the typhoons as well as accompanying disasters by heavy rainfall, strong winds, high tides, high waves, and landslides. In this presentation, a framework of comprehensive impact assessment with the worst-case scenario under the climate change condition is introduced based on a case study of Theme D in Sousei program There are approx. 25 typhoons annually and around 10 of those approach or make landfall in Japan. The number of typhoons may not change increase in the future, but it is known that a small alteration in the path of a typhoon can have an extremely large impact on the amount of rain and wind Japan receives, and as a result, cause immense damage. Specifically, it is important to assess the impact of a complex disaster including precipitation, strong winds, river overflows, and high tide inundation, simulating how different the damage of Isewan Typhoon (T5915) in 1959 would have been if the typhoon had taken a different path, or how powerful or how much damage it would cause if Isewan Typhoon occurs again in the future when the sea surface water temperature has risen due to climate changes (Pseudo global warming experiment). The research group also predict and assess how the frequency of "100-years return period" disasters and worst-case damage will change in the coming century. As a final goal in this research activity, the natural disaster impact assessment will extend not only Japan but also major rivers in Southeast Asia, with a special focus on floods and inundations.

• The Journal of Engineering Geology
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• v.15 no.4 s.42
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• pp.435-445
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• 2005

Landslides induced by heavy rainfall from typhoon 'Rusa' in 2002 and typhoon 'Meami' in 2003 were investigated at Samcheok area, and the relationship between landslides and rainfall on that area was analyzed. The average annual rainfall at Samcheok area is generally $1,200mm\~1,300mm$. However, the average annual rainfall at samcheok for 2003 and ton was increased more than 2,000mm because of typhoon 'Rusa' and typhoon 'Meami'. The number of landslides and the landslides area are largely occurred in a area of the relatively high maximum hourly rainfall and 2days cumulative rainfall. Therefore, it confirmed that landslides are directly depended on the hourly rainfall and the cumulative rainfall. The landslides at Samcheok area induced by heavy rainfall due to typhoon are more influenced by the maximum hourly rainfall at the landslide occurrence day. In order to predict a rational landslide size, a new method included the maximum hourly rainfall and the landslide area in a traditional way was proposed. As the result of applying the new proposed method, the landslide size at Samcheok area is involved in the large scale landslide.

• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• v.47 no.1
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• pp.59-65
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• 2015

Background: After the Fukushima accident, the importance of hazard analysis for extreme external events was raised. Methods: To analyze typhoon-induced hazards, which are one of the significant disasters of East Asian countries, a statistical analysis using the extreme value theory, which is a method for estimating the annual exceedance frequency of a rare event, was conducted for an estimation of the occurrence intervals or hazard levels. For the four meteorological variables, maximum wind speed, instantaneous wind speed, hourly precipitation, and daily precipitation, the parameters of the predictive extreme value theory models were estimated. Results: The 100-year return levels for each variable were predicted using the developed models and compared with previously reported values. It was also found that there exist significant long-term climate changes of wind speed and precipitation. Conclusion: A fragility analysis should be conducted to ensure the safety levels of a nuclear power plant for high levels of wind speed and precipitation, which exceed the results of a previous analysis.

• The Korean Journal of Quaternary Research
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• v.21 no.1
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• pp.27-36
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• 2007

The severe damage of cultural heritages induced by natural hazards like heavy rain has been dramatically increased since 1990. The number of the repair works of stone heritage of 2005 was six times as many as those of 1986 year. Especially the ratio of the repair works of Gyeongsang Province and Jeolla Province stood 63% of those of all over the country. Since 1990, the typhoons usually struck the southern part of Korea and went northward. The heavy damage of stone heritages in two provinces was caused by them. We made a preliminary survey the stone heritages that exposed to the natural hazards on the basis of repair works of them and a field survey. The analysis results indicate that the natural hazards such as landslide and soil disaster of the stone heritages related to a sloping surface stood 58% of all kind of natural hazards. The reasons are caused by the 59 % of all the stone heritages distributed in a sloping surface resulted in natural hazards like landslide and soil disaster. The bases of stone heritages can be easily eroded by the surface water with high energy induced by heavy rainfall. Most of the stone heritages like Maebul were engraved on a natural rock wall(outcrop). But some of them engraved on rolling stones are very vulnerable in a change of a base condition caused by erosion and ground subsidence and they can be tilted or fell down. The distribution of the stone heritages vulnerable in natural hazard is related to that of the rainfall distribution compounded five typhoons after 1990. Most of them are included in level two on the rainfall distribution map except those of Taean peninsula and some of Gyeonggi Province. They seem to be rather related to the rainfall distribution of the Typhoon Olga.

• Wind and Structures
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• v.30 no.1
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• pp.1-13
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• 2020

The loss prediction and assessment during extreme events such as wind hazards is always crucial for the group low-rise residential buildings. This paper analyses the effect of variation in building density on wind-induced loss for low-rise buildings and proposes a loss assessment method consequently. It is based on the damage matrices of the building envelope structures and the main load-bearing structure, which includes the influence factors such as structure type, preservation degree, building density, and interaction between different envelope components. Accordingly, based on field investigation and engineering experience, this study establishes a relevant building direct economic loss assessment model. Finally, the authors develop the Typhoon Disaster Management System to apply this loss assessment methodology to practice.