• 제목/요약/키워드: tsunami model

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지진해일 예경보에 따른 범람도의 실용적 작성 (Practical Construction of Tsunami Inundation Map Corresponding to Disaster Forecast/Warning Systems)

  • 전영준;최준우;윤성범
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.775-778
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    • 2008
  • In general, forecast tsunami heights announced for tsunami warning are computed by using a linear tsunami model with coarse grids which leads the underestimation of inundation area. Thus, an accurate tsunami inundation map corresponding to the forecast tsunami height is indispensible for an emergency evacuation plan. A practical way to construct a relatively accurate tsunami inundation map was proposed in this study for the quantitative forecast of inundation area. This procedure can be introduced as in the followings: The fault dislocations of potential tsunami sources generating a specific tsunami height near an interested area are found by using a linear tsunami model. Based on these fault dislocations, maximum inundation envelops of the interested area are computed and illustrated by using nonlinear inundation numerical model. In this study, the tsunami inundation map for Imwon area was constructed according to 11 potential tsunami sources, and the validity of this process was examined.

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A Multi-agent based simulation Model for evacuees escaping from Tsunami disaster -To evaluate the evacuees escaping program in Fujisawa city, Japan-

  • Fujioka, Masaki;Ishibashi, Kenichi;Kaji, Hideki;Tsukagoshi, Isao
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국시뮬레이션학회 2001년도 The Seoul International Simulation Conference
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    • pp.306-312
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    • 2001
  • In this research, we are trying to develop a framework to evaluate the prevention program for Tsunami disaster based on the Multi-agent simulation model. Tsunami has arisen by the earthquake. It happened after flew minutes or few hours when it occurred. It is clear that Tsunami will come after earthquake and from seashore. If we prevent the damage by Tsunami, we should make people who is in the seashore and lived near the seaside escape from there. Moreover we must forecast the escape activity from Tsunami. Former research of this field, some researches try to forecast the escape activity as macro level. However, people who escape from Tsunami is differ from their physical ability and ability of information processing. It needs a more accuracy model to forecast the escape activity of them. Furthermore they make a decision step by step using the various information. Therefore escape activity from Tsunami will describe using an agent based model which can only treat the information processing of human being. In this paper, we develop the evacuation model from Tsunami disaster using the Multi agent based model. The purpose of this study is to analyze the human action pattern when Tsunami occurred, and to make an accurately assessment for damages by Tsunami. The Fujisawa city government is planning and operating the various prevention program far Tsunami. However nobody assess it, because they do not have any simulation models for Tsunami disaster. If they want to set an effective prevention program for Tsunami, they should have any kinds of simulation model. The results of this study are 1) To develop the Multi agent based evacuees escape activity model. 2) Assess the damage of Tsunami in Fujisawa-City.

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예경보와 방재시스템의 연계를 위한 지진해일 범람도의 실용적 작성 (Practical Construction of Tsunami Inundation Map to Link Disaster Forecast/Warning and Prevention Systems)

  • 최준우;김경희;전영준;윤성범
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.194-202
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    • 2008
  • 일반적으로 지진해일 경보 발령 시 예상해일고를 산정하기 위해 큰 격자의 선형모형을 사용하게 되므로 범람역이 과소 산정된다. 그러므로 비상대피 계획을 위해 예보해일고에 상응하는 정도 높은 범람도를 필요로 한다. 본 연구에서는 범람역의 정량예보를 위해 상대적으로 정도 높은 지진해일 범람도를 작성하는 실용적인 방법을 제안하였다. 이 방법은 다음과 같다. 선형 지진해일 수치모형을 사용하여 대상지역 주변에 특정 지진해일고를 유발시키는 잠재 지진해일 발생원의 단층 변위를 산정한다. 이렇게 구해진 단층 변위에 대해 비선형 범람 수치모형을 이용하여 대상지역의 최대 침수포락선을 계산하고 범람도를 작성한다. 본 연구에서는 임원항을 대상지역으로 11개의 잠재 지진해일 발생원에 대해 예상범람도를 작성하여 제안된 기법의 타당성을 검토하였다.

지진해일 조기탐지를 위한 한국의 지진해일 관측장비 최적 위치 제안 연구 (A Study of the Optimal Deployment of Tsunami Observation Instruments in Korea)

  • 이은주;정태화;김지창;신성원
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.607-614
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    • 2019
  • It has been an issue among researchers that the tsunamis that occurred on the west coast of Japan in 1983 and 1993 damaged the coastal cities on the east coast of Korea. In order to predict and reduce the damage to the Korean Peninsula effectively, it is necessary to install offshore tsunami observation instruments as part of the system for the early detection of tsunamis. The purpose of this study is to recommend the optimal deployment of tsunami observation instruments in terms of the higher probability of tsunami detection with the minimum equipment and the maximum evacuation and warning time according to the current situation in Korea. In order to propose the optimal location of the tsunami observation equipment, this study will analyze the tsunami propagation phenomena on the east sea by considering the potential tsunami scenario on the west coast of Japan through numerical modeling using the COrnell Multi-grid COupled Tsunami (COMCOT) model. Based on the results of the numerical model, this study suggested the optimal deployment of Korea's offshore tsunami observation instruments on the northeast side of Ulleung Island.

지진해일로 인한 해안 침수 분석을 위한 셀 오토마타 기반의 시뮬레이션 모델 개발: 광안리 해변 사례 연구 (A Tsunami Simulation Model based on Cellular Automata for Analyzing Coastal Inundation: Case Study of Gwangalli Beach)

  • 주재우;주준모;김동민;이동훈;최선한
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제23권5호
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    • pp.710-720
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    • 2020
  • Tsunami occurred by a rapid change in the ocean floor is a natural disaster that causes serious damage worldwide. South Korea seems to be out of the range of this damage, but it is quite possible that South Korea will fall within the range due to the long-distance propagation features of tsunami and many earthquakes occurred in Japan. However, the analysis and preparation for tsunami have been still insufficient. In this paper, we propose a tsunami simulation model based on cellular automata for analyzing coastal inundation. The proposed model calculates the range of inundation in coastal areas by propagating the energy of tsunami using the interaction between neighboring cells. We define interaction rules and algorithms for the energy transfer and propose a software tool to effectively utilize the model. In addition, to verify and tune the simulation model, we used the actual tsunami data in 2010 at Dichato, Chile. As a case study, the proposed model was applied to analyze the coastal inundation according to tsunami height in Gwangali Beach, a famous site in Busan. It is expected that the simulation model can be a help to prepare an effective countermeasure against tsunami and be used for a virtual evacuating training.

DEVS 에이전트 모델과 셀 오토마타를 사용한 유니티엔진 기반의 지진해일 대피 시뮬레이터 개발 (A Unity-based Simulator for Tsunami Evacuation with DEVS Agent Model and Cellular Automata)

  • 이동훈;김동민;주준모;주재우;최선한
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.772-783
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    • 2020
  • Tsunami is a frightful natural disaster that causes severe damages worldwide. To minimize the damage, South Korea has built a tsunami warning system and designated evacuation sites in the east and south coasts. However, such countermeasures have not been verified whether they are adequate to minimize casualties since tsunami rarely occurs in South Korea. Recently, due to increasing earthquakes in the west coast of Japan, the likelihood of South Korea entering the damage area of tsunami rises; thus, in this paper, we develops a simulator based on Unity game engine to simulate the evacuation from tsunami. In order to increase the fidelity of the simulation results, the simulator applies a tsunami simulation model that analyzes coastal inundation based on cellular automata. In addition, the objects included in tsunami evacuation, such as humans, are modeled as an agent model that determines the situation and acts itself, based on the discrete-event system specification (DEVS), a mathematical formalism for describing a discrete event system. The tsunami simulation model and agent models are integrated and visualized in the simulator using Unity game engine. As an example of the use of this simulator, we verify the existing tsunami evacuation site in Gwangalli Beach in Busan and suggest the optimal alternative site minimizing casualties.

한반도 남해안에 대한 지진해일 수치실험 (The Simulation of Tsunami against the South Coast of the Korean Peninsula)

  • 김현승;김현성;강영승
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2008
  • The numerical simulation of tsunami against the south coast of the Korean Peninsula has been performed by adopting the standard appropriate grid size and the numerical model has been constructed to include the characteristics of the tsunami propagation applied for the care of the East China Sea. The artificial tsunami has been modelled first and then, it has been used as the boundary condition for the detailed model which showed the south coast of the Korean Peninsula.

동해 전파특성을 고려한 지진해일 모의 (Numerical Simulation of Tsunamis Considering the Characteristics of Propagation in the East Sea)

  • 손대희;최문규;손일수;조용식
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2007년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.172-176
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    • 2007
  • In this study, the numerical model for simulation of tsunamis is constructed by using the dispersion-correction scheme, 2nd upwind scheme, dynamic linking method, and so forth. The composed numerical model is used to simulate a hitorical tsunami event. The target tsunami event is the 1983 Central East Sea Tsunami. And, the predicted run-up heights of the tsunami at Imwon port are very reasonable compared to available observed data.

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THE ROLE OF SATELLITE REMOTE SENSING TO DETECT AND ASSESS THE DAMAGE OF TSUNAMI DISASTER

  • Siripong, Absornsuda
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2006년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2006 PORSEC Volume II
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    • pp.827-830
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    • 2006
  • The tsunami from the megathrust earthquake magnitude 9.3 on 26 December 2004 is the largest tsunami the world has known in over forty years. This tsunami destructively attacked 13 countries around Indian Ocean with at least 230,000 fatalities, displaced people 2,089,883 and 1.5 million people who lost their livelihoods. The ratio of women and children killed to men is 3 to 1. The total damage costs US$ 10.73 billion and rebuilding costs US$ 10.375 billion. The tsunami's death toll could have been drastically reduced, if the warning was disseminated quickly and effectively to the coastal dwellers along the Indian Ocean rim. With a warning system in Indian Ocean similar to that operating in the Pacific Ocean since 1965, it would have been possible to warn, evacuate and save countless lives. The best tribute we can pay to all who perished or suffered in this disaster is to heed its powerful lessons. UNESCO/IOC have put their tremendous effort on better disaster preparedness, functional early warning systems and realistic arrangements to cope with tsunami disaster. They organized ICG/IOTWS (Indian Ocean Tsunami Warning System) and the third of this meeting is held in Bali, Indonesia during $31^{st}$ July to $4^{th}$ August 2006. A US$ 53 million interim warning system using tidal gauges and undersea sensors is nearing completion in the Indian Ocean with the assistance from IOC. The tsunami warning depends strictly on an early detection of a tsunami (wave) perturbation in the ocean itself. It does not and cannot depend on seismological information alone. In the case of 26 December 2004 tsunami when the NOAA/PMEL DART (Deep-ocean Assessment and Reporting of Tsunami) system has not been deployed, the initialized input of sea surface perturbation for the MOST (Method Of Splitting Tsunami) model was from the tsunamigenic-earthquake source model. It is the first time that the satellite altimeters can detect the signal of tsunami wave in the Bay of Bengal and was used to validate the output from the MOST model in the deep ocean. In the case of Thailand, the inundation part of the MOST model was run from Sumatra 2004 for inundation mapping purposes. The medium and high resolution satellite data were used to assess the degree of the damage from Indian Ocean tsunami of 2004 with NDVI classification at 6 provinces on the Andaman seacoast of Thailand. With the tide-gauge station data, run-up surveys, bathymetry and coastal topography data and land-use classification from satellite imageries, we can use these information for coastal zone management on evacuation plan and construction code.

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Transoceanic Propagation of 2011 East Japan Earthquake Tsunami

  • Choi, Byung Ho;Kim, Kyeong Ok;Min, Byung Il;Pelinovsky, Efim
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.225-234
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    • 2014
  • The 2011 Tohoku earthquake triggered extremely destructive tsunami waves which propagated over the Pacific Ocean, Atlantic Ocean through Drake Passage and Indian Ocean respectively. A total of 10 tide-gauge records collected from the UNESCO/IOC site were analyzed through a band-pass digital filtering device to examine the observed tsunami characteristics. The ray tracing method and finite-difference model with GEBCO 30 arc second bathymetry were also applied to compare the travel times of the Tohoku-originated tsunami, particularly at Rodrigues in the Indian Ocean and King Edward Point in the Atlantic Ocean with observation-based estimates. At both locations the finite-difference model produced the shortest arrival times, while the ray method produced the longest arrival times. Values of the travel time difference however appear to be within tolerable ranges, considering the propagation distance of the tsunami waves. The observed tsunami at Rodrigues, Mauritius in the west of the Madagascar was found to take a clockwise travel path around Australia and New Zealand, while the observed tsunami at King Edward Point in the southern Atlantic Ocean was found to traverse the Pacific Ocean and then passed into the Atlantic Ocean through the Drake Strait. The formation of icebergs captured by satellite images in Sulzberger in the Antarctica also supports the long-range propagation of the Tohoku-originated tsunami.