• Title/Summary/Keyword: trend analysis

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The Changes in Transportation Expenditure Patterns of Urban Households During 1985-1998 (도시가계의 교통비 지출 변화 : 1985-1998)

  • 전윤숙;이희숙
    • Journal of the Korean Home Economics Association
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.139-154
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study was to identify the changes in transportation expenditure patterns of urban households during 1985-19o8. The data were drawn from 'Annual Report on the family Income and Expenditure Survey' by National Statistical Office, Republic of Korea. For data analysis, frequency, percentile, mean, and multiple regression analysis were utilized by the SAS window program. The results of this study were as follows; Frist, the levels of public transportation expenditure showed increasing trend, whereas the portions of public transportation expenditure have showed decreasing trend during 1985-1998. And both the level and the portion of private transportation expenditure showed increasing trends during 1985-1998. Second, the marginal propensities to consume of public transportation have decreased, whereas the marginal propensities to consume of private transportation have increased during 1985-1998. Third, income elasticities of public transportation showed decreasing trend during 1985-1998, impling that consumers have less demand public transportation with increasing income. And income elasticities of private transportation showed increasing trend till 1993, and then showed decreasing trend till 1998, impling that consumers have perceived the car as one of necessary goods rather than luxury goods gradually since 1993.

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The Study of New Digital Generation's Utilization of Fashion Information (디지털 신세대의 패션트렌드 인지도와 수용도가 패션정보 활용도에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Yeo-Won;Choi, Jong-Myoung
    • Korean Journal of Human Ecology
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.465-476
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate recognition degree and acceptability of fashion trends of new consumers who live in digital era, and to determine how these factors have influence on their use of fashion trend information. The study was conducted with 696 people from 15 to 34 years old. A self-administrated questionnaire based on the results of previous researches was developed. The data were analyzed with statistical analyses such as frequency analysis, mean, factor analysis, t-test, ANOVA, correlation and regression analysis. The results are as follows: first, new digital consumer's recognition degree (RD) of fashion trends is 7.85 on the average, given that the top of scale is 20.0, it is quite low. Of fashion trend RD, fashion item RD is the highest. The female subjects recognize fashion trends better than the male subjects. Second, fashion trend acceptance of new digital generation is classified into 5 factors: 'search acceptance', 'lead acceptance', 'follow acceptance', 'non-acceptance', and 'delay acceptance'. The female subjects show higher degree in the factors of 'search acceptance', 'lead acceptance' and 'follow acceptance' of fashion trend than the males; hence it means that the females have more positive attitudes in fashion trend acceptance than the males. Third, there are significant differences between genders in the fashion information utilization. Compared to the males, the females more use fashion information on style, fabrics and color. Concludingly, their fashion trend recognition degree and acceptance made an influence in part on their utilization of fashion information.

Research on the New Consumer Market Trend by Social Big data Analysis -Focusing on the 'alone consumption' association- (소셜 빅데이터 분석에 의한 신 소비시장 트렌드 연구 - '나홀로 소비' 연관어를 중심으로 -)

  • Choo, Jin-Ki
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.367-376
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    • 2020
  • According to recent statistics on new consumer market trends, 'alone consumption' is at the center. This study focuses on the social big data that attracts the public's opinions in that it is important for a certain social trend to comprehensively understand the various fields such as society, locality, culture, marketing, economics, and psychology that form the background for it. Therefore, we set up the linkage of 'solo consumption' and conducted research on new consumer market trends using Opinion Analisys. As a result of this trend analysis, representative keywords such as 'honbab', 'honsul' and 'honyoeng' were derived and analyzed the trend of new consumer market using this data. Alone consumption is an inevitable new consumption trend caused by demographic change after the global economic crisis. The importance as a trend reflecting this will be further strengthened. Trend analysis by social big data will help scientific and systematic business distribution strategies and planning to help make new and valuable decisions and decisions about new consumer markets.

Applying Bootstrap to Time Series Data Having Trend (추세 시계열 자료의 부트스트랩 적용)

  • Park, Jinsoo;Kim, Yun Bae;Song, Kiburm
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2013
  • In the simulation output analysis, bootstrap method is an applicable resampling technique to insufficient data which are not significant statistically. The moving block bootstrap, the stationary bootstrap, and the threshold bootstrap are typical bootstrap methods to be used for autocorrelated time series data. They are nonparametric methods for stationary time series data, which correctly describe the original data. In the simulation output analysis, however, we may not use them because of the non-stationarity in the data set caused by the trend such as increasing or decreasing. In these cases, we can get rid of the trend by differencing the data, which guarantees the stationarity. We can get the bootstrapped data from the differenced stationary data. Taking a reverse transform to the bootstrapped data, finally, we get the pseudo-samples for the original data. In this paper, we introduce the applicability of bootstrap methods to the time series data having trend, and then verify it through the statistical analyses.

A Study of Discriminant Analysis about Korean Quick Response System Adoption (국내(國內) 신속대응(迅速對應)시스템 도입업체(導入業體)의 판별분석(判別分析) 연구(硏究))

  • Ko, Eun-Ju
    • Journal of Fashion Business
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.103-114
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study was to test the discriminant analysis model of Quick Response system and to examine the detailed relationship between each discriminant factor and Quick Response adoption. In this discriminant analysis model of Quick Response system, firm size, strategic type, product category, fashion trend, selling time and the Quick Response benefits were included as discriminant factors. Onehundred and two subjects were randomly selected for the survey study and discriminant analysis, descriptive analysis, t-test, and x square test were used for the data analysis. The results of this study were: 1. Wilks Lambda and F value support the discriminant analysis model that, taken together firm size, strategic type, product category, fashion trend, selling time and the Quick Response benefits significantly help to explain Quick Response adoption. 2. The importance of discriminant ability was, in order, firm size, the Quick Response benefits, women's wear, fashion trend, analyzer, selling time, reactor, defender and men's wear. 3. The discriminant function had the high hit ratio, so this can be well used for the classification of Quick Response adoption/nonadoption.

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Item Trend Analysis Considering Social Network Data in Online Shopping Malls (온라인 쇼핑몰에서 소셜 네트워크 데이터를 고려한 상품 트렌드 분석)

  • Park, Soobin;Choi, Dojin;Yoo, Jaesoo;Bok, Kyoungsoo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.96-104
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    • 2020
  • As consumers' consumption activities become more active due to the activation of online shopping malls, companies are conducting item trend analyses to boost sales. The existing item trend analysis methods are analyzed by considering only the activities of users in online shopping mall services, making it difficult to identify trends for new items without purchasing history. In this paper, we propose a trend analysis method that combines data in online shopping mall services and social network data to analyze item trends in users and potential customers in shopping malls. The proposed method uses the user's activity logs for in-service data and utilizes hot topics through word set extraction from social network data set to reflect potential users' interests. Finally, the item trend change is detected over time by utilizing the item index and the number of mentions in the social network. We show the superiority of the proposed method through performance evaluations using social network data.

Selecting Ordering Policy and Items Classification Based on Canonical Correlation and Cluster Analysis

  • Nagasawa, Keisuke;Irohara, Takashi;Matoba, Yosuke;Liu, Shuling
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.134-141
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    • 2012
  • It is difficult to find an appropriate ordering policy for a many types of items. One of the reasons for this difficulty is that each item has a different demand trend. We will classify items by shipment trend and then decide the ordering policy for each item category. In this study, we indicate that categorizing items from their statistical characteristics leads to an ordering policy suitable for that category. We analyze the ordering policy and shipment trend and propose a new method for selecting the ordering policy which is based on finding the strongest relation between the classification of the items and the ordering policy. In our numerical experiment, from actual shipment data of about 5,000 items over the past year, we calculated many statistics that represent the trend of each item. Next, we applied the canonical correlation analysis between the evaluations of ordering policies and the various statistics. Furthermore, we applied the cluster analysis on the statistics concerning the performance of ordering policies. Finally, we separate items into several categories and show that the appropriate ordering policies are different for each category.

The Study for Software Future Forecasting Failure Time Using Time Series Analysis. (시계열 분석을 이용한 소프트웨어 미래 고장 시간 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul;Shin, Hyun-Cheul
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2011
  • Software failure time presented in the literature exhibit either constant monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing, For data analysis of software reliability model, data scale tools of trend analysis are developed. The methods of trend analysis are arithmetic mean test and Laplace trend test. Trend analysis only offer information of outline content. In this paper, we discuss forecasting failure time case of failure time censoring. In this study, time series analys is used in the simple moving average and weighted moving averages, exponential smoothing method for predict the future failure times, Empirical analysis used interval failure time for the prediction of this model. Model selection using the mean square error was presented for effective comparison.

Trend of recent research and applications on Nanoimprint Lithography (나노임프린트 리소그래피 기술의 연구 및 응용 동향)

  • Nah, D.B.;Park, J.S.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.325-328
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    • 2008
  • With intensive research and development to mass particular nanostructure of 10nm, Nanoimprint lithography will soon be put to practical use. This paper reviews latest research and application trend and also covers technical articles about Nanoimprint lithography technology Published since 1998, including statistical analysis of collected data(Web of Science DB) and related technical trend.

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The Analysis of the Trend and Direction on the Korean and International Research Related to the Fuzzy Theory (국내.외 퍼지관련 연구추이 및 연구방향의 분석)

  • 박계각;서기열
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 2000.11a
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    • pp.201-204
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    • 2000
  • It seems that the \"fuzzy boom\" which began with its applications has calmed down and fallen into decay at least in Korea. But many foreign researchers say the research related to fuzzy theory has been only running its right course. In this paper, we discuss the trend and direction of reaserch related to fuzzy theory. The search trend is obtained through the analysis of the papers of the latest 10years papers in the journals of three societies: KFIS, SOFT and IFSA.

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