• Title/Summary/Keyword: trend analysis

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The Application of Various Non-parametric Trend Tests to Observed and Future Rainfall Data in the Nakdong River Basin (낙동강 유역의 과거 및 미래 강우자료에 대한 다양한 비모수적 경향성 검정 기법의 적용)

  • Kim, Sang Ug;Lee, Yeong Seob;Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.223-235
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    • 2014
  • In recent, the various methods to predict the hydrological impacts due to climate change have been developed and applied. Especially the trend analysis using observed and future hydrological data has been performed than ever. Parametric or non-parametric tests can be applied for a trend analysis. However, the non-parametric tests have been commonly used in the case of trend analysis using hydrological data. Therefore, the two types of non-parametric tests, Mann-Kendall (MK) test and Spearman Rho (SR) test, were used to detect the trend in the observed and future rainfall data that were collected from the Nakdong River basin. Also, the Pre-Whitening (PW) and the Trend Free Pre-Whitening (TFPW) as the pre-process of the trend analysis were performed. Also, the result of trend analysis suggest that those pre-processes have a statistically significant effect. Additionally, the Sequential Mann-Kendall (SMK) was used to reveal the beginning point of a trend in the observed and future rainfall data in the Nakdong River basin. The rainfall patterns in most rainfall gauges using the observed rainfall show the increasing trend and the abrupt changes in the specific months (from April to May and September to October). Also, the beginning point of the trend is brought forward by several months when climate change is accelerated. Finally, the results of this study can provide the useful background for the research related to climate change and water resources planning in the Nakdong River basin.

A Study on Trend Analysis in Hospitality - related Study (외식.조리 관련 연구의 동향 분석)

  • 나태균;이선호;박인수
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.155-170
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    • 2004
  • In a study, the selection of a relevant methodology cannot be determined without an effort First of all, the philosophical view or understanding of the nature of a study area will be agreed, based on which a series of judgment will be performed on a process identifying a foundation or a validity of a knowledge. The findings are as follows. First, it analyzed the trend of food serviceㆍculinary art-related studies by subject and examined its awareness. The most studies are related to trend analysisㆍfood service, 104 papers, following by financial and strategic fulfillment, 76 papers. Service quality and customer-related studies are 38, individual and organization-related studies are 31 papers, education training 18 papers, while legal review are only 2 papers. Second, for trend analysis and awareness on study methodology, research study is at the first, 39%, following by literature study, 38.7%. Most studies are performed research and literature studies together.

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Common Criteria of statistics using DEVS Modeling (DEVS 모델링을 이용한 보안제품 공동평가 통계)

  • Lee, Ki Sung;Kim, Tae Kyung;Seo, Hee Suk
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.71-80
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    • 2010
  • This thesis is purposed on developing security product co-evaluation statistics administrate program which is can administrate or analysis CC accreditation product using by DEVS modeling via portal site of member of CCRA. Via developing security product evaluation statistics administrate program, it can analysis the trend of all countries of the world in many ways, and noticed the ways of evaluation and accreditation of most countries via scheme analysis. Except this, it can analysis the situation of accreditation trend of any countries via data analysis of ICCC 2009. Also, For trend analysis to evaluation technique of CCRA member, it analyzed up to date technology and policy of the evaluation organization and the Certification Authority of most countries. And it peformed analysis the most trend of information security of evaluation authorization in CCRA member countries. In this program, It provide the function of trend statistics analysis which can statically analyzed the evaluation accreditation trends of most countries and automatical statistics by categorization ( by Product, Class and statistics in national) and report creation functions which can easily extraction and use the needed data. It has been updated the related informations until latest accredited product using by CC(Common Criteria) portal home page's data.

Technical note: Estimation of Korean industry-average initiating event frequencies for use in probabilistic safety assessment

  • Kim, Dong-San;Park, Jin Hee;Lim, Ho-Gon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.211-221
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    • 2020
  • One fundamental element of probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) is the initiating event (IE) analysis. Since IE frequencies can change over time, time-trend analysis is required to obtain optimized IE frequencies. Accordingly, such time-trend analyses have been employed to estimate industry-average IE frequencies for use in the PSAs of U.S. nuclear power plants (NPPs); existing PSAs of Korean NPPs, however, neglect such analysis in the estimation of IE frequencies. This article therefore provides the method for and results of estimating Korean industry-average IE frequencies using time-trend analysis. It also examines the effects of the IE frequencies obtained from this study on risk insights by applying them to recently updated internal events Level 1 PSA models (at-power and shutdown) for an OPR-1000 plant. As a result, at-power core damage frequency decreased while shutdown core damage frequency increased, with the related contributions from each IE category changing accordingly. These results imply that the incorporation of time-trend analysis leads to different IE frequencies and resulting risk insights. The IE frequency distributions presented in this study can be used in future PSA updates for Korean NPPs, and should be further updated themselves by adding more recent data.

Analysis of Laughter Therapy Trend Using Text Network Analysis and Topic Modeling

  • LEE, Do-Young
    • Journal of Wellbeing Management and Applied Psychology
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.33-37
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    • 2022
  • Purpose: This study aims to understand the trend and central concept of domestic researches on laughter therapy. For the analysis, this study used total 72 theses verified by inputting the keyword 'laughter therapy' from 2007 to 2021. Research design, data and methodology: This study performed the development and analysis of keyword co-occurrence network, analyzed the types of researches through topic modeling, and verified the visualized word cloud and sociogram. The keyword data that was cleaned through preprocessing, was analyzed in the method of centrality analysis and topic modeling through the 1-mode matrix conversion process by using the NetMiner (version 4.4) Program. Results: The keywords that most appeared for last 14 years were laughter therapy, depression, the elderly, and stress. The five topics analyzed in thesis data from 2007 to 2021 were therapy, cognitive behavior, quality of life, stress, and the elderly. Conclusions: This study understood the flow and trend of research topics of domestic laughter therapy for last 14 years, and there should be continuous researches on laughter therapy, which reflects the flow of time in the future.

Power Test of Trend Analysis using Simulation Experiment (모의실험을 이용한 경향성 분석기법의 검정력 평가)

  • Ryu, Yongjun;Shin, Hongjoon;Kim, Sooyoung;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.219-227
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    • 2013
  • Time series data including change, jump, trend and periodicity generally have nonstationarity. Especially, various methods have been proposed to identify the trend about hydrological time series data. However, among various methods, evaluation about capability of each trend test has not been done a lot. Even for the same data, each method may show the different result. In this study, the simulation was performed for identification about the changes in trend analysis according to the statistical characteristics and the capability in the trend analysis. For this purpose, power test for the trend analysis is conducted using Men-Kendall test, Hotelling-Pabst test, t test and Sen test according to the slope, sample size, standard deviation and significance level. As a result, t test has higher statistical power than the others, while Mann-Kendall, Hotelling-Pabst, and Sen tests were similar results.

A Study on the Analysis of Fabric Trend Terms and Finishing - Women's Wear Fabrics for Spring/Summer Seasons for 10 Years(1995~2004) - (소재 트렌드를 표현하는 소재 가공 분석 - 10년간(1995~2004) 봄.여름용 여성복 소재를 중심으로 -)

  • Kim, Dong-Woon;Park, Chung-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
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    • v.31 no.2 s.161
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    • pp.217-224
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    • 2007
  • This paper investigated spring/summer fabric trends of women's and analyzed the correlation between the fabric trends and finishing for 10 years (1995 S/S-2004 S/S). Fabric trend terms were selected from 5 fashion journals and were grouped by hierarchical cluster analysis using SPSS 12.0 statistical package. Also, finishing terms were selected and analyzed by frequency. The results showed that 13 representative fabric trend terms were clean, functional, lustrous, compact, rubbery, comfortable, chic, romantic, decorative, natural, fluid, textured, and ethnic trend. In terms of fabric finishing, 12 representative finishing were selected such as coating, calendaring, wrinkle finishing, decorative finishing, quilting, and washing. Finally, in respect of the analysis of fabric trends and finishing, washing and embroidery were used to represent ethnic trends and textured fabric was closely correlated wrinkle and decorative finishing. Fluid fabrics were expressed via wrinkle and coating and washing and wrinkle were used for natural feeling. Decorative fabric was expressed by embroidery and coating and decorative finishing were frequently used to show romantic and chic fabric. Also comfortable fabrics were correlated with easy care and rubbery, compact, lustrous, and clean fabrics were correlated with coating.

A Study on the Verbal Image of Interior Decoration Trend from the Year 2000 (2000년 이후 인테리어 데코레이션 트랜드의 언어심상에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Joo-Yun;Han, Hyo-Jung;Lee, Hye-Kyung
    • Korean Institute of Interior Design Journal
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    • v.15 no.6 s.59
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    • pp.238-246
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    • 2006
  • Recent trends of interior design have a focus on creation of more various meanings rather than past ideology which sought after the compatibility to the function of modem design. These trends requires integral understanding of social and cultural ideologies with a sens of values for a certain periods. In addition, they also require creativity which able to read, find and solve consumer's diverse demand and desire. Considering the effort of trend forecasting in Korea is still heavily rely on the foreign trend shows, it is natural to attempt to study the analytical forecasting methodology based upon more systematic principles which lead to more objective outcome, when the understanding, forcasting and analysis of interior decoration trend are required. In this thesis, the analysis and forecasting of interior decoration trend are studied by means of verbal image code process which involves the induction of design concept through data extraction, classification and analysis, in order to understanding and satisfying the diversified consumer's demand and trend. The coding process of verbal image is understanding as general concept. by extracting common elements from abstract and individual image, and/or specific concept. Therefore, it is proposed that the database building and data mining process of verbal Image, and subsequent development of programming skill can be applied as more efficient tool for various verbal image process.

An Analysis of New Textile Material Developmental Trend (섬유 신소재 개발 Trend에 대한 고찰)

  • 이유경;김순심
    • Korean Journal of Rural Living Science
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.11-24
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    • 1995
  • The new textile materials may be defined as textile materials different from already existing ones in the physical and chemical structure, manufacturing process, or end-use property. The present time what is called the post-industrial society is characterized by rapid change and new technology. Also, textile materials have been changed rapidly and diversely in the post-industrial society than in any other periods. The study aimed to analyze the trend of new tektite materials development in Korea and to forecast the development trend in the future. To investigate the trend of new textile materials, various written materials and informations were collected from the manufacturers, textile related periodicals, and research journals, and they were analyzed. The period of analysis was from January 1992 to May 1995. The results of this research are as followings : (1) Mixed textile materiasl such as bicomponent fiber, blended yam and blended fabric were increased. (2) High technology has an important effect upon new textile material development. (3) functional textile materials were increased (4) The high value-added products were increased. (5) The naturalized textile materials were increased.

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