• 제목/요약/키워드: trend Analysis

검색결과 7,557건 처리시간 0.036초

자료기간에 따른 확률 강우량 변화 특성 분석 (An Analysis of the Characteristics in Design Rainfall According to the Data Periods)

  • 오태석;김민석;문영일;안재현
    • 한국방재학회 논문집
    • /
    • 제9권4호
    • /
    • pp.115-127
    • /
    • 2009
  • 최근 한반도에서는 이상기후 및 기후변화의 영향으로 인한 피해가 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 자료기간에 따른 확률강우량의 변화 특성에 대하여 분석하였다. 분석 대상 자료는 기상청에서 관할하고 있는 관측소 중에서 비교적 장기간의 자료를 보유하고 있는 14개 지점을 선정하였다. 선정된 지점에서 강우자료의 관측년수를 기준으로 5가지 경우로 구분하여 빈도해석을 실시하였다. 빈도해석 결과, 우리나라 대부분 지역에서 확률강우량이 뚜렷하게 증가하는 것을 확인할 수 있었다. 또한 관측된 강우량 자료와 확률강우량 자료를 이용한 변동성과 경향성 분석을 실시하였다. 통계적 분석 결과에서 강우자료는 변동성과 경향성이 거의 나타나지 않았으나, 확률강우량 자료에서는 변동성과 경향성이 다수 나타나는 것으로 분석되었다. 또한 대부분의 지점에서 변동성 및 경향성에 의해 확률강우량이 증가하는 것으로 나타났다. 이는 확률강우량의 변화에 대한 수공구조물 등의 설계 및 기존의 홍수 방어능력에 대한 검토 필요성을 의미한다.

최근 10년(1996년$\sim$2005년) 간 국내 패션 트렌드의 경향 분석 (An Analysis of the Fashion Trends in Korea over the Last 10 years(1996-2005))

  • 고은주;이지현
    • 복식
    • /
    • 제58권9호
    • /
    • pp.18-28
    • /
    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the Characteristics of Fashion Trends($1996{\sim}2005$) of Korea by the trend elements - style, fabric and color. The results of this study are as followed. During 10years, 'modern(18%)', 'elegant(11%)' and 'romantic(10%)' styles were shown in order, and colors of YR(17%), Y(14%), R(13%) and PB(11%) were shown in order. Considering tones, m(16%), d(12%), gy(11%) and s(10%) tones were in the order of frequency. In the fabric trend 'elegant(19%)', 'modern(14%)' and 'natural(14%)' images showed the high frequency. Since 2000's, style trends and fabric trends were subdivided, and the contrary images coexisted. The trend images of 'natural', 'retro', 'manish' and 'fun' were mainly used in fabric trend, and 'romantic' and 'classic' images were frequently used in style trend. The changes of trend images in style and fabric have been similar until the early 2000's but the cycle of trend of style became shorter than fabric trend. Therefore the cycle of fabric trend should be changed to be a short term and subdivided in company with style trend.

기후변화에 따른 낙동강 유역의 기온 경향성 및 수온과의 탄성도 분석 (Analysis for Air Temperature Trend and Elasticity of Air-water Temperature according to Climate Changes in Nakdong River Basin)

  • 손태석;임용균;백명기;신현석
    • 한국물환경학회지
    • /
    • 제26권5호
    • /
    • pp.822-833
    • /
    • 2010
  • Temperature increase due to climate changes causes change of water temperature in rivers which results in change of water quality etc. and the change of river ecosystem has a great impact on human life. Analyzing the impact of current climate changes on air and water temperature is an important thing in adapting to the climate changes. This study examined the effect of climate changes through analyzing air temperature trend for Nakdong river basin and analyzed the elasticity of air-water temperature to understand the effect of climate changes on water temperature. For analysis air temperature trend, collecting air temperature data from the National Weather Service on main points in Nakdong river basin, and resampling them at the units of year, season and month, used as data for air temperature trend analysis. Analyzing for elasticity of air-water temperature, the data were collected by the Water Environment Information system for water temperature, while air temperature data were collected at the National Weather Service point nearest in the water temperature point. And using the results of trend analysis and elasticity analysis, the effect of climate changes on water temperature was examined estimating future water temperature in 20 years and 50 years after. It is judged that analysis on mutual impact between factors such as heat budget, precipitation and evapotranspiration on river water temperature affected by climate changes and river water temperature is necessary.

실내디자이너의 선호 트랜드 검색 및 반영방법 (A Study on the Searching Method and Application of Interior Design trend of Interior Designer)

  • 한영호;신화경
    • 한국실내디자인학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국실내디자인학회 2004년도 추계학술발표대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.169-172
    • /
    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study was to identify the searching method and application of intoner design trend of interior designer. The questionnaire survey were used. The subjects of questionnaire survey were 50 interior designers in 6 interior design firms. Frequency, percentage, and cross-tab were used for data analysis. The major results were as follows. 1) Interior designers thought that consumers visiting at apartment model house were concerned about interior design trend and aware of interior design reflected trend. So interior designer gave expression to interior design trend. And they needed information about interior design trend and consumer's interior design preference. 2) Interior designers found interior design trend or consumer's preference from some exhibition or fair, journal, and internet materials. 3) Interior design trend was mainly expressed in living room design. And Interior designers utilized finishing material and color in expression of interior design trend.

  • PDF

상관성을 가진 시계열 자료의 경향성 분석에 관한 연구 (Trend Detection of Serially Correlated Hydrologic Series)

  • 오제승;김병식;김형수;서병하
    • 한국습지학회지
    • /
    • 제6권4호
    • /
    • pp.35-43
    • /
    • 2004
  • 경향성을 분석하기 위한 여러 기법 가운데 비모수적 방법인 Mann-Kendall 검정(MK 검정)은 수문 시계열의 분석에서 널리 사용되어지고 있다. 이 검정 방법은 분석 대상 자료가 독립이라는 가정 하에 수행되며, 자료가 계열상관되어 있는 경우에는 그 상관성의 영향으로 경향성 존재의 유무를 정확하게 판단할 수 없게 된다. 따라서 MK 검정을 이용할 때 자료의 상관성으로 인해 받게 되는 영향을 소거시키기 위해 효과적인 자료의 크기(Effective Sample Size, ESS)를 이용하는 수정된 MK 검정 방법을 이용하고자 한다. 본 연구에서는 ESS가 얼마만큼 계열상관성을 제거할 수 있는지 Monte Carlo모의를 통해 검토하였다. MK 검정 결과 계열상관계수의 증가에 따라 자료가 경향성을 나타내는 비율이 높아 졌으나, ESS에 의해 수정된 MK 검정을 수행한 결과 계열상관계수의 영향이 제거되었음을 알 수 있었다. 또한 실측 자료의 적용을 통해 수정 MK검정이 경향성 분석에 매우 유용함을 확인 하였다.

  • PDF

곡선 회귀모형을 이용한 소프트웨어 미래 고장 시간 예측에 관한 연구 (The Study for Software Future Forecasting Failure Time Using Curve Regression Analysis)

  • 김희철;신현철
    • 융합보안논문지
    • /
    • 제12권3호
    • /
    • pp.115-121
    • /
    • 2012
  • 소프트웨어 고장 시간은 테스팅 시간과 관계없이 일정하거나. 단조증가 혹은 단조 감소 추세를 가지고 있다. 이러한 소프트웨어 신뢰모형들을 분석하기 위한 자료척도로 자료에 대한 추세 검정이 개발되어 있다. 추세 분석에는 산술평균 검정과 라플라스 추세 검정 등이 있다. 추세분석들은 전체적인 자료의 개요의 정보만 제공한다. 본 논문에서는 고장시간을 측정하다가 시간 절단이 될 경우에 미래의 고장 시간 예측에 관하여 연구 하였다. 곡선회귀모형에 이용되는 S곡선모형과 성장모형, 로지스틱을 이용하여 미래고장 시간을 예측하여 비교 하였다. 제안된 예측방법에서는 고장시간 자료를 이용하여 모형들에 대한 예측 값을 결정계수 와 평균제곱오차를 이용하여 비교 하고 효율적 모형을 선택 하였다.

네트워크 분석을 통한 최근 5년간 중국내 미병 연구동향 고찰 (Review of Subhealth and Mee-byung Research Trend as a Method of Network Analysis from 2007 to 2011 in China)

  • 이재철;진희정
    • 동의생리병리학회지
    • /
    • 제26권5호
    • /
    • pp.615-620
    • /
    • 2012
  • This research aims to analyze the trend of subhealth and meebyung(未病) research as a method of network analysis from 2007 to 2011 in China. A total of 3,933 papers were involved in analysis from 5,465 searched papers, which title have '未病', '亞健康' in CNKI (China National Knowledge Infrastructure). It is carried out that counts annual paper number, authors' publicized papers, and journals paper number related to subhealth. Network analysis was performed to reveal collaboration research trend and relations between Authors, Affiliations, and Regions. As a result, Number of related studies have increased for the last 5 years. East and south regions of China, which include Beijing, Guangxi, and Zhejiang have participated most in their studies, and also as collaborated researches. As affiliations, Researches done by College of Traditional Chinese medicine and their hospital's collaborations are most counted. Because of distance limit, many colleges or institutes seem to make contacts with nearby affiliations. This study is the first attempt to perform network analysis on subhealth research trend in CNKI. This study would contribute to related studies in case of network analysis method.

1960년대 패션트렌드에 따른 헤어스타일의 양상 (A Study on the Hair style in Respect of Fashion Trend in 1960's)

  • 유미금;최정순
    • 한국패션뷰티학회지
    • /
    • 제2권2호
    • /
    • pp.1-11
    • /
    • 2004
  • The purpose of this study was to analyze the hair style trend in the respect of fashion trend in 1960s. The study also attempted if there were significant influences to current hair designers and hair styles as beehive, mods hair, short cut. geometric cut, wigs, natural hair, unisex hair. This study is a descriptive study, involving the collection of picture data and examine the art of the 1960's. Because 1960's is a revolutionary decade in the way of living and fashion trend. This study also adopted review of literature and analysis of magazines. 1960's was a period of major street fashion as Mods, Jackie Look, Miniskirt, Pop Art, Op Art Look, Space Look, Hippie Look, Unisex Look. The results of this study can be summarized as follows: 1) A review of literature had shown that little or no studies for an in depth analysis of 1960's fashion trend and hair design. 2) During the sixties, the trend of fashion and hair style were remarkable change in the way of living. 3) There were strong influences hair styles of 1960's until today.

  • PDF

버스 공공와이파이 보안 접속 동향 분석에 관한 연구 (A study on the analysis of bus public Wi-Fi security access trends)

  • 최홍주
    • Design & Manufacturing
    • /
    • 제15권4호
    • /
    • pp.14-23
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this study, we have analyzed the access status and the data usage trend of the public Wi-Fi on the bus, which has not been carried out in the previous studies. The analysis period of this study is 5 months from Nov. 2020 to Mar. 2021. When we compared the access status of Seoul metropolitan and the non-metropolitan region against each region's deployment status ratio, the access ratio of the metropolitan region was higher than the non-metropolitan region, of which the gap was 4.53%. The access for each region showed the growing trend, which was 43.5% on average. The data usage also showed the growing trend, 2.7% on average. Weekly data usage showed the growing trend irrespective of weekdays or weekends. The data usage of the weekdays was 695GB higher than weekends. The data usage during commuting hours including school (7:00~9:00 a.m. and 4:00~6:00 p.m.) was higher than 3,000GB. We can conclude that bus public Wi-Fi was used more actively in non-metropolitan region than Seoul metropolitan region by the office workers and students. The secure access also showed the growing trend. And the secure data usage also showed the growing trend.

국내 공동주택 트렌드 분석 연구 (A Study on Trend Analysis of Domestic Multi-family Housing)

  • 이보라;신연섭;연태경
    • 한국실내디자인학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 한국실내디자인학회 2006년도 춘계학술발표대회 논문집
    • /
    • pp.150-153
    • /
    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the trend of Korean domestic multi-family housing. For that, this study surveyed 139 apartment complex cases which were sold from December 2002 to December 2005. When Hwasung Dongtan apartment complex was sold in 2004, there were a lot of attempts in various quarters, especially in unit planning and eco-friendly design. Accordingly, it is worthy that analyzing the trend before and after of 2004. As a result, the trend has been moving from 'convenient and high class' to 'LOHAS, one-stop living, convergency, and residents' satisfaction' because leasure and well-living have been the purpose of their living. Therefore, we can predict that B.I. and design identity would be more important, and various contents would be created for residents' community and private life.

  • PDF