• Title/Summary/Keyword: travel demand model

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An Analysis on the Re-visitation Choice of Rural Leisure - Focused on Buraemi, Daraengi, Byucgari region - (농촌여가 시장의 재방문 선택요인 분석 -부래미, 다랭이, 볏가리지역을 대상으로-)

  • Yun, Hee-Jeong;Im, Seung-Bin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2008
  • Recently, rural leisure by urban dwellers has been recognized as a catalyst for regional development or restoration. The federal government implemented several regional planning policies attempting to address this phenomenon in the late nineties. However, most of these policies focused on supply-centered planning, which caused a diverse set of problems relating to the sustainability and economic validity of the planning. Instead, this study focuses on the re-visitation one of the demand variables, with the intention of analyzing the character of rural leisure demand and its re-visitation choice attributes. For these reasons, this study investigates the character of current rural leisure demand, and develops functional equations about urban people who visit rural areas, using logit model. The results of this study can be summarized as follow: Urban people are visiting rural areas from nearby cities or metropolitan areas that are within 3 hours driving distance, and over 80% of rural visitors are one-day visitors. Therefore, most of their visitation activities should be understood as rural leisure, including rural tourism. In addition, the likelihood of the rural tourist to make a return visit is influenced by their transportation means, product purchasing, staying period and travel time. The results of such rural leisure demand can provide information for regional planning strategies, such as selection of target market, type of market segments, improvement of recognition level, activity program price, facility and space planning, produce sale and connection with tour site.

An Analysis of Decision Making Process in Voluntary Reducing Private Car Use (자발적 자가용 이용 저감의 의사결정과정 분석 연구)

  • Lee, Backjin;Kim, Joon-Ki;Yi, Choonyong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.679-689
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    • 2013
  • To relieve Green-house Gas Emission is the key issue in urban area. Urban transport policies have focused on the reduction of private car use. The most common of these is Travel Demand Management(e.g., congestion charge, environmental tax, etc.) that forces individuals to reduce their private car use. An alternative way is Mobility Management(MM) that induces individuals to voluntarily change their car use through communications. MM is founded on social psychology theory and focuses on individuals' decision making processes to change their perception and attitude on private car use. Although some researchers have reported the relevance of MM approach, still few researches have explicitly studied on individuals' decision making processes. Therefore, the aims of the paper are to analyze the decision making process of individuals and to provide the basis of introducing MM approach in Korea. Structural equation model(SEM) is applied for the analysis of individuals' decision making process. A empirical study shows that psychological factors such as perception/attitude on global environment or individual norms impact significantly to reduce private car use and accordingly the relevance of introducing MM approach instead of imposing regulations or expanding transport facilities.

A Study on Congestion Toll Pricing: The Case of Beijing, China (혼잡통행료 산정에 관한 연구 - 중국 베이징의 사례 -)

  • Jiang, Xue;Kim, Ho Yeon
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.107-118
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    • 2018
  • Due to the rapid economic development, traffic congestion has become a dire concern in Beijing, China. Levying a congestion toll is seen as the most effective solution to the problem. Building a congestion pricing model is a crucial step in implementing a workable toll scheme. Unlike previous attempts, this study not only covers the theoretical discussion but also considers three practical issues: the speed-density relationship, the value of travel time savings, and the determination of optimal traffic volume. We estimate the speed-density relationship by regression models and the value of travel time saved through survey results. We further suggest a way through which the government could identify the optimal traffic flow by a series of trial-and-errors, without the knowledge of exact road demand structure. Finally, a practical tolling scheme is proposed for Beijing's second ring road along with some policy recommendations.

Acceptability of a Freeway Travel Reservation Strategy (고속도로 통행 예약제의 수용성 분석)

  • Chung, Younshik;Song, Taijin;Kim, Youngho;Kang, Seong-Cheol
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.1D
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    • pp.25-32
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to propose a new strategy, called "freeway travel reservation strategy", to mitigate freeway traffic congestion by using advanced traffic technologies and traffic demand management policies, and to analyze its acceptability. Motorist surveys were carried out to accomplish the acceptability analysis. As a result, 73% of respondents agreed with the proposed strategy, and an increase in the inconvenience for using freeway during the major Korean Holidays, in the age, in the number of family members, and in household income resulted in higher acceptability. Additionally, married or female respondents tended to have higher acceptability. Such results can be practical for developing policies to successfully operate the proposed strategy in the future.

A Study on the Demand of Taxi Transfer Discount Using Ordinal Logistic Model (순서형 로짓 모형을 활용한 택시환승할인수요에 관한 고찰)

  • Kim, Ki Young;Jung, Hun Young
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.5
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    • pp.685-692
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    • 2018
  • Busan city implemented 'taxi transfer discount system' since October 2017 in order to create for new demand taxis. However, due to the low transfer discount amount and limited payment method to prepaid cards, it is difficult to attain the aim. In this study, we investigated the usage status of taxi transfer discount system and the intention to use taxi transfer discount system according to the discount amount level. We established a model of intention to estimate demand of taxi transfer discount using ordinal logistic model. The results of analysis are as following. The critical reason for low usage was to limit taxi transfer discount payment methods to prepaid cards other than post-paid cards which is used for most transportation payment. It was found that the discount rate for taxi transfers was affected in order of payment method, the purpose of the travel, major transportation, frequency taxi use, age, transportation costs, and the discount of taxi transfers. Also, the taxi transfer discount could be expected to increase to 1,550 won based on the price elasticity of demand due to changes in taxi transfer discount rate.

A Study on a Conceptual Design for a Simulation Model to Enhance the Airport SLOT Allocation Problem for a Single Airport (공항 슬롯 배분 개선을 위한 시뮬레이션 모형 기본 설계에 관한 연구: 단일 공항을 중심으로)

  • Bomi Park;Daekyum Lee;Junhyuk Kim;Seokjae Yun
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2024
  • In response to the continuously increasing demand for air travel, various studies are being conducted. This research focuses on the design of a simulation model for improving airport slot allocation in the strategic phase. It addresses three aspects of model design, introducing considerations such as the objective function. Additionally, it explains the conceptual procedures for the overall simulation operation and detailed processes within the model including input and output data. Emphasizing the SAL, this study excludes policy and qualitative judgments from its scope. The target airport for application will be confirmed in future research. This study marks a crucial first step toward optimizing air traffic flow, with expectations of contributing to the enhancement of operational efficiency at airports.

Utility Maximization, The Shapes of the Indifference Curve on the Characteristic Space and its Estimation: A Theoretical Approach (개인여객 효용의 극대화 및 운송특성공간상의 무차별곡선의 형태와 그 추정)

  • Kim, Jong-Seok
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.157-168
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    • 2009
  • The random utility theory and the multinomial logit model (including a more recent variant--the mixed multinomial logit) derived from it have constituted a back bone for theoretical and empirical analyses of various travel demand features including mode choice. In their empirical applications, however, it is customary to specify random utilities which are linear in modal attributes such as time and cost, and in socio-economic variables. The linearity helps easy derivation of important information such as value of travel time savings by calculating marginal rate of substitution between time and cost. In this paper the author focuses on the very linearity of the random utilities. Taking into account the fact that the mode chooser is also labour supplier, commodity consumer as well as leisure-seeker, the author sets up a maximization model of the traveller, which encompasses various economic activities of the traveller. The author derive from the model the indifference curve defined on the space of modal attributes, time and cost and investigate under what conditions the random utility of the traveller becomes linear. It turns out that there exist the conditions under which the random utility is really linear in modal attributes, but the property does not hold when the traveller has a corner solution on the space of modal attributes, or when the primary utility function of the traveller is directly affected by labour provided and/or the travel time itself. As a corollary of the analysis, a random utility is suggested, approximated up to the second order of the variables involved for empirical studies of the field.

Line Planning Optimization Model for Intercity Railway (지역간 철도의 노선계획 최적화 모형)

  • Oh, Dongkyu;Kho, Seung-Young;Kang, Seungmo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.80-89
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this research is to optimize the line planning of the intercity passenger railway. In this study, the line planning problem has been formulated into a mixed integer programming by minimizing both user costs (passenger's total travel time) and operator costs (operation, maintenance and vehicle costs) with multiple train types. As a solution algorithm, the branch-and-bound method is used to solve this problem. The change of travel demand, train speed and the number of schedules have been tested through sensitivity analysis. The optimal stop-schedules and frequency as well as system split with respect to each train type have been found in the case study of Kyoung-bu railway line in Korea. The model and results of this research are useful to make a decision for railway operation strategy, to analyze the efficiency of new railway systems and to evaluate the social costs of users and operators.

An Analysis on Evacuation Scenario at Metro-stations using Pedestrian Movement-based Simulation Model (보행류 기반 도시철도역사 평가 시뮬레이터를 활용한 대피 시나리오 분석)

  • You, So-young;Jung, Rea-hyuck;Chung, Jin-hyuck
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.36-49
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    • 2016
  • A subway system is one of the major transportation modes at a metropolitan area. When it meets the other lines, the metro station, so-called transferring station, is usually threatened by severe pedestrian congestion and safety issue of transit users including the transportation vulnerable. Although transportation planners forecast travel demand at the beginning, it is not easy to predict pedestrian flows precisely for a long term if land use plans have dramatically changed. Due to expensive costs, structural extension of metro stations is limited. Therefore, it requires efficient and technical improvements as meeting the demand of pedestrian and physical characteristics. In this study, the core mechanism of pedestrian movement-based simulation model was introduced and evacuation scenarios were analyzed with the developed model. As a result, the multiple optimal routes for unexpected events at the solid space of the multiple stories are easily searched through the simulator and in the case of Sadang Station, travel time can be reduced by 60% when the evacuation information and intuitive design are provided.

A study on Air and High Speed Rail modal According to the Introduction of Low Cost Carrier Air Service (저비용항공 진입에 따른 항공과 고속철도수단 선택에 관한 연구)

  • Lim, Sam-Jin;Lim, Kang-Won;Lee, Young-Ihn;Kim, Kyung-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.51-61
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    • 2008
  • Most of Korea's 15 local airports, with the exception Jeju, Gimpo and Gimhae airports, have been several billion Won in the red each year. It has been reported that one of the causes of the poor financial performance is inaccurate air traffic demand predictions. Under the situation, the entry of low-cost carrier air service using turbo-prop airplanes into the domestic airlines market gets a wide range of support, which is expected to promote the convenience of consumers and help to activate local airports. In this study, the authors (1) suggest a high-speed transport demand model among existing airlines, Korea Train Express (KTX) and low-cost carrier air service; (2) try to make low-cost air carrier demand predictions for a route between Seoul and Daegu through a stated-preference survey; and (3), examine possible effectiveness of selected policy measures by establishing an estimation model. First, fare has a strong influence for mode choice between high-speed transport modes when considering the entry of low-cost carrier air service between Seoul and Daegu. Even low-cost carrier air service fare is set at 38,000 won, which is considerably low compared with that of KTX, in the regions where the total travel time is the same for both low-cost carrier air service and KTX, the probability of selecting low-cost carrier air service is 0.1, which shows little possibility of modal change between high speed transportation means. It is suggested that the fare of low-cost air service between Seoul and Daegu should be within the range of from of 38,000 to 44,000 Won; if it is higher, the demand is likely to be lower than expected.