• Title/Summary/Keyword: traffic model

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Analysis and Modeling of Traffic at Ntopia Subscriber Network of Korea Telecom (KT의 Ntopia가입자 망 트래픽 분석 및 모델링)

  • 주성돈;이채우
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.41 no.5
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2004
  • As Internet technologies are mature, many new applications that are different characteristics are emerging. Recently we see wide use of P2P(Peer to Peer) applications of which traffic shows different statistical characteristics compared with traditional application such as web(HTTP) and FTP(File Transfer Protocol). In this paper, we measured subscriber network of KT(Korea Telecom) to analyze P2P traffic characteristics. We show flow characteristics of measured traffic. We also estimate Hurst parameter of P2P traffic and compare self-similarity with web traffic. Analysis results indicate that P2P traffic is much bustier than web traffic and makes both upstream traffic and downstream traffic be symmetric. To predict parameters related QoS such as packet loss and delays we model P2P traffic using two self-similar traffic models and predict both loss probability and mm delay then compare their accuracies. With simulation we show that the self-similar traffic models we derive predict the performance of P2P traffic accurately and thus when we design a network or evaluate its performance, we can use the P2P traffic model as reference input traffic.

Comparative Analysis of Elderly's and Non-elderly's Human Traffic Accident Severity (고령운전자와 비고령운전자의 인적교통사고 심각도 비교분석)

  • Lee, Sang Hyuk;Jeung, Woo Dong;Woo, Yong Han
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.133-144
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    • 2012
  • This study focused on estimating influential factors of traffic accidents and analyzing traffic accident severity of elderly and non elderly using traffic accident data. In order to reclassify elderly and non elderly traffic accident by a statistical method from entire traffic accident data, multiple discriminant analysis was applied. Also ordered logit model was applied for analyzing traffic accident severities using traffic accident severities as an independent variable and transportation facilities, road conditions and human characteristics as dependent variables. As results of the comparison between elderly and non elderly traffic accident, the traffic accident severity was affected by the age, types of traffic accidents, human characteristics and road conditions as well. Also, transportation facilities and road conditions affected to more elderly traffic accident than non elderly. Therefore, traffic accident severity would be decreased with the improvement of transportation facilities and road conditions for the elderly.

Speed Prediction of Urban Freeway Using LSTM and CNN-LSTM Neural Network (LSTM 및 CNN-LSTM 신경망을 활용한 도시부 간선도로 속도 예측)

  • Park, Boogi;Bae, Sang hoon;Jung, Bokyung
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.86-99
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    • 2021
  • One of the methods to alleviate traffic congestion is to increase the efficiency of the roads by providing traffic condition information on road user and distributing the traffic. For this, reliability must be guaranteed, and quantitative real-time traffic speed prediction is essential. In this study, and based on analysis of traffic speed related to traffic conditions, historical data correlated with traffic flow were used as input. We developed an LSTM model that predicts speed in response to normal traffic conditions, along with a CNN-LSTM model that predicts speed in response to incidents. Through these models, we try to predict traffic speeds during the hour in five-minute intervals. As a result, predictions had an average error rate of 7.43km/h for normal traffic flows, and an error rate of 7.66km/h for traffic incident flows when there was an incident.

Accident Models of Rotary by Age Group in Korea (국내 로터리의 연령대별 사고모형)

  • Park, Min Kyu;Park, Byung Ho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.121-129
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    • 2013
  • PURPOSES : This study deals with the traffic accidents of rotary in Korea. The objective of this study is to develop the accident models by age group based on the various data of rotaries. METHODS : In pursuing the above, this study gives particular attentions to classifying the accident data of 17 rotaries by age, collecting the data of geometric structure, traffic volume and others, and developing the models using SPSS 17.0 and EXCEL. RESULTS : First, 3 multiple linear regression models which were all statistically significant were developed. The value of model of under 30-49 age group were, however, evaluated to be 0.688 and be less than those of other models. Second, the most powerful variables were analyzed to be traffic volume in the model of under 30 age group, circulatory roadway width in the model of 30-49 age group, and the number of approach lane in the model of above 50 age group. Finally, the test results of accident models using RMSE were all evaluated to be fitted to the given data. CONCLUSIONS : This study propose install streetlights, speed humps and widen Circulatory as effective improvements for reduction of accident in rotary.

Business Model for Intelligent Traffic Facility Management Service Based on Ubiquitous Technology (유비쿼터스 기술 기반의 지능형 교통시설물관리서비스를 위한 비즈니스 모델)

  • Yu, Sung-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.14 no.12
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we propose the system structure and technologies to implement a business model for an intelligent traffic facility management system based on ubiquitous technology. The business model includes the service functions, service structure, business process, and demand and supply relationship among the participants in this model. We also propose an approach to implementing the model. This includes the network, infrastructure and platform to be used for system composition. We then present the results from an analysis by comparison of different technologies and an adequate technology structure. Finally, this paper may present guidelines to managing traffic facilities.

A modified shell-joint model for segmental tunnel dislocations under differential settlement

  • Jianguo Liu;Xiaohui Zhang;Yuyin Jin;Wenyuan Wang
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.411-424
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    • 2023
  • Reasonable estimates of tunnel lining dislocations in the operation stage, especially under longitudinal differential settlement, are important for the design of waterproof gaskets. In this paper, a modified shell-joint model is proposed to calculate shield tunnel dislocations under longitudinal differential settlement, with the ability to consider the nonlinear shear stiffness of the joint. In the case of shell elements in the model, an elastoplastic damage constitutive model was adopted to describe the nonlinear stress-strain relationship of concrete. After verifying its applicability and correctness against a full-scale tunnel test and a joint shear test, the proposed model was used to analyze the dislocation behaviors of a shield tunnel in Shanghai Metro Line 2 under longitudinal differential settlement. Based on the results, when the tunnel structure is solely subjected to water-earth load, circumferential and longitudinal joint dislocations are all less than 0.1 mm. When the tunnel suffers longitudinal differential settlement and the curvature radius of the differential settlement is less than 300 m, although maximum longitudinal joint dislocation is still less than 0.1 mm, the maximum circumferential joint dislocation is approximately 10.3 mm, which leads to leakage and damage of the tunnel structure. However, with concavo-convex tenons applied to circumferential joints, the maximum dislocation value reduces to 4.5 mm.

The Fuzzy Traffic Control Method for ABR Service (ABR 서비스에서 퍼지 트래픽 제어 방식)

  • Yu, Jae-Taek;Kim, Yong-U;Lee, Jin-Lee;Lee, Gwang-Hyeong
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.3 no.7
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    • pp.1880-1893
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, we propose the fuzzy traffic control method in ABR service for the effective use of ATM link. This method, a modified version of EPRCA which is one of rate control methods in ABR service, controls the values of the transmission rates of source by using the fuzzy traffic inference based on switch buffer size and buffer variate rate. For this method, we developed a model and algorithm of the fuzzy traffic control method and a fuzzy traffic controller, after studying fuzzy and neural networks which applied to ATM traffic control and EPRCA. For the fuzzy traffic controller, we also designed a membership function, fuzzy control rules and a max-min inferencing method. We conducted a simulation and compared the link utilization of the fuzzy traffic control method with that of the EPRCA method. The results of the simulation indicated that, compared to EPRCA, the fuzzy traffic control method improves the link utilization by 2.3% in a normal distribution model and by 2.7% in the MMPP model of the source.

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Developing the Accident Injury Severity on a Field of Construction Work Using Ordered Probit Model (순서형 프로빗 모형을 적용한 공사장 교통 사고심각도 분석)

  • Hong, Ji-Yeon;Kim, Kyung-Tae;Lee, Soo-Beom
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.89-98
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    • 2011
  • The traffic accidents at a construction site, which happen due to construction vehicles' frequent access to a construction site, its subsequent conflicts with ordinary vehicles and pedestrians, and inappropriate installation & management of traffic security facilities, have not many proportions in all traffic accidents, but obviously, the accident damage is quite serious when comparing the level of the fatal per one accident. This research conducted an analysis of traffic accident injury severity using Ordered Probit Model in relation to 241 traffic accident cases that occurred caused by construction sites among the traffic accidents that took place in Seoul and Gyeoggi-do region for two years from 2006 until 2007. As a result, the significant variables enough to explain traffic accident injury severity were analyzed to be the state of road surface, linear shape of an accident spot & whether the damaging car belongs to the vehicle for construction, and whether vehicles have access to a construction site at the time of an accident. Through this, this research found out some fact as follows: first, there need to be more aggressive management of the vehicles for construction and a year-round placement of the manpower who can control vehicular access to a construction site. Second, it is necessary to get drivers to recognize the fact that there exists a construction site on the construction section which is on the border of curved roads in advance to prevent a traffic accident, helping to reduce socioeconomic loss & costs incurred by a traffic accident.

A Study on the Traffic Volume Correction and Prediction Using SARIMA Algorithm (SARIMA 알고리즘을 이용한 교통량 보정 및 예측)

  • Han, Dae-cheol;Lee, Dong Woo;Jung, Do-young
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2021
  • In this study, a time series analysis technique was applied to calibrate and predict traffic data for various purposes, such as planning, design, maintenance, and research. Existing algorithms have limitations in application to data such as traffic data because they show strong periodicity and seasonality or irregular data. To overcome and supplement these limitations, we applied the SARIMA model, an analytical technique that combines the autocorrelation model, the Seasonal Auto Regressive(SAR), and the seasonal Moving Average(SMA). According to the analysis, traffic volume prediction using the SARIMA(4,1,3)(4,0,3) 12 model, which is the optimal parameter combination, showed excellent performance of 85% on average. In addition to traffic data, this study is considered to be of great value in that it can contribute significantly to traffic correction and forecast improvement in the event of missing traffic data, and is also applicable to a variety of time series data recently collected.

PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS OF AAL MULTIPLEXER WITH CBR TRAFFIC AND BURSTY TRAFFIC

  • Park, Chul-Geun;Han, Dong-Hwan
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.81-95
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    • 2001
  • This paper models and evaluates the AAL multiplexer to analyze AAL protocol in ATM networks. We consider an AAL multiplexer in which a single periodically determinsitic CBR traffic stream and several variable size bursty background traffic streams are multiplexed and one ATM cell stream goes out. We model the AAL multiplexer as a B/sup X/ + D/D/1/K queue and analyze this queueing system. We represent various performance measures such as loss probability and waiting time in the basis of cell and packet.