• 제목/요약/키워드: time-weighted model

검색결과 316건 처리시간 0.022초

Prediction of Energy Consumption in a Smart Home Using Coherent Weighted K-Means Clustering ARIMA Model

  • Magdalene, J. Jasmine Christina;Zoraida, B.S.E.
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제22권10호
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    • pp.177-182
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    • 2022
  • Technology is progressing with every passing day and the enormous usage of electricity is becoming a necessity. One of the techniques to enjoy the assistances in a smart home is the efficiency to manage the electric energy. When electric energy is managed in an appropriate way, it drastically saves sufficient power even to be spent during hard time as when hit by natural calamities. To accomplish this, prediction of energy consumption plays a very important role. This proposed prediction model Coherent Weighted K-Means Clustering ARIMA (CWKMCA) enhances the weighted k-means clustering technique by adding weights to the cluster points. Forecasting is done using the ARIMA model based on the centroid of the clusters produced. The dataset for this proposed work is taken from the Pecan Project in Texas, USA. The level of accuracy of this model is compared with the traditional ARIMA model and the Weighted K-Means Clustering ARIMA Model. When predicting,errors such as RMSE, MAPE, AIC and AICC are analysed, the results of this suggested work reveal lower values than the ARIMA and Weighted K-Means Clustering ARIMA models. This model also has a greater loglikelihood, demonstrating that this model outperforms the ARIMA model for time series forecasting.

A General Semiparametric Additive Risk Model

  • Park, Cheol-Yong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.421-429
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    • 2008
  • We consider a general semiparametric additive risk model that consists of three components. They are parametric, purely and smoothly nonparametric components. In parametric component, time dependent term is known up to proportional constant. In purely nonparametric component, time dependent term is an unknown function, and time dependent term in smoothly nonparametric component is an unknown but smoothly function. As an estimation method of this model, we use the weighted least square estimation by Huffer and McKeague (1991). We provide an illustrative example as well as a simulation study that compares the performance of our method with the ordinary least square method.

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FWLS 적응 알고리듬을 이용한 시변 볼테라 시스템 식별 (Adaptive Identification of a Time-varying Volterra system using the FWLS (filtered weighted least squares) Algorithm)

  • 안규영;정인석;남상원
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2004년도 심포지엄 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
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    • pp.3-6
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, the problem of identifying a time-varying nonlinear system in an adaptive way was considered, whereby the time-varying second-order Volterra series was employed to model the system and the filtered weighted least squares (FWLS) algorithm was utilized for the fast parameter tracking capability with low computational burden. Finally, the performance of the proposed approach was demonstrated by providing some computer simulation results.

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시간가충치 평균모델을 이용한 이산화질소의 노출평가 및 예측 (Exposure Assessment and Estimation of Personal Exposure for Nitrogen Dioxide Using Time Weighted Average Model)

  • 양원호;이선화;백도명
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제17권3호
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    • pp.251-258
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    • 2001
  • Indoor and outdoor nitrogen dioxide(NO$_2$) concentrations of 122 houses were measured and compared with measurements of personal NO$_2$ exposure simultaneously . Time activity patterns were used to determine the impacts on NO$_2$ exposure assessment and time weighed average model to estimate the personal NO$_2$ exposure. Most people spent their times more than 80% of indoor and more than 50% in home, respectively. Personal NO$_2$ esposure was found to be significantly associated with both indoor NO$_2$ concentration(r=0.70) and outdoor NO$_2$ concentration (r=0.68). Using time weighted average model, personal NO$_2$ exposure was estimated with NO$_2$ measurements in indoor home, indoor workplace and outdoor home. The estimated NO$_2$ measurements were significantly correlated with measured personal exposures(r=0.69, N=122). For the difference between measured and estimated NO$_2$ exposures by multiple regression analysis showed that NO$_2$ concentrations in near workplace and other outdoors of no NO$_2$ measurements affected the personal NO$_2$ exposures(p=0.023).

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적응 FWLS 알고리즘을 응용한 시변 비선형 시스템 식별 (Utilization of the Filtered Weighted Least Squares Algorithm For the Adaptive Identification of Time-Varying Nonlinear Systems)

  • 안규영;이인환;남상원
    • 대한전기학회논문지:시스템및제어부문D
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    • 제53권12호
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    • pp.793-798
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, the problem of adaptively identifying time-varying nonlinear systems is considered. For that purpose, the discrete time-varying Volterra series is employed as a system model, and the filtered weighted least squares (FWLS) algorithm, developed for adaptive identification of linear time-varying systems, is utilized for the adaptive identification of time-varying quadratic Volterra systems. To demonstrate the performance of the proposed approach, some simulation results are provided. Note that the FWLS algorithm, decomposing the conventional weighted basis function (WBF) algorithm into a cascade of two (i.e., estimation and filtering) procedures, leads to fast parameter tracking with low computational burden, and the proposed approach can be easily extended to the adaptive identification of time-varying higher-order Volterra systems.

제철소 근로자의 벤젠/톨루엔/크실렌 국소환경 측정을 이용한 총 노출 예측 (Estimation of Total Exposure to Benzene, Toluene and Xylene by Microenvironmental Measurements for Iron Mill Workers)

  • 김영희;양원호;손부순
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.359-364
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    • 2007
  • The aim of this study were to assess the personal exposure to volatile organic compounds (VOCs) and to estimate the personal exposure using time-weighted average model. Three target VOCs (benzene, toluene, xylene) were analyzed in personal exposure samples and residential indoor, residential outdoor and workplace indoor microenvironments samples in the iron mill 30 workers during working 5 days. Personal exposure to VOCs significantly correlated with workplace concentration p<0.05), suggesting workplace had strong source and major contribution to personal exposure. Personal exposure could be estimated with time activity pattern and time weighted average (TWA) model of residential indoor and workplace concentrations measured. Time weighted mean microenvironments concentrations were close approximately of personal exposure concentrations. Total exposure for participants can be estimated by TWA with microenvironments measurements and time activity pattern.

의약품개발공정에서의 Augmented weighted Tchebycheff 모델링 및 강건설계최적화 (Augmented Weighted Tchebycheff Modeling and Robust Design Optimization on a Drug Development Process)

  • ;신상문
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제39권5호
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    • pp.403-411
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    • 2013
  • The quality of the products/processes has been improved remarkably since robust design (RD) methodology is applied into the practice manufacturing processes. A model building method based on the dual responses methods for multiple and time oriented responses on a drug development process is employed in this paper instead of the previous methods that handle the static nature of data and single response. Subsequently, the optimal solutions of a multiple and time series RD problem are obtained by using the proposed augmented weighted Tchebycheff method that has a significant flexibility on assigning weights. Finally, a pharmaceutical case study associated with a generic drug development process is conducted in order to illustrate the efficient optimal solutions from the proposed model.

A Cointegration Test Based on Weighted Symmetric Estimator

  • Son Bu-Il;Shin Key-Il
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.797-805
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    • 2005
  • Multivariate unit root tests for the VAR(p) model have been commonly used in time series analysis. Several unit root tests were developed and recently Shin(2004) suggested a cointegration test based on weighted symmetric estimator. In this paper, we suggest a multivariate unit root test statistic based on the weighted symmetric estimator. Using a small simulation study, we compare the powers of the new test statistic with the statistics suggested in Shin(2004) and Fuller(1996).

A Speaker Pruning Method for Real-Time Speaker Identification System

  • 김민정;석수영;정종혁
    • 대한임베디드공학회논문지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.65-71
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    • 2015
  • It has been known that GMM (Gaussian Mixture Model) based speaker identification systems using ML (Maximum Likelihood) and WMR (Weighting Model Rank) demonstrate very high performances. However, such systems are not so effective under practical environments, in terms of real time processing, because of their high calculation costs. In this paper, we propose a new speaker-pruning algorithm that effectively reduces the calculation cost. In this algorithm, we select 20% of speaker models having higher likelihood with a part of input speech and apply MWMR (Modified Weighted Model Rank) to these selected speaker models to find out identified speaker. To verify the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm, we performed speaker identification experiments using TIMIT database. The proposed method shows more than 60% improvement of reduced processing time than the conventional GMM based system with no pruning, while maintaining the recognition accuracy.

A Marginal Probability Model for Repeated Polytomous Response Data

  • Choi, Jae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.577-585
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    • 2008
  • This paper suggests a marginal probability model for analyzing repeated polytomous response data when some factors are nested in others in treatment structures on a larger experimental unit. As a repeated measures factor, time is considered on a smaller experimental unit. So, two different experiment sizes are considered. Each size of experimental unit has its own design structure and treatment structure, and the marginal probability model can be constructed from the structures for each size of experimental unit. Weighted least squares(WLS) methods are used for estimating fixed effects in the suggested model.

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