• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.35 no.12
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• pp.45-58
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• 2019

In this study, a stochastic analysis procedure based on numerical analysis was proposed to evaluate a kind of intensity-duration rainfall threshold for the initiation of slope failure due to rainfall infiltration. Fragility curves were generated as a function of rainfall intensity-duration from the results of probabilistic slope stability analysis by MCS considering the uncertainty of the soil shear strength, reflecting the results of infiltration analysis of rainfall over time. In the probabilistic analysis, slope stability analyses combined with the infiltration analysis of rainfall were performed to calculate the limit state function. Using the derived fragility curves, a chart showing the relationship between rainfall intensity and slope failure-time was developed. It is based on a probabilistic analysis considering the uncertainty of the soil properties. The proposed probabilistic failure distribution analysis could be beneficial for analyzing the time-dependent failure process of soil slopes due to rainfall infiltration, and for predicting when the slope failure should occur.

• Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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• v.18 no.2 s.92
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• pp.233-238
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• 2006

In lifetime estimation, the FEM analysis method is proposed for predicting corrosion failure time of concrete structures exposed to sea-water. This study shows that the corrosion rate of rebar in artificial pore solution can be transferred to the corrosion rate of rebar in concrete using the relationship between pore volume and concrete volume by Jennings' model. And this study considered the pitting corrosion effects of reinforcement bar on corrosion failure analysis, rebar size to cover depth and nonlinear crack analysis. These analysis results have good accordance with the experimental results of Williamson's work. This methodology can be applied to lifetime prediction procedure of reinforced concrete structures and also gives more reasonable results of concrete cover failure time estimation of reinforced concrete structures exposed to sea-water.

• Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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• v.25 no.4
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• pp.115-122
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• 2018

Software reliability has the greatest impact on computer system reliability and software quality. For this software reliability analysis, In this study, we compare and analyze the trends of the properties affecting the reliability according to the shape parameters of Erlang distribution based on the finite fault NHPP. Software failure time data were used to analyze software failure phenomena, the maximum likelihood estimation method was used for parameter estimation. As a result, it can be seen that the intensity function is effective because it shows a tendency to decrease with time when the shape parameters a = 1 and a = 3. However, the pattern of the mean value function showed an underestimation pattern for the true values when the shape parameters a = 1 and a = 2, but it was found to be more efficient when a = 3 because the error width from the true value was small. Also, in the reliability evaluation of the future mission time, the stable and high trend was shown when the shape parameters a = 1 and a = 3, but on the contrary, when a = 2, the reliability decreased with the failure time. Through this study, the property of finite fault NHPP Erlang model according to the change of shape parameter without existing research case was newly analyzed, and new research information that software developers can use as basic guideline was presented.

• Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.250-257
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• 2013

This paper introduces a failure analysis procedure that underpins real-time fault prognosis. In the previous study, we developed a systematic eventization procedure which makes it possible to reduce the original data size into a manageable one in the form of event logs and eventually to extract failure patterns efficiently from the reduced data. Failure patterns are then extracted in the form of event sequences by sequence-mining algorithms, (e.g. FP-Tree algorithm). Extracted patterns are stored in a failure pattern library, and eventually, we use the stored failure pattern information to predict potential failures. The two practical case studies (marine diesel engine and SIRIUS-II car engine) provide empirical support for the performance of the proposed failure analysis procedure. This procedure can be easily extended for wide application fields of failure analysis such as vehicle and machine diagnostics. Furthermore, it can be applied to human health monitoring & prognosis, so that human body signals could be efficiently analyzed.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• v.52 no.1
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• pp.137-147
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• 2014

The present paper deals with the first ply failure analysis of the laminated composite plates under various static and dynamic loading conditions. Static analysis has been carried out under patch load and triangular load. The dynamic failure analysis has been carried out under triangular pulse load. The formulation has been carried out using the finite element method and a computer code has been developed. The first order shear deformation theory has been applied in the present formulation. The displacement time history analysis of laminated composite plate has been carried out and the results are compared with those published in literature to validate the formulation. The first ply failure load for laminated composite plates with various lamination schemes under static and dynamic loading conditions has been calculated using various failure criteria. The failure index-time history analysis has also been carried out and presented in this paper.

• Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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• v.21 no.7
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• pp.428-434
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• 2020

The one-shot weapon system is destroyed after only one mission. So, the system requires high reliability. Guided missiles are one-shot weapon systems that have to be analyzed by storage reliability since they spend most of their life in storage. The analysis results depend on the model and the ratio of correct censored data. This study was conducted to propose a method to more accurately predict the future failure rate of Air force guided missiles. In the proposed method, the failure rate is predicted by both MTTF (Mean Time To Failure) and MTBF (Mean Time Between Failure) models and the model with a smaller error from the real failure rate is selected. Next, with the selected model, the ratio of correct censored data is selected to minimize the error between the predicted failure rate and the real failure rate. Based on real field data, the comparative result is determined and the result shows that the proposed sampling rate can predict the future failure rate more accurately.

• Proceedings of the Korea Concrete Institute Conference
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• 2003.11a
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• pp.234-237
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• 2003

Previous researches about headed reinforcement have not been concerned about bond failure which is quite important is some cases. In this paper, failure mechanism including bond failure was presented in order to define the contribution of bond stress at the time failure occurs. Examined with design codes and test results, it is proved to be rational to consider the contribution of bond stress in determining the ultimate pull-out capacity of headed reinforcement. Direct adaptation of design code for anchor bolt without modification for the contribution of bond stress will lead to underestimate the capacity of headed reinforcement.

• Journal of the Korean Society of Manufacturing Process Engineers
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• v.12 no.4
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• pp.22-28
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• 2013

It is important to begin left ventricular assist device (LVAD) treatment at appropriate time for heart failure patients who expect cardiac recovery after the therapy. In order to predict the optimal timing of LVAD implantation, we predicted pumping efficacy of LVAD according to the severity of heart failure theoretically. We used LVAD-implanted cardiovascular system model which consist of 8 Windkessel compartments for the simulation study. The time-varying compliance theory was used to simulate ventricular pumping function in the model. The ventricular systolic dysfunction was implemented by increasing the end-systolic ventricular compliance. Using the mathematical model, we predicted cardiac responses such as left ventricular peak pressure, cardiac output, ejection fraction, and stroke work according to the severity of ventricular systolic dysfunction under the treatments of continuous and pulsatile LVAD. Left ventricular peak pressure, which indicates the ventricular loading condition, decreased maximally at the 1st level heart-failure under pulsatile LVAD therapy and 2nd level heart-failure under continuous LVAD therapy. We conclude that optimal timing for pulsatile LVAD treatment is 1st level heart-failure and for continuous LVAD treatment is 2nd level heart-failure when considering LVAD treatment as "bridge to recovery".

• Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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• v.28 no.5
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• pp.586-592
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• 2004

In this study, the failure analysis of a decanter is carried out and the methods of performance improvement are presented. The decanter is a centrifugal separator that is used to separate water and solids from municipal and industrial sludge. Therefore, the decanter should be designed to improve the dewatering of sludge. Besides high performance, the decanter should guarantee its life time under a severe using condition. For theses reasons, the failure analysis and performance improvement of the decanter are studied. It is found from this study that the failure is caused by mass unbalance, wear, clogging or crack. If these failure causes are prevented, the life time as well as the performance is expected to be improved.

• Journal of Applied Reliability
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• v.18 no.1
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• pp.1-7
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• 2018

Purpose: Maintaining appropriate operational availability (Ao) is a key element of combat victory, but estimates vary according to estimation methods. The purpose of this study is to improve the accuracy of estimating operational availability by tracing the changes of the weapon system's failure rate, repair rate, and the level of logistic support. Methods: In order to track the change in the operating availability, the MDT (mean down time) is modeled by adding the repair time and the ALDT (administration and logistic delay time) to the service time. Results: Using the field data of the weapon system A operated by the ROKAF, the failure rate follows a non-homogeneous Poisson process that changes with time, and it is modeled considering the changing repair rate and the logistic support time. Conclusion: The accuracy of the analytical results was verified by comparing the actual operating data with the estimated availability. The results of this study can be used to track and evaluate the availability in a realistic situation where the failure rate and maintenance rate continuously change in operating environment.