• Title/Summary/Keyword: time to failure

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Analysis of Success and Failure Factors of OTT Service Contents According to the Rating: Focus on Netflix (평점에 따른 OTT 서비스 콘텐츠의 성공과 실패 요인 분석: 넷플릭스를 중심으로)

  • Hong, Ji-Soo;Park, Jin-Soo;Kang, Sung-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.44 no.4
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2021
  • This study explores multiple variables of an OTT service for discovering hidden relationship between rating and the other variables of each successful and failed content, respectively. In order to extract key variables that are strongly correlated to the rating across the contents, this work analyzes 170 Netflix original dramas and 419 movies. These contents are classified as success and failure by using the rating site IMDb, respectively. The correlation between the contents, which are classified via rating, and variables such as violence, lewdness and running time are analyzed to determine whether a certain variable appears or not in each successful and failure content. This study employs a regression analysis to discover correlations across the variables as a main analysis method. Since the correlation between independent variables should be low, check multicollinearity and select the variable. Cook's distance is used to detect and remove outliers. To improve the accuracy of the model, a variable selection based on AIC(Akaike Information Criterion) is performed. Finally, the basic assumptions of regression analysis are identified by residual diagnosis and Dubin Watson test. According to the whole analysis process, it is concluded that the more director awards exist and the less immatatable tend to be successful in movies. On the contrary, lower fear tend to be failure in movies. In case of dramas, there are close correlations between failure dramas and lower violence, higher fear, higher drugs.

The Comparative Study of Software Optimal Release Time Based on Log-Logistic Distribution (Log-Logistic 분포 모형에 근거한 소프트웨어 최적방출시기에 관한 비교연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Cheul
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.13 no.7
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, make a study decision problem called an optimal release policies after testing a software system in development phase and transfer it to the user. When correcting or modifying the software, because of the possibility of introducing new faults when correcting or modifying the software, infinite failure non-homogeneous Poisson process models presented and propose an optimal release policies of the life distribution applied log-logistic distribution which can capture the increasing! decreasing nature of the failure occurrence rate per fault. In this paper, discuss optimal software release policies which minimize a total average software cost of development and maintenance under the constraint of satisfying a software reliability requirement. In a numerical example, after trend test applied and estimated the parameters using maximum likelihood estimation of inter-failure time data, make out estimating software optimal release time.

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Comparison of Hoek-Brown and Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion for deep open coal mine slope stability

  • Aksoy, Cemalettin O.;Uyar, Guzin G.;Ozcelik, Yilmaz
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.60 no.5
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    • pp.809-828
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    • 2016
  • In deep open pit mines, slope stability is very important. Particularly, increasing the depths increase the risks in mines having weak rock mass. Blasting operations in this type of open pits may have a negative impact on slope stability. Several or combination of methods can be used in order to enable better analysis in this type of deep open-pit mines. Numerical modeling is one of these options. Many complex problems can be integrated into numerical methods at the same time and analysis, solutions can be performed on a single model. Rock failure criterions and rock models are used in numerical modeling. Hoek-Brown and Mohr-Coulomb terms are the two most commonly used rock failure conditions. In this study, mine planning and discontinuity conditions of a lignite mine facing two big landslides previously, has been investigated. Moreover, the presence of some damage before starting the study was identified in surrounding structures. The primary research of this study is on slope study. In slope stability analysis, numerical modeling methods with Hoek-Brown and Mohr-Coulomb failure criterions were used separately. Preparing the input data to the numerical model, the outcomes of patented-blast vibration minimization method, developed by co-author was used. The analysis showed that, the model prepared by applying Hoek-Brown failure criterion, failed in the stage of 10. However, the model prepared by using Mohr-Coulomb failure criterion did not fail even in the stage 17. Examining the full research field, there has been ongoing production in this mine without any failure and damage to surface structures.

The Comprehensive Proportional Hazards Model Incorporating Time-dependent Covariates for Water Pipes (상수관로에 대한 시간종속형 공변수를 포함한 포괄적 비례위험모형)

  • Park, Su-Wan
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.445-455
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    • 2009
  • In this paper proportional hazards models for the first through seventh break of 150 mm cast iron pipes in a case study area are established. During the modeling process the assumption of the proportional hazards for covariates on the hazards is examined to include the time-dependent covariate terms in the models. As a result, the pipe material/joint type and the number of customers are modeled as time-dependent for the first failure, and for the second failure only the number of customers is modeled as time-dependent. From the analysis on the baseline hazard functions the failure hazards are found to be generally increasing for the first and second failure, while the hazards of the third break and beyond showed a form of a bath-tub. Furthermore, the changes in the baseline hazard rates according to the time and number of break reflect that the general condition of the pipes is deteriorating. The factors causing pipe break and their effects are analyzed based on the estimated regression coefficients and their hazard ratios, and the constructed models are verified using the deviance residuals of the models.

A Comparative Study of Software finite Fault NHPP Model Considering Inverse Rayleigh and Rayleigh Distribution Property (역-레일리와 레일리 분포 특성을 이용한 유한고장 NHPP모형에 근거한 소프트웨어 신뢰성장 모형에 관한 비교연구)

  • Shin, Hyun Cheul;Kim, Hee Cheul
    • Journal of Korea Society of Digital Industry and Information Management
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2014
  • The inverse Rayleigh model distribution and Rayleigh distribution model were widely used in the field of reliability station. In this paper applied using the finite failure NHPP models in order to growth model. In other words, a large change in the course of the software is modified, and the occurrence of defects is almost inevitable reality. Finite failure NHPP software reliability models can have, in the literature, exhibit either constant, monotonic increasing or monotonic decreasing failure occurrence rates per fault. In this paper, proposes the inverse Rayleigh and Rayleigh software reliability growth model, which made out efficiency application for software reliability. Algorithm to estimate the parameters used to maximum likelihood estimator and bisection method, model selection based on mean square error (MSE) and coefficient of determination($R^2$), for the sake of efficient model, were employed. In order to insurance for the reliability of data, Laplace trend test was employed. In many aspects, Rayleigh distribution model is more efficient than the reverse-Rayleigh distribution model was proved. From this paper, software developers have to consider the growth model by prior knowledge of the software to identify failure modes which can helped.

Application of Chernoff bound to passive system reliability evaluation for probabilistic safety assessment of nuclear power plants

  • So, Eunseo;Kim, Man Cheol
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.54 no.8
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    • pp.2915-2923
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    • 2022
  • There is an increasing interest in passive safety systems to minimize the need for operator intervention or external power sources in nuclear power plants. Because a passive system has a weak driving force, there is greater uncertainty in the performance compared with an active system. In previous studies, several methods have been suggested to evaluate passive system reliability, and many of them estimated the failure probability using thermal-hydraulic analyses and the Monte Carlo method. However, if the functional failure of a passive system is rare, it is difficult to estimate the failure probability using conventional methods owing to their high computational time. In this paper, a procedure for the application of the Chernoff bound to the evaluation of passive system reliability is proposed. A feasibility study of the procedure was conducted on a passive decay heat removal system of a micro modular reactor in its conceptual design phase, and it was demonstrated that the passive system reliability can be evaluated without performing a large number of thermal-hydraulic analyses or Monte Carlo simulations when the system has a small failure probability. Accordingly, the advantages and constraints of applying the Chernoff bound for passive system reliability evaluation are discussed in this paper.

Optimal Redundant Units and Load in Parallel Systems (병렬 시스템에서의 최적 중복부품수와 최적 부하수준)

  • 윤원영;김귀래
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.97-107
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    • 1998
  • This paper is concerned with a parallel system that sustains a time-independent load and consists of n components with exponential lifetimes. It is assumed that the total load is shared by the working components and the failures of components increase higher failure rates in the surviving components according to the relationship between the load and the fialure rates. The power rule model among several load-failure rate relationships is considered. We consider the system efficiency meausre as the expected profit earned by the system per unit time. The high load causes high gain but it also occurs frequent system failures. The expected profit per unit time is used as criterion to evaluate the system efficiency. The goal of system engineer is to determine the optimal load and redundant units maximizing the expected profit per unit time. First, the system reliability function is obtained and the optimization problem of the load-sharing parallel system is considered. Given the redundant units, the existence of the optimal load can be proved analytically and given the load, the optimal redundant units can be solved also analytically. The optimal load and redundant units are obtained simultaneously by numerical computation. Some numerical examples are studied.

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Wind fragility analysis of RC chimney with temperature effects by dual response surface method

  • Datta, Gaurav;Sahoo, Avinandan;Bhattacharjya, Soumya
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.59-73
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    • 2020
  • Wind fragility analysis (WFA) of concrete chimney is often executed disregarding temperature effects. But combined wind and temperature effect is the most critical limit state to define the safety of a chimney. Hence, in this study, WFA of a 70 m tall RC chimney for combined wind and temperature effects is explored. The wind force time-history is generated by spectral representation method. The safety of chimney is assessed considering limit states of stress failure in concrete and steel. A moving-least-squares method based dual response surface method (DRSM) procedure is proposed in WFA to alleviate huge computational time requirement by the conventional direct Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) approach. The DRSM captures the record-to-record variation of wind force time-histories and uncertainty in system parameters. The proposed DRSM approach yields fragility curves which are in close conformity with the most accurate direct MCS approach within substantially less computational time. In this regard, the error by the single-level RSM and least-squares method based DRSM can be easily noted. The WFA results indicate that over temperature difference of 150℃, the temperature stress is so pronounced that the probability of failure is very high even at 30 m/s wind speed. However, below 100℃, wind governs the design.

Effects of Auditory Warning Types on Response Time and Accuracy in Ship Bridges (선교내에서 청각경보음의 유형이 반응속도와 정확성에 미치는 영향)

  • Ha, Wook-Hyun;Park, Sung-Ha;Kim, Hong-Tae
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.673-680
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    • 2010
  • The effects of different auditory warnings on response time and accuracy were studied in a laboratory ship-bridge work environment. Subjective preference on the type of auditory warnings was also of a primary concern. Twenty five subjects were asked to select an appropriate button for the warning sound presented with three types of auditory warning (abstract sound, auditory icon, and voice alarm) and five levels of warning situation (fire, steering failure, collision, engine failure, and low power). Results showed that the response time and accuracy was significantly affected by the types of auditory warning. The voice alarm resulted in a higher accuracy and subjective preference, as compared to the auditory icon and abstract sound. Regarding the response time, auditory icons and voice alarms were equivalent and superior to abstract sounds. Actual or potential applications of this research include guidelines for the design of integrated ship bridge systems.

A Study on the Optimal Release Time Decision of a Developed Software by using Logistic Testing Effort Function (로지스틱 테스트 노력함수를 이용한 소프트웨어의 최적인도시기 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Che, Gyu-Shik;Kim, Yong-Kyung
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.1-13
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    • 2005
  • This paper proposes a software-reliability growth model incoporating the amount of testing effort expended during the software testing phase after developing it. The time-dependent behavior of testing effort expenditures is described by a Logistic curve. Assuming that the error detection rate to the amount of testing effort spent during the testing phase is proportional to the current error content, a software-reliability growth model is formulated by a nonhomogeneous Poisson process. Using this model the method of data analysis for software reliability measurement is developed. After defining a software reliability, This paper discusses the relations between testing time and reliability and between duration following failure fixing and reliability are studied. SRGM in several literatures has used the exponential curve, Railleigh curve or Weibull curve as an amount of testing effort during software testing phase. However, it might not be appropriate to represent the consumption curve for testing effort by one of already proposed curves in some software development environments. Therefore, this paper shows that a logistic testing-effort function can be adequately expressed as a software development/testing effort curve and that it gives a good predictive capability based on real failure data.

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