• Title/Summary/Keyword: time interval error

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Reliability Computation of Neuro-Fuzzy Models : A Comparative Study (뉴로-퍼지 모델의 신뢰도 계산 : 비교 연구)

  • 심현정;박래정;왕보현
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.293-301
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    • 2001
  • This paper reviews three methods to compute a pointwise confidence interval of neuro-fuzzy models and compares their estimation perfonnanee through simulations. The eOITl.putation methods under consideration include stacked generalization using cross-validation, predictive error bar in regressive models, and local reliability measure for the networks employing a local representation scheme. These methods implemented on the neuro-fuzzy models are applied to the problems of simple function approximation and chaotic time series prediction. The results of reliability estimation are compared both quantitatively and qualitatively.

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CFD Analysis for Determining Surge-direction Drag Coefficient of FOWT based on Simulation Time Step (시뮬레이션 시간 단계에 따른 FOWT 서지방향 항력계수 결정에 관한 CFD해석 연구)

  • Ho-Seong Yang;Young-Ho Lee
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.17-25
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    • 2024
  • In this study, the effect of the time step specified in a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) simulation on load response is analyzed and the drag coefficients of the floating body of floating offshore wind turbines (FOWTs) are estimated. By evaluating the error in the FOWT load response and the change in the drag-coefficient values based on the density of the time intervals, this study aims to establish a time-interval setting that minimizes the time and cost of CFD simulations for selecting drag-coefficient values. Practical CFD utilization strategies necessary for the calibration of medium-to high-fidelity analysis tools are presented. Based on a comparative analysis of CFD simulations conducted at various time intervals, the results confirmed that under a certain time interval that sufficiently considers various factors, the accuracy of the FOWT response with respect to density shows minimal differences, thereby providing an efficient utilization method for CFD simulations in FOWT design and analysis.

Functional Separation of Myoelectric Signal of Human Arm Movements Using Time Series Analysis (시계열 해석을 이용한 팔운동 근전신호의 기능분리)

  • 홍성우;남문현
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.41 no.9
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    • pp.1051-1059
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    • 1992
  • In this paper, two general methods using time-series analysis in the functional separation of the myoelectric signal of human arm movements are developed. Autocorrelation, covariance method and sequential least squares algorithm were used to determine the model parameters and the order of signal model to describe six arm movement patterns` the forearm flexion and extension, the wrist pronation and supination, rotation-in and rotation-out. The confidence interval to classify the functions of arm movement was defined by the mean and standard deviation of total squared error. With the error signals of autoregressive(AR) model, the result showed that the highest success rate was obtained in the case of 4th order, and success rate was decreased with increase of order. Autocorrelation was the method of choice for better success rate. This technique might be applied to biomedical and rehabilitation engineering.

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A Study on the Optimal Aggregation Interval for Travel Time Estimation on the Rural Arterial Interrupted Traffic flow (지방부 간선도로 단속류 통행시간 추정을 위한 적정 집락간격 결정에 관한 연구)

  • Lim Houng-Seak;Lee Seung-Hwan;Lee Hyun-Jae
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.3 no.2 s.5
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    • pp.129-140
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we conduct the research about optimal aggregation interval of travel time data on interrupted traffic flow and verify the reliability of AVI collected data by using car plate matching method in RTMS for systematic collection and analysis of link travel time data on interrupted traffic flow rural arterial. We perform Kolmosorov-Smirnov test on AVT collected sample data and on entire population data, and conclude that the sample data does not represent pure random sampling and hence includes sample collection error. We suggest that additional review is necessary to investigate the effectiveness of AVI collected sample data as link representative data. We also develop statistical model by applying two estimation techniques namely point estimation and interval estimation for calculating optimal aggregation interval. We have implemented our model and determine that point estimate is preferable over interval estimate for exactly selecting and deciding optimal aggregation interval. Our final conclusion is that 5-minute aggregation interval is optimal to estimate travel time in RTMS, as is currently being used our investigation is based on AVI data collected from Yang-ji to Yong-in $42^{nd}$ National road.

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A Welding Inspection of Small-sized Metalized Film Capacitor with Large Capacity (소형.대용량 Metalized Film Capacitor의 용접 오차 검출 개발)

  • Jeong, Won-Young;Oh, Choon-Suk;Ryu, Young-Kee;Lim, Jong-Seul;Lee, Seo-Young
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 2004.11c
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    • pp.135-137
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    • 2004
  • In this study we'll deal with the small-sized metalized film capacitors with large capacity which head have $5mm{\times}5mm{\times}2.5mm$ dimension. The lead wire is used to weld at both sides of capacitors. At that time the position gap between the welding machine and lead wire supplier would cause the welding error. Also, during the tapping processing of metalized film capacitors, the interval error among the capacitors, the length error of lead frame attached at the capacitors, and the straightness distortion of the lead frame could happen. As mentioned, four kinds of error parameters will be measured and analyzed by using the automatic visual inspection system that is implemented with CCD camera, optical parts, background lighting, and image processing algorithms. Finally we are able to achieve success rate above 99% to detect the welding faults of capacitors in the field test.

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Angle Estimation Error Reduction Method Using Weighted IMM (Weighted IMM 기법을 사용한 각도 추정 오차 감소 기법)

  • Choi, Seonghee;Song, Taeklyul
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.84-92
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    • 2015
  • This paper proposes a new approach to reduce the target estimation error of the measurement angle, especially applied to the medium and long range surveillance radar. If the target has no maneuver and no change in heading direction for a certain time interval, the predicted angle of interacting multiple model(IMM) from the previous track information can be used to reduce the angle estimation error. The proposed method is simulated in 2 scenarios, a scenario with a non-maneuvering target and a scenario with a maneuvering target. The result shows that the new fusion solution(weighted IMM) with the predicted azimuth and the measured azimuth is worked properly in the two scenarios.

Developement of Measuring Units of circular Motion Accuracy on NC Lathe (NC선반의 원 운동정도 측정장치의 개발)

  • 김영석;김재열
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Machine Tool Engineers
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2001
  • It is very important to test circular motion accuracy of NC machine tools as it affects all other machines machined by them in industries. In this paper, it has become possible to detect errors of linear displacement of radial directions for circle tar motion accuracy test using newly assembled magnetic type of linear scale so called Magnescale ball-bar system. It has also organized computer program systems using tick pulses come out from computer for getting error motion data at colt start time interval in circular motion test on NC lathe. Error data gotten from test is expressed to plots and analysed to numerics by various statistical treatments.

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An Improvement on Target Costing Technique

  • Wu, Hsin-Hung
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.191-204
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    • 2003
  • The target costing technique, mathematically discussed by Sauers, only uses the $C_p index along with Taguchi loss function and $\bar{X}$-P control charts to setup goal control limits. The new specification limits derived from Taguchi loss function is linked through the $C_p value to $\bar{X}$-P control charts to obtain goal control limits. Studies have shown that the point estimator of the $C_p index, $C_p, could vary from time to time due to the sampling error. The suggested approach is to use confidence intervals, especially the lower confidence intervals, to replace the point estimator. Therefore, an improvement on target costing technique is presented by applying the lower confidence interval of the $C_p index and using both Taguchi and Spiring's loss functions together with $\bar{X}$-P charts to make this technique more robust in practice. An example is also provided to illustrate how the improved target costing technique works.

Logistic Regression Method in Interval-Censored Data

  • Yun, Eun-Young;Kim, Jin-Mi;Ki, Choong-Rak
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.5
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    • pp.871-881
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    • 2011
  • In this paper we propose a logistic regression method to estimate the survival function and the median survival time in interval-censored data. The proposed method is motivated by the data augmentation technique with no sacrifice in augmenting data. In addition, we develop a cross validation criterion to determine the size of data augmentation. We compare the proposed estimator with other existing methods such as the parametric method, the single point imputation method, and the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator through extensive numerical studies to show that the proposed estimator performs better than others in the sense of the mean squared error. An illustrative example based on a real data set is given.

A Direct Injection-mixing Total-flow-control Boom Sprayer System (주입식 총유량 자동제어방식 분관 방제기의 개발)

  • 구영모
    • Journal of Biosystems Engineering
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.155-166
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    • 1996
  • A direct injection sprayer was designed using the concepts of injection mixing and total flow control, flowrate-based system compensating for the variation of forwarding speed. A metered rate, proportionally to the actual diluent flow rate, of a tracer chemical was injected directly into the diluent stream. The injection of chemical may improve the precision and safety of chemical application process. The control system was evaluated for the variables of the control interval, tolerances and sensitivities of flow regulation valve and injection pump. Performance of the system was assessed as that the response time of flow rate, response time of injection rate, absolute steady state error, and the coefficient of variance(C.V.) of concentration were 8.5 and -0.53 seconds, 0.067 lpm(0.8%) and 3.15%, respectively, at optimal parameters of control interval of 1.0 sec, fast sensitivity of flow regulation valve, medium sensitivity of injection pump and medium tolerance of flow rate. Performance of the system can be improved by increasing the sensitivity of flow regulating valve and employing a high resolution velocimeter, such as Doppler radar.

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