• Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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• v.23 no.3
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• pp.305-313
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• 2009

This paper provides a method for evaluating a residual life of water mains using a proportional hazard model(PHM). The survival time of individual pipe is defined as the elapsed time since installation until a break rate of individual pipe exceeds the Threshold Break Rate. A break rate of an individual pipe is estimated by using the General Pipe Break Model(GPBM). In order to use the GPBM effectively, improvement of the GPBM is presented in this paper by utilizing additional break data that is the cumulative number of pipe break of 0 for the time of installation and adjusting a value of weighting factor(WF). The residual lives and hazard ratios of the case study pipes of which the cumulative number of pipe breaks is more than one is estimated by using the estimated survival function. It is found that the average residual lives of the steel and cast iron pipes are about 25.1 and 21 years, respectively. The hazard rate of the cast iron pipes is found to be higher than the steel pipes until 20 years since installation. However, the hazard rate of the cast iron pipes become lower than the hazard rates of the steel pipes after 20 years since installation.

• Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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• v.16 no.6
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• pp.710-716
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• 2002

A General Pipe Break Prediction Model that incorporates linear and exponential models in its form is developed. The model is capable of fitting pipe break trends that have linear, exponential or in between of linear and exponential trend by using a weighting factor. The weighting factor is adjusted to obtain a best model that minimizes the sum of squared errors of the model. The model essentially plots a best curve (or a line) passing through "cumulative number of pipe breaks" versus "break times since installation of a pipe" data points. Therefore, it prevents over-predicting future number of pipe breaks compared to the conventional exponential model. The optimal replacement time equation is derived by using the Threshold Break Rate equation by Loganathan et al. (2002).

• The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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• v.6 no.3 s.20
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• pp.58-63
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• 2003

The performance of turbo pump drops rapidly and it gets into break-down when the void fraction reaches above the threshold value because the impeller flow passage is choked up with air bubbles. Phenomenological understanding of break-down and pumping recovery mechanisms under air-water two-phase flow conditions are therefore important for pump designers and essential assignment for researchers. In this paper, we investigated the characteristics of break-down and pumping recovery due to entrained air occurring inside a screw-type centrifugal pump which has a wide flow passage mainly through the findings of suction and discharge pressures, rotational speed, flow rate measurements and visualization.

• The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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• v.45 no.2
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• pp.29-38
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• 2014

This study is to analyse the timing of the structural change of price volatility and the asymmetry of price volatility during the period before and after the timing of the structural change of price volatility using Jeju Farming Olive Flounder's production area market price data from January 1, 2007 to June 30, 2013. The analysis methods of Quandt-Andrews break point test and Threshold GARCH model are employed. The empirical results of this study are summarized as follows: First, the result of Quandt-Andrews break point test shows that a single structural change in price volatility occurred on May 4, 2010 over the sample period. Second, during the period before structural change, daily price change rate has averagely positive value which means price increase, but during the period after structural change daily price change rate has averagely negative value which means price decrease. Also, daily volatility of price change rate during the period before structural change is higher than during the period after structural change. This indicates that price volatility decreases after structural change. Third, the estimation results of Threshold GARCH Model show that the volatility response against price increase is larger during the period after structural change than during the period before structural change. Also the result shows the volatility response against price decrease is larger during the period after structural change than during the period before structural change. And, irrespective of the timing of structural change, price increase has an larger effect on volatility than price decrease. This means volatility is asymmetric at price increase.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.42 no.7
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• pp.525-535
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• 2009

In this paper a heuristic method for identifying individual pipes in water pipe networks to determine specific sections of the pipes that need to be replaced due to deterioration. An appropriate minimum pipe length is determined by selecting the pipe length that has the greatest variance of the average cumulative break number slopes among the various pipe lengths used. As a result, the minimum pipe length for the case study water network is determined as 4 m and a total of 39 individual pipe IDs are obtained. The economically optimal replacement times of the individual pipe IDs are estimated by using the threshold break rate of an individual pipe ID and the pipe break trends models for which the General Pipe Break Prediction Model(Park and Loganathan, 2002) that can incorporate the linear, exponential, and in-between of the linear and exponetial failure trends and the ROCOFs based on the modified time scale(Park et al., 2007) are used. The maximum log-likelihoods of the log-linear ROCOF and Weibull ROCOF estimated for the break data of a pipe are compared and the ROCOF that has a greater likelihood is selected for the pipe of interest. The effects of the social costs of a pipe break on the optimal replacement time are also discussed.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.42 no.6
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• pp.457-464
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• 2009

This paper proposes methodologies for analyzing the accuracy of the proportional hazards model in predicting consecutive break times of water mains and estimating the time interval for economical water main replacement. By using the survival functions that are based on the proportional hazards models a criterion for the prediction of the consecutive pipe breaks is determined so that the prediction errors are minimized. The criterion to predict pipe break times are determined as the survival probability of 0.70 and only the models for the third through the seventh break are analyzed to be reliable for predicting break times for the case study pipes. Subsequently, the criterion and the estimated lower and upper bound survival functions of consecutive breaks are used in predicting the lower and upper bounds of the 95% confidence interval of future break times of an example water main. Two General Pipe Break Prediction Models(GPBMs) are estimated for an example pipe using the two series of recorded and predicted lower and upper bound break times. The threshold break rate is coupled with the two GPBMs and solved for time to obtain the economical replacement time interval.

• Journal of the Korean institute of surface engineering
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• v.40 no.2
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• pp.91-97
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• 2007

In this study we investigated the oxygen effect on the nucleation and its residual stress during unbalanced magnetron sputtering. Up to 0.5% in oxygen flow rate, cubic phase (c-BN) was dominated with extremely small fraction of Hexagonal phase (h-BN) of increasing trend with oxygen concentration, whereas hexagonal phase is dominated beyond 0.75% flow rate. Interestingly, the residual stress in cubic-phase-dominated films was substantially reduced with small amount of oxygen (${\sim}0.5%$) down to a low value comparable to the h-BN case. This may be because oxygen atoms break B-N $sp^3$ bonds and make B-O bonds more favorably, increasing $sp^2$ bonds preference, as revealed by FTIR and NEXAFS. It was confirmed by experimental facts that the threshold bias voltage for nucleation and growth of cubic phase were increased from -55 V to -70 V and from -50 V to -60 V respectively. The reduction of residual stress in O-added c-BN films is seemingly resulting from the microstructure of the films. The oxygen tends to increase slightly the amount of h-BN phase in the grain boundary of c-BN and the soft h-BN phase of 3D network including surrounding nano grains of cubic phase may relax the residual stress of cubic phase.

• The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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• v.22 no.9
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• pp.1916-1932
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• 1997

The synchronous stream cipher which require absoulte clock synchronization has the problem of synchronization loss by cycle slip. Synchronization loss makes the state which sender and receiver can't communicate with each other and it may break the receiving system. To lessen the risk, we usually use a continuous resynchronization method which achieve resynchronization at fixed timesteps by inserting synchronization pattern and session key. While we can get resynchronization effectively by continuous resynchroniation, there are some problems. In this paper, we proposed an adaptive resynchronization algorithm for cipher system using HDLC protocol. It is able to solve the problem of the continuous resynchronization. The proposed adaptive algorithm make resynchronization only in the case that the resynchronization is occurred by analyzing the address field of HDLC. It measures the receiving rate of theaddress field in the decision duration. Because it make resynchronization only when the receiving rate is greateer than the threshold value, it is able to solve the problems of continuous resynchronization method. When the proposed adaptive algorithm is applied to the synchronous stream cipher system in packet netork, it has addvance the result in R_e and D_e.

• Journal of Environmental Science International
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• v.19 no.11
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• pp.1423-1436
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• 2010

The effects of meteorological and reclaiming conditions on the reduction of suspended particles are investigated using a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model with the k-$\varepsilon$ turbulence closure scheme based on the renormalization group (RNG) theory. Twelve numerical experiments with different meteorological and reclaiming conditions are performed. For identifying the meteorological characteristics of the target area and providing the inflow conditions of the CFD model, the observed data from the automatic weather station (AWS) near the target area is analyzed. Complicated flow patterns such as flow distortion, horse-shoe vortex, recirculation zone, and channeling flow appeared due to the topography and buildings in the domain. Specially, the flow characteristics around the reclamation area are affected by the reclaiming height, reclaiming size and windbreak height. Reclaiming height affected the wind speed above the reclaiming area. Windbreak induces more complicated flow patterns around the reclaiming area as well as within the reclaiming area. In front of the windbreak, flow is distorted as it impinges on the windbreak. As a result, upward flow is generated there. Behind the windbreak, a secondary circulation, so called, a recirculation zone is generated and flow is reattached at the end of the recirculation zone (reattachment point). At the lower part of the recirculation zone, there is a reverse flow toward the windbreak. Flow passing to the reattachment point starts to be recovered. Total amounts of suspended particles are calculated using the frictional and threshold frictional velocities, erosion potential function, and the number of surface disturbance. In the case of a 10 m-reclaiming and northerly wind, the amount of suspended particles is largest. In the presence of 5 m windbreak, the friction velocity above the reclaiming area is largely reduced. As a result, the total amount of the suspended particles largely decreases, compared to the case with the same reclaiming and meteorological conditions except for the windbreak The calculated suspended particle amounts are used as the emission rate of the dispersion model simulations and the dispersion characteristics of the suspended particles are analyzed.