• Title/Summary/Keyword: test statistics

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Verification on stock return predictability of text in analyst reports (애널리스트 보고서 텍스트의 주가예측력에 대한 검증)

  • Young-Sun Lee;Akihiko Yamada;Cheol-Won Yang;Hohsuk Noh
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.36 no.5
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    • pp.489-499
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    • 2023
  • As sharing of analyst reports became widely available, reports generated by analysts have become a useful tool to reduce difference in financial information between market participants. The quantitative information of analyst reports has been used in many ways to predict stock returns. However, there are relatively few domestic studies on the prediction power of text information in analyst reports to predict stock returns. We test stock return predictability of text in analyst reports by creating variables representing the TONE from the text. To overcome the limitation of the linear-model-assumption-based approach, we use the random-forest-based F-test.

A Test for Spherical Symmetry

  • Park, Cheol-Yong
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.04a
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    • pp.182-184
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    • 2005
  • In this study, we propose a chi-squared test of spherical symmetry. The advantage of this test is that the test statistic and its asymptotic p-value are easy to compute. A simulation study is conducted to study the accuracy, in finite samples, of the limiting distribution of the test statistic under spherical symmetry. The power of our test is compared with those of other tests for spherical symmetry in various alternative distributions via simulation.

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A Nonparametric Bootstrap Test and Estimation for Change

  • Kim, Jae-Hee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.443-457
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    • 2007
  • This paper deals with the problem of testing the existence of change in mean and estimating the change-point using nonparametric bootstrap technique. A test statistic using Gombay and Horvath (1990)'s functional form is applied to derive a test statistic and nonparametric change-point estimator with bootstrapping idea. Achieved significance level of the test is calculated for the proposed test to show the evidence against the null hypothesis. MSE and percentiles of the bootstrap change-point estimators are given to show the distribution of the proposed estimator in simulation.

ON THE GOODNESS OF FIT TEST FOR DISCRETELY OBSERVED SAMPLE FROM DIFFUSION PROCESSES: DIVERGENCE MEASURE APPROACH

  • Lee, Sang-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.1137-1146
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we study the divergence based goodness of fit test for partially observed sample from diffusion processes. In order to derive the limiting distribution of the test, we study the asymptotic behavior of the residual empirical process based on the observed sample. It is shown that the residual empirical process converges weakly to a Brownian bridge and the associated phi-divergence test has a chi-square limiting null distribution.

Asymptotic Relative Efficiency of t-test Following Transformations

  • Yeo, In-Kwon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.467-476
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    • 1997
  • The two-sample t-test is not expected to be optimal when the two samples are not drawn from normal populations. According to Box and Cox (1964), the transformation is estimated to enhance the normality of the tranformed data. We investigate the asymptotic relative efficiency of the ordinary t-test versus t-test applied transformation introduced by Yeo and Johnson (1997) under Pitman local alternatives. The theoretical and simulation studies show that two-sample t-test using transformed date gives higher power than ordinary t-test for location-shift models.

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A Bayes Criterion for Testing Homogeneity of Two Multivariate Normal Covariances

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.11-23
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    • 1998
  • A Bayes criterion for testing the equality of covariance matrices of two multivariate normal distributions is proposed and studied. Development of the criterion invloves calculation of Bayes factor using the imaginary sample method introduced by Spiegelhalter and Smith (1982). The criterion is designed to develop a Bayesian test criterion, so that it provides an alternative test criterion to those based upon asymptotic sampling theory (such as Box's M test criterion). For the constructed criterion, numerical studies demonstrate routine application and give comparisons with the traditional test criteria.

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Model Checking for Time-Series Count Data

  • Lee, Sung-Im
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.359-364
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    • 2005
  • This paper considers a specification test of conditional Poisson regression model for time series count data. Although conditional models for count data have received attention and proposed in several ways, few studies focused on checking its adequacy. Motivated by the test of martingale difference assumption, a specification test via Ljung-Box statistic is proposed in the conditional model of the time series count data. In order to illustrate the performance of Ljung- Box test, simulation results will be provided.

A design of the fixed duration reliability demonstration test from the viewpoint of operators (운영자 관점에서의 철도차량의 고정기간 신뢰성 입증 시험의 설계)

  • Kim, Jong-Woon;Chung, In-Soo;Park, Jun-Seo
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2009.05b
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    • pp.577-581
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    • 2009
  • The fixed duration test has been widely used in the reliability demonstration test for rolling stocks. This article deals with how to design the test statistics, acceptance criteria and the fixed duration of the MTBF(Mean Time Between Failures) demonstration test considering the consumer risk. Numerical examples are given to illustrate the dependence of the consumer risk on the test duration and MTBF requirement.

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An Analysis for the Structural Variation in the Unemployment Rate and the Test for the Turning Point (실업률 변동구조의 분석과 전환점 진단)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Hwang, Sung-Hye;Lee, Young-Hoon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.253-269
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    • 2005
  • One of the basic assumptions of the regression models is that the parameter vector does not vary across sample observations. If the parameter vector is not constant for all observations in the sample, the statistical model is changed and the usual least squares estimators do not yield unbiased, consistent and efficient estimates. This study investigates the regression model with some or all parameters vary across partitions of the whole sample data when the model permits different response coefficients during unusual time periods. Since the usual test for overall homogeneity of regressions across partitions of the sample data does not explicitly identify the break points between the partitions, the testing the equality between subsets of coefficients in two or more linear regressions is generalized and combined with the test procedure to search the break point. The method is applied to find the possibility and the turning point of the structural change in the long-run unemployment rate in the usual static framework by using the regression model. The relationships between the variables included in the model are reexamined in the dynamic framework by using Vector Autoregression.

Nonparametric homogeneity tests of two distributions for credit rating model validation (신용평가모형에서 두 분포함수의 동일성 검정을 위한 비모수적인 검정방법)

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Kim, Ji-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.261-272
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    • 2009
  • Kolmogorov-Smirnov (K-S) statistic has been widely used for testing homogeneity of two distributions in the credit rating models. Joseph (2005) used K-S statistic to obtain validation criteria which is most well-known. There are other homogeneity test statistics such as the Cramer-von Mises, Anderson-Darling, and Watson statistics. In this paper, these statistics are introduced and applied to obtain criterion of these statistics by extending Joseph (2005)'s work. Another set of alternative criterion is suggested according to various sample sizes, type a error rates, and the ratios of bads and goods by using the simulated data under the similar situation as real credit rating data. We compare and explore among Joseph's criteria and two sets of the proposed criterion and discuss their applications.

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