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The Macroeconomic and Institutional Drivers of Stock Market Development: Empirical Evidence from BRICS Economies

  • REHMAN, Mohd Ziaur
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.77-88
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    • 2021
  • The stock markets in the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) countries are the leading emerging markets globally. Therefore, it is pertinent to ascertain the critical drivers of stock market development in these economies. The currrent study empirically investigates to identify the linkages between stock market development, key macro-economic factors and institutional factors in the BRICS economies. The study covers the time period from 2000 to 2017. The dependent variable is the country's stock market development and the independent variables consist of six macroeconomic variables and five institutional variables. The study employs a panel cointegration test, Fully Modified OLS (FMOLS), a Pooled Mean Group (PMG) approach and a heterogeneous panel non-causality test.The findings of the study indicate co-integration among the selected variables across the BRICS stock markets. Long-run estimations reveal that five macroeconomic variables and four variables related to institutional quality are positive and statistically significant. Further, short-run causalities between stock market capitalization and selected variables are detected through the test of non-causality in a heterogeneous panel setting. The findings suggest that policymakers in the BRICS countries should enhance robust macroeconomic conditions to support their financial markets and should strengthen the institutional quality drivers to stimulate the pace of stock market development in their countries.

Determinants and Prediction of the Stock Market during COVID-19: Evidence from Indonesia

  • GOH, Thomas Sumarsan;HENRY, Henry;ALBERT, Albert
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2021
  • This research examines the stock market index determinants and the prediction using the FFT curve fitting of the Jakarta Stock Exchange (JKSE) Composite Index during the COVID-19 pandemic. This paper has used daily data of Jakarta Stock Exchange (JKSE) Composite Index, interest rate, and exchange rate from 15 October 2019 to 15 September 2020, and a total of 224 observations, retrieved from Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX), Indonesia Statistics Central Bureau and Observation & Research of Taxation. The study covers descriptive statistics, multicollinearity test, hypothesis tests, determination test, and prediction using FFT curve fitting. The results unveil four fresh and robust evidence. Partially, the interest rate has affected positively and significantly the stock market index. Partially, the exchange rate has affected negatively and significantly the stock market index. The F-test result, interest rate, and exchange rate have significantly affected the stock market index (JKSE) simultaneously. Furthermore, the FFT curve fitting has predicted that the stock market fluctuates and increases over time. The results have shown a strong influence of the independent variables and the dependent variable. The value of Adjusted R-Square is 0.719, which means that the independent variables have simultaneously impacted the dependent variable for 71.9%; other factors have influenced the remaining 28.1%.

The Impact of Credit and Stock Market Development on Economic Growth in Asian Countries

  • NGUYEN, Bao K.Q.;HUYNH, Vy T.T.;TO, Bao C.N.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권9호
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    • pp.165-176
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    • 2021
  • The paper has used the Solow-Swan growth model to analyze the long-term impact of credit market development and stock market development on economic growth in Asia from 2000 to 2019. The empirical model is performed with panel cointegration analysis by Common Correlated Effects (CCE) method with cross-sectional dependencies. The results find that there exists a cointegration relationship among stock market, credit market development, and economic growth. These results also show that financial structure improves the exact impact of financial development on economic growth, namely the opposite effect of stock market development and credit market development. Moreover, the Granger causality test reveals a bi-directional relationship between credit market development and economic growth, while only unidirectional causality from stock market development to economic growth for the whole group panel. And it is different for a specific country, according to Kónya's test. The view of the new structuralism does not apply in the Asian financial system when we estimate the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag model (NARDL) to analyze the asymmetric relationship between financial structure and economic growth. On the whole, policymakers can draw on the findings to provide policy implications to improve their country's financial system as well as pursue the goal of sustainable economic growth.

시유의 2차오염과 저장가능기간을 결정하기 위한 Resazurin 환원시간검사 (Resazurin Reduction Time Test to Determine Post-pasteurization Contamination and Shelf Life of Market Milk)

  • 최석호;최정준;이승배;윤영호
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • 제46권6호
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    • pp.999-1006
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    • 2004
  • NPC agar, DHL agar, MacConkey agar와 Cetrimide desoxycholate agar의 선택성을 조사 하였다". Cetrimide desoxycholate agarz 가 다른 선택성 배지에 비해 그람양성 세균을 억제하고 Pseudomonas를 비롯한 내냉성 그람음성 세균의 선택적 배양에 더 좋은 한천배지이었다. Resazurin 환원시간 검시에서 Cetrimide desoxycholate broth를 시유와 혼합하여 $21^{\circ}C$ 에 서 18 시간 배양한 후 resazurin을 첨가하여 변색되는 시간으로 2차오염 을 결정하는 방법으로서 조사하였다. Resazurin 환원시간 검사와 저장성 검사간에 81%의 관련성이 있었다. 저장성 검사의 우유에서 Pseudomonas가 가장 먼도 높게 분리되었으며 다음으로 Acinetobacter와 Aeromonas가 검출되었다 Resazurin 환원시간 검사에는 Acinetobacter, Pseudomonas, Enterobacter의 순서의 빈도로 검출되었다.

COVID-19, Remittance Inflows, and the Stock Market: Empirical Evidence from Bangladesh

  • QAMRUZZAMAN, Md.;KARIM, Salma;JAHAN, Ishrat
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제8권5호
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    • pp.265-275
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    • 2021
  • This study's motivation is to investigate the association between the stock market, remittance, and the pandemic of COVID-19 for the period from March 3, 2020, to December 14, 2020. For evaluating the impact of COVID-19 and remittances on stock market behaviour during the pandemic, the study applies Autoregressive Distributed lagged (ARDL) for magnitudes estimation and directional association through the Toda-Yamamoto causality test. Study findings from ARDL estimation revealed that COVID-19 measured by detecting new cases negatively influences the stock market both in the long-term and short-term. Remittance positively influences the stock market behaviour, particularly in the long-term. Furthermore, the directional causality test disclosed unidirectional causal effects between COVID-19 and the stock market behaviour, which establishes all proxy measures for the equation's stock market. The hypothesis results explain the causal relationship between remittance inflows and the stock market in Bangladesh. The study's application will help policymakers rethink the policies for channelizing remittances for productive investment areas. Furthermore, the study's findings will reinstate the widely perceived notions, which is the critical role of remittance in the economy even though the economy passes through a great pandemic.

담합관련 손해배상 소송의 경제분석에서 고려해야 할 이론 및 실증적 쟁점: 수송용 연료시장에의 적용 (Theoretical and Empirical Issues in Conducting an Economic Analysis of Damage in Price-Fixing Litigation: Application to a Transportation Fuel Market)

  • 문춘걸
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.187-224
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구에서는 담합의 경제분석에서 고려해야 할 쟁점들을 논의한 후, 이러한 쟁점들을 반영한 방법론을 특정 수송용 연료시장의 분석에 적용하였다. 가상 경쟁가격과 과잉징수를 산정하는 5가지 방법 중 표준시장비교방법에 기반한 회귀분석방법이 최선이다. 수송용 연료시장에서와 같이 국제가격과 환율이 국내가격에 영향을 미치는 제품의 실거래가격을 분석하는 경우 논리에 부합하면서 유연한 함수형태는 로그-로그 함수형태이다. 경제분석의 대상이 되는 자료가 시계열자료인 경우에 ARDL 모형을 시장별 회귀분석모형의 근간으로 채택하는 것이 필요하며, 표준시장비교방법에 기반한 회귀분석방법에서는 구성 회귀식 간에 모수제약이 포함된 ARDL 회귀식 체계를 구축하고 system FGLS로 추정하여야 한다. Friedman 동질성 검정을 통하여 표준시장 여부를 판별할 수 있다. 통계적 유의성은 불확실성 하에서 입증하고자 하는 명제를 확립하는데 요구되는 최소의 요건이다. 담합관련 소송의 경제분석에서는 민감도 분석은 그다지 유용성이 없으며, 최적모형 선별과정이 더 중요한 절차이다. 위 방법론을 특정 수송용 연료시장의 분석에 적용한 결과, 해당 시장에서는 담합에 기인하는 손해액이 없다는 귀무가설을 기각할 수 없었다.

소득불평등과 경제성장의 상호영향력 분석 (An Empirical Analysis on the Relationship Between Income Inequality and Economic Growth)

  • 윤재형
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.15-30
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    • 2017
  • This study analyzes the relationship between income inequality and economic growth. Gini coefficient (market income), the deciles income inequality index and per capita real GDP were analyzed. Furthermore, various cointegration tests were tried to improve the reliability of the test results. From the weak exogeniety test of between per capita real GDP and the Gini coefficient (market income), per capita real GDP has a weak exogeneity while the Gini coefficient is endogenous. From the various cointegration tests, we found out that there is a cointegration between Gini coefficient and per capita real GDP. Moreover, it is estimated that per capita real GDP has a positive effect on the Gini coefficient (market income). In the VAR Granger causal analysis, per capita real GDP affects the Gini coefficient (market income), but it is difficult to say that the Gini coefficient (market income) always has an effect on per capita real GDP. Also, the impulse-response function of the VAR model shows that per capita real GDP temporarily reduces the Gini coefficient (market income), and then increases it over time. Accordingly, it is necessary for the policies to improve not only the distribution structure but also income distribution through economic growth.

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발전력 시장에서의 시장지배력 억제를 위한 장기 계약량 산정에 관한 연구 (Evaluation of Long-term Contracts for Market Power Mitigation in Generation Markets)

  • 송광재;허돈;남영우;박종근;정해성;윤용태
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제54권1호
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    • pp.38-42
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    • 2005
  • Restructuring of the electric power industry has brought the issue of market competitiveness to surface. Recent years have witnessed the appearance of a particular seller or group of sellers exercising market power in electricity supply. In fact, much scholarly work has been done on how to identify and mitigate such abuse by market management rules. In this paper we assess the possible market power on the basis of pivotal supplier test and propose the method to determine the reasonable quantity of long-term contracts which can play a crucial role in mitigating the market power for a pivotal player. Furthermore the market efficiency is guaranteed by making long term contracts with a pivotal player up to the quantity to ensure that the pivotal player has no incentive to abuse the pivotal quantity in the electricity market.

A Study on Market Efficiency with the Indexes of SSEC and SZSEC of China

  • DUAN, Guo Xi;TANIZAKI, Hisashi
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권9호
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2022
  • This paper studies market efficiency from a weak form aspect using opening and closing prices of the Shanghai stock exchange composite index (SSEC) and Shenzhen stock exchange composite index (SZSEC) under the expected return theory. Classical methods (autocorrelation and runs test) are used to examine the features of stock returns, and little evidence against mutual independence of returns is found. We predict daily returns of SSEC and SZSEC with AR(p) and VAR(p) models (in this paper, p = 5 is taken as a one-week lag) and perform a virtual experiment on two indexes based on the predicted value of daily returns from AR(p) or VAR(p) model. From the results of AR(p) and VAR(p) for two indexes, we attempt to find out how the market efficiency level changes when the information from the other market is under consideration as we check the market efficiency level in one market. We find that SSEC in 2014-2016 and SZSEC in 2015-2016 are inefficient from the result of autocorrelation, that SSEC in 2016 and SZSEC in 2013 are not efficient from the result of runs test, that the stock market is efficient except 2005, 2009, 2010 and 2017 in SSEC and 2005, 2016 and 2017 in SZSEC and that SSEC is more influenced by SZSEC but SSEC influences SZSEC less from the result of the virtual experiment.

코스닥 IT기업의 개발비의 가치관련성 (Value Relevance of Development Cost in IT Firms of KOSDAQ)

  • 김문현
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.67-81
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    • 2009
  • This study aims to test the valur relevance of development cost particularly focusing on IT firms of KOSDAQ. Test period is from 2005 to 2007 and the samples are 2,271 year-firms including 1,692 firms that reported development cost in financial statements. The basic test model is a modified Ohlson(1995)'s linear model. The empirical results show that there is the negative relation between stock price and development cost reported as asset. It means that development costs reported as asset is considered as expense in the market. It implies that development activities of KOSDAQ IT firms is not related to market-leading technologies or goods. Otherwise it might reflect the conservative valuation of market on the unstability of KOSDAQ market itself.